Georgetown
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +5.6 #93
Expected Predictive Rating +4.7 #98
Pace 68.3 #200
Improvement +0.3 #173

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #99 D+ B+ A B- C-
Defense #103 B- C C C+ A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #150 1.12 #223 -0.2 #186
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #122 0.71 #237 +0.5 #153
Three Pointers 37% #259 0.97 #249 -2.7 #281
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #245 -2.4 #244
Freethrows 18.5 #121 74% #134 13.8 #109
Second Chance 33.9% #92 1.17 #44 0.40 #51
Turnovers 13.1% #19
Total Offense +3.1 #99

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #323 0.97 #15 +6.6 #19
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #47 0.82 #284 -2.8 #349
Three Pointers 42% #161 1.04 #214 -0.8 #212
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #87 +2.9 #86
Freethrows 16.6 #148 72% #158 12.0 #151
Second Chance 29.3% #124 1.09 #246 0.32 #186
Turnovers 16.8% #160
Total Defense +2.6 #103

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #228 -2.2% #31
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.3% #245 -3.5% #114
Possession Length 16.6 #108 18.8 #348
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 #20 0.17 #194
Improvement -0.2 #192 +0.5 #151

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.1% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.6 11.1 12.3
.500 or above 10.7% 21.5% 6.3%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 2.4% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 47.3% 28.3% 55.1%
First Four0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 29.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 11
Quad 24 - 66 - 17
Quad 32 - 28 - 19
Quad 46 - 014 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 360 Morgan St. W 87 - 70 98% +10  1 - 0 -2 -2 F C A+ -1 C D B+
 Fri, Nov 7 100 @Maryland W 70 - 60 41% +10  2 - 0 +18 +3 F B- B- +16 A+ B- B+
 Wed, Nov 12 362 Binghamton W 83 - 70 98% +8  3 - 0 -6 +6 F B- A+ -11 D+ C+ C-
 Sat, Nov 15 32 Clemson W 79 - 74 30% +1  4 - 0 +16 +14 A- C+ A+ +2 A B- C
 Sat, Nov 22 326 Wagner W 92 - 75 95% +11  5 - 0 +4 +5 C B+ B- -3 C- A A
 Thu, Nov 27 73 Dayton L 79 - 84 OT 42% -7  5 - 1 +3 +7 A- D- A+ -4 C+ C- B-
 Fri, Nov 28 40 Miami (FL) L 65 - 78 26% -14  5 - 2 -1 +4 F A+ A+ -5 F B- A+
 Wed, Dec 3 275 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90 - 81 91% +11  6 - 2 -0 +15 A B+ A+ -15 D+ F F
 Sun, Dec 7 31 @North Carolina L 61 - 81 14% -7  6 - 3 -3 -6 F C A+ +4 C A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 220 St. Peter's W 76 - 68 OT 87% +7  7 - 3 +1 +1 C B D+ +0 B- A+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 102 @Marquette W 78 - 69 42% +2  8 - 3 1 - 0 +17 +16 C A+ A+ +1 A+ F D
 Sat, Dec 20 81 Xavier L 77 - 80 55% +2  8 - 4 1 - 1 +1 +2 C- D A+ -0 C B- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. W 97 - 67 99% +22  9 - 4 +7 +10 B+ D A+ -4 D D D-
 Wed, Dec 31 18 St. John's L 83 - 95 20% -6  9 - 5 1 - 2 +2 +18 A+ B- A+ -15 F F B
 Tue, Jan 6 99 @DePaul L 50 - 56 40% -2  9 - 6 1 - 3 +2 -14 F A+ D+ +16 A+ B+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 56 Seton Hall L 67 - 76 44% +2  9 - 7 1 - 4 -2 +2 F B A+ -4 A D+ C
 Tue, Jan 13 44 @Creighton L 83 - 86 OT 20% +1  9 - 8 1 - 5 +11 +22 A+ A+ B+ -11 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 17 7 Connecticut L 62 - 64 14% -4  9 - 9 1 - 6 +15 +10 B+ A+ F +5 A+ B- F
 Wed, Jan 21 33 @Villanova L 51 - 66 15% -8  9 - 10 1 - 7 +2 -8 F F F +9 A+ B C-
 Sat, Jan 24 65 @Providence L 80 - 86 29%
 Wed, Jan 28 99 DePaul W 73 - 70 62%
 Sat, Jan 31 59 @Butler L 75 - 82 26%
 Wed, Feb 4 44 Creighton L 74 - 77 40%
 Sat, Feb 7 33 Villanova L 68 - 73 31%
 Sat, Feb 14 7 @Connecticut L 61 - 79 5%
 Wed, Feb 18 59 Butler L 78 - 79 46%
 Sat, Feb 21 56 @Seton Hall L 64 - 72 24%
 Tue, Feb 24 102 Marquette W 78 - 74 65%
 Sat, Feb 28 81 @Xavier L 74 - 79 33%
 Tue, Mar 3 18 @St. John's L 69 - 84 8%
 Sat, Mar 7 65 Providence W 84 - 83 50%
Totals 13 - 18 5 - 15 +6 +3 D+ B+ A +3 B- C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.3 5th
6th 0.4 1.9 1.4 0.2 3.8 6th
7th 0.3 3.2 3.2 0.4 0.0 7.1 7th
8th 0.5 4.0 6.3 1.1 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 5.2 9.4 2.8 0.1 18.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 7.7 12.4 4.9 0.3 26.9 10th
11th 1.0 4.6 10.2 10.6 4.1 0.3 0.0 30.7 11th
Total 1.0 4.6 11.6 18.9 22.2 18.9 12.9 6.4 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 35.7% 3.6% 32.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 33.3%
10-10 0.7% 22.0% 2.8% 19.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 19.7%
9-11 2.6% 4.2% 1.4% 2.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5 2.9%
8-12 6.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 6.4 0.1%
7-13 12.9% 0.2% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 12.9
6-14 18.9% 0.2% 0.2% 12.6 0.0 0.0 18.8
5-15 22.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 22.2
4-16 18.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 18.8
3-17 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.6
2-18 4.6% 4.6
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 11.6 99.5 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%