South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.1 #69
Expected Predictive Rating +5.9 #90
Pace 65.1 #280
Improvement +2.0 #95

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #82 B C B- B+ C
Defense #72 B+ B+ D+ B B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #297 1.29 #56 +0.0 #178
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #241 0.99 #8 +0.7 #140
Three Pointers 48% #41 1.00 #211 +3.3 #80
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #67 +4.0 #68
Freethrows 18.7 #114 80% #12 14.8 #57
Second Chance 29.5% #216 1.12 #81 0.33 #149
Turnovers 15.3% #105
Total Offense +4.0 #82

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #112 1.13 #143 -1.0 #212
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #40 0.75 #175 -2.2 #329
Three Pointers 32% #355 0.83 #9 +7.5 #3
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #53 +4.2 #54
Freethrows 15.5 #88 71% #117 11.0 #84
Second Chance 28.0% #92 0.93 #47 0.26 #46
Turnovers 14.8% #280
Total Defense +4.1 #72

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #181 -1.1% #84
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.5% #66 -7.3% #58
Possession Length 18.4 #283 17.4 #189
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #241 0.20 #284
Improvement +0.2 #164 +1.8 #73

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 7.7% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.1% 7.6% 1.9%
Average Seed 9.9 9.7 10.1
.500 or above 29.6% 54.2% 23.4%
.500 or above in Conference 4.9% 13.0% 2.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 28.7% 12.8% 32.7%
First Four1.3% 2.6% 1.0%
First Round2.5% 6.4% 1.6%
Second Round0.9% 2.3% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 12
Quad 23 - 45 - 17
Quad 31 - 06 - 17
Quad 49 - 015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 304 N.C. A&T W 91 - 72 95% +14  1 - 0 +8 +5 B+ A F +1 C A+ D-
 Sun, Nov 9 244 Southern Miss W 83 - 79 OT 92% +2  2 - 0 -4 +3 B+ F F -7 C- D+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 266 Presbyterian W 81 - 61 93% +18  3 - 0 +11 +11 C D A+ +2 A C+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 253 Radford W 87 - 58 92% +15  4 - 0 +21 +7 B+ A+ C +14 A+ A- A-
 Fri, Nov 21 59 Butler L 72 - 79 44% -7  4 - 1 +3 +4 D+ D+ A+ -2 A+ F C-
 Sun, Nov 23 60 Northwestern L 77 - 79 46% -3  4 - 2 +7 +14 B A+ A+ -8 F A+ A-
 Fri, Nov 28 234 Charleston Southern W 74 - 62 91% +4  5 - 2 +5 -2 D C A+ +7 A+ A+ D-
 Tue, Dec 2 58 Virginia Tech L 83 - 86 OT 55% -4  5 - 3 +4 +5 A F A+ -1 C D+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 332 Stetson W 82 - 51 97% +15  6 - 3 +17 +10 A+ A+ F +10 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 351 The Citadel W 71 - 55 98% +5  7 - 3 +0 -7 F C C- +8 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 32 @Clemson L 61 - 68 20% -6  7 - 4 +10 +2 D- C+ F +8 A+ C+ D
 Mon, Dec 22 359 South Carolina St. W 95 - 70 98% +12  8 - 4 +7 +14 A- A+ F -7 F B F
 Tue, Dec 30 305 Albany W 96 - 67 95% +16  9 - 4 +18 +27 A+ B+ C -6 A+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 3 21 Vanderbilt L 71 - 83 28% -10  9 - 5 0 - 1 +2 +9 C+ C A+ -7 D- B+ D
 Tue, Jan 6 43 @LSU W 78 - 68 26% +16  10 - 5 1 - 1 +25 +19 A+ F A+ +7 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 24 Georgia L 70 - 75 32% +1  10 - 6 1 - 2 +8 +4 B F A+ +4 C+ A+ D
 Wed, Jan 14 20 @Arkansas L 74 - 108 13% -18  10 - 7 1 - 3 -14 +5 B+ D F -18 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 27 @Auburn L 67 - 71 18% -5  10 - 8 1 - 4 +14 +1 C C F +13 A+ A+ B-
 Tue, Jan 20 57 Oklahoma W 85 - 76 55% +8  11 - 8 2 - 4 +16 +11 A C C- +5 A C+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 34 @Texas A&M L 72 - 81 20%
 Wed, Jan 28 10 Florida L 70 - 79 19%
 Sat, Jan 31 43 LSU L 73 - 74 47%
 Tue, Feb 3 38 @Texas L 71 - 79 22%
 Sat, Feb 7 50 Missouri W 74 - 73 51%
 Sat, Feb 14 17 @Alabama L 76 - 89 12%
 Tue, Feb 17 10 @Florida L 67 - 82 8%
 Sat, Feb 21 76 Mississippi St. W 73 - 70 62%
 Tue, Feb 24 25 Kentucky L 71 - 76 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 24 @Georgia L 74 - 85 16%
 Tue, Mar 3 22 Tennessee L 68 - 73 30%
 Sat, Mar 7 62 @Mississippi L 68 - 72 36%
Totals 15 - 16 6 - 12 +8 +4 B C B- +4 B+ B+ D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 0.3 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 1.3 0.1 2.3 8th
9th 0.4 2.7 0.7 3.8 9th
10th 0.1 2.6 2.9 0.2 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.6 5.6 1.2 0.0 8.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 6.1 4.7 0.2 11.7 12th
13th 0.3 4.7 8.8 1.4 0.0 15.2 13th
14th 0.2 3.4 10.1 4.2 0.1 18.0 14th
15th 0.2 2.3 8.0 6.3 0.7 0.0 17.4 15th
16th 1.9 5.8 5.7 1.2 0.1 14.7 16th
Total 2.1 8.2 17.4 23.0 21.5 14.8 8.0 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 89.8% 1.7% 88.1% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.7%
10-8 1.2% 73.1% 1.3% 71.8% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 72.8%
9-9 3.4% 36.5% 0.4% 36.1% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 2.1 36.3%
8-10 8.0% 7.3% 0.3% 7.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 7.4 7.1%
7-11 14.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.7 0.8%
6-12 21.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 21.5 0.0%
5-13 23.0% 23.0
4-14 17.4% 17.4
3-15 8.2% 8.2
2-16 2.1% 2.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.2% 0.1% 3.1% 9.9 96.9 3.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.1%