South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.2#90
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#152
Pace65.9#277
Improvement-0.6#221

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#109
First Shot+4.1#77
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#272
Layup/Dunks+0.9#142
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#142
Freethrows+2.8#34
Improvement-1.9#318

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#75
First Shot+2.3#105
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#91
Layups/Dunks-2.3#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#8
Freethrows+1.0#115
Improvement+1.3#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 2.6% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.4% 2.5% 0.5%
Average Seed 9.7 9.7 9.4
.500 or above 20.1% 20.8% 5.4%
.500 or above in Conference 5.3% 5.4% 2.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 40.3% 39.7% 52.0%
First Four0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
First Round2.0% 2.1% 0.4%
Second Round0.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 95.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 13
Quad 22 - 44 - 17
Quad 31 - 15 - 18
Quad 49 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 301 N.C. A&T W 91-72 93%     1 - 0 +8.3 +7.1 -0.3
  Sun, Nov 9 207 Southern Miss W 83-79 OT 87%     2 - 0 -2.0 +1.6 -3.9
  Wed, Nov 12 286 Presbyterian W 81-61 92%     3 - 0 +10.4 +11.4 +0.5
  Tue, Nov 18 261 Radford W 87-58 91%     4 - 0 +20.5 +7.0 +13.1
  Fri, Nov 21 50 Butler L 72-79 35%     4 - 1 +3.3 +4.9 -1.7
  Sun, Nov 23 57 Northwestern L 77-79 39%     4 - 2 +7.0 +15.1 -8.3
  Fri, Nov 28 239 Charleston Southern W 74-62 90%     5 - 2 +4.4 -2.4 +6.7
  Tue, Dec 2 74 Virginia Tech L 83-86 OT 56%     5 - 3 +1.7 +3.5 -1.6
  Sat, Dec 6 349 Stetson W 82-51 97%     6 - 3 +15.6 +10.0 +8.8
  Sat, Dec 13 355 The Citadel W 71-55 97%     7 - 3 -0.7 -7.8 +7.9
  Tue, Dec 16 40 @Clemson L 61-68 20%     7 - 4 +8.2 -0.6 +8.5
  Mon, Dec 22 358 South Carolina St. W 95-70 98%     8 - 4 +7.1 +13.4 -6.5
  Tue, Dec 30 310 Albany W 81-63 95%    
  Sat, Jan 3 9 Vanderbilt L 70-81 16%    
  Tue, Jan 6 39 @LSU L 69-78 20%    
  Sat, Jan 10 22 Georgia L 77-84 27%    
  Wed, Jan 14 23 @Arkansas L 71-83 13%    
  Sat, Jan 17 34 @Auburn L 69-79 17%    
  Tue, Jan 20 45 Oklahoma L 73-75 43%    
  Sat, Jan 24 43 @Texas A&M L 72-81 21%    
  Wed, Jan 28 12 Florida L 68-77 21%    
  Sat, Jan 31 39 LSU L 72-75 39%    
  Tue, Feb 3 41 @Texas L 69-78 21%    
  Sat, Feb 7 60 Missouri W 75-74 52%    
  Sat, Feb 14 15 @Alabama L 75-89 10%    
  Tue, Feb 17 12 @Florida L 65-80 9%    
  Sat, Feb 21 80 Mississippi St. W 73-71 58%    
  Tue, Feb 24 20 Kentucky L 69-76 26%    
  Sat, Feb 28 22 @Georgia L 74-87 13%    
  Tue, Mar 3 14 Tennessee L 65-73 22%    
  Sat, Mar 7 63 @Mississippi L 67-72 32%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 1.0 6th
7th 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 1.1 0.1 2.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 0.5 0.0 2.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.9 1.6 0.1 3.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.3 0.8 0.0 5.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.1 4.2 2.4 0.1 7.8 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 4.6 4.6 0.6 0.0 10.9 13th
14th 0.1 1.2 5.1 6.7 1.9 0.1 15.2 14th
15th 0.2 2.3 7.1 8.4 3.2 0.2 21.5 15th
16th 1.3 5.2 8.7 7.9 3.2 0.4 0.0 26.7 16th
Total 1.3 5.4 11.1 16.2 17.7 16.1 12.8 8.8 5.3 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 31.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 93.1% 3.4% 89.7% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 92.9%
12-6 0.2% 85.0% 6.7% 78.3% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 83.9%
11-7 0.6% 73.7% 2.3% 71.3% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 73.1%
10-8 1.5% 51.1% 51.1% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 51.1%
9-9 2.9% 25.1% 0.2% 24.9% 10.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 2.2 25.0%
8-10 5.3% 4.5% 0.1% 4.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 5.1 4.4%
7-11 8.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7 0.4%
6-12 12.8% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 12.8
5-13 16.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 16.1
4-14 17.7% 17.7
3-15 16.2% 16.2
2-16 11.1% 11.1
1-17 5.4% 5.4
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 2.5% 0.1% 2.4% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.0 97.5 2.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%