Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#169
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#293
Pace68.0#192
Improvement-7.6#361

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#58
First Shot+5.4#50
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#207
Layup/Dunks+1.4#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#104
Freethrows-0.6#220
Improvement-5.3#359

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#324
First Shot-5.3#331
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#185
Layups/Dunks-1.0#209
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#315
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#297
Freethrows+0.5#143
Improvement-2.3#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 82.6% 59.8% 83.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 5.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 21 - 71 - 15
Quad 32 - 73 - 22
Quad 44 - 27 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 322   Fairleigh Dickinson W 113-72 87%     1 - 0 +28.6 +27.7 -1.5
  Nov 10, 2024 313   Binghamton W 88-64 85%     2 - 0 +12.8 +10.7 +2.5
  Nov 17, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 93-63 96%     3 - 0 +9.8 +18.6 -7.5
  Nov 21, 2024 73   Drake L 69-80 23%     3 - 1 -3.4 +9.3 -14.3
  Nov 22, 2024 102   Oklahoma St. L 74-80 32%     3 - 2 -1.4 +9.2 -11.0
  Nov 24, 2024 38   Virginia Commonwealth L 70-77 13%     3 - 3 +4.9 +11.5 -7.3
  Nov 30, 2024 285   Charleston Southern L 79-83 81%     3 - 4 -13.3 +5.1 -18.5
  Dec 03, 2024 43   Arkansas L 73-76 19%     3 - 5 +6.2 +8.6 -2.5
  Dec 07, 2024 32   Clemson L 55-65 14%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +1.4 -2.9 +2.4
  Dec 10, 2024 6   Tennessee L 62-75 4%     3 - 7 +6.6 +4.7 +1.4
  Dec 15, 2024 283   Presbyterian W 94-75 80%     4 - 7 +9.8 +23.8 -12.3
  Dec 21, 2024 260   Mount St. Mary's L 74-78 OT 78%     4 - 8 -12.1 -8.7 -3.0
  Jan 01, 2025 176   @ Boston College L 68-78 43%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -8.3 -8.3 +0.4
  Jan 04, 2025 118   @ Virginia Tech L 85-86 31%     4 - 10 0 - 3 +4.1 +17.1 -13.1
  Jan 08, 2025 82   Florida St. L 65-80 32%     4 - 11 0 - 4 -10.2 -7.5 -2.1
  Jan 11, 2025 58   Wake Forest L 78-88 24%     4 - 12 0 - 5 -2.8 +12.4 -15.3
  Jan 14, 2025 2   @ Duke L 54-89 2%     4 - 13 0 - 6 -9.5 -0.2 -13.1
  Jan 18, 2025 42   SMU L 74-117 19%     4 - 14 0 - 7 -33.8 +5.0 -39.0
  Jan 22, 2025 78   @ Stanford L 51-88 17%     4 - 15 0 - 8 -27.1 -18.5 -8.3
  Jan 25, 2025 116   @ California L 94-98 OT 30%     4 - 16 0 - 9 +1.3 +12.2 -10.4
  Jan 29, 2025 97   Virginia L 71-82 40%     4 - 17 0 - 10 -8.6 +12.5 -23.0
  Feb 01, 2025 83   Notre Dame W 63-57 32%     5 - 17 1 - 10 +10.8 +3.9 +8.2
  Feb 08, 2025 27   @ Louisville L 71-88 5%    
  Feb 11, 2025 104   Syracuse L 78-80 44%    
  Feb 15, 2025 47   @ Pittsburgh L 72-85 9%    
  Feb 19, 2025 82   @ Florida St. L 75-85 17%    
  Feb 22, 2025 118   Virginia Tech L 75-76 51%    
  Feb 25, 2025 2   Duke L 65-86 3%    
  Mar 01, 2025 36   @ North Carolina L 74-89 7%    
  Mar 04, 2025 99   @ Georgia Tech L 75-82 23%    
  Mar 08, 2025 91   North Carolina St. L 71-75 38%    
Projected Record 7 - 24 3 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 0.2 12th
13th 0.3 0.1 0.4 13th
14th 0.3 0.8 0.0 1.1 14th
15th 0.1 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.1 15th
16th 0.2 2.1 3.5 0.3 6.1 16th
17th 2.3 9.2 12.1 2.8 0.1 26.4 17th
18th 10.5 25.2 21.1 6.5 0.3 63.6 18th
Total 10.5 27.5 30.5 20.7 8.3 2.2 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 0.0% 0.0
7-13 0.3% 0.3
6-14 2.2% 2.2
5-15 8.3% 8.3
4-16 20.7% 20.7
3-17 30.5% 30.5
2-18 27.5% 27.5
1-19 10.5% 10.5
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 10.5%