Georgetown
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.0#71
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#64
Pace69.0#179
Improvement+6.1#2

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#84
First Shot+0.9#156
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#37
Layup/Dunks+5.9#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#227
Freethrows-3.1#340
Improvement+3.1#17

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#68
First Shot+5.4#39
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#265
Layups/Dunks+5.7#29
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#175
Freethrows+1.5#84
Improvement+3.0#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 1.6% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.7% 23.0% 12.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.7% 20.8% 11.0%
Average Seed 9.5 9.4 9.8
.500 or above 82.9% 89.7% 73.4%
.500 or above in Conference 42.7% 52.7% 28.5%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 2.4% 11.8%
First Four5.5% 6.4% 4.2%
First Round15.7% 19.5% 10.4%
Second Round6.7% 8.4% 4.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.7% 2.2% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 58.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 25 - 47 - 12
Quad 33 - 211 - 14
Quad 48 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 243   Lehigh W 85-77 92%     1 - 0 +0.3 +2.4 -2.4
  Nov 09, 2024 281   Fairfield W 69-57 94%     2 - 0 +2.3 -9.3 +11.9
  Nov 16, 2024 82   Notre Dame L 63-84 66%     2 - 1 -17.2 -2.6 -16.5
  Nov 20, 2024 254   Mount St. Mary's W 79-51 93%     3 - 1 +19.9 +2.6 +17.1
  Nov 23, 2024 336   St. Francis (PA) W 82-65 97%     4 - 1 +2.9 +1.2 +1.4
  Nov 26, 2024 308   Wagner W 66-41 95%     5 - 1 +13.8 +3.0 +14.8
  Nov 30, 2024 236   Albany W 100-68 91%     6 - 1 +25.0 +13.6 +8.5
  Dec 02, 2024 250   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 86-62 92%     7 - 1 +16.1 -3.9 +17.0
  Dec 06, 2024 39   @ West Virginia L 60-73 26%     7 - 2 +1.6 -1.9 +2.9
  Dec 14, 2024 95   @ Syracuse W 75-71 47%     8 - 2 +12.7 +7.2 +5.6
  Dec 18, 2024 50   Creighton W 81-57 53%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +31.3 +15.0 +17.1
  Dec 22, 2024 116   @ Seton Hall W 64-62 59%    
  Dec 28, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 82-53 99.7%   
  Jan 03, 2025 47   Xavier W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 07, 2025 17   @ Marquette L 69-79 17%    
  Jan 11, 2025 11   Connecticut L 70-76 29%    
  Jan 14, 2025 12   @ St. John's L 69-80 15%    
  Jan 17, 2025 100   DePaul W 75-69 71%    
  Jan 20, 2025 46   @ Villanova L 68-74 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 77   @ Providence L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 28, 2025 12   St. John's L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 31, 2025 73   Butler W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 04, 2025 47   @ Xavier L 72-77 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 116   Seton Hall W 67-59 77%    
  Feb 15, 2025 73   @ Butler L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 19, 2025 77   Providence W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 23, 2025 50   @ Creighton L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 26, 2025 11   @ Connecticut L 67-79 14%    
  Mar 01, 2025 17   Marquette L 72-76 36%    
  Mar 04, 2025 46   Villanova W 71-70 52%    
  Mar 08, 2025 100   @ DePaul L 72-73 50%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 4.1 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.2 1.7 5.1 4.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 13.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 5.7 5.3 1.4 0.1 14.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.9 5.8 5.5 1.4 0.1 14.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.2 4.9 1.4 0.1 13.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.1 3.7 1.0 0.1 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 2.3 0.6 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.7 5.0 8.5 11.4 13.9 14.4 13.3 11.3 7.8 5.3 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 85.3% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 71.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 32.8% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 20.6% 79.4% 4.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.5% 99.6% 14.3% 85.3% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
15-5 1.4% 94.4% 12.2% 82.2% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.6%
14-6 2.8% 89.8% 10.1% 79.7% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.3 88.6%
13-7 5.3% 70.4% 6.9% 63.5% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.0 1.6 68.2%
12-8 7.8% 50.6% 4.4% 46.2% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.1 3.8 48.3%
11-9 11.3% 30.4% 3.0% 27.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.7 0.1 7.8 28.2%
10-10 13.3% 15.9% 2.4% 13.5% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 0.2 11.2 13.8%
9-11 14.4% 3.9% 1.2% 2.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 13.9 2.7%
8-12 13.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.7 0.4%
7-13 11.4% 0.6% 0.6% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.4
6-14 8.5% 0.4% 0.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 8.5
5-15 5.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0
4-16 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 2.7
3-17 1.0% 1.0
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 18.7% 2.4% 16.3% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.2 3.3 4.8 5.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 81.3 16.7%