Maryland Baltimore Co.
America East
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -5.6 259
Expected Predictive Rating -5.6 253
Pace 66.0 248
Improvement +1.4 126

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #246 C- F+ C+ D+ C-
Defense D+ #265 D+ C F+ A C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 230 59% 161 -0.8 212
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 140 37% 198 +0.7 137
Three Pointers 41% 186 32% 256 -1.2 225
1st FG Attempt 0.99 221 -1.4 216
Second Chance 21.1% 357 1.00 216 0.21 352
Turnovers 16.0% 123
Freethrows 0.27 288 74% 140 0.20 261
Total Offense -2.7 246

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 67 60% 239 -3.4 297
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 185 41% 292 -0.3 207
Three Pointers 37% 305 37% 302 +0.8 151
1st FG Attempt 1.09 289 -2.9 278
Second Chance 29.4% 132 1.06 246 0.31 187
Turnovers 13.0% 349
Freethrows 0.22 12 68% 23 0.15 9
Total Defense -2.9 265

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.4 239 +0.3 232
Shot Type Accuracy -1.2 215 +3.0 292
Possession Length 17.5 201 18.0 293
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 199 0.13 50
Improvement +0.1 #172 +1.3 #114

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24% 25% 21%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 98% 100% 96%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 99%
Conference Champion 48% 59% 32%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four16% 15% 16%
First Round16% 18% 13%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Maine (Away) - 61.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 10 - 5
Quad 418 - 618 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 97 @Dayton L 71 - 77 10% -4  14% 0 - 1 C+ +2 B +6 C+ B+ C D+ -4 D D- D-
 Tue, Nov 11 352 @Morgan St. W 81 - 79 69% +6  77% 1 - 1 D -9 D+ -3 A+ F F D -6 D+ F+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 331 Wagner W 71 - 70 OT 79% -1  38% 2 - 1 D- -13 F -18 F B+ F B +5 B B- C+
 Wed, Nov 19 84 @George Washington L 52 - 89 8% -24  0% 2 - 2 F -27 F -22 F F D D+ -5 F A+ D
 Sat, Nov 29 359 Delaware St. W 71 - 57 88% +8  97% 3 - 2 C- -4 D -4 C F C C+ +1 C+ C F
 Wed, Dec 3 76 @Georgetown L 81 - 90 7% -11  0% 3 - 3 C +2 A+ +14 B B A+ F -13 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 324 @Bucknell W 73 - 66 56% +1  53% 4 - 3 C -0 C+ +2 B F D+ C -1 C+ D F
 Tue, Dec 9 202 Buffalo L 79 - 83 50% +1  57% 4 - 4 D -10 C+ +3 B- C C+ F -12 F C+ D+
 Fri, Dec 12 341 Army L 60 - 63 81% -5  12% 4 - 5 F -18 F -20 F F B C+ +2 B B D
 Sun, Dec 21 62 @South Florida L 69 - 94 6% -15  1% 4 - 6 D- -13 D -4 D C- D+ D- -8 F D F
 Mon, Dec 29 364 @Coppin St. W 93 - 59 85% +18  98% 5 - 6 A- +17 B+ +8 D+ A+ B+ A- +9 C A- D-
 Thu, Jan 8 338 Maine W 69 - 62 80% +6  79% 6 - 6 1 - 0 D+ -8 D+ -4 D+ F A+ C- -3 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 327 New Hampshire W 75 - 74 77% -3  13% 7 - 6 2 - 0 D- -12 B- +4 A- F A+ F -16 F F D-
 Thu, Jan 15 342 @Bryant L 74 - 79 OT 63% -1  24% 7 - 7 2 - 1 D- -14 D+ -3 B- F D- F -11 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 361 @Binghamton W 78 - 60 78% +9  81% 8 - 7 3 - 1 C+ +4 B- +4 C+ D- A- C+ +2 C- C F
 Thu, Jan 22 315 NJIT W 87 - 74 74% +14  98% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C +1 B+ +8 B D A+ D -7 F+ D+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 318 Umass Lowell W 79 - 56 75% +12  98% 10 - 7 5 - 1 B +10 C +1 C- D- C- A +10 A- A F
 Thu, Jan 29 224 @Vermont L 55 - 64 30% -2  22% 10 - 8 5 - 2 D -9 F -16 F D- B B +6 C A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 31 325 @Albany W 68 - 65 56% -3  21% 11 - 8 6 - 2 C- -4 D -4 B- F C+ C+ +0 C+ F C+
 Thu, Feb 5 361 Binghamton W 79 - 62 90% +11  99% 12 - 8 7 - 2 C- -3 C- -1 D F A+ C -0 C- A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 338 @Maine W 68 - 65 61%
 Sat, Feb 14 327 @New Hampshire W 72 - 70 57%
 Thu, Feb 19 224 Vermont W 71 - 70 53%
 Sat, Feb 21 325 Albany W 76 - 68 76%
 Thu, Feb 26 342 Bryant W 73 - 64 81%
 Sat, Feb 28 318 @Umass Lowell W 75 - 74 54%
 Tue, Mar 3 315 @NJIT W 72 - 71 52%
Totals 16 - 11 11 - 5 -6 C- -3 C- F+ C+ D+ -3 D+ C F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C- D+ C- 37% 22% 41% C- C- F C- F+ C+ D+ C+ D+ D+ C- D+ D D 43% 20% 37% C- D+ C+ C- C F+ A- A- A
1.05 59% 37% 32% -1 0 0.99 21% 1.0 .21 16% .27 74% .20 1.13 60% 41% 37% +3 0 1.09 29% 1.1 .31 13% .22 68% .18
Nov
8		 Dayton B D C B+ C+ 28% 26% 46% D+ C+ B B B+ C F A+ F+ D+ F D+ B+ D- 39% 24% 37% A D B+ F D- D- C D D+
1.07 50% 38% 39% +2 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 23% .20 80% .16 1.17 78% 36% 29% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.7 .38 14% .42 79% .33
Nov
11		 Morgan St. D+ A A A A+ 45% 5% 50% B A+ F F F F C D D+ D A A+ F C- 45% 22% 33% F D+ D- D- F+ F A+ D+ A+
1.13 75% 50% 41% +14 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30 1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16
Nov
16		 Wagner F D+ C F F 35% 27% 38% F+ F C A+ B+ F A+ D A+ B A- F A+ B+ 50% 24% 26% C- B B+ D+ B- C+ C A B-
0.94 53% 38% 17% -11 -1 0.77 32% 1.3 .42 24% .55 69% .38 0.92 44% 54% 21% -8 0 0.87 27% 1.2 .32 20% .26 63% .16
Nov
19		 George Washington F B- F F F 39% 20% 41% C F F C- F D B- F C- D+ D A+ F F 47% 7% 47% C- F A+ A+ A+ D A+ A- A+
0.73 63% 0% 20% -14 0 0.73 15% 1.0 .15 20% .32 61% .19 1.25 67% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.33 26% 0.8 .19 15% .20 67% .13
Nov
29		 Delaware St. D B F B+ C 47% 13% 40% B- C D F F C F D F C+ C- A- B C 35% 52% 13% A+ C+ C C- C F A+ F A
1.07 68% 14% 38% +4 +2 1.13 27% 0.7 .18 18% .17 67% .11 0.86 53% 29% 29% -8 -4 0.78 25% 0.8 .20 14% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Georgetown A+ B- A+ C B+ 34% 29% 38% C- B C+ A B A+ C- A C+ F F A+ F F 42% 18% 40% D- F A+ F D+ F A+ A- A+
1.21 58% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.05 30% 1.2 .36 10% .27 81% .22 1.34 71% 20% 48% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.7 .41 9% .16 70% .11
Dec
6		 Bucknell C+ B- B A+ B+ 37% 28% 35% D+ B F D+ F D+ D+ A C C C- A+ B C 38% 20% 42% C+ C+ F B+ D F D+ A- C
1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23 1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22
Dec
9		 Buffalo C+ C+ A+ C+ B+ 30% 23% 47% F+ B- D- A- C C+ F A+ F+ F F+ F F F 50% 21% 29% C- F D A- C+ D+ B- F D
1.19 63% 67% 36% +9 -1 1.19 27% 1.1 .31 17% .14 100% .14 1.25 67% 60% 43% +13 +1 1.29 31% 0.9 .27 15% .32 89% .28
Dec
12		 Army F B D- F F 28% 25% 47% D- F F F F B F+ F F C+ A+ A+ D- A- 55% 4% 40% F B B B+ B D F F F
0.91 67% 31% 28% -3 -1 0.92 20% 0.8 .15 12% .28 38% .10 0.95 38% 0% 37% -11 +3 0.87 26% 0.8 .21 15% .36 80% .29
Dec
21		 South Florida D C- B F D+ 35% 35% 30% D- D D- B+ C- D+ D B+ C- D- C- A+ F F+ 54% 4% 42% D- F B+ F D F A+ C+ A
0.94 53% 42% 25% -4 -2 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 21% .28 75% .21 1.29 58% 0% 42% +4 +3 1.16 34% 1.5 .51 11% .28 72% .20
Dec
29		 Coppin St. B+ F C+ A+ D- 43% 10% 47% B D+ C- A+ A+ B+ C F F A- D A+ C+ C+ 38% 19% 42% F+ C A+ F A- D- A- B- A-
1.29 45% 40% 46% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.9 .68 14% .37 57% .21 0.82 60% 0% 32% -8 0 0.87 15% 1.2 .18 19% .26 67% .17
Jan
8		 Maine D+ B- F A D+ 51% 29% 20% C- D+ F F F A+ A B A C- A F A+ B 42% 25% 33% C B- D- F F F A+ A+ A+
1.07 64% 14% 40% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.6 .18 12% .41 74% .30 0.96 45% 62% 18% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 14% .20 55% .11
Jan
10		 New Hampshire B- C+ A- A+ A 43% 21% 36% C A- F F F A+ F+ A- D F F+ F C+ F 62% 6% 32% F F F D- F D- B+ A+ A+
1.19 61% 45% 42% +7 0 1.17 11% 0.7 .07 6% .27 81% .22 1.18 65% 67% 31% +4 +4 1.18 35% 1.1 .39 16% .21 45% .09
Jan
15		 Bryant D+ B F+ B+ B 31% 14% 55% D+ B- F F+ F D- B A+ A F F C+ D- F 52% 10% 38% F F F D F C B A B+
1.08 63% 29% 39% +5 0 1.12 16% 0.8 .13 16% .35 85% .30 1.15 70% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.21 38% 1.1 .41 22% .22 67% .15
Jan
19		 Binghamton B- B B+ B+ B- 47% 25% 28% D+ C+ F A+ D- A- F B F C+ D+ A C- D+ 41% 29% 31% B C- C D+ C F A A+ A+
1.23 64% 46% 40% +7 0 1.17 15% 1.8 .26 8% .21 75% .15 0.95 60% 29% 33% -2 -1 0.96 19% 0.9 .17 13% .27 47% .13
Jan
22		 NJIT B+ A+ A F A- 36% 26% 38% D- B F A+ D A+ A+ B+ A+ D F+ A- D F+ 42% 26% 32% D+ F+ F B+ D+ F+ F+ A+ B-
1.24 78% 46% 26% +5 -1 1.10 19% 1.5 .29 9% .47 77% .36 1.06 64% 29% 35% +1 -1 1.02 35% 0.8 .28 14% .38 52% .20
Jan
24		 Umass Lowell C C+ C- C- C- 50% 21% 29% C C- F C+ D- C- A- A+ A+ A A F A+ A 40% 19% 42% C- A- B+ A+ A F A+ D+ A+
1.19 62% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 22% 1.2 .26 14% .35 95% .33 0.84 43% 70% 18% -10 0 0.83 26% 0.7 .18 14% .16 67% .10
Jan
29		 Vermont F C F F F 26% 21% 53% D+ F F A+ D- B B C- B- B A+ F D C- 27% 13% 60% C+ C A+ A+ A+ D+ F A+ D
0.86 58% 20% 20% -15 -1 0.70 14% 1.4 .19 11% .37 71% .26 1.00 42% 67% 37% +2 0 1.07 15% 0.6 .09 14% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Albany D D- A+ A+ C+ 54% 12% 34% A- B- F F F C+ A+ B+ A+ C+ C A B- C+ 39% 14% 47% D+ C+ D- F F C+ A- A+ A
1.07 50% 60% 43% +3 +2 1.12 19% 0.0 .00 14% .50 81% .41 1.03 58% 29% 30% -4 +1 0.96 35% 1.2 .41 21% .16 50% .08
Feb
5		 Binghamton C- F+ B B- D- 42% 16% 42% C D D- F F A+ C- B- C C A F A D 28% 32% 40% A+ C- A+ A+ A+ F B+ F B-
1.19 50% 44% 38% 0 +1 1.04 25% 0.8 .20 5% .30 74% .22 0.94 43% 63% 25% -2 -2 0.94 6% 0.0 .00 12% .31 83% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 6.7 20.1 16.3 4.6 48.1 1st
2nd 0.4 6.4 15.6 5.8 0.1 28.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.6 10.0 3.7 0.1 18.5 3rd
4th 0.8 2.5 0.4 3.8 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 0.1 0.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.1 0.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.3 1.9 7.6 17.2 26.0 26.0 16.4 4.6 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 4.6    4.6
13-3 99.4% 16.3    14.2 2.1
12-4 77.5% 20.1    8.4 10.2 1.5
11-5 25.7% 6.7    0.9 3.3 2.4 0.1
10-6 2.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 48.1% 48.1 28.1 15.7 4.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 4.6% 39.0% 39.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.3 2.8
13-3 16.4% 31.7% 31.7% 15.9 0.0 0.6 4.6 11.2
12-4 26.0% 26.2% 26.2% 16.0 0.3 6.6 19.2
11-5 26.0% 21.8% 21.8% 16.0 0.2 5.5 20.4
10-6 17.2% 17.7% 17.7% 16.0 0.0 3.0 14.2
9-7 7.6% 13.8% 13.8% 16.0 0.0 1.0 6.6
8-8 1.9% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.2 1.7
7-9 0.3% 7.4% 7.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 23.8% 23.8% 0.0% 15.9 76.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.8% 100.0% 15.0 0.6 13.3 71.7 14.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%