Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#274
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#303
Pace63.4#329
Improvement+1.4#93

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#264
First Shot-1.4#206
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#310
Layup/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#53
Freethrows-2.0#300
Improvement+0.8#115

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#257
First Shot-2.7#266
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#177
Layups/Dunks-1.6#243
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#103
Freethrows-2.2#320
Improvement+0.6#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.4% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 9.1% 19.6% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 19.5% 36.0% 15.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 20.5% 9.4% 23.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 1.3% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Away) - 21.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 92 - 12
Quad 410 - 712 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 188 @Saint Joseph's L 65-76 25%     0 - 1 -9.8 -5.8 -3.8
  Tue, Nov 11 181 @Colgate L 83-90 24%     0 - 2 -5.5 +10.9 -16.5
  Sat, Nov 15 75 Syracuse L 50-80 11%     0 - 3 -22.4 -14.8 -10.2
  Tue, Nov 18 353 NJIT W 75-43 83%     1 - 3 +15.7 -2.2 +18.0
  Fri, Nov 21 240 Penn L 68-84 56%     1 - 4 -23.6 -6.6 -17.7
  Sun, Nov 23 217 Old Dominion W 75-71 52%     2 - 4 -2.5 +3.7 -6.0
  Tue, Nov 25 360 @Morgan St. W 71-66 73%     3 - 4 -7.5 -3.7 -3.3
  Wed, Dec 3 268 @American L 73-75 38%     3 - 5 -4.9 +2.1 -7.1
  Sat, Dec 6 233 La Salle L 64-69 44%     3 - 6 -9.4 -5.9 -3.7
  Tue, Dec 16 265 Howard L 66-74 60%     3 - 7 -16.7 -5.8 -11.3
  Fri, Dec 19 300 Mount St. Mary's W 75-67 67%     4 - 7 -2.6 -3.6 +0.9
  Sun, Dec 21 342 Maine W 74-56 79%     5 - 7 +3.5 +14.6 -7.1
  Mon, Dec 29 169 @College of Charleston L 66-74 21%    
  Wed, Dec 31 120 @UNC Wilmington L 62-74 13%    
  Sat, Jan 3 110 Hofstra L 64-71 27%    
  Thu, Jan 8 246 Stony Brook W 68-66 57%    
  Sat, Jan 10 118 William & Mary L 73-79 29%    
  Thu, Jan 15 224 @Monmouth L 67-72 32%    
  Sat, Jan 17 128 @Towson L 59-70 16%    
  Sat, Jan 17 205 Northeastern L 70-71 49%    
  Thu, Jan 29 238 Hampton W 69-67 55%    
  Sat, Jan 31 301 N.C. A&T W 73-68 66%    
  Thu, Feb 5 225 @Campbell L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Feb 7 166 @Elon L 68-77 22%    
  Thu, Feb 12 224 Monmouth W 70-69 53%    
  Mon, Feb 16 246 @Stony Brook L 65-69 36%    
  Thu, Feb 19 205 @Northeastern L 68-74 29%    
  Sat, Feb 21 128 Towson L 62-67 32%    
  Thu, Feb 26 225 Campbell W 74-73 53%    
  Tue, Mar 3 110 @Hofstra L 61-74 13%    
Projected Record 11 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 2.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 3.6 1.4 0.2 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.2 4.0 0.6 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.8 1.6 0.1 11.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.6 3.1 0.2 12.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.2 4.5 0.6 0.0 14.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.7 5.7 4.5 0.8 0.0 14.3 12th
13th 0.2 1.2 3.0 4.2 2.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 12.3 13th
Total 0.2 1.3 3.7 7.1 11.2 14.5 16.0 14.8 11.8 8.5 5.7 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 80.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 85.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 48.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 14.8% 14.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.6% 10.7% 10.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.5% 6.7% 6.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4
11-7 3.0% 3.9% 3.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.9
10-8 5.7% 2.2% 2.2% 15.5 0.1 0.1 5.5
9-9 8.5% 1.0% 1.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 8.4
8-10 11.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 11.7
7-11 14.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.7
6-12 16.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 16.0
5-13 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
4-14 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.2
3-15 7.1% 7.1
2-16 3.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.7
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%