Mississippi
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#63
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#103
Pace66.1#269
Improvement-2.0#307

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#89
First Shot+3.1#86
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#133
Layup/Dunks-1.4#234
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#50
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#227
Freethrows+3.1#24
Improvement-4.4#364

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#55
First Shot+6.4#25
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#301
Layups/Dunks+7.8#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#286
Freethrows+1.8#68
Improvement+2.4#41
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 8.6% 3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.3% 8.4% 3.0%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 9.6
.500 or above 28.4% 28.7% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.6% 15.7% 9.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 19.1% 18.8% 31.6%
First Four2.6% 2.6% 0.9%
First Round7.3% 7.4% 2.6%
Second Round3.1% 3.1% 1.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alcorn St. (Home) - 98.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 13
Quad 23 - 35 - 16
Quad 33 - 18 - 18
Quad 46 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 266 SE Louisiana W 88-58 94%     1 - 0 +21.3 +17.7 +5.2
  Fri, Nov 7 359 Louisiana Monroe W 86-65 98%     2 - 0 +3.1 -0.9 +2.8
  Tue, Nov 11 72 Memphis W 83-77 64%     3 - 0 +10.7 +17.9 -6.9
  Fri, Nov 14 305 Cal St. Bakersfield W 82-60 96%     4 - 0 +10.8 +14.8 -1.3
  Tue, Nov 18 195 Austin Peay W 72-65 90%     5 - 0 +1.7 +1.4 +0.5
  Tue, Nov 25 18 Iowa L 69-74 22%     5 - 1 +11.5 +10.0 +1.0
  Wed, Nov 26 111 Utah L 74-75 68%     5 - 2 +2.6 +6.1 -3.6
  Tue, Dec 2 35 Miami (FL) L 66-75 43%     5 - 3 +1.2 +1.3 -0.5
  Sat, Dec 6 19 @St. John's L 58-63 15%     5 - 4 +14.4 -6.4 +20.9
  Sat, Dec 13 207 Southern Miss W 71-67 86%     6 - 4 +1.0 -0.1 +1.3
  Wed, Dec 17 293 Alabama A&M W 80-66 92%     7 - 4 +6.9 +12.2 -4.1
  Sun, Dec 21 28 North Carolina St. L 62-76 27%     7 - 5 +0.8 -5.0 +5.7
  Mon, Dec 29 337 Alcorn St. W 84-62 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 45 @Oklahoma L 71-77 29%    
  Wed, Jan 7 23 Arkansas L 75-79 36%    
  Sat, Jan 10 60 Missouri W 76-73 60%    
  Wed, Jan 14 22 @Georgia L 75-85 17%    
  Sat, Jan 17 80 @Mississippi St. L 72-73 44%    
  Tue, Jan 20 34 Auburn L 73-75 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 20 @Kentucky L 68-79 16%    
  Sat, Jan 31 9 Vanderbilt L 71-80 21%    
  Tue, Feb 3 14 @Tennessee L 63-75 13%    
  Sat, Feb 7 41 @Texas L 70-77 27%    
  Wed, Feb 11 15 Alabama L 79-85 29%    
  Sat, Feb 14 80 Mississippi St. W 75-70 66%    
  Wed, Feb 18 43 @Texas A&M L 74-80 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 12 Florida L 69-76 28%    
  Wed, Feb 25 39 LSU L 73-74 47%    
  Sat, Feb 28 34 @Auburn L 70-78 24%    
  Wed, Mar 4 9 @Vanderbilt L 68-83 9%    
  Sat, Mar 7 90 South Carolina W 72-67 68%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.1 1.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 1.7 0.4 0.0 2.8 6th
7th 0.3 1.8 1.1 0.1 3.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 2.7 0.5 4.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.6 1.5 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.2 3.7 0.4 0.0 7.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.4 1.7 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.3 5.7 3.7 0.3 11.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 4.8 5.7 1.1 0.0 12.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.9 4.3 6.5 2.3 0.1 14.0 14th
15th 0.1 1.1 4.1 5.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 13.8 15th
16th 0.3 1.4 3.2 3.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.5 16th
Total 0.3 1.5 4.4 8.7 12.4 15.7 16.1 14.3 11.1 7.2 4.4 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 86.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 58.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 9.1% 90.9% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 6.3% 93.8% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.4% 100.0% 3.6% 96.4% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 1.1% 91.9% 4.0% 87.9% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 91.6%
11-7 2.3% 82.2% 1.8% 80.4% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.4 81.9%
10-8 4.4% 59.4% 1.3% 58.2% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.0 1.8 58.9%
9-9 7.2% 25.6% 0.5% 25.1% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 0.1 5.4 25.2%
8-10 11.1% 4.6% 0.1% 4.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 10.6 4.4%
7-11 14.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.2 0.4%
6-12 16.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 16.1
5-13 15.7% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 15.7
4-14 12.4% 12.4
3-15 8.7% 8.7
2-16 4.4% 4.4
1-17 1.5% 1.5
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 8.6% 0.3% 8.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 91.5 8.3%