Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
150 Portland St. 24.4%   15   15 - 8 12 - 3 +0.3      -4.3 283 +4.6 56 68.5 178 +1.8 135 +4.3 1
164 Montana St. 17.1%   12 - 13 9 - 6 -0.3      -0.4 173 +0.1 164 65.4 266 -1.2 180 -0.1 3
168 Northern Colorado 14.9%   15 - 10 8 - 7 -0.4      +0.8 144 -1.3 210 70.8 119 -0.1 161 -2.8 6
186 Eastern Washington 12.2%   10 - 17 9 - 6 -1.6      +1.5 128 -3.1 269 69.2 161 -3.1 217 +0.1 2
187 Idaho 8.8%   12 - 13 7 - 8 -1.6      -0.8 183 -0.9 198 68.6 176 -2.0 198 -3.4 7
194 Montana 10.4%   11 - 13 8 - 7 -2.0      -2.0 229 0.0 169 71.7 95 -2.4 204 -2.1 5
211 Weber St. 8.5%   13 - 14 9 - 7 -2.8      +1.0 140 -3.8 290 70.3 130 -3.2 221 -1.8 4
252 Idaho St. 2.1%   9 - 17 5 - 11 -4.9      +0.4 151 -5.3 320 63.9 308 -5.1 247 -7.0 9
276 Sacramento St. 1.1%   6 - 18 5 - 10 -6.4      -1.3 202 -5.2 317 78.0 12 -7.2 280 -6.6 8
304 Northern Arizona 0.5%   7 - 18 4 - 11 -8.5      -1.6 218 -6.9 348 62.3 336 -7.9 290 -8.4 10


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Feb 19 164 Montana St. 79 211 Weber St. 82   
Thu, Feb 19 252 Idaho St. 73 194 Montana 69   
Thu, Feb 19 187 Idaho 67 150 Portland St. 77   
Thu, Feb 19 186 Eastern Washington 102 276 Sacramento St. 94   
Sat, Feb 21 186 Eastern Washington 67 150 Portland St. 55   
Sat, Feb 21 187 Idaho 86 276 Sacramento St. 80   
Sat, Feb 21 304 Northern Arizona 77 168 Northern Colorado 78   
Sat, Feb 21 194 Montana 72 211 Weber St. 92   
Sat, Feb 21 252 Idaho St. 91 164 Montana St. 76   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Thu, Feb 26 164 Montana St. 69 150 Portland St. 67 59%   
Thu, Feb 26 186 Eastern Washington 80 168 Northern Colorado 78 57%   
Thu, Feb 26 194 Montana 86 276 Sacramento St. 78 76%   
Thu, Feb 26 187 Idaho 78 304 Northern Arizona 68 82%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Portland St. 1.0 100.0
Montana St. 2.4 5.6 61.5 25.0 5.5 1.9 0.6 0.0
Northern Colorado 4.5 11.1 17.2 23.9 18.2 16.3 13.3
Eastern Washington 2.5 2.9 58.7 26.1 8.1 2.5 1.4 0.3
Idaho 5.6 1.8 7.8 11.8 18.3 23.3 36.9 0.2
Montana 4.4 7.8 17.6 29.0 20.7 18.2 6.6
Weber St. 4.2 8.2 18.9 33.5 27.2 11.6 0.6
Idaho St. 8.4 1.3 58.5 36.4 3.8
Sacramento St. 8.4 0.4 2.8 60.7 32.4 3.7
Northern Arizona 9.6 0.4 7.1 27.1 65.4

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Portland St. 14 - 4 17 - 9 9.8 35.2 39.7 15.3
Montana St. 11 - 7 14 - 14 2.9 19.6 43.7 33.8
Northern Colorado 10 - 8 17 - 11 12.0 36.6 38.0 13.4
Eastern Washington 11 - 7 12 - 18 3.6 22.1 44.6 29.6
Idaho 9 - 9 14 - 14 5.4 30.7 44.8 19.1
Montana 10 - 8 13 - 14 8.3 36.2 41.5 14.0
Weber St. 10 - 8 14 - 15 38.7 47.3 14.0
Idaho St. 6 - 12 10 - 18 27.2 48.6 24.2
Sacramento St. 6 - 12 7 - 20 27.8 47.8 21.4 3.0
Northern Arizona 5 - 13 8 - 20 47.2 39.6 12.0 1.2

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Portland St. 100.0% 93.1 5.3 1.6
Montana St. 5.6% 4.0 1.6
Northern Colorado
Eastern Washington 2.9% 1.3 1.6
Idaho
Montana
Weber St.
Idaho St.
Sacramento St.
Northern Arizona


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Portland St. 24.4% 24.4% 0.0% 15   0.6 6.3 13.0 4.5 0.1 75.6 0.0%
Montana St. 17.1% 17.1% 0.0% 0.1 2.2 6.5 7.3 1.1 82.9 0.0%
Northern Colorado 14.9% 14.9% 0.0% 0.3 4.1 7.6 2.8 0.1 85.1 0.0%
Eastern Washington 12.2% 12.2% 0.0% 1.5 10.7 87.8 0.0%
Idaho 8.8% 8.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.6 0.8 91.3 0.0%
Montana 10.4% 10.4% 0.0% 0.2 1.3 5.5 3.4 89.6 0.0%
Weber St. 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 4.5 3.3 91.5 0.0%
Idaho St. 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0 2.1 97.9 0.0%
Sacramento St. 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 1.1 98.9 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.5 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 94.5% 0.9 5.5 94.5
2nd Round 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Portland St. 24.4% 0.0% 24.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana St. 17.1% 0.2% 17.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 14.9% 0.0% 14.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 12.2% 7.9% 9.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 8.8% 0.2% 8.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 10.4% 1.6% 9.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 8.5% 1.6% 7.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 2.1% 2.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%