Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
153 Montana St. 18.7%   6 - 7 3 - 0 15 - 13 12 - 6 0.0      -0.4 179 +0.4 143 65.2 289 -0.8 176 +10.7 3
154 Portland St. 19.3%   15   5 - 5 2 - 0 15 - 11 12 - 6 0.0      -2.5 244 +2.5 100 70.8 138 +0.8 154 +15.8 1
161 Northern Colorado 15.8%   8 - 5 1 - 2 17 - 11 10 - 8 -0.3      +1.4 128 -1.7 227 70.8 141 +2.0 140 -4.0 5
178 Montana 13.7%   6 - 6 3 - 0 14 - 13 11 - 7 -1.4      -0.1 172 -1.2 214 74.3 55 -0.1 168 +12.5 2
187 Idaho St. 9.6%   5 - 8 1 - 2 13 - 15 9 - 9 -2.0      +1.4 125 -3.4 278 63.4 328 -3.3 224 -8.1 7
195 Idaho 9.9%   6 - 6 1 - 1 14 - 14 9 - 9 -2.2      +0.2 160 -2.3 247 66.0 266 -0.8 174 -6.4 6
212 Weber St. 7.8%   6 - 8 2 - 1 13 - 16 9 - 9 -2.9      +0.2 158 -3.1 267 71.1 126 -4.7 241 -2.2 4
255 Eastern Washington 2.8%   1 - 13 0 - 2 8 - 22 7 - 11 -5.5      +0.1 169 -5.5 332 71.9 99 -15.0 346 -16.6 9
296 Sacramento St. 1.4%   1 - 10 0 - 2 6 - 21 5 - 13 -7.6      -4.4 289 -3.2 271 79.3 15 -12.1 331 -14.6 8
302 Northern Arizona 0.9%   3 - 10 0 - 3 8 - 20 5 - 13 -7.9      -4.4 288 -3.5 287 65.5 285 -8.7 301 -17.0 10




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Thu, Jan 8 255 Eastern Washington 64 153 Montana St. 68   
Thu, Jan 8 302 Northern Arizona 65 212 Weber St. 78   
Thu, Jan 8 195 Idaho 73 178 Montana 79   
Thu, Jan 8 187 Idaho St. 72 161 Northern Colorado 85   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Jan 10 195 Idaho 72 153 Montana St. 71 53%   
Sat, Jan 10 161 Northern Colorado 82 212 Weber St. 76 70%   
Sat, Jan 10 255 Eastern Washington 81 178 Montana 82 54%   
Sat, Jan 10 187 Idaho St. 72 302 Northern Arizona 69 61%   
Sat, Jan 10 154 Portland St. 82 296 Sacramento St. 71 84%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Montana St. 2.7 34.2 22.5 15.8 10.8 7.4 5.0 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
Portland St. 2.7 36.7 21.1 14.8 10.6 7.1 4.8 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2
Northern Colorado 4.0 12.1 16.6 17.5 16.1 13.3 10.1 7.4 4.3 1.9 0.7
Montana 3.2 23.9 21.0 16.8 13.6 9.9 7.3 4.3 2.1 0.9 0.2
Idaho St. 5.2 5.0 9.1 11.4 13.4 15.2 15.4 13.7 9.6 5.3 2.0
Idaho 5.0 7.5 10.1 12.0 13.6 14.1 14.2 12.7 9.1 4.8 1.9
Weber St. 5.0 5.9 9.8 12.3 13.9 14.9 15.1 13.4 9.1 4.4 1.3
Eastern Washington 7.3 0.7 1.9 3.3 5.5 8.2 11.3 15.7 20.7 19.4 13.2
Sacramento St. 8.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.8 4.6 7.2 11.4 18.6 25.6 27.0
Northern Arizona 8.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 3.2 5.5 10.0 17.1 26.4 35.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Montana St. 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.0 7.4 11.5 14.8 16.8 15.9 12.7 8.4 3.9 1.3 0.3
Portland St. 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 2.2 4.3 7.1 10.9 14.0 15.7 15.2 12.9 9.0 4.9 2.0 0.3
Northern Colorado 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.1 6.4 9.8 13.5 16.9 17.4 13.8 9.7 5.2 1.8 0.3
Montana 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.3 6.5 10.5 13.7 16.6 15.7 13.7 9.3 5.2 2.4 0.8 0.1
Idaho St. 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.5 7.8 11.4 15.4 16.5 15.2 12.1 7.7 4.3 1.8 0.5 0.1
Idaho 9 - 9 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.8 7.4 10.9 14.0 15.3 15.1 12.4 9.0 5.3 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.0
Weber St. 9 - 9 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.7 7.1 11.3 15.0 16.8 15.5 12.6 8.5 4.7 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
Eastern Washington 7 - 11 0.2 0.8 2.8 5.9 9.8 14.5 15.9 15.7 13.1 10.0 6.2 3.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sacramento St. 5 - 13 0.6 2.8 6.9 11.2 14.7 16.5 15.9 12.2 8.4 5.6 3.2 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 5 - 13 0.8 3.7 8.7 13.7 17.2 17.4 15.0 10.7 6.9 3.5 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Montana St. 34.2% 22.8 8.8 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Portland St. 36.7% 25.6 8.5 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
Northern Colorado 12.1% 6.1 4.1 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Montana 23.9% 14.7 6.9 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Idaho St. 5.0% 2.2 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Idaho 7.5% 3.7 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0
Weber St. 5.9% 3.0 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Eastern Washington 0.7% 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Sacramento St. 0.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Montana St. 18.7% 18.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.2 5.9 1.8 81.3 0.0%
Portland St. 19.3% 19.3% 0.0% 15   0.1 0.9 4.4 7.7 5.2 1.0 80.7 0.0%
Northern Colorado 15.8% 15.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.9 4.9 6.6 2.9 0.5 84.2 0.0%
Montana 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.1 4.9 1.4 86.3 0.0%
Idaho St. 9.6% 9.6% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.2 2.4 90.4 0.0%
Idaho 9.9% 9.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.1 4.1 1.5 90.1 0.0%
Weber St. 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.3 3.1 92.2 0.0%
Eastern Washington 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 97.3 0.0%
Sacramento St. 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 0.1 1.3 98.6 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.8 99.1 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Montana St. 18.7% 0.7% 18.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Portland St. 19.3% 0.4% 19.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Colorado 15.8% 0.1% 15.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Montana 13.7% 0.6% 13.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho St. 9.6% 1.3% 9.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Idaho 9.9% 0.7% 9.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Weber St. 7.8% 1.7% 7.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Washington 2.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacramento St. 1.4% 1.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Arizona 0.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 96.1% 1.0 3.9 96.1
2nd Round 3.3% 0.0 96.7 3.3
Sweet Sixteen 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0