Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#178
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#224
Pace66.3#231
Improvement+10.3#1

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#240
First Shot+1.4#131
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#351
Layup/Dunks-0.5#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#255
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#141
Freethrows+2.1#69
Improvement+5.5#3

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#128
First Shot-1.2#216
After Offensive Rebounds+2.9#8
Layups/Dunks-4.5#329
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#96
Freethrows+1.5#80
Improvement+4.8#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 10.8% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.2 15.4
.500 or above 59.5% 71.8% 40.3%
.500 or above in Conference 98.4% 99.8% 96.3%
Conference Champion 7.4% 10.4% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% 0.8% 1.1%
First Round9.1% 10.5% 6.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Home) - 61.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 9
Quad 411 - 616 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 97   @ Virginia L 56-65 22%     0 - 1 -1.6 -1.8 -1.6
  Nov 10, 2024 336   St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 89%     0 - 2 -15.0 -13.8 -1.2
  Nov 17, 2024 263   @ Navy W 86-66 59%     1 - 2 +16.8 +10.6 +5.9
  Nov 22, 2024 25   @ Ohio St. L 60-104 6%     1 - 3 -26.9 -6.7 -18.3
  Nov 24, 2024 230   @ Evansville L 53-66 53%     1 - 4 -14.5 -14.4 -0.8
  Nov 30, 2024 347   @ Green Bay W 72-66 80%     2 - 4 -3.5 -8.5 +4.8
  Dec 04, 2024 309   Coastal Carolina L 57-58 83%     2 - 5 -12.0 -15.6 +3.5
  Dec 12, 2024 358   @ The Citadel W 86-58 84%     3 - 5 +16.4 +16.6 +2.3
  Dec 15, 2024 329   @ Morgan St. L 76-86 76%     3 - 6 -18.1 -2.8 -15.3
  Dec 18, 2024 190   Longwood L 55-77 62%     3 - 7 -25.9 -17.4 -10.0
  Dec 29, 2024 36   @ North Carolina L 81-97 8%     3 - 8 -0.8 +14.1 -14.7
  Jan 02, 2025 195   Drexel W 57-54 62%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -1.1 -15.4 +14.4
  Jan 04, 2025 117   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-77 28%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -2.7 +3.5 -7.0
  Jan 09, 2025 287   @ Hampton W 66-55 64%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +6.6 -1.0 +8.8
  Jan 13, 2025 175   @ Elon L 68-81 40%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -11.2 +1.1 -13.5
  Jan 16, 2025 131   College of Charleston L 61-67 50%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -6.8 -12.2 +5.3
  Jan 18, 2025 253   Monmouth W 81-58 75%     6 - 11 3 - 3 +15.2 +7.3 +8.7
  Jan 23, 2025 318   @ Stony Brook W 79-54 72%     7 - 11 4 - 3 +18.3 +11.5 +10.0
  Jan 25, 2025 174   @ Hofstra W 69-67 OT 39%     8 - 11 5 - 3 +3.9 +3.9 +0.1
  Jan 30, 2025 208   William & Mary W 96-55 65%     9 - 11 6 - 3 +36.1 +8.6 +23.6
  Feb 01, 2025 174   Hofstra W 75-52 59%     10 - 11 7 - 3 +20.0 +15.6 +7.6
  Feb 06, 2025 175   Elon W 68-66 61%    
  Feb 10, 2025 333   N.C. A&T W 80-67 89%    
  Feb 13, 2025 206   @ Northeastern L 68-69 44%    
  Feb 15, 2025 232   @ Delaware W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 20, 2025 333   @ N.C. A&T W 78-70 75%    
  Feb 22, 2025 160   Towson W 63-62 56%    
  Feb 27, 2025 117   UNC Wilmington L 68-69 48%    
  Mar 01, 2025 131   @ College of Charleston L 71-76 30%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.4 3.7 1.1 7.4 1st
2nd 0.1 3.0 8.4 2.7 0.1 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.2 11.6 6.4 0.3 20.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 9.7 9.8 0.8 21.2 4th
5th 0.1 5.1 10.3 1.9 0.0 17.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 6.6 1.8 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.7 2.6 0.1 5.6 7th
8th 0.5 1.8 0.1 2.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.1 1.4 6.5 15.4 24.2 26.5 18.0 6.7 1.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 91.8% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
14-4 55.1% 3.7    1.2 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.3% 2.4    0.2 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1
12-6 0.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 2.2 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 1.2% 23.8% 23.8% 13.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
14-4 6.7% 17.6% 17.6% 14.7 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.0 5.5
13-5 18.0% 14.5% 14.5% 15.1 0.4 1.7 0.6 15.4
12-6 26.5% 10.6% 10.6% 15.4 0.0 1.7 1.1 23.7
11-7 24.2% 7.1% 7.1% 15.6 0.0 0.7 1.0 22.5
10-8 15.4% 3.7% 3.7% 15.9 0.1 0.5 14.8
9-9 6.5% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.2 6.3
8-10 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 15.2 0.1 1.0 4.9 3.4 90.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 13.8 24.1 72.4 3.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%