Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#272
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#185
Pace68.0#220
Improvement+0.2#170

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#220
First Shot-0.4#191
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#266
Layup/Dunks+2.6#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#182
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#218
Freethrows-1.8#279
Improvement+1.2#79

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#319
First Shot-5.0#331
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#131
Layups/Dunks-3.6#304
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#313
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#300
Freethrows+4.5#8
Improvement-1.0#278
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.5% 18.7% 14.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 72.6% 83.5% 63.6%
.500 or above in Conference 77.9% 82.4% 74.2%
Conference Champion 20.9% 25.4% 17.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.8% 2.7% 4.6%
First Four8.4% 8.0% 8.7%
First Round11.9% 14.4% 9.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bucknell (Away) - 45.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 416 - 716 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 67 @Dayton L 71-77 6%     0 - 1 +5.5 +9.0 -3.8
  Tue, Nov 11 359 @Morgan St. W 81-79 69%     1 - 1 -9.2 +0.5 -9.7
  Sun, Nov 16 297 Wagner W 71-70 OT 67%     2 - 1 -9.6 -11.3 +1.6
  Wed, Nov 19 62 @George Washington L 52-89 5%     2 - 2 -24.9 -19.6 -4.7
  Sat, Nov 29 355 Delaware St. W 71-57 83%     3 - 2 -2.5 -2.4 +0.7
  Wed, Dec 3 85 @Georgetown L 81-90 8%     3 - 3 +0.3 +14.9 -15.0
  Sat, Dec 6 304 @Bucknell L 73-74 45%    
  Tue, Dec 9 215 Buffalo W 75-74 51%    
  Fri, Dec 12 342 Army W 78-70 78%    
  Sun, Dec 21 79 @South Florida L 71-87 6%    
  Mon, Dec 29 364 @Coppin St. W 77-69 76%    
  Thu, Jan 8 326 Maine W 70-64 71%    
  Sat, Jan 10 344 New Hampshire W 76-68 77%    
  Thu, Jan 15 295 @Bryant L 70-72 44%    
  Mon, Jan 19 349 @Binghamton W 73-70 61%    
  Thu, Jan 22 351 NJIT W 77-68 80%    
  Sat, Jan 24 314 Umass Lowell W 79-74 68%    
  Thu, Jan 29 189 @Vermont L 70-77 26%    
  Sat, Jan 31 324 @Albany W 74-73 50%    
  Thu, Feb 5 349 Binghamton W 76-67 79%    
  Thu, Feb 12 326 @Maine W 67-66 50%    
  Sat, Feb 14 344 @New Hampshire W 73-71 58%    
  Thu, Feb 19 189 Vermont L 73-74 47%    
  Sat, Feb 21 324 Albany W 76-70 70%    
  Thu, Feb 26 295 Bryant W 73-69 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 314 @Umass Lowell L 76-77 47%    
  Tue, Mar 3 351 @NJIT W 74-71 61%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 3.0 5.5 6.0 3.6 1.6 0.3 20.9 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 6.2 8.3 4.9 1.5 0.2 22.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 6.4 6.2 2.3 0.2 16.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.9 5.1 1.4 0.1 12.4 4th
5th 0.4 4.1 4.6 1.0 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 3.6 1.0 0.0 7.2 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 2.6 0.9 0.0 5.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.5 0.6 0.0 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.8 3.5 6.1 9.6 11.9 14.0 14.6 13.7 10.7 7.5 3.7 1.6 0.3 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 1.6    1.6 0.0
14-2 96.0% 3.6    3.2 0.4
13-3 80.2% 6.0    4.2 1.8 0.0
12-4 51.7% 5.5    2.9 2.2 0.4 0.0
11-5 22.2% 3.0    0.9 1.3 0.7 0.1
10-6 5.3% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 20.9% 20.9 13.1 6.0 1.4 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 42.5% 42.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-1 1.6% 42.6% 42.6% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.9
14-2 3.7% 36.9% 36.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 2.4
13-3 7.5% 33.6% 33.6% 15.5 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.4 5.0
12-4 10.7% 25.8% 25.8% 15.7 0.0 0.6 2.1 7.9
11-5 13.7% 21.5% 21.5% 15.9 0.0 0.4 2.5 10.7
10-6 14.6% 15.6% 15.6% 16.0 0.1 2.2 12.3
9-7 14.0% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.0 1.6 12.4
8-8 11.9% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 0.0 1.2 10.7
7-9 9.6% 6.4% 6.4% 16.0 0.6 9.0
6-10 6.1% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.3 5.8
5-11 3.5% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 3.4
4-12 1.8% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 1.8
3-13 0.8% 0.8
2-14 0.3% 0.3
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.5% 16.5% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 3.1 12.5 83.6 0.0%