Portland St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#156
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#124
Pace73.6#86
Improvement+0.0#188

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#231
First Shot+0.7#159
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#334
Layup/Dunks+0.9#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#65
Freethrows-0.8#226
Improvement-1.9#324

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#99
First Shot+3.9#62
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#286
Layups/Dunks+0.2#170
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#103
Freethrows-0.6#227
Improvement+1.9#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.6% 18.1% 11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.2
.500 or above 72.8% 77.7% 55.4%
.500 or above in Conference 75.9% 78.1% 68.1%
Conference Champion 22.6% 24.6% 15.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 3.3% 7.0%
First Four0.5% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round16.4% 17.9% 10.9%
Second Round1.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska Omaha (Home) - 78.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 35 - 55 - 9
Quad 411 - 316 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 84 @Stanford L 79-89 18%     0 - 1 -0.4 +1.0 -0.1
  Wed, Nov 12 99 @San Francisco L 70-80 22%     0 - 2 -2.0 +2.5 -4.8
  Mon, Nov 17 280 Cal St. Bakersfield W 93-80 82%     1 - 2 +3.5 +11.2 -8.4
  Tue, Nov 25 254 @Utah Tech W 68-63 59%     2 - 2 +2.7 -6.0 +8.7
  Wed, Dec 3 276 @South Dakota W 77-71 62%     3 - 2 +2.8 -5.2 +7.4
  Sat, Dec 6 252 Nebraska Omaha W 80-72 78%    
  Wed, Dec 17 64 @Colorado L 70-82 14%    
  Sat, Dec 20 172 @Tulane L 74-76 43%    
  Thu, Jan 1 192 @Weber St. L 75-76 47%    
  Sat, Jan 3 167 @Idaho St. L 67-69 42%    
  Sat, Jan 10 274 Sacramento St. W 81-72 80%    
  Thu, Jan 15 151 Northern Colorado W 75-72 60%    
  Sat, Jan 17 263 Northern Arizona W 77-68 78%    
  Thu, Jan 22 251 @Eastern Washington W 78-76 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 187 @Idaho L 72-73 46%    
  Thu, Jan 29 197 Montana W 80-75 69%    
  Sat, Jan 31 152 Montana St. W 72-69 60%    
  Mon, Feb 2 167 Idaho St. W 70-66 63%    
  Sat, Feb 7 274 @Sacramento St. W 78-75 61%    
  Thu, Feb 12 263 @Northern Arizona W 74-71 59%    
  Sat, Feb 14 151 @Northern Colorado L 72-75 40%    
  Thu, Feb 19 187 Idaho W 75-70 67%    
  Sat, Feb 21 251 Eastern Washington W 81-73 76%    
  Thu, Feb 26 152 @Montana St. L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 197 @Montana L 77-78 48%    
  Mon, Mar 2 192 Weber St. W 78-73 67%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.1 5.9 4.8 2.7 1.1 0.3 22.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.9 4.7 1.6 0.5 0.0 16.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.2 5.9 3.4 0.8 0.1 13.7 3rd
4th 0.2 2.5 5.7 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.3 2.8 0.3 10.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.8 2.9 0.3 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.6 0.4 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 4.1 6.4 8.7 11.5 12.5 12.5 11.9 10.7 7.6 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.3 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.1    1.1
16-2 99.3% 2.7    2.5 0.1
15-3 91.1% 4.8    4.2 0.6 0.0
14-4 78.2% 5.9    4.0 1.8 0.2
13-5 48.2% 5.1    2.4 2.2 0.5 0.1
12-6 19.9% 2.4    0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2
11-7 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 22.6% 22.6 15.0 5.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 72.9% 70.6% 2.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 8.0%
17-1 1.1% 49.7% 49.7% 12.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.7% 47.3% 47.3% 12.6 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.4
15-3 5.3% 38.6% 38.6% 13.0 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 3.2
14-4 7.6% 32.1% 32.1% 13.3 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.1 5.2
13-5 10.7% 25.2% 25.2% 13.7 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.4 8.0
12-6 11.9% 20.1% 20.1% 14.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.5 0.0 9.5
11-7 12.5% 14.0% 14.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.0 10.7
10-8 12.5% 11.4% 11.4% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 0.1 11.1
9-9 11.5% 8.8% 8.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 10.4
8-10 8.7% 3.9% 3.9% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 8.3
7-11 6.4% 4.2% 4.2% 15.8 0.1 0.2 6.2
6-12 4.1% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.0
5-13 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.1 2.5
4-14 1.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.6% 16.6% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.6 5.3 3.5 0.9 83.4 0.0%