SMU
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +13.5 39
Results Rating +12.5 44
Consistency 0.15 161
Pace 71.8 94
Improvement -2.9 284

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense A 16 A B B C D+
Defense B- 101 B- B- B- B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 181 B+ 66% 33 +3.3 69
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 110 A 47% 16 +4.1 29
Three Pointers 36% 283 A 41% 4 +1.3 138
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 272 A +9.1 3
1st FG Attempt A 1.19 10
Second Chance B+ 37.0% 26 C 1.04 162 B 0.39 46
Opponents' Steals B- 8.5% 93
Other Turnovers B 6.0% 47
Turnovers B 14.5% 51
Freethrows C- 0.30 208 B- 74% 126 C 0.22 181
Total Offense A +10.8 16

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B+ 61% 22 B+ 7.3% 25
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 50 C 5.2% 197
Three Pointers C- 82% 224 B- 0.5% 94
Total B 61% 63 B 4.3% 43


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 340 C+ 56% 121 -4.9 42
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 79 B 34% 46 +0.2 211
Three Pointers 45% 59 C+ 33% 146 +1.7 267
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.9 48 B- -2.1 98
1st FG Attempt B- 0.96 72
Second Chance C+ 29.5% 155 B 0.94 58 B- 0.28 87
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.4% 109
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 120
Turnovers B- 18.1% 96
Freethrows B 0.27 70 C+ 72% 139 B 0.19 66
Total Defense B- +2.7 101

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 54% 296 B- 13.9% 73
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 43% 356 B- 6.7% 73
Three Pointers C- 86% 241 C- 0.8% 185
Total D- 64% 338 C+ 6.3% 127

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.2 22 18.7 345
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 44 0.14 73
Consistency 0.11 69 0.13 212
Improvement +0.9 142 -3.7 330

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status On The Bubble
Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 45 39 31
Results Rating Rank 57 45 37
Conference Record 8 - 10 9 - 9 10 - 8
Conference Finish 10 8 7
NCAA Tourney Seed None 10 8
NCAA Tourney Finish None 1st Round Sweet 16

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 1% 1% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 71% 80% 58%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 70% 79% 57%
Average Seed 9.6 9.4 10.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 83% 100% 59%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four18% 13% 24%
First Round62% 73% 46%
Second Round28% 34% 19%
Sweet Sixteen6% 7% 4%
Elite Eight2% 2% 1%
Final Four0% 1% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Miami (FL) (Home) - 59.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 34 - 8
Quad 25 - 310 - 12
Quad 36 - 015 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 219 Tarleton St. W 96 - 76 96% +7  94% 1 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +16 A F+ A+ D+ -3 B+ B- C+
 Thu, Nov 6 187 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 69 - 58 95% +2  63% 2 - 0 B- +6 D -5 F F A+ A+ +12 A A- D+
 Tue, Nov 11 125 Murray St. W 102 - 91 90% +9  97% 3 - 0 B +11 B+ +9 C+ B+ B+ C +0 D+ D+ B+
 Sat, Nov 15 79 Butler W 87 - 85 80% -0  41% 4 - 0 B- +7 B +7 A+ B F C -0 F B+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 332 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 106 - 60 99% +24  99% 5 - 0 A+ +31 B+ +9 A+ F+ C+ A+ +17 A- A+ B
 Fri, Nov 21 146 Arkansas St. W 100 - 69 92% +15  89% 6 - 0 A+ +29 A- +10 A+ F A A+ +15 A- F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 243 Radford W 89 - 72 96% +11  100% 7 - 0 B +9 C +0 D+ A D- A- +8 A+ D+ F+
 Fri, Nov 28 93 @Mississippi St. W 87 - 81 OT 67% -1  33% 8 - 0 A- +15 B- +5 C- A+ C A +9 A+ A- F
 Wed, Dec 3 17 @Vanderbilt L 69 - 88 24% -9  4% 8 - 1 C+ +2 B- +4 C- A+ C C- -3 D- A F
 Sun, Dec 7 33 Texas A&M W 93 - 80 OT 46% +5  73% 9 - 1 A+ +27 B +7 C A+ A+ A+ +18 A+ B+ A
 Sat, Dec 13 59 LSU L 77 - 89 65% -7  8% 9 - 2 C- -2 A- +11 A B+ C F -14 F F A-
 Sun, Dec 21 171 Central Arkansas W 99 - 82 94% +11  98% 10 - 2 B+ +13 A+ +21 A A+ B D- -8 D- F A
 Sun, Dec 28 203 Cal St. Fullerton W 110 - 63 95% +25  99% 11 - 2 A+ +42 A+ +22 A+ A- A- A+ +16 A+ C A+
 Sat, Jan 3 26 North Carolina W 97 - 83 55% +5  83% 12 - 2 1 - 0 A+ +26 A+ +27 A+ C A C -1 D- A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 40 @Clemson L 70 - 74 39% -7  0% 12 - 3 1 - 1 B+ +12 A- +10 C- A+ D+ B- +2 B+ C- C-
 Sat, Jan 10 1 @Duke L 75 - 82 7% -4  21% 12 - 4 1 - 2 A+ +23 A+ +16 A+ B+ F A- +8 C A+ A-
 Wed, Jan 14 56 Virginia Tech W 77 - 76 73% -0  43% 13 - 4 2 - 2 B- +8 B- +6 B C- B B- +2 B- B C
 Sat, Jan 17 21 Virginia L 68 - 72 46% -1  41% 13 - 5 2 - 3 B +10 B+ +9 B- A+ A C+ +1 A F B+
 Tue, Jan 20 70 @Wake Forest W 91 - 79 57% +8  89% 14 - 5 3 - 3 A+ +24 A +13 A+ B+ C+ A +10 B A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 77 Florida St. W 83 - 80 80% +4  72% 15 - 5 4 - 3 B- +8 A +11 B+ C+ A+ D+ -4 C+ C D
 Sat, Jan 31 14 @Louisville L 74 - 88 22% +1  56% 15 - 6 4 - 4 B- +8 C+ +3 A B- F+ B +5 C A C-
 Tue, Feb 3 34 North Carolina St. L 83 - 84 59% +1  55% 15 - 7 4 - 5 B +10 A- +11 A+ F+ A+ C -0 C+ B+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 95 @Pittsburgh W 86 - 67 68% +7  66% 16 - 7 5 - 5 A+ +28 A+ +20 A+ B- A- A +9 A+ B- B-
 Tue, Feb 10 85 Notre Dame W 89 - 81 82% +5  83% 17 - 7 6 - 5 B+ +12 A+ +15 A+ A+ F D+ -4 F B+ B-
 Sat, Feb 14 76 @Syracuse L 78 - 79 61% +5  92% 17 - 8 6 - 6 B +10 A +13 F A+ A+ C- -3 D+ A+ D-
 Tue, Feb 17 14 Louisville W 95 - 85 42% +2  67% 18 - 8 7 - 6 A+ +26 A+ +18 A+ F A B+ +7 A+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 21 137 Boston College W 94 - 70 91% +8  76% 19 - 8 8 - 6 A +22 A+ +27 A+ C A+ D+ -4 A- D D+
 Wed, Feb 25 73 @California L 69 - 73 60% -3  13% 19 - 9 8 - 7 B- +7 C -0 B- A D- A- +7 A- A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 28 66 @Stanford L 75 - 95 56% -10  1% 19 - 10 8 - 8 D+ -8 A +12 A D+ A F -22 F C F+
 Wed, Mar 4 35 Miami (FL) W 83 - 80 59%
 Sat, Mar 7 77 @Florida St. W 87 - 84 61%
Totals 20 - 11 9 - 9 +13 A +11 D- A D+ B- +3 A B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings A B+ A A A 39% 44% 36% D+ A B+ C B B C- B- C B- C+ B C+ B- 31% 24% 45% B B- C+ B B- B- B C+ B
1.24 66% 47% 41% +9 -1 1.19 37% 1.0 .39 15% .30 74% .22 1.05 56% 34% 33% -2 -1 0.96 30% 0.9 .28 18% .27 72% .21
Nov
3		 Tarleton St. A+ A+ A+ A A+ 30% 33% 37% F A D F F+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ F A+ D- C+ 22% 43% 35% A+ B+ C+ B B- C+ F F F
1.32 79% 53% 41% +15 -2 1.28 29% 0.9 .25 15% .68 79% .53 1.04 80% 15% 38% -3 -4 0.87 30% 0.9 .27 21% .61 83% .50
Nov
6		 TX A&M Corpus Christi D D- F F+ F 40% 30% 30% D- F C+ F F A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A 29% 23% 48% A- A C- A+ A- D+ B- C C+
1.00 53% 29% 29% -7 -1 0.85 31% 0.5 .17 13% .47 82% .38 0.84 47% 8% 32% -12 -1 0.77 31% 0.6 .19 16% .31 67% .21
Nov
11		 Murray St. B+ D B- A+ B 40% 35% 25% F+ C+ A C- B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C B+ F C+ D+ 39% 17% 44% C D+ A F D+ B+ D+ C D+
1.25 50% 43% 47% +3 -2 1.05 43% 1.0 .43 14% .43 83% .36 1.12 52% 78% 33% +4 +1 1.11 24% 1.6 .39 18% .36 75% .27
Nov
15		 Butler B A- A+ C A 63% 15% 22% A+ A+ A+ F+ B F B- B- B C D- A+ F F 35% 17% 48% B+ F F A+ B+ A+ D+ A+ B-
1.17 68% 50% 33% +8 +2 1.22 42% 0.8 .32 21% .26 73% .19 1.14 67% 22% 48% +10 0 1.23 43% 0.8 .32 23% .40 61% .24
Nov
18		 Arkansas Pine Bluff B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 36% 19% 46% D+ A+ D- D- F+ C+ C+ C+ C+ A+ F A+ A+ A 39% 23% 39% D+ A- C A+ A+ B B- A+ A
1.32 76% 45% 44% +15 0 1.32 30% 1.0 .30 15% .38 77% .29 0.75 73% 15% 18% -9 0 0.84 26% 0.2 .04 21% .28 56% .16
Nov
21		 Arkansas St. A- A+ A+ B+ A+ 41% 27% 32% D+ A+ B- F F A F F F A+ D- F A+ A- 31% 20% 49% B+ A- F C+ F A+ C B+ B-
1.25 81% 56% 38% +16 -1 1.33 31% 0.2 .05 10% .22 63% .14 0.86 67% 50% 17% -8 -1 0.86 54% 1.0 .54 40% .33 69% .23
Nov
24		 Radford C C+ F C D+ 37% 16% 47% C- D+ B- A+ A D- A+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 29% 15% 56% C+ A+ A F D+ F+ A F B
1.14 61% 25% 35% 0 0 1.02 35% 1.4 .49 21% .52 78% .40 0.92 41% 22% 24% -15 0 0.71 21% 1.5 .32 14% .27 83% .22
Nov
28		 Mississippi St. B- C- A F C+ 21% 40% 39% F C- B A+ A+ C A F B A B+ C A+ A+ 29% 29% 43% A- A+ A+ F+ A- F D- F F
1.09 54% 48% 25% -2 -4 0.90 31% 1.6 .49 14% .33 65% .22 1.01 56% 39% 26% -6 -2 0.87 20% 1.2 .24 9% .34 76% .26
Dec
3		 Vanderbilt B- A+ D+ F C 33% 41% 25% F C- A+ A A+ C A C- A- C- F F A+ D- 45% 17% 38% D+ D- A+ F+ A F A+ D- A+
1.02 71% 33% 15% -5 -3 0.86 40% 1.2 .48 19% .42 74% .31 1.30 81% 60% 27% +10 +1 1.24 21% 1.3 .29 7% .19 83% .16
Dec
7		 Texas A&M B A- B+ F C+ 34% 31% 34% D C D A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ D C+ A+ A+ 27% 18% 55% A+ A+ D+ A+ B+ A F A+ F
1.10 65% 44% 25% 0 -2 0.98 24% 1.9 .44 13% .38 93% .35 0.94 67% 40% 27% -3 0 0.95 36% 0.7 .24 19% .49 65% .32
Dec
13		 LSU A- B- A A+ A+ 41% 27% 33% C A A+ D B+ C C+ F D+ F C F F F 42% 28% 30% B+ F F F F A- A+ F+ A+
1.20 60% 46% 44% +8 -1 1.16 43% 0.8 .35 16% .31 59% .18 1.38 62% 57% 47% +13 -1 1.26 43% 1.9 .83 19% .23 83% .19
Dec
21		 Central Arkansas A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 36% 12% 53% C+ A A+ A- A+ B F A F D- A- C- F F 31% 27% 42% A D- F D F A D C D+
1.41 86% 71% 32% +12 +1 1.29 55% 1.3 .72 17% .17 80% .14 1.16 50% 36% 50% +7 -1 1.13 34% 1.2 .40 21% .31 71% .22
Dec
28		 Cal St. Fullerton A+ A+ F A+ A+ 31% 26% 43% D- A+ A+ F A- A- C- C+ C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 25% 27% 47% A A+ F A+ C A+ F+ B D
1.44 84% 31% 54% +19 -1 1.38 50% 0.9 .43 14% .29 74% .21 0.83 31% 50% 25% -10 -2 0.78 36% 0.7 .24 25% .38 68% .26
Jan
3		 North Carolina A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 16% 49% A- A+ D+ B+ C A A- D+ B+ C D+ C F F+ 29% 20% 51% B+ D- A- A+ A+ B- B- C B-
1.40 79% 56% 52% +23 0 1.49 22% 1.0 .22 10% .26 69% .18 1.20 67% 40% 46% +12 -1 1.25 28% 0.7 .19 14% .32 68% .22
Jan
7		 Clemson A- D F+ C- C- 34% 27% 39% C- C- A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ B- D A+ A A 38% 2% 60% F+ B+ C- C C- C- F B- D-
1.07 50% 27% 31% -7 -1 0.85 35% 1.3 .44 20% .55 90% .49 1.13 67% 0% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 14% .42 71% .30
Jan
10		 Duke A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 40% 29% F+ A+ A+ C- B+ F C- A+ B- A- C- A+ F C- 32% 14% 55% A C A+ A+ A+ A- F D- F
1.08 60% 58% 50% +15 -3 1.27 35% 0.8 .26 30% .19 89% .16 1.18 64% 17% 46% +9 0 1.20 27% 1.0 .27 19% .48 78% .37
Jan
14		 Virginia Tech B- C+ A+ F B+ 41% 35% 24% D- B C+ D C- B A+ D+ A+ B- D D+ B B- 36% 20% 44% C B- B- B+ B C C+ A+ B+
1.11 60% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 31% 0.9 .29 16% .39 70% .27 1.10 67% 40% 32% +2 0 1.06 31% 1.0 .31 14% .30 61% .19
Jan
17		 Virginia B+ F A A+ B+ 40% 40% 19% D B- A- A+ A+ A C- B C C+ A+ A+ D+ A 29% 22% 49% A+ A D- F F B+ A F B
1.09 38% 48% 40% -2 -2 0.92 33% 1.2 .39 13% .26 79% .20 1.16 46% 30% 36% -4 -1 0.93 44% 1.4 .61 18% .23 83% .20
Jan
20		 Wake Forest A D+ A+ A+ A+ 27% 25% 47% F+ A+ B+ B- B+ C+ C C- C- A B B- C B+ 38% 17% 45% C B A+ C+ A+ C B- B+ B+
1.20 53% 57% 46% +12 -1 1.24 35% 1.1 .39 19% .29 72% .21 1.05 55% 40% 35% -1 0 1.02 22% 1.1 .24 15% .28 72% .20
Jan
24		 Florida St. A B- A+ C+ B+ 34% 17% 49% B- B+ B D+ C+ A+ A+ B- A+ D+ F A+ C C 30% 21% 48% A C+ F A+ C D B+ A- A-
1.22 61% 56% 35% +4 0 1.11 34% 0.8 .29 10% .38 74% .28 1.18 71% 25% 33% +1 -1 1.02 42% 0.9 .37 12% .25 67% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Louisville C+ A+ A C+ A+ 22% 33% 44% D- A C+ B B- F+ F D F B F A+ B C- 35% 11% 54% B C A B+ A C- D- A C-
0.99 75% 44% 33% +5 -3 1.07 26% 1.1 .29 21% .15 67% .10 1.18 90% 33% 32% +9 +1 1.23 26% 0.9 .24 15% .36 70% .25
Feb
3		 North Carolina St. A- C- D+ A+ A+ 48% 16% 36% B A+ B F F+ A+ F F F C A B F C 29% 11% 60% C+ C+ A F+ B+ D C A+ A-
1.18 54% 33% 57% +10 +1 1.24 32% 0.5 .16 14% .20 58% .12 1.20 50% 33% 42% +5 +1 1.13 23% 1.4 .31 10% .32 60% .19
Feb
7		 Pittsburgh A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 38% 27% 35% D A+ B- B- B- A- B C B- A C+ A- A+ A+ 28% 20% 52% A- A+ C- A- B- B- F+ F F
1.30 83% 46% 47% +19 -1 1.38 29% 1.0 .29 14% .30 76% .23 1.01 57% 30% 23% -10 -1 0.80 37% 0.9 .32 18% .35 79% .28
Feb
10		 Notre Dame A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 37% 16% 47% B A+ A+ A A+ F C C C D+ F B F F 37% 17% 46% D F A+ F B+ B- A- A+ A+
1.29 56% 50% 48% +11 0 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 20% .29 75% .22 1.17 74% 33% 46% +13 0 1.29 23% 1.1 .26 17% .25 57% .14
Feb
14		 Syracuse A F C+ F F+ 37% 31% 31% D- F A A+ A+ A+ C B C+ C- A F F D 31% 21% 48% B+ D+ C+ A+ A+ D- B- F D+
1.19 40% 35% 24% -13 -2 0.74 40% 1.7 .68 9% .29 76% .22 1.21 50% 55% 44% +8 -1 1.17 31% 0.5 .17 12% .31 78% .24
Feb
17		 Louisville A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 33% 37% 30% D A+ D- F F A F A+ D- B+ A+ A- C+ A+ 35% 14% 51% A- A+ C- F F A+ B+ D+ B+
1.24 65% 68% 50% +21 -2 1.38 17% 0.4 .07 13% .18 83% .15 1.11 45% 38% 34% -4 +1 0.95 36% 1.6 .56 22% .25 80% .20
Feb
21		 Boston College A+ A+ A- A A+ 42% 18% 40% B A+ A+ F C A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ B+ A+ D+ A- 23% 27% 50% B+ A- F A- D D+ F+ C D-
1.43 90% 44% 40% +18 +1 1.40 41% 0.6 .24 6% .41 72% .29 1.07 50% 14% 35% -8 -2 0.83 43% 0.9 .37 14% .35 65% .23
Feb
25		 California C D F A+ B 30% 26% 43% D- B- B+ A A D- A+ F C A- B F+ B+ B+ 23% 26% 51% B+ A- B+ A+ A+ D- A D+ A
0.99 50% 25% 40% -2 -1 0.96 35% 1.2 .43 20% .47 42% .20 1.05 54% 47% 31% -1 -2 0.96 23% 0.7 .15 11% .24 80% .19
Feb
28		 Stanford A B+ C- A A 46% 23% 31% B- A B+ F D+ A B- D- C F C- A+ F F 38% 11% 51% B- F C C C F+ F F F
1.17 64% 36% 40% +5 0 1.13 33% 0.7 .24 14% .36 70% .25 1.48 59% 20% 57% +16 +1 1.36 35% 1.0 .35 11% .56 91% .51



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 3.4 3.4 6th
7th 17.2 17.2 7th
8th 27.4 16.0 43.5 8th
9th 2.9 16.7 19.5 9th
10th 10.5 2.4 12.9 10th
11th 3.4 3.4 11th
12th 0.2 0.2 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 16.9 46.5 36.6 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 36.6% 85.9% 1.4% 84.5% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 5.5 8.9 10.9 3.4 0.0 5.2 85.7%
9-9 46.5% 68.8% 0.7% 68.1% 9.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.5 6.0 13.7 9.0 0.1 14.5 68.5%
8-10 16.9% 42.9% 0.4% 42.4% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 4.6 0.2 9.7 42.6%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 70.6% 0.9% 69.7% 9.6 29.4 70.4%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 6.2 4.9 16.5 38.8 32.0 5.8 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1% 96.8% 7.6 3.2 12.7 30.0 32.7 13.6 4.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.0% 94.8% 8.4 0.2 3.2 14.4 32.6 29.1 13.4 1.7
Lose Out 5.6% 26.3% 10.9 0.2 3.4 21.4 1.3