Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.1 194
Results Rating -3.0 215
Consistency 0.18 318
Pace 66.1 248
Improvement +7.5 8

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 202 C- D- B- C- C-
Defense C 194 C- C+ F+ A- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 249 C 59% 157 -1.2 225
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 169 C 39% 151 +1.3 110
Three Pointers 41% 190 C- 33% 236 -1.0 216
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 255 C -0.4 183
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 203
Second Chance F+ 22.8% 347 C- 1.00 228 D- 0.23 344
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 161
Other Turnovers B- 6.4% 74
Turnovers B- 15.7% 109
Freethrows D+ 0.27 272 B 76% 68 C- 0.21 227
Total Offense C- -1.5 202

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D- 37% 332 C+ 10.2% 136
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 301 B- 3.4% 63
Three Pointers D+ 79% 279 C+ 0.6% 118
Total D- 46% 342 B- 4.7% 79


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 81 C 58% 173 +2.2 252
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 209 C- 39% 219 -0.5 148
Three Pointers 38% 270 D+ 36% 263 -0.5 160
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.4 252 C- +1.0 214
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 227
Second Chance B- 28.2% 98 C 1.03 184 C+ 0.29 124
Turnovers from Steals F 5.5% 362
Other Turnovers C+ 7.6% 121
Turnovers F+ 13.2% 348
Freethrows A- 0.23 15 B- 70% 76 A- 0.16 12
Total Defense C -0.6 194

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A 35% 5 D 6.9% 328
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 54 D 2.2% 323
Three Pointers D 88% 314 C- 0.7% 204
Total B 48% 40 D 3.6% 327

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 191 18.0 284
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 191 0.14 67
Consistency 0.13 255 0.11 82
Improvement +2.4 74 +5.2 13

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 213 197 175
Results Rating Rank 246 224 176
Conference Record 14 - 2 14 - 2 14 - 2
Conference Finish 1 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46% 52% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 n/a
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100% 100% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four8% 9% 0%
First Round42% 48% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 421 - 421 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 75 @Dayton L 71 - 77 12% -4  14% 0 - 1 C+ +5 B +7 B- B+ C- C- -3 D+ D F+
 Tue, Nov 11 348 @Morgan St. W 81 - 79 79% +6  77% 1 - 1 D -8 D+ -3 A+ F F D -6 D+ F F
 Sun, Nov 16 317 Wagner W 71 - 70 OT 84% -1  38% 2 - 1 D- -12 F -16 F A- F B +4 B C+ C+
 Wed, Nov 19 78 @George Washington L 52 - 89 12% -24  0% 2 - 2 F -26 F -22 F F D+ D+ -4 F A+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 361 Delaware St. W 71 - 57 95% +8  97% 3 - 2 D+ -7 D -6 C F C C -0 C+ C- F
 Wed, Dec 3 80 @Georgetown L 81 - 90 13% -11  0% 3 - 3 C +1 A +14 B B A+ F -13 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 330 @Bucknell W 73 - 66 73% +1  53% 4 - 3 C -1 C +2 B F D+ C- -3 C+ D F
 Tue, Dec 9 212 Buffalo L 79 - 83 64% +1  57% 4 - 4 D -10 C+ +2 B- C C+ F -13 F C+ C-
 Fri, Dec 12 340 Army L 60 - 63 89% -5  12% 4 - 5 F -18 F -20 F F B+ C+ +1 B B+ D-
 Sun, Dec 21 54 @South Florida L 69 - 94 8% -15  1% 4 - 6 D- -12 D+ -3 D C- C- D- -8 F D- F
 Mon, Dec 29 363 @Coppin St. W 93 - 59 89% +18  98% 5 - 6 A +19 A- +10 C- A+ B A- +8 C A- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 346 Maine W 69 - 62 90% +6  79% 6 - 6 1 - 0 D -9 D+ -4 D+ F A+ D+ -5 B F F
 Sat, Jan 10 352 New Hampshire W 75 - 74 91% -3  13% 7 - 6 2 - 0 F+ -16 C+ +2 B+ F A+ F -18 F F D-
 Thu, Jan 15 353 @Bryant L 74 - 79 OT 80% -1  24% 7 - 7 2 - 1 F+ -16 D -5 C+ F D- F -11 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 357 @Binghamton W 78 - 60 85% +9  81% 8 - 7 3 - 1 B- +5 B- +4 C+ D- A- B- +3 C+ C- F
 Thu, Jan 22 331 NJIT W 87 - 74 88% +14  98% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C -2 B +6 B D A+ D- -8 D- D F+
 Sat, Jan 24 311 Umass Lowell W 79 - 56 83% +12  98% 10 - 7 5 - 1 B +11 C+ +2 C- F+ C- A +10 A- A+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 234 @Vermont L 55 - 64 46% -2  22% 10 - 8 5 - 2 D -10 F -15 F D- B B +5 C- A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 321 @Albany W 68 - 65 68% -3  21% 11 - 8 6 - 2 C- -4 D -5 B- F C C+ +1 B- F C
 Thu, Feb 5 357 Binghamton W 79 - 62 93% +11  99% 12 - 8 7 - 2 C- -2 C- -2 D- F A+ C+ +1 C+ A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 346 @Maine W 78 - 62 77% +12  80% 13 - 8 8 - 2 B- +6 B- +5 D+ F+ A+ C+ +1 B+ C F
 Sat, Feb 14 352 @New Hampshire W 85 - 63 80% +18  95% 14 - 8 9 - 2 B +11 B+ +8 A- F+ B+ B- +3 F+ A+ C
 Thu, Feb 19 234 Vermont W 75 - 62 69% +10  96% 15 - 8 10 - 2 B- +6 C- -1 D- C- C+ A- +7 A+ B+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 321 Albany W 66 - 62 85% +1  55% 16 - 8 11 - 2 D -9 D -5 D+ F B+ C- -3 F A C
 Thu, Feb 26 353 Bryant W 70 - 58 91% +5  90% 17 - 8 12 - 2 D+ -5 D -6 C C+ F B- +2 C+ A- F
 Sat, Feb 28 311 @Umass Lowell W 84 - 60 65% +11  94% 18 - 8 13 - 2 A +18 A +12 A D- A+ A- +8 A+ C- F
 Tue, Mar 3 331 @NJIT W 91 - 52 73% +20  95% 19 - 8 14 - 2 A+ +30 A +13 B+ A+ F A+ +17 A- A A
 Sat, Mar 7 352 New Hampshire W 78 - 63 91%
Totals 20 - 8 14 - 2 -2 C- -1 A+ C C- C -1 C- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C C- C 36% 38% 41% C- C- F+ C- D- B- D+ B C- C C C- D+ C- 43% 19% 38% D+ C- B- C C+ F+ A- B- A-
1.07 59% 39% 33% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.0 .23 16% .27 76% .21 1.09 58% 39% 36% +1 0 1.05 28% 1.0 .29 13% .23 70% .19
Nov
8		 Dayton B D C+ A- B- 28% 26% 46% D+ B- B B B+ C- F A+ F+ C- F D+ B+ D 39% 24% 37% A D+ B+ F D F+ C D+ D+
1.07 50% 38% 39% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 23% .20 80% .16 1.17 78% 36% 29% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.7 .38 14% .42 79% .33
Nov
11		 Morgan St. D+ A+ A A+ A+ 45% 5% 50% B A+ F F F F B- D C D A A+ F C- 45% 22% 33% F D+ F+ F+ F F A+ D+ A+
1.13 75% 50% 41% +13 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30 1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16
Nov
16		 Wagner F D+ C F F 35% 27% 38% F F C+ A+ A- F A+ D A+ B A- F A+ B+ 50% 24% 26% D B B+ D- C+ C+ C+ A B
0.94 53% 38% 17% -11 -1 0.77 32% 1.3 .42 24% .55 69% .38 0.92 44% 54% 21% -8 0 0.87 27% 1.2 .32 20% .26 63% .16
Nov
19		 George Washington F B- F F F 39% 20% 41% C F F C- F D+ B F C- D+ D A+ F F 47% 7% 47% C- F A+ A+ A+ D A+ A- A+
0.73 63% 0% 20% -14 0 0.73 15% 1.0 .15 20% .32 61% .19 1.25 67% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.33 26% 0.8 .19 15% .20 67% .13
Nov
29		 Delaware St. D B- F B+ C 47% 13% 40% B- C D F F C F D- F C C A- B C 35% 52% 13% A+ C+ C- D+ C- F A+ F A
1.07 68% 14% 38% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.7 .18 18% .17 67% .11 0.86 53% 29% 29% -8 -4 0.78 25% 0.8 .20 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Georgetown A C+ A+ C B+ 34% 29% 38% C- B C+ A B A+ C- A C+ F F A+ F F 42% 18% 40% D F A+ F D+ F A+ B+ A+
1.21 58% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.05 30% 1.2 .36 10% .27 81% .22 1.34 71% 20% 48% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.7 .41 9% .16 70% .11
Dec
6		 Bucknell C B- B+ A+ B+ 37% 28% 35% D+ B F D+ F D+ D A- C- C- C- A+ B+ C+ 38% 20% 42% C+ C+ F B+ D F D B+ C-
1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23 1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22
Dec
9		 Buffalo C+ C+ A+ C+ B 30% 23% 47% F+ B- D- A C C+ F A+ F F F+ F F F 50% 21% 29% C- F D- A+ C+ C- C+ F D
1.19 63% 67% 36% +9 -1 1.19 27% 1.1 .31 17% .14 100% .14 1.25 67% 60% 43% +13 +1 1.29 31% 0.9 .27 15% .32 89% .28
Dec
12		 Army F B D- F F 28% 25% 47% D- F F F F B+ F F F C+ A+ A+ D- A- 55% 4% 40% F B B A- B+ D- F F F
0.91 67% 31% 28% -4 -1 0.92 20% 0.8 .15 12% .28 38% .10 0.95 38% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 15% .36 80% .29
Dec
21		 South Florida D+ C- B F D+ 35% 35% 30% D- D D- A- C- C- D A- C- D- C- A+ F F 54% 4% 42% D- F B+ F D- F A B- A
0.94 53% 42% 25% -5 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 21% .28 75% .21 1.29 58% 0% 42% +3 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 11% .28 72% .20
Dec
29		 Coppin St. A- F C+ A+ D 43% 10% 47% B C- C A+ A+ B C F F A- D A+ C+ C+ 38% 19% 42% D- C A+ F A- D- A- C+ B+
1.29 45% 40% 46% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.9 .68 14% .37 57% .21 0.82 60% 0% 32% -8 0 0.87 15% 1.2 .18 19% .26 67% .17
Jan
8		 Maine D+ B- F A D+ 51% 29% 20% C- D+ F+ F F A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ A F A+ B 42% 25% 33% C+ B F F F F A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 14% 40% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 12% .41 74% .30 0.96 45% 62% 18% -8 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 14% .20 55% .11
Jan
10		 New Hampshire C+ C+ B+ A+ B+ 43% 21% 36% C B+ F F F A+ D- A- D+ F F+ F C+ F 62% 6% 32% F F F F F D- B+ A+ A+
1.19 61% 45% 42% +7 0 1.17 11% 0.7 .07 6% .27 81% .22 1.18 65% 67% 31% +4 +4 1.18 35% 1.1 .39 16% .21 45% .09
Jan
15		 Bryant D B- F B+ B- 31% 14% 55% D+ C+ F F+ F D- B A+ A F F C+ D- F 52% 10% 38% F+ F F D- F C B A+ B+
1.08 63% 29% 39% +4 0 1.12 16% 0.8 .13 16% .35 85% .30 1.15 70% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.21 38% 1.1 .41 22% .22 67% .15
Jan
19		 Binghamton B- B- B+ B+ B- 47% 25% 28% D+ C+ F A+ D- A- F B F B- D+ A C C 41% 29% 31% B- C+ C- D+ C- F A A+ A+
1.23 64% 46% 40% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.8 .26 8% .21 75% .15 0.95 60% 29% 33% -2 -1 0.96 19% 0.9 .17 13% .27 47% .13
Jan
22		 NJIT B A+ A F B+ 36% 26% 38% D- B F A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ D- D- A D F+ 42% 26% 32% D+ D- F B- D F+ F+ A+ B-
1.24 78% 46% 26% +5 -1 1.10 19% 1.5 .29 9% .47 77% .36 1.06 64% 29% 35% 0 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .28 14% .38 52% .20
Jan
24		 Umass Lowell C+ B- D+ C- C- 50% 21% 29% C C- F C F+ C- A A+ A+ A A F A+ A 40% 19% 42% C A- A- A+ A+ F A+ D+ A+
1.19 62% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.2 .26 14% .35 95% .33 0.84 43% 70% 18% -10 0 0.83 26% 0.7 .18 14% .16 67% .10
Jan
29		 Vermont F C F F F 26% 21% 53% C- F F A+ D- B B+ D+ B B A+ F D C- 27% 13% 60% C C- A A+ A+ D+ F A+ D
0.86 58% 20% 20% -15 -1 0.70 14% 1.4 .19 11% .37 71% .26 1.00 42% 67% 37% +2 0 1.07 15% 0.6 .09 14% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Albany D D- A+ A+ C+ 54% 12% 34% A- B- F F F C A+ A A+ C+ C A B B 39% 14% 47% D+ B- D F F C A- A+ A
1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41 1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08
Feb
5		 Binghamton C- F+ B B- D- 42% 16% 42% C D- F+ F F A+ D+ B- C- C+ A F A+ C 28% 32% 40% A C+ A+ A+ A+ F B F C+
1.19 50% 44% 38% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.8 .20 5% .30 74% .22 0.94 43% 63% 25% -2 -2 0.94 6% 0.0 .00 12% .31 83% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Maine B- C- A+ F C- 42% 29% 29% D D+ D D- F+ A+ B A+ A+ C+ A A B+ A- 42% 15% 44% D- B+ B+ F C F F D F
1.15 59% 53% 20% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.9 .29 9% .36 86% .31 0.92 45% 29% 29% -10 +1 0.83 14% 1.4 .19 15% .43 68% .29
Feb
14		 New Hampshire B+ A- A+ A- A 31% 25% 44% D- A- F C- F+ B+ C- A+ B- B- F A+ B- F 33% 13% 54% C F+ C+ A+ A+ C F C+ F+
1.24 69% 54% 39% +11 -1 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 12% .31 84% .26 0.92 75% 17% 31% 0 +1 1.04 24% 0.1 .03 19% .36 65% .23
Feb
19		 Vermont C- C+ F B+ D- 27% 27% 47% D D- C- C- C- C+ A+ A- A+ A- A+ A+ D+ A+ 34% 17% 48% C A+ A C B+ F A+ F A
1.11 62% 8% 39% -4 -2 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .42 80% .34 0.92 40% 10% 36% -10 0 0.83 17% 1.0 .17 10% .17 80% .13
Feb
21		 Albany D D F A- D 44% 17% 38% C+ D+ D F F B+ F+ B- D- C- C+ F F F 53% 13% 34% F F A+ D+ A C A+ F A+
1.11 52% 22% 40% -2 +1 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 12% .25 77% .19 1.04 56% 67% 44% +8 +2 1.21 20% 1.0 .20 20% .08 75% .06
Feb
26		 Bryant D B A+ F C- 45% 14% 40% C C C+ C+ C+ F A- A+ A+ B- A+ D D- C+ 43% 11% 47% D C+ A+ C- A- F F A- F
1.11 63% 50% 29% +1 +1 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 19% .37 89% .33 0.92 35% 40% 36% -8 +2 0.89 17% 1.0 .17 16% .38 70% .26
Feb
28		 Umass Lowell A A A+ F A+ 49% 34% 17% F+ A F A D- A+ C- D C- A- A A+ A+ A+ 48% 14% 38% F+ A+ B F C- F A+ C A
1.28 69% 67% 22% +12 -1 1.25 20% 1.4 .28 6% .26 69% .18 0.92 44% 13% 24% -16 +2 0.73 27% 1.3 .34 9% .19 64% .12
Mar
3		 NJIT A D B A+ A- 29% 23% 48% D- B+ A+ B+ A+ F D B+ C- A+ A- F A+ A 28% 26% 47% B- A- C- A+ A A C C C
1.30 53% 42% 44% +7 -1 1.13 47% 1.2 .56 20% .30 76% .23 0.74 46% 50% 18% -11 -1 0.77 27% 0.4 .10 23% .31 71% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 45.5% 45.5% 15.5 0.1 2.2 17.1 26.2 54.5
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 45.5% 45.5% 0.0% 15.5 54.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 45.5% 100.0% 15.5 0.1 4.7 37.6 57.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 22.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 20.1%
Lose Out 12.1%