Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#293
Expected Predictive Rating-10.8#329
Pace66.3#251
Improvement-2.0#290

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#303
First Shot-0.6#187
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#350
Layup/Dunks-1.1#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#177
Freethrows+1.7#82
Improvement+0.1#159

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot-5.2#337
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#15
Layups/Dunks-6.7#357
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#263
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#113
Freethrows+0.6#140
Improvement-2.1#331
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.3% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.7
.500 or above 2.8% 5.7% 1.3%
.500 or above in Conference 16.4% 28.0% 10.4%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 25.7% 14.2% 31.7%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Home) - 34.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 48 - 910 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 93   @ Virginia L 56-65 8%     0 - 1 -0.4 +1.9 -4.0
  Nov 10, 2024 339   St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 75%     0 - 2 -15.2 -14.9 -0.3
  Nov 17, 2024 318   @ Navy W 86-66 45%     1 - 2 +14.4 +8.7 +5.4
  Nov 22, 2024 28   @ Ohio St. L 60-104 2%     1 - 3 -27.5 -8.2 -17.5
  Nov 24, 2024 300   @ Evansville L 53-66 40%     1 - 4 -17.5 -16.3 -2.0
  Nov 30, 2024 330   @ Green Bay W 72-66 49%     2 - 4 -0.9 -7.6 +6.6
  Dec 04, 2024 273   Coastal Carolina L 57-58 59%     2 - 5 -10.3 -13.9 +3.5
  Dec 12, 2024 352   @ The Citadel W 86-58 60%     3 - 5 +18.5 +17.2 +3.8
  Dec 15, 2024 351   @ Morgan St. L 76-86 59%     3 - 6 -19.3 -3.3 -16.0
  Dec 18, 2024 177   Longwood L 55-77 38%     3 - 7 -25.8 -15.3 -11.9
  Dec 29, 2024 24   @ North Carolina L 81-97 2%     3 - 8 +1.5 +14.0 -12.3
  Jan 02, 2025 158   Drexel L 63-67 34%    
  Jan 04, 2025 130   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-76 14%    
  Jan 09, 2025 233   @ Hampton L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 11, 2025 167   @ Elon L 63-73 19%    
  Jan 16, 2025 117   College of Charleston L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 18, 2025 261   Monmouth W 71-70 55%    
  Jan 23, 2025 306   @ Stony Brook L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 25, 2025 164   @ Hofstra L 59-69 18%    
  Jan 30, 2025 229   William & Mary L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 164   Hofstra L 62-66 36%    
  Feb 06, 2025 167   Elon L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 314   N.C. A&T W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 13, 2025 178   @ Northeastern L 65-74 20%    
  Feb 15, 2025 214   @ Delaware L 71-78 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 314   @ N.C. A&T L 74-76 44%    
  Feb 22, 2025 209   Towson L 62-64 44%    
  Feb 27, 2025 130   UNC Wilmington L 67-73 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 117   @ College of Charleston L 67-80 12%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.7 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.3 2.1 4th
5th 0.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 2.9 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.6 1.6 0.1 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.1 3.6 0.3 8.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.1 5.2 1.4 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.3 2.9 5.9 3.1 0.2 12.4 11th
12th 0.4 2.9 6.4 3.9 0.5 14.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.1 6.5 4.9 1.1 0.0 16.4 13th
14th 0.4 1.8 4.1 5.1 3.4 0.9 0.0 15.8 14th
Total 0.4 1.9 4.9 8.6 13.1 15.4 14.7 14.1 10.6 7.3 4.4 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 75.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 25.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 17.2% 17.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 10.7% 10.7% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.4% 10.6% 10.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.3
11-7 2.6% 5.0% 5.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 2.5
10-8 4.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.2
9-9 7.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 7.2
8-10 10.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.5
7-11 14.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.0
6-12 14.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.7
5-13 15.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.4
4-14 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
3-15 8.6% 8.6
2-16 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.8
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%