Georgetown
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +7.5 76
Expected Predictive Rating +7.8 73
Pace 67.2 223
Improvement +3.4 53

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- #82 C B B+ B+ C-
Defense B- #72 B- C+ C C+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 183 57% 198 -0.4 187
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 117 40% 93 +1.4 103
Three Pointers 38% 242 34% 189 -1.5 236
1st FG Attempt 1.01 185 -0.5 189
Second Chance 33.5% 92 1.11 64 0.37 65
Turnovers 13.9% 28
Freethrows 0.35 60 76% 61 0.26 41
Total Offense +3.8 82

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 314 50% 26 +5.6 29
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 46 38% 179 -2.2 334
Three Pointers 41% 179 34% 197 -0.2 194
1st FG Attempt 0.95 66 +3.2 72
Second Chance 29.5% 136 0.98 107 0.29 109
Turnovers 17.0% 181
Freethrows 0.28 107 73% 214 0.20 123
Total Defense +3.7 72

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.3 238 -1.0 34
Shot Type Accuracy +0.1 171 -2.3 84
Possession Length 16.6 106 18.8 350
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.26 14 0.15 117
Improvement +0.7 #139 +2.6 #48

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 6% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1% 5% 1%
Average Seed 11.0 10.7 11.1
.500 or above 58% 90% 56%
.500 or above in Conference 7% 31% 6%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 10% 2% 10%
First Four1% 4% 1%
First Round1% 5% 1%
Second Round0% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 5.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 57 - 14
Quad 34 - 210 - 16
Quad 46 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 352 Morgan St. W 87 - 70 98% +10  75% 1 - 0 C +0 D+ -4 F C+ A+ B- +3 C- C- B
 Fri, Nov 7 104 @Maryland W 70 - 60 50% +10  99% 2 - 0 A- +17 C- -1 F C+ C+ A+ +19 A+ B- C+
 Wed, Nov 12 361 Binghamton W 83 - 70 99% +8  91% 3 - 0 D+ -7 C+ +2 F+ B- A+ D- -8 D+ C+ D+
 Sat, Nov 15 38 Clemson W 79 - 74 37% +1  47% 4 - 0 A- +16 A +11 B+ B- A+ B +5 A- B- C-
 Sat, Nov 22 331 Wagner W 92 - 75 97% +11  90% 5 - 0 C+ +3 C+ +3 C- B B C -1 D+ B B
 Thu, Nov 27 97 Dayton L 79 - 84 OT 59% -7  6% 5 - 1 C +0 C+ +2 B+ D- A+ C- -2 C+ C C
 Fri, Nov 28 41 Miami (FL) L 65 - 78 30% -14  0% 5 - 2 C -0 C +1 F A+ B C- -2 F B- A+
 Wed, Dec 3 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90 - 81 93% +11  99% 6 - 2 C +0 A +14 A- A- A F -13 D+ F F
 Sun, Dec 7 26 @North Carolina L 61 - 81 15% -7  15% 6 - 3 C -2 F+ -8 F C- A+ B+ +7 C+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 228 St. Peter's W 76 - 68 OT 90% +7  96% 7 - 3 C +1 C- -2 C B D+ B- +3 B- A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 85 @Marquette W 78 - 69 42% +2  55% 8 - 3 1 - 0 A +19 A+ +15 C A+ A+ B +4 A D- F+
 Sat, Dec 20 83 Xavier L 77 - 80 65% +2  67% 8 - 4 1 - 1 C +1 C- -1 C- D+ A C+ +2 C C+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. W 97 - 67 99% +22  99% 9 - 4 B- +7 B+ +8 B D A+ C- -2 D+ D+ D-
 Wed, Dec 31 20 St. John's L 83 - 95 25% -6  28% 9 - 5 1 - 2 C+ +3 A+ +15 A+ B A F -13 D- F B-
 Tue, Jan 6 98 @DePaul L 50 - 56 47% -2  27% 9 - 6 1 - 3 C+ +2 F -16 F A+ C A+ +18 A A- A
 Sat, Jan 10 53 Seton Hall L 67 - 76 51% +2  77% 9 - 7 1 - 4 C- -2 C- -1 D- B- A+ C -1 A- D C
 Tue, Jan 13 61 @Creighton L 83 - 86 OT 34% +1  53% 9 - 8 1 - 5 B +9 A+ +18 A+ A+ A- F+ -10 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 17 7 Connecticut L 62 - 64 16% -4  15% 9 - 9 1 - 6 A- +16 B +7 B A+ D A- +9 A+ B F
 Wed, Jan 21 32 @Villanova L 51 - 66 18% -8  13% 9 - 10 1 - 7 C+ +2 F -11 D- D- F A +11 A+ B C-
 Sat, Jan 24 60 @Providence W 81 - 78 33% -9  11% 10 - 10 2 - 7 A- +15 A +13 A C A- C+ +2 B+ B D
 Wed, Jan 28 98 DePaul W 70 - 61 69% +6  97% 11 - 10 3 - 7 B+ +11 A- +11 A+ F+ B C+ +2 B C- B-
 Sat, Jan 31 75 @Butler W 77 - 64 38% +5  83% 12 - 10 4 - 7 A+ +24 A +12 A+ D+ B- A+ +13 A+ A+ F+
 Wed, Feb 4 61 Creighton W 76 - 68 57% +4  58% 13 - 10 5 - 7 B+ +14 D+ -3 D D+ C A+ +16 B+ A A+
 Sat, Feb 7 32 Villanova L 73 - 80 35% +1  58% 13 - 11 5 - 8 C+ +4 B- +4 D A+ C C+ +1 D+ B+ D+
 Sat, Feb 14 7 @Connecticut L 62 - 78 6%
 Wed, Feb 18 75 Butler W 77 - 74 62%
 Sat, Feb 21 53 @Seton Hall L 64 - 70 30%
 Tue, Feb 24 85 Marquette W 76 - 72 66%
 Sat, Feb 28 83 @Xavier L 75 - 77 42%
 Tue, Mar 3 20 @St. John's L 70 - 83 11%
 Sat, Mar 7 60 Providence W 84 - 82 55%
Totals 16 - 15 8 - 12 +8 B- +4 C B B+ B- +4 B- C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C C+ C C 38% 23% 38% C- C B- B- B B+ B B B+ B- B+ C C B- 33% 26% 41% B+ B- C+ C+ C+ C B- C C+
1.14 57% 40% 34% 0 0 1.01 33% 1.1 .37 14% .35 76% .26 1.03 50% 38% 34% -2 -1 0.95 29% 1.0 .29 17% .28 73% .25
Nov
3		 Morgan St. D+ D A+ F F 46% 9% 44% C+ F C B- C+ A+ A+ C- A B- A+ B+ F C 38% 27% 35% D+ C- C- C- C- B D- B- D
1.15 56% 80% 17% -9 +2 0.89 35% 1.3 .45 9% .57 69% .39 0.93 39% 31% 41% -5 -1 0.90 30% 0.9 .27 21% .40 71% .29
Nov
7		 Maryland C- D+ F+ F F 46% 15% 39% B F C B- C+ C+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 43% 15% 41% D A+ A- D- B- C+ F F F
1.01 52% 29% 22% -11 +1 0.83 28% 1.1 .31 16% .53 74% .40 0.87 30% 29% 16% -25 +1 0.54 29% 1.3 .36 19% .66 81% .53
Nov
12		 Binghamton C+ D- A+ F D- 44% 27% 29% D- F+ A- D B- A+ C+ A+ B+ D- C C- D F+ 20% 34% 45% A+ D+ C- B+ C+ D+ F F F
1.24 52% 57% 27% -1 0 1.00 41% 1.0 .41 6% .33 81% .27 1.05 56% 40% 35% +1 -3 0.98 21% 0.7 .14 19% .46 92% .43
Nov
15		 Clemson A C A- C+ A- 37% 33% 31% D+ B+ D+ A+ B- A+ A+ B- A+ B C+ A+ C- B+ 32% 21% 47% A A- C+ B- B- C- C+ B- B-
1.13 56% 44% 33% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.3 .26 11% .52 78% .40 1.06 59% 27% 36% 0 0 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 14% .33 70% .23
Nov
22		 Wagner C+ B- D+ B C 42% 25% 33% D C- C- A+ B B B A+ A+ C C B- D+ D+ 37% 21% 42% C+ D+ B B B B D- D D-
1.23 61% 36% 39% +3 0 1.07 29% 1.4 .40 12% .43 89% .38 1.00 53% 36% 36% -1 0 1.00 28% 1.0 .28 21% .32 74% .24
Nov
27		 Dayton C+ B- C A B+ 36% 24% 40% C B+ D+ F+ D- A+ B- D C+ C- A+ A- F C+ 33% 16% 51% B C+ D+ B- C C F D+ F
1.05 60% 38% 41% +5 -1 1.11 26% 0.8 .21 17% .34 67% .22 1.11 41% 25% 42% -1 0 1.00 30% 1.1 .33 17% .51 78% .40
Nov
28		 Miami (FL) C C- F F F 33% 22% 46% C+ F A+ A+ A+ B A+ C- A+ C- A+ F F F 56% 22% 22% C+ F C+ C+ B- A+ B- F+ C
1.00 53% 10% 24% -15 -1 0.72 40% 1.4 .55 17% .44 67% .30 1.20 48% 90% 60% +15 +1 1.33 36% 1.0 .36 23% .32 75% .24
Dec
3		 Maryland Baltimore Co. A A F A+ A 42% 18% 40% C+ A- D A+ A- A D- C+ D F C F C D- 34% 29% 38% B+ D+ F F F F C F C-
1.34 71% 20% 48% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.7 .41 9% .16 70% .11 1.21 58% 50% 33% +3 -1 1.05 30% 1.2 .36 10% .27 81% .22
Dec
7		 North Carolina F+ D F F F 37% 32% 31% C F D+ C+ C- A+ D+ B+ C- B+ B- F C+ C- 22% 28% 50% A+ C+ A+ C A+ C C+ B- B-
0.86 48% 20% 21% -15 -2 0.68 22% 0.9 .20 6% .18 75% .13 1.14 58% 67% 33% +8 -2 1.13 22% 1.1 .25 13% .34 67% .22
Dec
13		 St. Peter's C- B- F F D+ 55% 10% 36% A C C+ B B D+ A+ F A+ B- D+ F A+ B- 29% 20% 51% C+ B- A A+ A+ C- F A F
1.07 61% 25% 27% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 21% .64 67% .43 0.96 57% 50% 20% -8 -1 0.84 26% 0.7 .19 17% .49 66% .32
Dec
17		 Marquette A+ C B F C- 52% 22% 26% B- C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B B A+ A A 48% 10% 42% C+ A C+ F D- F+ A+ B- A
1.21 58% 40% 25% -3 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .53 14% .42 87% .36 1.07 52% 20% 27% -9 +2 0.88 31% 1.3 .38 11% .21 67% .14
Dec
20		 Xavier C- F A+ A+ C- 48% 29% 23% C C- C+ F+ D+ A A+ F A+ C+ B F C+ C- 31% 34% 36% A- C F A+ C+ A+ B- F C
1.03 39% 50% 45% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.7 .19 13% .67 58% .39 1.07 56% 55% 33% +5 -2 1.07 37% 0.6 .24 19% .23 79% .18
Dec
22		 Coppin St. B+ B+ A A B 42% 11% 47% B B F B+ D A+ B+ D- B- C- B- B F D 31% 33% 35% B+ D+ C+ F D+ D- C+ A+ A
1.34 70% 50% 42% +12 +1 1.29 28% 1.3 .34 10% .43 71% .31 0.93 50% 29% 39% -3 -2 0.92 28% 1.2 .33 19% .31 50% .15
Dec
31		 St. John's A+ C- A- A+ A+ 40% 26% 34% D+ A+ A D+ B A A+ A A+ F B+ A- F F 29% 21% 50% A+ D- D F F B- D D D-
1.19 50% 46% 47% +6 -1 1.12 39% 0.9 .33 17% .40 78% .31 1.36 50% 30% 50% +8 -1 1.17 42% 1.6 .70 16% .44 77% .34
Jan
6		 DePaul F F F F F 41% 34% 25% D+ F B- A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F+ B+ 16% 42% 42% A+ A B A- A- A F A D+
0.75 17% 20% 9% -32 -2 0.34 33% 1.5 .49 20% .58 81% .47 0.84 71% 17% 39% -4 -4 0.86 27% 1.0 .27 23% .41 62% .25
Jan
10		 Seton Hall C- F F A- D 37% 29% 35% D- D- B C B- A+ C+ A+ A- C A+ F B+ A- 42% 29% 29% B+ A- C D- D C F C F
0.96 32% 27% 39% -10 -1 0.79 34% 0.9 .32 17% .36 86% .31 1.09 35% 50% 29% -8 -1 0.83 37% 1.1 .42 16% .56 73% .41
Jan
13		 Creighton A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 37% 35% 29% D A+ B+ A+ A+ A- B B- B F+ F F F F 25% 22% 53% A- F A- D B- F A- F+ B+
1.29 74% 39% 47% +12 -2 1.21 35% 1.9 .65 12% .25 71% .18 1.33 79% 50% 45% +17 -1 1.33 23% 1.1 .27 9% .19 82% .15
Jan
17		 Connecticut B D C+ B+ A- 33% 36% 31% F+ B A+ A A+ D F A- F A- A+ F A+ A+ 31% 20% 49% A- A+ C- A B F F C F
1.04 47% 38% 36% -3 -2 0.91 45% 1.1 .52 22% .19 78% .15 1.08 43% 78% 18% -8 0 0.84 39% 0.9 .37 10% .45 71% .32
Jan
21		 Villanova F B F C- D 18% 32% 50% F D- B F D- F A- D B A B- A+ A- A+ 49% 16% 35% D A+ B+ C B C- B- C- C+
0.81 63% 21% 32% -6 -3 0.84 34% 0.5 .17 27% .31 64% .20 1.05 58% 13% 29% -6 +1 0.92 31% 1.0 .31 14% .28 73% .20
Jan
24		 Providence A A A+ C A+ 33% 25% 42% D+ A C C C A- F C+ F+ C+ C A+ D- B+ 44% 19% 38% C+ B+ C A- B D D+ F D-
1.25 67% 64% 35% +10 -1 1.20 29% 1.0 .29 11% .19 73% .14 1.21 62% 22% 39% +2 +1 1.06 35% 1.0 .35 12% .37 86% .32
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 DePaul A- A+ D+ A+ A+ 44% 33% 23% C- A+ C+ F F+ B B+ A+ A+ C+ F+ A+ D B- 27% 27% 46% A- B D- B C- B- A+ A+ A+
1.19 74% 36% 50% +12 -1 1.23 30% 0.5 .15 17% .37 94% .35 1.03 69% 15% 36% -1 -2 0.96 35% 1.1 .38 19% .10 40% .04
Jan
31		 Butler A A- A+ A+ A+ 31% 29% 40% D- A+ F A+ D+ B- B A B+ A+ A+ A+ D A+ 43% 24% 33% A- A+ C- A+ A+ F+ B+ F D+
1.19 67% 50% 53% +17 -2 1.33 18% 1.3 .23 15% .26 79% .20 0.99 43% 25% 38% -8 0 0.86 37% 0.6 .23 11% .31 89% .28
Feb
4		 Creighton D+ F B- A+ D- 40% 21% 40% B D A F D+ C A+ B A+ A+ D- F A+ B 25% 23% 52% A- B+ B A+ A A+ A A+ A+
1.03 26% 40% 42% -7 0 0.88 38% 0.6 .24 16% .53 73% .39 0.92 71% 62% 24% +1 -1 1.02 26% 0.7 .18 22% .17 60% .10
Feb
7		 Villanova B- F A+ F D+ 26% 36% 38% F D B+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ A+ C+ F B C- D 29% 19% 52% B D+ B+ B B+ D+ F A+ D+
1.06 38% 50% 26% -5 -3 0.86 36% 1.4 .49 20% .42 78% .33 1.16 86% 33% 36% +9 0 1.19 32% 0.9 .29 13% .47 50% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.2 4.0 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 4.3 8.9 1.9 0.0 15.1 5th
6th 2.7 18.9 5.3 0.2 27.1 6th
7th 0.1 11.1 7.1 0.1 18.4 7th
8th 1.7 11.0 0.5 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 6.1 2.5 8.5 9th
10th 0.9 4.8 0.1 5.9 10th
11th 1.9 0.6 2.4 11th
Total 2.8 13.2 27.4 31.0 18.4 6.2 1.0 0.1 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 1.0% 26.3% 3.2% 23.2% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 23.9%
10-10 6.2% 10.9% 1.8% 9.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.0 5.5 9.3%
9-11 18.4% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 11.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 17.9 0.8%
8-12 31.0% 1.1% 1.0% 0.1% 11.2 0.3 0.1 30.7 0.1%
7-13 27.4% 0.3% 0.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 27.4
6-14 13.2% 0.2% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 13.2
5-15 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 2.8
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.8% 0.9% 1.0% 11.0 98.2 1.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%