Maine
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#223
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#227
Pace64.7#276
Improvement-0.5#217

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#270
First Shot+0.9#135
After Offensive Rebound-4.6#359
Layup/Dunks+4.3#44
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#311
Freethrows-0.4#201
Improvement+1.7#104

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#167
First Shot+1.1#139
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#253
Layups/Dunks-2.5#278
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#57
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#74
Freethrows-0.5#222
Improvement-2.2#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.0% 41.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.9% 5.9% 0.0%
First Round18.7% 38.5% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 34 - 44 - 5
Quad 414 - 918 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 1   @ Duke L 62-96 1%     0 - 1 -4.6 -0.9 -2.0
  Nov 10, 2024 205   @ Brown W 69-67 36%     1 - 1 +2.3 -0.7 +3.1
  Nov 15, 2024 204   @ Quinnipiac L 55-58 36%     1 - 2 -2.7 -12.6 +9.8
  Nov 20, 2024 226   @ Richmond L 66-70 40%     1 - 3 -4.7 -4.7 -0.1
  Nov 24, 2024 319   Holy Cross W 80-55 80%     2 - 3 +12.7 +2.1 +11.3
  Nov 29, 2024 206   Elon W 69-56 47%     3 - 3 +10.5 -0.5 +12.1
  Nov 30, 2024 281   @ Penn L 64-77 52%     3 - 4 -17.0 -8.0 -10.0
  Dec 01, 2024 265   Navy W 71-66 59%     4 - 4 -0.7 -1.0 +0.6
  Dec 08, 2024 238   @ Fordham L 72-87 42%     4 - 5 -16.4 -8.8 -6.1
  Dec 11, 2024 122   @ Duquesne W 61-56 21%     5 - 5 +10.1 +0.3 +10.4
  Dec 14, 2024 356   @ Canisius W 84-79 79%     6 - 5 -6.9 +10.0 -16.5
  Dec 21, 2024 324   @ Stony Brook L 72-74 64%     6 - 6 -9.0 -0.6 -8.6
  Dec 29, 2024 297   Boston University L 56-59 75%     6 - 7 -13.5 -13.0 -1.0
  Jan 04, 2025 151   @ Bryant L 55-81 26%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -22.8 -17.3 -4.8
  Jan 09, 2025 308   Binghamton W 82-71 78%     7 - 8 1 - 1 -0.5 +10.1 -9.9
  Jan 11, 2025 270   Albany W 87-66 70%     8 - 8 2 - 1 +12.2 +7.6 +4.2
  Jan 16, 2025 352   @ NJIT W 57-44 76%     9 - 8 3 - 1 +2.4 -11.7 +15.7
  Jan 18, 2025 303   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 87-62 58%     10 - 8 4 - 1 +19.6 +4.8 +13.9
  Jan 23, 2025 237   @ Umass Lowell W 86-85 OT 42%     11 - 8 5 - 1 -0.4 +4.0 -4.4
  Jan 30, 2025 353   New Hampshire W 71-46 88%     12 - 8 6 - 1 +8.6 +0.1 +11.5
  Feb 01, 2025 213   @ Vermont L 49-55 38%     12 - 9 6 - 2 -6.2 -12.7 +5.4
  Feb 06, 2025 352   NJIT W 78-74 88%     13 - 9 7 - 2 -12.1 +10.9 -22.5
  Feb 08, 2025 303   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 73-50 77%     14 - 9 8 - 2 +12.1 -8.0 +20.4
  Feb 15, 2025 213   Vermont L 61-65 59%     14 - 10 8 - 3 -9.7 -4.9 -5.3
  Feb 20, 2025 270   @ Albany L 68-79 50%     14 - 11 8 - 4 -14.3 -6.6 -7.8
  Feb 22, 2025 308   @ Binghamton L 69-71 60%     14 - 12 8 - 5 -8.0 +4.4 -12.8
  Feb 27, 2025 353   @ New Hampshire W 73-66 76%     15 - 12 9 - 5 -3.8 -0.5 -3.1
  Mar 01, 2025 151   Bryant L 72-80 46%     15 - 13 9 - 6 -10.3 +2.2 -12.9
  Mar 04, 2025 237   Umass Lowell W 71-70 63%     16 - 13 10 - 6 -5.9 -5.3 -0.5
  Mar 08, 2025 237   Umass Lowell W 72-64 63%     17 - 13 +1.1 +1.7 +0.4
  Mar 11, 2025 213   @ Vermont L 60-63 38%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 20.0% 20.0% 15.6 0.3 6.7 13.0 80.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 20.0% 20.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.3 6.7 13.0 80.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 20.0% 100.0% 15.6 1.5 33.6 64.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 28.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 51.5%