Maine
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.7#199
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#192
Pace65.6#250
Improvement+1.5#116

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#281
First Shot+0.7#154
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#360
Layup/Dunks+4.1#47
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#99
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#310
Freethrows-0.5#205
Improvement+0.3#167

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#111
First Shot+2.7#93
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#224
Layups/Dunks-1.8#246
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#61
Freethrows-0.2#197
Improvement+1.2#120
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.4% 22.1% 16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 98.4% 99.0% 93.1%
.500 or above in Conference 99.7% 99.9% 98.0%
Conference Champion 17.1% 18.5% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.7% 1.5% 3.0%
First Round20.7% 21.5% 14.6%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Home) - 89.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 34 - 34 - 5
Quad 415 - 719 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 2   @ Duke L 62-96 1%     0 - 1 -8.5 -1.1 -5.8
  Nov 10, 2024 214   @ Brown W 69-67 45%     1 - 1 +1.6 -3.2 +4.8
  Nov 15, 2024 187   @ Quinnipiac L 55-58 39%     1 - 2 -1.8 -12.6 +10.7
  Nov 20, 2024 220   @ Richmond L 66-70 46%     1 - 3 -4.8 -3.8 -1.1
  Nov 24, 2024 319   Holy Cross W 80-55 83%     2 - 3 +13.2 +1.8 +12.0
  Nov 29, 2024 175   Elon W 69-56 46%     3 - 3 +12.3 +1.2 +12.2
  Nov 30, 2024 273   @ Penn L 64-77 58%     3 - 4 -16.8 -7.7 -10.1
  Dec 01, 2024 263   Navy W 71-66 65%     4 - 4 -0.7 -0.9 +0.5
  Dec 08, 2024 191   @ Fordham L 72-87 39%     4 - 5 -13.9 -7.2 -5.3
  Dec 11, 2024 142   @ Duquesne W 61-56 30%     5 - 5 +8.7 +0.5 +8.9
  Dec 14, 2024 352   @ Canisius W 84-79 80%     6 - 5 -5.5 +10.6 -15.8
  Dec 21, 2024 318   @ Stony Brook L 72-74 69%     6 - 6 -8.7 +0.1 -9.0
  Dec 29, 2024 294   Boston University L 56-59 78%     6 - 7 -12.8 -12.0 -1.2
  Jan 04, 2025 144   @ Bryant L 55-81 30%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -22.3 -18.2 -3.4
  Jan 09, 2025 313   Binghamton W 82-71 82%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -0.2 +8.8 -8.3
  Jan 11, 2025 280   Albany W 87-66 76%     8 - 8 2 - 1 +11.9 +7.8 +3.7
  Jan 16, 2025 344   @ NJIT W 57-44 77%     9 - 8 3 - 1 +3.7 -9.9 +15.1
  Jan 18, 2025 261   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-62 56%     10 - 8 4 - 1 +21.8 +6.5 +14.5
  Jan 23, 2025 203   @ Umass Lowell W 86-85 OT 42%     11 - 8 5 - 1 +1.4 +4.8 -3.5
  Jan 30, 2025 357   New Hampshire W 71-46 91%     12 - 8 6 - 1 +8.7 +0.6 +11.0
  Feb 01, 2025 240   @ Vermont L 49-55 51%     12 - 9 6 - 2 -8.1 -12.1 +2.9
  Feb 06, 2025 344   NJIT W 69-56 89%    
  Feb 08, 2025 261   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-72 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 240   Vermont W 63-58 71%    
  Feb 20, 2025 280   @ Albany W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 22, 2025 313   @ Binghamton W 69-64 64%    
  Feb 27, 2025 357   @ New Hampshire W 71-61 80%    
  Mar 01, 2025 144   Bryant L 74-75 50%    
  Mar 04, 2025 203   Umass Lowell W 74-71 63%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 3.9 8.0 4.7 17.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 8.7 22.1 23.3 10.6 1.1 66.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.0 5.9 2.6 0.2 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 1.8 0.7 0.0 3.7 4th
5th 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.8 5.8 15.3 25.1 27.4 18.5 5.8 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 81.6% 4.7    3.1 1.7
13-3 42.9% 8.0    3.0 4.9 0.0
12-4 14.1% 3.9    1.0 2.6 0.3
11-5 1.9% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 17.1% 17.1 7.1 9.4 0.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 5.8% 32.5% 32.5% 13.7 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.2 3.9
13-3 18.5% 28.0% 28.0% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.9 0.3 13.3
12-4 27.4% 23.0% 23.0% 15.1 0.0 0.7 4.0 1.6 21.1
11-5 25.1% 19.0% 19.0% 15.5 0.1 2.2 2.5 20.3
10-6 15.3% 15.8% 15.8% 15.7 0.8 1.6 12.9
9-7 5.8% 10.9% 10.9% 15.7 0.2 0.5 5.1
8-8 1.8% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.6
7-9 0.3% 12.9% 12.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3
6-10 0.0% 0.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 21.4% 21.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.1 0.9 3.6 10.3 6.6 78.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.9% 100.0% 13.7 4.8 32.3 52.9 10.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.8%