Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.8 211
Results Rating -2.8 212
Consistency 0.15 162
Pace 70.6 119
Improvement -1.6 245

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 139 C C C+ C+ B
Defense D+ 288 D+ C D+ C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 14 C- 56% 225 +3.6 57
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 195 D 33% 331 -2.5 299
Three Pointers 37% 264 B- 36% 105 -1.0 220
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.0 51 C- -0.8 205
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 161
Second Chance C+ 31.5% 146 D+ 0.97 273 C 0.31 187
Opponents' Steals C 9.7% 212
Other Turnovers B- 6.6% 94
Turnovers C+ 16.3% 149
Freethrows B- 0.33 100 C- 72% 214 C+ 0.24 123
Total Offense C +1.0 139

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 44% 259 D 13.4% 321
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 12% 344 D- 8.3% 337
Three Pointers C 84% 182 B 0.4% 67
Total D+ 52% 258 F+ 7.8% 344


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 82 F+ 66% 349 +5.6 346
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 259 C 39% 198 -1.0 111
Three Pointers 39% 223 B- 33% 108 -1.6 119
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 279 D+ +2.4 279
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 283
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 125 D+ 1.08 264 C 0.31 194
Turnovers from Steals C- 9.0% 205
Other Turnovers D+ 6.5% 281
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 249
Freethrows C- 0.32 244 C- 73% 254 C- 0.24 252
Total Defense D+ -3.8 288

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 47% 155 F 3.3% 365
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 212 D 2.7% 306
Three Pointers C+ 82% 144 D+ 0.6% 241
Total C+ 54% 146 F 2.1% 363

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 185 16.8 83
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 113 0.18 220
Consistency 0.12 147 0.11 91
Improvement +0.6 153 -2.1 289

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 224 214 191
Results Rating Rank 232 224 152
Conference Record 10 - 8 10 - 8 10 - 8
Conference Finish 4 4 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9% 18% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 n/a
.500 or above 22% 45% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round9% 17% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 34 - 74 - 13
Quad 411 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 104 @Utah L 89 - 92 OT 17% +3  66% 0 - 1 C+ +4 C- -0 D- A D- B+ +5 A+ F C-
 Wed, Nov 12 41 @Utah St. L 73 - 83 5% -4  27% 0 - 2 B- +6 C+ +2 F A+ B+ B +4 A+ D F
 Sat, Nov 15 124 @UC Irvine L 70 - 79 21% -8  5% 0 - 3 C- -3 D+ -4 D- D B- C+ +1 C- B- C-
 Wed, Nov 19 183 Campbell W 91 - 85 57% +5  60% 1 - 3 C +1 B +7 A- C+ C+ D -6 B+ F C
 Sat, Nov 22 180 Texas Arlington L 73 - 74 56% -0  43% 1 - 4 D+ -5 C+ +3 C+ B+ C F+ -9 F+ B- D
 Sat, Nov 29 360 UMKC W 82 - 61 94% +10  93% 2 - 4 C +0 C +1 A+ F F C -1 D- A- C
 Wed, Dec 3 318 Oral Roberts W 92 - 66 82% +17  94% 3 - 4 B+ +13 B +6 A D B+ B+ +6 C- A+ B
 Sun, Dec 7 112 @St. Thomas L 65 - 88 19% -18  0% 3 - 5 F+ -17 F+ -9 D- C- F D- -8 D F C-
 Wed, Dec 10 360 @UMKC W 64 - 60 87% +3  83% 4 - 5 D -11 F -19 F D+ F A- +8 A D+ B+
 Wed, Dec 17 96 @Utah Valley L 74 - 90 14% -9  1% 4 - 6 D+ -7 B+ +9 D+ A- A+ F -18 F F C
 Sat, Dec 20 198 Utah Tech L 80 - 82 59% -1  27% 4 - 7 D+ -7 B- +5 A+ F D+ F -12 F A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 1 154 Portland St. L 90 - 95 OT 49% -0  45% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -8 C+ +2 C- D+ A+ F+ -9 C- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 273 Sacramento St. W 95 - 82 73% +10  97% 5 - 8 1 - 1 C+ +4 B- +5 C+ C+ C+ C- -2 F+ B- A-
 Thu, Jan 8 316 @Northern Arizona W 78 - 65 64% +5  81% 6 - 8 2 - 1 B- +6 B +6 D+ B- A+ B- +2 B+ D- F+
 Sat, Jan 10 149 @Northern Colorado W 76 - 71 27% +1  51% 7 - 8 3 - 1 B +9 B +6 B- D+ D+ B- +3 A F C-
 Thu, Jan 15 174 Eastern Washington W 91 - 80 54% +1  42% 8 - 8 4 - 1 B- +7 B- +5 B- B- C- C+ +1 B F B-
 Sat, Jan 17 181 Idaho L 67 - 75 56% -9  0% 8 - 9 4 - 2 D- -12 F -17 F B+ F B +5 B D- A
 Thu, Jan 22 205 @Montana L 65 - 81 37% -2  46% 8 - 10 4 - 3 F+ -15 D+ -3 B+ F D F -14 F F B+
 Sat, Jan 24 147 @Montana St. L 88 - 91 26% -2  19% 8 - 11 4 - 4 C +1 A +14 A+ D- A F -13 F D- B-
 Sat, Jan 31 266 Idaho St. W 81 - 79 72% -4  11% 9 - 11 5 - 4 D+ -7 C+ +2 D+ B D+ F+ -9 F A+ C-
 Mon, Feb 2 273 @Sacramento St. L 90 - 104 51% -12  4% 9 - 12 5 - 5 F+ -17 C+ +2 D+ B- B F -18 F A- B+
 Thu, Feb 5 149 Northern Colorado L 74 - 88 48% -10  4% 9 - 13 5 - 6 F+ -16 C- -1 D+ F A- F -16 F F F+
 Sat, Feb 7 316 Northern Arizona W 72 - 53 82% +7  68% 10 - 13 6 - 6 B- +6 C +1 C- B- C+ A +9 B A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 12 181 @Idaho W 83 - 72 33% +15  99% 11 - 13 7 - 6 B+ +13 A+ +15 B B A+ C- -2 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 174 @Eastern Washington L 66 - 84 32% -20  0% 11 - 14 7 - 7 F+ -16 F+ -10 F F B D- -7 F A+ C+
 Thu, Feb 19 147 Montana St. W 82 - 79 OT 47% -0  43% 12 - 14 8 - 7 C +1 C+ +3 C+ C B+ C- -2 D A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 21 205 Montana W 92 - 72 60% +14  93% 13 - 14 9 - 7 B+ +15 A+ +19 A+ A+ D+ D+ -3 C+ B- F
 Sat, Feb 28 266 @Idaho St. W 83 - 73 50% +8  86% 14 - 14 10 - 7 B- +7 B +6 B- B- B- C+ +1 A B- F
 Mon, Mar 2 154 @Portland St. L 60 - 84 28% -14  0% 14 - 15 10 - 8 F -21 F+ -8 D- D D F -13 F A+ F
 Mon, Mar 9 174 Eastern Washington L 80 - 82 43%
Totals 14 - 16 10 - 8 -3 C +1 C C- B D+ -4 B- C- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C- D B- C- 46% 36% 37% B C C+ D+ C C+ B- C- C+ D+ F+ C B- D+ 42% 18% 39% D+ D+ C+ D+ C D+ C- C- C-
1.10 56% 33% 36% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 16% .33 72% .24 1.14 66% 39% 33% +2 +1 1.08 29% 1.1 .31 16% .32 73% .24
Nov
8		 Utah C- D+ F F F 60% 12% 28% A D- A- A A D- A+ F A B+ A- A+ A+ A+ 52% 8% 40% F A+ D F F C- F A F
1.04 54% 14% 25% -9 +3 0.90 36% 1.2 .43 18% .40 61% .24 1.08 50% 20% 24% -12 +3 0.84 35% 1.2 .43 15% .44 66% .29
Nov
12		 Utah St. C+ F C+ F F 37% 16% 47% B F B- A+ A+ B+ A+ B- A+ B F B- A+ A+ 42% 16% 42% B A+ B+ F D F F D- F
1.03 39% 38% 26% -13 0 0.78 33% 1.6 .54 18% .48 75% .36 1.17 74% 33% 13% -7 +1 0.89 31% 1.5 .46 8% .45 76% .34
Nov
15		 UC Irvine D+ B- F F F 48% 23% 29% B- D- C F D B- A+ C- A+ C+ D- A- A C- 48% 28% 24% D+ C- C B+ B- C- F C- F
0.90 56% 15% 19% -13 0 0.77 33% 0.8 .24 17% .37 71% .26 1.02 64% 31% 27% -2 0 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 17% .59 68% .40
Nov
19		 Campbell B A+ D+ B A 37% 23% 40% C- A- B+ D- C+ C+ A- F B- D B+ F A+ A 62% 10% 28% F B+ D F F C F F F
1.23 84% 33% 38% +11 0 1.23 38% 1.0 .38 16% .37 65% .24 1.15 48% 80% 14% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.4 .53 18% .51 90% .46
Nov
22		 Texas Arlington C+ B+ F+ D C+ 40% 26% 34% C+ C+ D A+ B+ C D- A+ C+ F+ F+ A+ C+ D- 58% 12% 31% F F+ A F B- D A+ F A
1.10 65% 31% 29% -1 -1 0.98 24% 1.7 .41 17% .31 88% .27 1.11 63% 17% 31% -1 +3 1.06 27% 1.1 .30 18% .22 83% .18
Nov
29		 UMKC C B+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 9% 43% B+ A+ B- F F F A+ C A C F B+ A D- 36% 26% 38% C D- A A- A- C C+ A+ B+
1.20 68% 50% 45% +13 +2 1.33 39% 0.6 .25 22% .37 70% .26 0.89 72% 31% 26% -1 -1 0.98 19% 0.7 .14 19% .25 50% .13
Dec
3		 Oral Roberts B A+ F C+ A 65% 11% 25% A A C- D- D B+ D- A C- B+ A+ B F C 36% 11% 53% D+ C- A+ A+ A+ B C- B+ C
1.25 73% 17% 36% +8 +3 1.25 30% 1.0 .30 12% .28 78% .22 0.89 37% 33% 39% -4 +1 0.96 16% 0.5 .08 20% .32 68% .22
Dec
7		 St. Thomas F+ F+ F C F+ 51% 17% 32% B- D- B- F+ C- F A+ F B- D- F F B D 47% 6% 47% D- D B- F F C- C F D+
0.92 50% 25% 33% -7 +1 0.91 32% 1.0 .32 24% .38 60% .23 1.25 76% 67% 32% +9 +3 1.25 19% 2.2 .41 14% .28 76% .22
Dec
10		 UMKC F F+ D F F 50% 17% 33% C+ F D- C+ D+ F B+ F D A- B D- A+ A+ 38% 13% 48% F A D C- D+ B+ F C F
0.86 50% 33% 24% -10 +1 0.85 31% 1.1 .33 24% .32 50% .16 0.81 50% 43% 16% -15 +1 0.73 30% 0.9 .28 22% .36 67% .24
Dec
17		 Utah Valley B+ C- F C D- 60% 16% 24% A D+ A+ C A- A+ B F+ C F F+ F F F 47% 9% 45% C- F F F F C D+ F D-
1.13 53% 13% 33% -7 +2 0.92 42% 1.0 .42 14% .37 67% .25 1.37 68% 50% 43% +12 +2 1.30 50% 1.4 .69 20% .32 76% .25
Dec
20		 Utah Tech B- C+ F A+ A+ 51% 5% 44% A A+ F F F D+ A+ C+ A+ F F F D+ F 28% 28% 44% A+ F C- A+ A+ D- F A- F
1.20 64% 0% 53% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.3 .08 17% .54 73% .40 1.23 86% 57% 36% +15 -2 1.28 29% 0.4 .13 14% .40 65% .26
Jan
1		 Portland St. C+ C+ F F+ D+ 42% 14% 44% B C- C- D D+ A+ A+ D- A+ F+ B- A+ F C 45% 16% 39% D+ C- D+ C- D+ F F B F+
1.07 58% 25% 28% -6 +1 0.93 27% 0.9 .25 12% .56 69% .39 1.13 52% 10% 44% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.0 .33 14% .40 66% .26
Jan
3		 Sacramento St. B- F D A+ B- 49% 16% 35% C+ C+ C B- C+ C+ A+ B+ A+ C- F A+ D- F 21% 37% 42% A+ F+ D A+ B- A- D A+ B-
1.23 48% 38% 50% +3 +1 1.12 34% 1.2 .41 16% .52 76% .40 1.06 100% 24% 38% +6 -3 1.07 30% 0.8 .25 19% .39 63% .24
Jan
8		 Northern Arizona B F+ F A D 44% 7% 48% B D+ C B B- A+ F F F B- D+ D+ A+ A 43% 11% 47% F B+ C F D- F+ D B- D+
1.24 50% 25% 42% +1 +2 1.09 33% 1.2 .41 8% .12 43% .05 1.04 60% 40% 23% -7 +2 0.91 24% 1.4 .32 13% .31 65% .20
Jan
10		 Northern Colorado B D+ A D+ C 73% 4% 22% A+ B- B F D+ D+ A+ F+ A+ B- D A A+ A+ 55% 21% 23% D A F B+ F C- F D- F
1.14 55% 50% 30% -3 +5 1.04 31% 0.8 .25 14% .57 70% .40 1.07 65% 30% 9% -6 +1 0.91 41% 0.9 .38 17% .36 80% .29
Jan
15		 Eastern Washington B- F A+ A+ C 56% 10% 34% A- B- B C B- C- A+ B+ A+ C+ B- C C+ B 45% 31% 24% B B B F F B- F F F
1.21 46% 60% 47% +2 +3 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 17% .48 80% .39 1.07 55% 40% 33% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.7 .45 20% .45 81% .37
Jan
17		 Idaho F F F F F 44% 16% 40% A F A- C B+ F A+ D+ A+ B C- F A+ B+ 44% 13% 44% D- B A+ F D- A F A- F
0.88 35% 14% 22% -21 +1 0.62 33% 1.1 .36 22% .66 72% .47 0.98 57% 50% 24% -6 +1 0.94 19% 1.9 .36 21% .43 65% .28
Jan
22		 Montana D+ A F D+ B 51% 15% 34% A- B+ D F F D A F B- F F A+ F F 45% 13% 43% F+ F D F F B+ A D A-
1.01 71% 29% 31% +4 +2 1.13 24% 0.4 .10 17% .37 60% .22 1.25 81% 17% 50% +18 +1 1.40 25% 1.6 .40 23% .20 80% .16
Jan
24		 Montana St. A D- A A+ A 61% 4% 35% A+ A+ D D D- A B B- B+ F F+ F F F 35% 18% 47% F+ F F B- D- B- F F F
1.25 48% 50% 58% +7 +4 1.24 25% 1.0 .25 11% .30 79% .24 1.29 67% 56% 46% +14 0 1.31 38% 1.0 .38 17% .36 90% .32
Jan
31		 Idaho St. C+ F D- A+ C- 40% 22% 38% C- D+ B+ C B D+ B- B- B F+ D F F F 47% 12% 41% D- F A+ A+ A+ C- B D- C+
1.20 45% 36% 47% +2 0 1.06 36% 1.1 .39 16% .36 80% .28 1.17 63% 67% 43% +11 +2 1.27 19% 0.4 .08 16% .27 80% .21
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
2		 Sacramento St. C+ C+ C+ F D 47% 12% 42% B- D+ D+ A+ B- B C- B C+ F F B F F 42% 21% 38% D- F C+ A+ A- B+ F C F
1.15 61% 43% 28% -2 +2 1.02 30% 1.4 .43 14% .31 76% .24 1.33 75% 30% 67% +24 0 1.50 25% 0.8 .21 18% .56 78% .44
Feb
5		 Northern Colorado C- D+ A+ F D 54% 15% 31% B D+ B- F F A- B+ A A F F F F F 44% 15% 41% D F B- F F F+ A- B+ A-
1.10 54% 75% 13% -7 +2 0.92 30% 0.5 .15 9% .39 83% .32 1.30 71% 50% 41% +12 +1 1.28 24% 2.0 .48 13% .17 70% .12
Feb
7		 Northern Arizona C D A+ B- D+ 56% 7% 37% A C- B C- B- C+ A+ D A+ A C- A C+ B 27% 25% 48% B B C+ A+ A+ D+ F A D+
1.23 54% 67% 38% +2 +3 1.12 39% 1.1 .42 15% .52 69% .36 0.90 58% 27% 33% -3 -1 0.93 23% 0.5 .11 15% .34 59% .20
Feb
12		 Idaho A+ B F A+ B+ 44% 34% 22% C- B C+ A- B A+ C- A+ B+ C- D- A+ C+ C 42% 6% 52% F D+ A A+ A+ F C D- D+
1.29 64% 29% 55% +6 -1 1.12 28% 1.2 .34 9% .34 90% .31 1.12 64% 0% 33% 0 +2 1.06 22% 0.6 .14 8% .29 76% .22
Feb
14		 Eastern Washington F+ D A- F F 48% 21% 31% C F F F F B A+ B+ A+ D- F B+ F+ F 62% 6% 32% F F A+ D- A+ C+ F+ F F
0.96 52% 50% 20% -7 +1 0.90 24% 0.3 .06 15% .44 81% .36 1.22 72% 33% 40% +11 +3 1.32 17% 1.3 .22 19% .38 81% .31
Feb
19		 Montana St. C+ B C+ F+ B- 46% 30% 25% D C+ B+ F C B+ B D+ B- C- F C- A D- 34% 26% 40% C D A+ A+ A+ C+ D D- D-
1.13 62% 41% 29% 0 -1 1.02 37% 0.9 .33 12% .30 74% .22 1.09 83% 43% 29% +7 -1 1.13 19% 0.8 .16 16% .30 78% .23
Feb
21		 Montana A+ A- B+ A+ A+ 48% 19% 33% B A+ A- A A+ D+ A A+ A+ D+ D B C+ C+ 40% 18% 42% C- C+ C A B- F C F+ D+
1.36 70% 44% 50% +15 +1 1.33 38% 1.2 .46 16% .37 81% .30 1.07 65% 33% 33% +1 0 1.06 22% 0.9 .19 15% .30 82% .24
Feb
28		 Idaho St. B D+ A+ A C+ 53% 14% 33% B+ B- C B+ B- B- C C+ C C+ A B- B A 47% 19% 33% C A C- B+ B- F B- B B
1.22 56% 57% 41% +5 +2 1.16 30% 1.2 .37 13% .32 79% .25 1.07 44% 36% 32% -8 +1 0.88 33% 0.9 .29 9% .27 71% .19
Mar
2		 Portland St. F+ B- F F D 36% 29% 36% D- D- C- F D D F F F F F F C+ F 36% 27% 38% A F A- A+ A+ F A- B+ A-
0.87 60% 25% 25% -8 -1 0.84 28% 0.8 .23 20% .20 64% .13 1.22 90% 53% 33% +15 -1 1.30 24% 0.4 .10 10% .23 64% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 8.6% 8.6% 15.1 0.0 0.3 7.3 1.0 91.4
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 15.1 91.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.6% 100.0% 15.1 0.1 3.4 85.4 11.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 13.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 27.0%
Lose Out 51.2%