Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#100
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#117
Pace81.8#8
Improvement-6.5#365

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#125
First Shot+0.4#168
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#121
Layup/Dunks+1.5#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#56
Freethrows-1.5#260
Improvement-4.1#365

Defense
Total Defense+3.4#74
First Shot+2.6#92
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#134
Layups/Dunks+2.5#89
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#235
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement-2.4#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 8.1% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.4% 7.8% 1.9%
Average Seed 9.7 9.4 9.8
.500 or above 28.5% 54.6% 26.2%
.500 or above in Conference 15.2% 25.1% 14.4%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 10.4% 17.0%
First Four0.9% 2.1% 0.8%
First Round2.0% 7.0% 1.5%
Second Round0.7% 2.5% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston (Neutral) - 8.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 12
Quad 23 - 55 - 16
Quad 32 - 17 - 18
Quad 47 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 333 Alcorn St. W 108-76 95%     1 - 0 +18.5 +20.8 -4.8
  Fri, Nov 7 268 Alabama St. W 101-64 90%     2 - 0 +28.0 +12.0 +12.1
  Tue, Nov 11 15 @Florida L 76-78 8%     2 - 1 +18.8 +3.8 +15.2
  Tue, Nov 18 239 Tennessee Martin W 87-73 87%     3 - 1 +6.5 +5.6 -0.1
  Fri, Nov 21 226 Georgia Southern W 98-72 87%     4 - 1 +19.0 +6.0 +9.0
  Tue, Nov 25 280 Cal St. Bakersfield W 89-59 91%     5 - 1 +20.5 +0.1 +16.3
  Fri, Nov 28 38 Texas A&M L 59-95 25%     5 - 2 -23.9 -13.5 -7.8
  Tue, Dec 2 19 Georgia L 73-107 24%     5 - 3 -21.5 -2.6 -15.3
  Sat, Dec 6 7 Houston L 64-79 8%    
  Sat, Dec 13 175 Massachusetts W 85-79 73%    
  Tue, Dec 16 67 @Dayton L 74-81 28%    
  Fri, Dec 19 365 Mississippi Valley W 92-62 99.7%   
  Mon, Dec 22 275 Jacksonville W 82-68 91%    
  Tue, Dec 30 21 @North Carolina L 75-88 11%    
  Sat, Jan 3 3 Duke L 71-85 10%    
  Sat, Jan 10 35 North Carolina St. L 83-88 32%    
  Tue, Jan 13 61 @Syracuse L 74-81 26%    
  Sat, Jan 17 53 Wake Forest L 80-82 43%    
  Tue, Jan 20 34 @Miami (FL) L 74-85 16%    
  Sat, Jan 24 40 @SMU L 78-88 18%    
  Wed, Jan 28 69 California L 80-81 50%    
  Sat, Jan 31 84 Stanford W 82-81 54%    
  Sat, Feb 7 56 @Notre Dame L 71-79 25%    
  Tue, Feb 10 26 Virginia L 75-81 28%    
  Sat, Feb 14 70 @Virginia Tech L 78-84 30%    
  Tue, Feb 17 132 Boston College W 77-71 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 33 @Clemson L 71-82 16%    
  Tue, Feb 24 34 Miami (FL) L 77-82 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 134 @Georgia Tech W 78-77 51%    
  Wed, Mar 4 92 @Pittsburgh L 73-76 39%    
  Sat, Mar 7 40 SMU L 81-85 36%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 1.5 0.3 2.6 7th
8th 0.3 2.1 1.0 0.1 3.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 2.6 0.4 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.3 1.3 0.0 5.4 10th
11th 0.2 2.9 3.3 0.3 0.0 6.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.7 4.5 1.3 0.0 7.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 5.0 3.4 0.2 9.6 13th
14th 0.5 3.9 5.5 1.2 0.0 11.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.0 2.4 0.1 11.7 15th
16th 0.2 2.2 5.2 3.8 0.4 11.9 16th
17th 0.2 2.3 4.9 3.5 0.8 0.0 11.6 17th
18th 0.4 2.1 3.2 2.5 0.7 0.1 8.9 18th
Total 0.4 2.2 5.8 9.8 12.7 15.5 15.2 13.0 10.2 7.2 4.3 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 16.7% 0.0    0.0
14-4 30.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 6.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 92.3% 19.2% 73.1% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.5%
13-5 0.4% 74.6% 1.6% 73.0% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 74.2%
12-6 1.0% 53.4% 0.7% 52.7% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 53.1%
11-7 2.1% 27.5% 1.2% 26.3% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6 26.6%
10-8 4.3% 12.2% 0.3% 11.9% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 3.8 12.0%
9-9 7.2% 3.9% 0.4% 3.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 6.9 3.5%
8-10 10.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1 0.3%
7-11 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 13.0
6-12 15.2% 15.2
5-13 15.5% 15.5
4-14 12.7% 12.7
3-15 9.8% 9.8
2-16 5.8% 5.8
1-17 2.2% 2.2
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 2.5% 0.1% 2.4% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.0 97.5 2.4%