Portland St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +0.3 154
Results Rating +1.1 143
Consistency 0.12 44
Pace 68.9 170
Improvement +0.6 166

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 283 C- C- D C- B-
Defense B 56 B C+ B- D- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 62 D+ 54% 273 +1.0 139
2 Pt. Jumpers 39% 163 C- 36% 240 -1.1 245
Three Pointers 38% 235 C 34% 160 -1.1 225
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 103 C- -1.7 241
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 212
Second Chance C 30.5% 179 D+ 0.97 276 C- 0.30 213
Opponents' Steals D 10.7% 301
Other Turnovers D 8.3% 311
Turnovers D 19.1% 320
Freethrows C- 0.30 210 D 69% 289 C- 0.20 237
Total Offense D+ -4.2 283

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 55% 83 C 11.3% 198
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 157 C 5.2% 201
Three Pointers B- 88% 88 C+ 0.7% 124
Total B- 60% 80 C- 6.1% 240


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 132 C+ 56% 109 +0.1 180
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 144 B- 35% 75 -0.4 160
Three Pointers 38% 262 B+ 31% 44 -3.3 44
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 169 B -3.5 46
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 60
Second Chance C+ 28.8% 118 C 1.03 179 C+ 0.30 139
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.2% 122
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 74
Turnovers B- 18.4% 82
Freethrows D 0.35 317 D+ 74% 288 D- 0.26 325
Total Defense B +4.6 56

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 217 C+ 12.4% 115
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 304 C 5.3% 132
Three Pointers C- 86% 238 A 2.3% 16
Total C- 57% 213 B- 7.0% 72

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 260 16.6 56
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 214 0.19 255
Consistency 0.12 186 0.09 10
Improvement -1.2 252 +1.7 93

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 167 156 138
Results Rating Rank 157 147 120
Conference Record 13 - 5 13 - 5 13 - 5
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24% 32% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round24% 32% 0%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 38 - 48 - 8
Quad 410 - 317 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 66 @Stanford L 79 - 89 14% -6  7% 0 - 1 C+ +2 C- -1 A+ F F B +4 B- C- A+
 Wed, Nov 12 122 @San Francisco L 70 - 80 30% -12  0% 0 - 2 C- -4 C- -2 D- B+ F C- -2 D+ C C
 Mon, Nov 17 329 Cal St. Bakersfield W 93 - 80 91% +7  99% 1 - 2 C -1 B- +5 A+ A D- D- -7 C F A-
 Tue, Nov 25 198 @Utah Tech W 68 - 63 48% +1  48% 2 - 2 B- +6 F+ -9 D- D F A+ +15 B A+ B
 Wed, Dec 3 284 @South Dakota W 77 - 71 66% +5  80% 3 - 2 C+ +2 D- -7 D+ F C- A +9 A+ F A
 Sat, Dec 6 253 Nebraska Omaha L 55 - 60 79% -2  17% 3 - 3 D- -13 F -14 F C- D- C -0 A F B
 Wed, Dec 17 67 @Colorado L 73 - 84 14% -1  30% 3 - 4 C +1 C +0 D+ A+ D- C+ +1 B C+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 184 @Tulane L 61 - 63 46% -3  13% 3 - 5 C -1 F+ -9 F C+ D A- +8 A+ B- A+
 Thu, Jan 1 211 @Weber St. W 95 - 90 OT 51% +0  46% 4 - 5 1 - 0 B- +5 C +1 D+ C+ B- B- +3 B+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 266 @Idaho St. W 93 - 87 OT 62% -5  22% 5 - 5 2 - 0 C+ +3 B+ +9 A F A- D -6 F B+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 273 Sacramento St. W 96 - 69 82% +14  82% 6 - 5 3 - 0 A- +18 A- +11 A+ F B- B+ +6 A- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 149 Northern Colorado W 76 - 73 61% -1  35% 7 - 5 4 - 0 C +1 D+ -4 B- A F B +4 D- A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 316 Northern Arizona W 63 - 52 88% +5  70% 8 - 5 5 - 0 C -2 F -13 F D+ F+ A+ +13 C+ A+ A
 Thu, Jan 22 174 @Eastern Washington W 65 - 61 43% +5  95% 9 - 5 6 - 0 B- +6 F+ -10 F B+ D- A+ +16 A+ B C+
 Sat, Jan 24 181 @Idaho W 69 - 66 45% +5  84% 10 - 5 7 - 0 C+ +5 D+ -3 A- F C A- +8 C+ A B+
 Thu, Jan 29 205 Montana L 60 - 64 71% -5  9% 10 - 6 7 - 1 D -9 F -15 F B- F B+ +6 C A+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 147 Montana St. W 63 - 54 59% +3  65% 11 - 6 8 - 1 B- +7 D -5 A+ F F A+ +13 A+ D+ A
 Mon, Feb 2 266 Idaho St. W 88 - 65 81% +13  95% 12 - 6 9 - 1 B+ +14 A+ +17 B+ B+ A+ C -0 B+ F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 273 @Sacramento St. W 74 - 73 63% -1  35% 13 - 6 10 - 1 C- -2 D+ -3 F A B C+ +1 B- A- D-
 Thu, Feb 12 316 @Northern Arizona W 77 - 68 75% +1  57% 14 - 6 11 - 1 C+ +2 B- +4 B C+ F C -0 B- D- F
 Sat, Feb 14 149 @Northern Colorado L 65 - 77 38% 14 - 7 11 - 2 D -8
 Thu, Feb 19 181 Idaho W 77 - 67 68% +9  89% 15 - 7 12 - 2 B- +6 C +1 C- A C B +5 B B- B+
 Sat, Feb 21 174 Eastern Washington L 55 - 67 66% -2  21% 15 - 8 12 - 3 F+ -16 F -22 F F A B+ +5 A+ D- C-
 Thu, Feb 26 147 @Montana St. L 69 - 84 36% -11  0% 15 - 9 12 - 4 D -11 D -5 D+ A+ F D -6 F F C
 Sat, Feb 28 205 @Montana L 68 - 74 49% -7  10% 15 - 10 12 - 5 D+ -5 D- -7 F+ C+ F C+ +2 C- F C-
 Mon, Mar 2 211 Weber St. W 84 - 60 72% +14  94% 16 - 10 13 - 5 A +18 B- +5 A+ F A+ A+ +14 A B+ A-
Totals 16 - 10 13 - 5 +0 D+ -4 D C- B- B +5 C D C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D+ C- C C- 43% 39% 38% B- C- C D+ C- D C- D C- B C+ B- B+ B 40% 21% 38% C B C+ C C+ B- D D+ D-
1.03 54% 36% 34% -2 +1 1.00 31% 1.0 .30 19% .30 69% .20 1.02 56% 35% 31% -4 0 0.95 29% 1.0 .30 18% .35 74% .22
Nov
4		 Stanford C- B- F+ A+ A+ 33% 19% 48% C+ A+ D+ F F F F+ C D- B C+ A C B 58% 8% 34% F+ B- B F C- A+ F F+ F
0.98 61% 30% 50% +11 0 1.24 24% 0.0 .00 26% .27 75% .20 1.11 55% 25% 35% -2 +3 1.04 31% 1.2 .38 21% .57 81% .46
Nov
12		 San Francisco C- F F C- F+ 44% 15% 41% B+ D- A- C B+ F D D D C- C+ A+ F C- 40% 9% 51% F+ D+ F A+ C C F C- F
1.02 46% 25% 32% -9 +1 0.87 35% 1.1 .37 19% .23 69% .16 1.17 58% 0% 42% +3 +2 1.11 41% 0.9 .35 16% .43 72% .31
Nov
17		 Cal St. Bakersfield B- B+ F A+ A+ 55% 11% 34% A A+ C A+ A D- A- F B- D- A+ D+ F+ C 34% 32% 34% C- C C F F A- F D- F
1.26 65% 20% 56% +13 +2 1.34 37% 1.4 .52 20% .44 65% .29 1.08 38% 40% 38% -5 -2 0.89 30% 1.9 .58 23% .51 79% .40
Nov
25		 Utah Tech F+ C- F F+ D- 43% 19% 38% C D- A F D F A+ C- A+ A+ D- B A+ B 43% 21% 36% C B A+ A+ A+ B B+ F B
0.96 60% 22% 28% -6 0 0.91 41% 0.6 .26 24% .44 71% .31 0.89 67% 33% 25% -2 0 0.98 10% 0.7 .06 18% .17 80% .14
Dec
3		 South Dakota D- C- F B D- 75% 9% 15% A+ D+ F+ F F C- A+ D- A A A+ B- A+ A+ 62% 12% 26% F A+ F+ F F A F A F
1.00 58% 0% 38% -3 +4 1.04 25% 0.8 .19 17% .41 69% .28 0.93 39% 33% 23% -17 +3 0.74 33% 1.3 .43 22% .57 68% .38
Dec
6		 Nebraska Omaha F A- A+ F F 33% 7% 60% B F C C- C- D- A- F D+ C B+ A+ B A+ 45% 15% 40% F+ A F F F B D- F F
0.95 71% 67% 15% -11 +1 0.84 29% 1.0 .29 17% .36 53% .19 1.04 50% 0% 31% -11 +1 0.83 37% 1.4 .50 19% .34 88% .30
Dec
17		 Colorado C C- D+ F+ D 44% 28% 28% C D+ C A+ A+ D- B D+ B- C+ C F A B 44% 21% 35% C B D+ B+ C+ B+ F F F
1.02 55% 36% 29% -5 -1 0.92 27% 1.8 .48 20% .35 70% .24 1.18 61% 55% 28% +1 0 1.06 34% 0.8 .28 17% .44 85% .37
Dec
20		 Tulane F+ F A+ F F 40% 21% 38% C F C- B C+ D C- F D A- A F A+ A+ 50% 18% 32% D A+ F A+ B- A+ F F F
0.93 42% 60% 22% -9 0 0.85 32% 1.1 .35 20% .31 63% .19 0.96 45% 50% 14% -14 +1 0.77 36% 0.6 .22 23% .59 83% .50
Jan
1		 Weber St. C F+ F A+ D 45% 16% 39% C+ D+ B- D+ C+ B- A F B- B- C- A A B+ 42% 14% 44% C B+ B+ C+ B F F B- F
1.13 52% 10% 44% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.0 .33 14% .40 66% .26 1.07 58% 25% 28% -6 +1 0.93 27% 0.9 .25 12% .56 69% .39
Jan
3		 Idaho St. B+ A+ A+ C+ A 45% 17% 38% B- A F+ F F A- A- A A+ D D+ C- F F 35% 10% 56% D+ F C- A+ B+ F+ F A F
1.26 75% 67% 35% +13 +1 1.30 22% 0.5 .11 11% .40 85% .33 1.18 61% 40% 41% +7 +1 1.19 33% 0.7 .24 14% .47 67% .31
Jan
10		 Sacramento St. A- A A+ A+ A+ 50% 9% 41% B A+ A- F F B- C A B B+ C D+ A+ A- 29% 38% 33% A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F F+ C- F
1.33 70% 60% 45% +15 +2 1.37 42% 0.5 .23 15% .33 80% .26 0.95 56% 38% 17% -9 -3 0.78 17% 0.6 .10 7% .42 79% .33
Jan
15		 Northern Colorado D+ C+ A F+ B 43% 26% 32% D B- A B- A F A+ D- A+ B F A+ F F+ 26% 16% 58% B D- A+ A+ A+ B F A- D-
1.05 60% 50% 27% 0 0 1.02 37% 1.2 .43 24% .51 71% .36 1.01 77% 25% 41% +9 0 1.20 13% 0.0 .00 19% .33 68% .22
Jan
17		 Northern Arizona F F+ F D+ F 47% 9% 45% B F B- F D+ F+ A F B- A+ A- C+ F+ B- 40% 26% 35% C C+ A+ A+ A+ A D C D
1.02 50% 25% 33% -5 +2 0.96 37% 0.9 .34 19% .38 63% .24 0.84 47% 36% 40% -2 -1 0.98 14% 0.0 .00 21% .31 67% .21
Jan
22		 Eastern Washington F+ C F F F 56% 19% 25% B- F D A+ B+ D- F A+ D- A+ A A B+ A+ 42% 29% 29% B A+ A D- B C+ F C F
0.96 59% 22% 17% -9 +2 0.88 29% 1.6 .46 19% .24 85% .20 0.90 47% 31% 31% -8 -1 0.84 24% 1.3 .30 19% .42 74% .31
Jan
24		 Idaho D+ D A A+ B- 66% 12% 22% A+ A- F F F C F+ F+ F A- C- A+ B B 47% 11% 42% F+ C+ B A+ A B+ F B F
1.03 52% 50% 55% +4 +3 1.16 13% 0.0 .00 15% .28 69% .19 0.98 57% 20% 32% -4 +2 0.98 26% 0.7 .17 19% .46 68% .31
Jan
29		 Montana F F+ C F F 40% 20% 40% C+ F C+ B B- F A+ C A+ B+ F D+ A+ C 44% 29% 27% B+ C C+ A+ A+ A F D F
0.88 50% 38% 19% -13 0 0.78 30% 1.1 .33 25% .58 70% .41 0.93 78% 42% 18% +3 -1 1.07 20% 0.4 .08 25% .48 80% .39
Jan
31		 Montana St. D B+ A A+ A+ 44% 23% 33% C- A+ B+ F F F C- F D A+ A D- A+ A+ 24% 37% 39% A+ A+ F A- D+ A C- F D-
1.03 63% 50% 43% +9 0 1.21 37% 0.5 .17 23% .25 67% .17 0.88 45% 47% 17% -10 -3 0.76 36% 0.9 .33 21% .27 85% .23
Feb
2		 Idaho St. A+ D- A+ A+ B+ 54% 20% 26% B- B+ C+ A+ B+ A+ C C+ C+ C C- A+ B A 51% 14% 35% D- B+ F D F A+ F C F
1.42 52% 60% 54% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.3 .41 6% .33 79% .26 1.05 58% 0% 31% -7 +2 0.92 47% 1.1 .50 24% .58 74% .43
Feb
7		 Sacramento St. D+ F D F F 47% 16% 37% C F A C+ A B A+ B+ A+ C+ A+ A+ F B- 33% 26% 41% C+ B- B+ B+ A- D- F F+ F
1.08 42% 38% 21% -15 +1 0.75 44% 1.2 .51 15% .45 77% .34 1.07 40% 17% 42% -6 -1 0.87 21% 1.0 .21 12% .50 83% .41
Feb
12		 Northern Arizona B- A- A D+ B 61% 16% 24% B+ B F A+ C+ F A+ A A+ C C F A+ B 32% 16% 52% D+ B- C F D- F D+ F F+
1.22 70% 50% 33% +9 +2 1.24 20% 2.0 .40 21% .54 81% .44 1.08 56% 75% 23% -3 0 0.96 24% 1.4 .32 11% .28 81% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Northern Colorado
Feb
19		 Idaho C D- D A+ C 28% 34% 38% F+ C- B- A+ A C C F D+ B B- A+ D B 37% 22% 41% B- B C+ B B- B+ B+ D- B-
1.12 50% 35% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 1.5 .43 15% .36 67% .24 0.98 53% 18% 38% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.9 .26 19% .23 77% .18
Feb
21		 Eastern Washington F F F F F 51% 18% 31% C+ F F F F A F+ A+ D+ B+ B+ C A+ A+ 38% 32% 30% A- A+ B F D- C- F D F
0.83 38% 11% 25% -19 +1 0.67 23% 0.8 .19 12% .26 87% .22 1.01 50% 40% 21% -8 -1 0.83 27% 1.6 .42 18% .41 77% .31
Feb
26		 Montana St. D F F A+ D 50% 15% 35% B D+ C+ A+ A+ F C- F F+ D D+ B- F F 31% 16% 53% D- F A+ F F C C C C
0.98 29% 29% 53% -6 +2 0.94 32% 1.7 .55 21% .25 57% .14 1.19 60% 38% 50% +13 0 1.29 14% 3.3 .45 16% .25 73% .19
Feb
28		 Montana D- F+ A+ F F+ 22% 18% 60% D+ F+ B- C C+ F D+ F D- C+ C C- F+ C- 36% 21% 43% B- C- B- F F C- F+ A+ C
0.95 50% 60% 24% -7 -1 0.87 33% 1.0 .33 20% .26 60% .16 1.03 59% 40% 40% +4 0 1.11 19% 1.8 .35 20% .36 62% .23
Mar
2		 Weber St. B- A+ A+ C A+ 36% 27% 38% F+ A+ D F F A+ F F F A+ D+ A A+ A 36% 29% 36% A+ A B A- B+ A- A+ A A+
1.22 90% 53% 33% +15 -1 1.30 24% 0.4 .10 10% .23 64% .15 0.87 60% 25% 25% -8 -1 0.84 28% 0.8 .23 20% .20 64% .13



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 24.3% 24.3% 14.0 0.2 5.0 14.7 4.4 0.1 75.7
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 24.3% 24.3% 0.0% 14.0 75.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 24.3% 100.0% 14.0 0.8 20.5 60.4 18.0 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 23.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 29.5%
Lose Out 23.1%