Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#219
Expected Predictive Rating-2.8#206
Pace67.7#228
Improvement+0.2#174

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#166
First Shot-0.5#193
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#157
Layup/Dunks+0.8#157
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#322
Freethrows+1.3#122
Improvement-0.3#212

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#286
First Shot-6.4#351
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#33
Layups/Dunks-0.7#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#140
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.9#362
Freethrows+1.4#107
Improvement+0.5#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.0% 10.8% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 13.9 14.6
.500 or above 45.0% 75.3% 44.1%
.500 or above in Conference 64.6% 81.6% 64.1%
Conference Champion 7.6% 14.7% 7.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 0.2% 2.2%
First Four0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round5.9% 10.8% 5.8%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 3.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 63 - 10
Quad 411 - 514 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 215 @Buffalo L 79-85 37%     0 - 1 -6.3 +9.2 -15.9
  Sun, Nov 9 89 @South Carolina L 79-83 OT 13%     0 - 2 +4.8 +5.0 +0.1
  Thu, Nov 13 284 @Grambling St. L 70-75 50%     0 - 3 -8.7 -2.7 -6.0
  Sat, Nov 22 343 North Florida W 92-83 77%     1 - 3 -2.3 +9.4 -11.8
  Sun, Nov 23 239 Tennessee Martin W 70-60 54%     2 - 3 +5.5 +14.1 -6.1
  Wed, Dec 3 290 @Radford W 82-75 52%     3 - 3 +3.0 +1.5 +1.0
  Sat, Dec 6 34 @Miami (FL) L 65-85 3%    
  Mon, Dec 8 284 Grambling St. W 74-68 72%    
  Sat, Dec 13 58 Mississippi L 67-80 11%    
  Thu, Dec 18 318 Louisiana W 72-64 78%    
  Sat, Dec 20 155 Arkansas St. L 78-79 48%    
  Mon, Dec 29 29 @LSU L 66-86 3%    
  Thu, Jan 1 357 @Louisiana Monroe W 79-71 75%    
  Sat, Jan 3 318 @Louisiana W 69-67 59%    
  Thu, Jan 8 232 Texas St. W 72-68 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 357 Louisiana Monroe W 82-68 89%    
  Wed, Jan 14 146 @Troy L 70-77 25%    
  Sat, Jan 17 232 @Texas St. L 69-71 42%    
  Thu, Jan 22 334 @Georgia St. W 75-71 64%    
  Sat, Jan 24 260 @Coastal Carolina L 73-74 46%    
  Thu, Jan 29 283 Appalachian St. W 71-65 71%    
  Sat, Jan 31 169 James Madison W 75-74 51%    
  Wed, Feb 4 170 @Marshall L 74-80 31%    
  Thu, Feb 12 165 South Alabama W 72-71 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 146 Troy L 73-74 45%    
  Sat, Feb 21 220 Old Dominion W 76-73 61%    
  Tue, Feb 24 155 @Arkansas St. L 75-82 28%    
  Fri, Feb 27 165 @South Alabama L 68-74 30%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.5 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 7.6 1st
2nd 0.3 2.2 3.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 4.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 4.7 2.9 0.3 9.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 4.4 3.8 0.6 0.0 9.2 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 5.1 1.3 0.1 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.3 2.5 0.1 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 4.2 3.7 0.4 9.0 8th
9th 0.4 2.7 4.3 0.9 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.2 1.7 3.9 1.6 0.1 7.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.0 1.6 0.2 6.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 3.9 6.5 9.3 12.2 13.2 13.8 12.2 10.3 7.1 4.6 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 97.8% 0.9    0.8 0.1 0.0
15-3 84.9% 1.8    1.3 0.4 0.1
14-4 54.9% 2.5    1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0
13-5 23.1% 1.6    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 4.0 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 51.0% 51.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
16-2 0.9% 45.2% 45.2% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5
15-3 2.1% 30.5% 30.5% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4
14-4 4.6% 25.2% 25.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 3.4
13-5 7.1% 18.4% 18.4% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.1 5.8
12-6 10.3% 10.9% 10.9% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 9.2
11-7 12.2% 5.0% 5.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 11.6
10-8 13.8% 2.4% 2.4% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.5
9-9 13.2% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 13.1
8-10 12.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.1
7-11 9.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.3
6-12 6.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.5
5-13 3.9% 3.9
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 14.6 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.6 0.8 94.0 0.0%