Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
130 Northern Colorado 40.0%   14   21 - 8 15 - 3 22 - 8 15 - 3 +1.8      +2.8 99 -1.0 200 71.9 73 +3.4 115 +4.7 2
172 Montana 30.1%   20 - 9 15 - 3 21 - 9 15 - 3 -0.7      +1.8 128 -2.4 243 67.8 191 +4.2 107 +5.1 1
175 Montana St. 21.8%   14 - 17 9 - 9 14 - 18 9 - 9 -0.8      -0.3 190 -0.5 187 65.7 247 -3.4 224 -4.5 5
202 Portland St. 0.0%   16 - 13 11 - 7 16 - 13 11 - 7 -2.4      -4.6 295 +2.2 104 70.4 116 -2.1 195 -1.5 3
214 Idaho St. 0.0%   12 - 15 10 - 8 12 - 15 10 - 8 -3.0      -0.6 198 -2.4 239 65.0 270 -4.5 244 -2.9 4
246 Northern Arizona 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 10 14 - 15 8 - 10 -4.6      -1.7 218 -2.9 262 66.9 214 -4.5 243 -5.4 7
261 Idaho 8.1%   12 - 18 8 - 10 12 - 19 8 - 10 -5.6      +0.9 147 -6.5 341 65.8 240 -5.1 252 -5.3 6
284 Weber St. 0.0%   9 - 22 5 - 13 9 - 22 5 - 13 -7.2      -3.4 259 -3.8 282 64.4 286 -7.9 296 -9.6 9
295 Eastern Washington 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 12 8 - 22 6 - 12 -7.7      -3.7 267 -4.0 293 67.7 195 -7.9 298 -8.0 8
336 Sacramento St. 0.0%   4 - 25 3 - 15 4 - 25 3 - 15 -11.5      -7.5 340 -4.1 296 63.9 291 -14.0 348 -12.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Northern Colorado 1.0 100.0
Montana 1.0 100.0
Montana St. 5.0 100.0
Portland St. 3.0 100.0
Idaho St. 4.0 100.0
Northern Arizona 6.0 100.0
Idaho 6.0 100.0
Weber St. 9.0 100.0
Eastern Washington 8.0 100.0
Sacramento St. 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Northern Colorado 15 - 3 100.0
Montana 15 - 3 100.0
Montana St. 9 - 9 100.0
Portland St. 11 - 7 100.0
Idaho St. 10 - 8 100.0
Northern Arizona 8 - 10 100.0
Idaho 8 - 10 100.0
Weber St. 5 - 13 100.0
Eastern Washington 6 - 12 100.0
Sacramento St. 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Northern Colorado 100.0% 100.0
Montana 100.0% 100.0
Montana St.
Portland St.
Idaho St.
Northern Arizona
Idaho
Weber St.
Eastern Washington
Sacramento St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Northern Colorado 40.0% 40.0% 0.0% 14   0.7 11.7 25.6 2.0 60.0 0.0%
Montana 30.1% 30.1% 0.0% 0.0 2.1 21.2 6.7 0.0 69.9 0.0%
Montana St. 21.8% 21.8% 0.0% 0.4 21.5 78.2 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Idaho 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 8.1 91.9 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Northern Colorado 40.0% 0.0% 40.0% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 30.1% 0.0% 30.1% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 21.8% 16.4% 16.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 8.1% 8.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 90.4% 0.9 9.7 90.4
2nd Round 3.4% 0.0 96.6 3.4
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0