Southern Miss
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.6#293
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#303
Pace74.9#33
Improvement-1.3#246

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#330
First Shot-5.6#320
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#239
Layup/Dunks-2.0#253
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#278
Freethrows-2.0#292
Improvement-2.4#290

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#209
First Shot-0.6#202
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#239
Layups/Dunks-2.3#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#61
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#151
Freethrows-0.8#242
Improvement+1.0#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 50 - 6
Quad 31 - 81 - 14
Quad 48 - 89 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 283   Bowling Green W 77-68 59%     1 - 0 -0.9 -3.2 +1.9
  Nov 07, 2024 108   @ UAB L 84-98 10%     1 - 1 -7.5 -1.2 -4.6
  Nov 20, 2024 135   @ South Dakota St. L 76-101 14%     1 - 2 -20.8 -9.1 -7.4
  Nov 24, 2024 175   @ Montana St. L 59-79 18%     1 - 3 -18.1 -15.2 -2.1
  Nov 25, 2024 210   Abilene Christian L 74-82 32%     1 - 4 -10.9 +7.9 -19.2
  Nov 30, 2024 144   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 66-65 29%     2 - 4 -0.8 -1.2 +0.5
  Dec 05, 2024 288   Alabama St. W 81-64 59%     3 - 4 +6.9 +0.0 +6.0
  Dec 10, 2024 141   @ Tulane L 58-86 14%     3 - 5 -24.2 -13.5 -10.6
  Dec 14, 2024 29   Mississippi L 46-77 3%     3 - 6 -16.7 -15.7 -4.0
  Dec 17, 2024 181   Lamar L 65-69 36%     3 - 7 -8.0 -5.9 -2.2
  Dec 21, 2024 167   Marshall W 68-66 33%     4 - 7 1 - 0 -1.2 +7.3 -8.2
  Jan 02, 2025 165   @ James Madison L 72-83 17%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -8.6 +0.7 -9.6
  Jan 04, 2025 278   @ Old Dominion L 71-74 35%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -6.8 -1.1 -5.7
  Jan 09, 2025 343   Louisiana Monroe W 84-67 76%     5 - 9 2 - 2 +2.0 -5.2 +5.3
  Jan 11, 2025 201   Texas St. W 92-88 OT 40%     6 - 9 3 - 2 -1.1 -2.0 +0.2
  Jan 15, 2025 131   @ South Alabama L 62-75 13%     6 - 10 3 - 3 -8.4 -8.1 -0.2
  Jan 18, 2025 201   @ Texas St. L 82-85 OT 22%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -2.6 -2.5 +0.3
  Jan 25, 2025 305   @ Louisiana W 67-59 42%     7 - 11 4 - 4 +2.4 -3.3 +6.1
  Jan 27, 2025 101   @ Troy L 61-70 9%     7 - 12 4 - 5 -1.9 -9.7 +8.2
  Jan 29, 2025 98   Arkansas St. L 68-81 18%     7 - 13 4 - 6 -10.8 -5.2 -5.3
  Feb 01, 2025 251   Georgia Southern W 72-68 50%     8 - 13 5 - 6 -3.6 -8.9 +5.0
  Feb 05, 2025 178   @ Appalachian St. L 58-60 19%     8 - 14 5 - 7 -0.3 -6.9 +6.5
  Feb 08, 2025 271   @ Ball St. L 76-77 34%     8 - 15 -4.4 +0.3 -4.7
  Feb 12, 2025 98   @ Arkansas St. L 67-101 8%     8 - 16 5 - 8 -26.3 -6.8 -16.9
  Feb 15, 2025 343   @ Louisiana Monroe L 74-81 57%     8 - 17 5 - 9 -16.5 -8.5 -7.5
  Feb 20, 2025 317   Coastal Carolina L 78-87 67%     8 - 18 5 - 10 -21.1 -9.8 -10.4
  Feb 22, 2025 305   Louisiana L 60-62 63%     8 - 19 5 - 11 -13.1 -11.9 -1.4
  Feb 26, 2025 131   South Alabama L 82-88 26%     8 - 20 5 - 12 -6.9 +8.4 -15.2
  Feb 28, 2025 101   Troy L 58-70 19%     8 - 21 5 - 13 -10.4 -13.5 +3.3
  Mar 04, 2025 317   Coastal Carolina W 66-63 57%     9 - 21 -6.3 -4.7 -1.3
  Mar 05, 2025 251   Georgia Southern L 64-78 39%     9 - 22 -18.8 -9.8 -9.3
Projected Record 9 - 22 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%