Portland St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#202
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#195
Pace70.4#116
Improvement+3.0#65

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#295
First Shot-5.9#329
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#101
Layup/Dunks+2.3#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#270
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#310
Freethrows-2.3#312
Improvement-3.7#331

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#104
First Shot+2.4#95
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#211
Layups/Dunks+0.2#163
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#209
Freethrows+0.5#150
Improvement+6.7#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 53 - 8
Quad 413 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 120   @ Washington St. L 92-100 23%     0 - 1 -2.7 +7.8 -9.4
  Nov 12, 2024 312   @ San Diego W 85-76 65%     1 - 1 +2.7 -6.5 +7.5
  Nov 22, 2024 144   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-91 28%     1 - 2 -13.3 +2.9 -16.1
  Nov 23, 2024 132   St. Thomas L 65-91 34%     1 - 3 -24.2 -11.4 -12.4
  Nov 24, 2024 128   Wofford W 79-74 34%     2 - 3 +7.0 +7.2 +0.0
  Nov 30, 2024 290   Utah Tech W 71-68 77%     3 - 3 -7.2 -5.1 -2.0
  Dec 04, 2024 147   @ Seattle L 74-91 28%     3 - 4 -13.4 +8.4 -22.4
  Dec 07, 2024 302   Denver L 67-68 79%     3 - 5 -11.9 -1.4 -10.6
  Dec 18, 2024 292   @ Pacific W 81-75 59%     4 - 5 +1.2 +1.2 -0.3
  Dec 21, 2024 245   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 59-58 48%     5 - 5 -0.8 -15.6 +14.9
  Jan 04, 2025 336   @ Sacramento St. L 53-56 73%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -11.8 -14.0 +1.7
  Jan 09, 2025 295   Eastern Washington W 64-59 78%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -5.4 -15.1 +9.6
  Jan 11, 2025 261   Idaho W 75-63 72%     7 - 6 2 - 1 +3.7 -0.5 +5.0
  Jan 16, 2025 130   @ Northern Colorado L 69-72 25%     7 - 7 2 - 2 +1.6 -1.1 +2.6
  Jan 18, 2025 246   @ Northern Arizona W 80-69 48%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +9.2 +10.6 -0.7
  Jan 23, 2025 284   Weber St. W 74-56 76%     9 - 7 4 - 2 +8.1 +2.2 +7.3
  Jan 25, 2025 214   Idaho St. W 76-59 63%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +11.3 +1.1 +10.5
  Jan 30, 2025 172   @ Montana L 78-92 33%     10 - 8 5 - 3 -11.9 +8.7 -21.5
  Feb 01, 2025 175   @ Montana St. L 73-74 34%     10 - 9 5 - 4 +0.9 +5.1 -4.3
  Feb 06, 2025 261   @ Idaho W 76-69 52%     11 - 9 6 - 4 +4.2 -3.9 +7.9
  Feb 08, 2025 295   @ Eastern Washington L 67-72 60%     11 - 10 6 - 5 -9.9 -4.9 -5.3
  Feb 13, 2025 246   Northern Arizona W 58-46 68%     12 - 10 7 - 5 +4.7 -10.5 +16.9
  Feb 15, 2025 130   Northern Colorado W 82-71 44%     13 - 10 8 - 5 +10.1 +1.9 +7.6
  Feb 20, 2025 214   @ Idaho St. L 74-82 42%     13 - 11 8 - 6 -8.2 -0.3 -7.8
  Feb 22, 2025 284   @ Weber St. L 58-60 58%     13 - 12 8 - 7 -6.4 -11.6 +5.0
  Feb 27, 2025 175   Montana St. W 69-52 55%     14 - 12 9 - 7 +13.4 +8.3 +8.5
  Mar 01, 2025 172   Montana W 79-76 OT 54%     15 - 12 10 - 7 -0.4 -5.2 +4.5
  Mar 03, 2025 336   Sacramento St. W 59-56 86%     16 - 12 11 - 7 -11.3 -16.9 +5.7
  Mar 10, 2025 261   Idaho L 70-80 62%     16 - 13 -15.6 -12.0 -3.2
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%