Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#78
Expected Predictive Rating+9.1#58
Pace67.5#204
Improvement+1.0#142

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#61
First Shot+3.3#87
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#94
Layup/Dunks-0.7#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#60
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#156
Freethrows+1.2#100
Improvement-0.5#209

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#102
First Shot+2.3#106
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks+1.5#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#33
Freethrows-2.1#320
Improvement+1.5#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.7% 6.4% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.1% 5.6% 2.4%
Average Seed 10.7 10.7 10.8
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.8%
.500 or above in Conference 90.5% 97.4% 82.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.0% 4.0% 1.9%
First Round2.8% 4.0% 1.6%
Second Round0.8% 1.3% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Home) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 22 - 7
Quad 23 - 45 - 10
Quad 37 - 112 - 12
Quad 48 - 120 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 331   Denver W 85-62 96%     1 - 0 +9.9 +6.1 +4.0
  Nov 08, 2024 317   Cal St. Fullerton W 80-53 95%     2 - 0 +15.3 +10.9 +7.2
  Nov 12, 2024 250   Northern Arizona W 90-64 91%     3 - 0 +18.3 +26.0 -4.0
  Nov 17, 2024 216   UC Davis W 79-65 88%     4 - 0 +8.4 +5.1 +2.8
  Nov 20, 2024 185   Norfolk St. W 70-63 85%     5 - 0 +3.2 +1.6 +2.4
  Nov 23, 2024 64   @ Santa Clara W 71-69 36%     6 - 0 +13.0 +2.2 +10.8
  Nov 26, 2024 74   Grand Canyon L 71-78 49%     6 - 1 +0.5 -0.8 +1.8
  Nov 30, 2024 276   Cal Poly L 90-97 93%     6 - 2 -15.9 +3.4 -18.7
  Dec 03, 2024 132   Utah Valley W 77-63 78%     7 - 2 +13.1 +2.5 +9.9
  Dec 07, 2024 116   @ California W 89-81 58%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +13.3 +22.2 -8.3
  Dec 17, 2024 198   Merrimack W 74-68 86%     9 - 2 +1.8 +5.8 -3.8
  Dec 21, 2024 45   Oregon L 61-76 34%     9 - 3 -3.4 -4.7 +0.8
  Jan 01, 2025 32   @ Clemson L 71-85 20%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +2.4 +6.7 -4.5
  Jan 04, 2025 47   @ Pittsburgh L 68-83 28%     9 - 5 1 - 2 -1.7 +3.4 -5.9
  Jan 08, 2025 118   Virginia Tech W 70-59 76%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +11.1 +2.3 +9.8
  Jan 11, 2025 97   Virginia W 88-65 69%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +25.4 +31.9 -2.6
  Jan 15, 2025 58   @ Wake Forest L 67-80 32%     11 - 6 3 - 3 -0.8 +6.1 -7.5
  Jan 18, 2025 36   @ North Carolina W 72-71 23%     12 - 6 4 - 3 +16.2 +10.0 +6.2
  Jan 22, 2025 169   Miami (FL) W 88-51 83%     13 - 6 5 - 3 +34.4 +7.9 +26.1
  Jan 25, 2025 82   Florida St. W 78-71 60%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +11.8 +9.8 +2.1
  Jan 29, 2025 104   Syracuse W 70-61 70%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +10.9 +3.7 +7.9
  Feb 01, 2025 42   @ SMU L 61-85 26%     15 - 7 7 - 4 -9.9 -5.0 -5.2
  Feb 05, 2025 58   Wake Forest W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 08, 2025 91   North Carolina St. W 71-67 66%    
  Feb 12, 2025 99   @ Georgia Tech W 75-74 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 2   @ Duke L 62-80 4%    
  Feb 22, 2025 116   California W 79-72 76%    
  Feb 26, 2025 176   Boston College W 79-68 86%    
  Mar 01, 2025 42   SMU L 75-77 46%    
  Mar 05, 2025 83   @ Notre Dame L 71-73 40%    
  Mar 08, 2025 27   @ Louisville L 70-80 17%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.6 3.2 0.5 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 8.0 7.6 1.1 0.0 18.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 8.7 10.7 2.5 0.1 22.8 6th
7th 0.5 6.5 13.0 4.4 0.2 24.6 7th
8th 0.0 2.2 8.6 3.5 0.2 14.4 8th
9th 0.2 3.1 2.1 0.1 5.6 9th
10th 0.5 1.4 0.2 2.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.1 1.7 7.7 18.3 26.6 24.3 15.0 5.3 1.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 25.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 1.1% 48.2% 3.6% 44.6% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 46.3%
14-6 5.3% 24.6% 2.5% 22.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.1 4.0 22.7%
13-7 15.0% 9.0% 0.9% 8.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.1 13.6 8.2%
12-8 24.3% 3.7% 0.5% 3.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 23.4 3.1%
11-9 26.6% 1.6% 0.5% 1.2% 11.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 26.2 1.2%
10-10 18.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 11.1 0.1 0.0 18.2 0.3%
9-11 7.7% 7.7
8-12 1.7% 1.7
7-13 0.1% 0.1
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.7% 0.6% 4.0% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.0 0.4 95.4 4.1%