Maine
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.5 #341
Expected Predictive Rating -15.0 #351
Pace 63.0 #329
Improvement -1.4 #254

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #363 F F F D+ C-
Defense #167 C D C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #186 1.06 #297 -2.2 #258
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #124 0.73 #210 +0.7 #143
Three Pointers 39% #228 0.81 #356 -5.1 #327
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #348 -6.6 #348
Freethrows 17.5 #177 65% #351 11.4 #259
Second Chance 20.5% #361 1.10 #116 0.23 #345
Turnovers 21.0% #358
Total Offense -11.5 #363

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #81 1.23 #268 -3.6 #302
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #141 0.72 #118 +0.0 #184
Three Pointers 36% #307 0.91 #65 +4.4 #32
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #160 +0.8 #158
Freethrows 17.9 #213 72% #140 12.8 #200
Second Chance 37.6% #357 1.00 #118 0.38 #310
Turnovers 16.7% #169
Total Defense +0.0 #167

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.7% #235 0.3% #191
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -12.4% #349 -1.7% #152
Possession Length 18.3 #270 17.9 #275
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #264 0.16 #136
Improvement -2.0 #296 +0.6 #150

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.2% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 30.4% 35.9% 13.2%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 3.3% 23.4%
First Four3.9% 4.1% 2.9%
First Round1.7% 1.9% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 75.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 70 - 10
Quad 48 - 148 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 72 @George Washington L 47 - 67 3% -7  0 - 1 -9 -21 F F F +11 A+ D A+
 Sat, Nov 8 242 @Stony Brook L 60 - 71 17% -6  0 - 2 -12 -14 F F C +1 B- A F
 Mon, Nov 10 115 @Rutgers L 60 - 72 6% -11  0 - 3 -6 -4 A F F -3 F F A+
 Sun, Nov 16 175 Quinnipiac L 64 - 70 24% +2  0 - 4 -10 -9 C F C -1 A+ F C+
 Wed, Nov 19 208 @Merrimack L 65 - 72 14% -3  0 - 5 -7 +2 D- A+ F -10 C F C
 Sun, Nov 23 264 Brown L 53 - 58 39% -8  0 - 6 -14 -17 C F F +3 A+ F A+
 Fri, Nov 28 224 @American L 61 - 74 16% -12  0 - 7 -14 -8 C F F -6 D A F
 Sat, Nov 29 262 Longwood L 61 - 65 28% -3  0 - 8 -10 -9 F A- F -1 F B+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 169 Siena L 60 - 64 16% -8  0 - 9 -5 -3 B- D+ D -2 D+ A C
 Wed, Dec 3 196 @Ohio L 57 - 79 13% -12  0 - 10 -21 -12 F D- F -11 C F C
 Sat, Dec 6 89 @Miami (OH) L 61 - 93 4% -21  0 - 11 -23 -10 D C F -12 B- F A+
 Wed, Dec 10 285 @Boston University W 69 - 59 24% +7  1 - 11 +6 -1 A F F +8 A+ F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 344 Canisius L 43 - 70 63% -16  1 - 12 -42 -31 F C F -13 F F A
 Sun, Dec 21 203 @Drexel L 56 - 74 14% -9  1 - 13 -18 -2 D- A F -20 F D+ A-
 Sat, Jan 3 343 Bryant L 51 - 56 62% -5  1 - 14 0 - 1 -20 -26 F F F +6 A+ D+ A-
 Thu, Jan 8 275 @Maryland Baltimore Co. L 62 - 69 22% -6  1 - 15 0 - 2 -10 -9 F C D+ -2 C+ B F
 Sat, Jan 10 336 @NJIT W 74 - 70 37% +3  2 - 15 1 - 2 -4 +6 A+ D- F -9 C C- F
 Thu, Jan 15 204 @Vermont L 62 - 67 14% +1  2 - 16 1 - 3 -5 -4 F D+ A+ -2 C C+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 323 New Hampshire L 48 - 65 56% -12  2 - 17 1 - 4 -30 -24 F F F -7 D- C+ F
 Thu, Jan 22 305 Albany W 52 - 49 49% -4  3 - 17 2 - 4 -8 -14 F F B +6 A+ D+ B-
 Sat, Jan 24 362 Binghamton W 66 - 59 76%
 Sat, Jan 31 309 Umass Lowell L 66 - 67 50%
 Thu, Feb 5 204 Vermont L 61 - 67 29%
 Sat, Feb 7 343 @Bryant L 60 - 63 39%
 Thu, Feb 12 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 65 - 67 42%
 Sat, Feb 14 336 NJIT W 66 - 63 60%
 Sat, Feb 21 323 @New Hampshire L 60 - 65 34%
 Thu, Feb 26 305 @Albany L 61 - 67 28%
 Sat, Feb 28 362 @Binghamton W 63 - 62 55%
 Tue, Mar 3 309 Umass Lowell L 66 - 67 51%
Totals 8 - 22 7 - 9 -12 -12 F F F +0 C D C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.7 0.6 0.0 3.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 4.1 1.7 0.1 7.0 3rd
4th 0.9 6.2 3.6 0.3 11.0 4th
5th 0.5 6.3 7.3 0.6 14.7 5th
6th 0.4 5.1 10.3 1.8 0.0 17.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 5.3 11.1 4.3 0.1 21.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 5.8 10.0 4.3 0.3 21.5 8th
9th 0.4 1.3 1.4 0.4 3.6 9th
Total 0.4 2.4 7.8 16.1 20.9 22.0 16.6 8.9 3.8 0.9 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 71.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 25.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1
10-6 4.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.1% 28.6% 28.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-5 0.9% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.1 0.8
10-6 3.8% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.4 3.4
9-7 8.9% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.6 8.3
8-8 16.6% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.9 15.7
7-9 22.0% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.9 21.1
6-10 20.9% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.6 20.4
5-11 16.1% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 15.9
4-12 7.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.7
3-13 2.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 16.0 96.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%