DePaul
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +6.7 84
Results Rating +7.9 75
Consistency 0.17 257
Pace 66.0 252
Improvement +5.4 28

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 158 C+ B- C C+ C
Defense B+ 34 B- B B+ C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 229 C+ 60% 112 -0.2 193
2 Pt. Jumpers 32% 243 C+ 41% 91 +0.2 161
Three Pointers 43% 137 C- 33% 216 +0.7 157
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 198 C+ +0.8 141
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.04 144
Second Chance C+ 31.1% 160 B 1.12 58 B- 0.35 92
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 256
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 144
Turnovers C 17.1% 204
Freethrows B- 0.32 117 D+ 70% 268 C+ 0.23 154
Total Offense C +0.2 158

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A- 62% 20 C+ 9.9% 115
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 58 C+ 4.5% 157
Three Pointers B 91% 36 B 0.4% 73
Total A- 66% 20 B- 4.7% 82


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 190 B+ 51% 28 -2.8 85
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% 34 C 38% 159 +2.2 333
Three Pointers 35% 336 D+ 36% 259 -2.2 89
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 58 B- -2.0 103
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 88
Second Chance B- 28.3% 100 B 0.94 56 B 0.27 65
Turnovers from Steals B 11.1% 61
Other Turnovers A- 9.1% 19
Turnovers B+ 20.1% 29
Freethrows C- 0.31 215 B+ 69% 39 C 0.22 181
Total Defense B+ +6.5 34

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 206 C+ 12.3% 118
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 278 C 4.8% 179
Three Pointers C 83% 165 B+ 2.0% 31
Total C 55% 176 B- 6.7% 93

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 279 17.4 191
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 124 0.11 18
Consistency 0.14 279 0.12 190
Improvement +2.2 84 +3.2 43

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 96 85 73
Results Rating Rank 96 79 64
Conference Record 8 - 12 9 - 11 10 - 10
Conference Finish 6 5 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.4 11.2 11.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 22% 61% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Villanova (Home) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 24 - 66 - 13
Quad 36 - 111 - 14
Quad 46 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 351 Chicago St. W 92 - 62 97% +19  99% 1 - 0 B+ +13 B- +5 C- A B- A- +7 A- D A+
 Fri, Nov 7 335 Stonehill W 72 - 64 97% +8  85% 2 - 0 D+ -7 F -11 F D+ B+ B- +3 C+ C- C+
 Tue, Nov 11 212 Buffalo L 53 - 66 88% -11  3% 2 - 1 F -19 F -26 F F F A- +7 A+ D B-
 Fri, Nov 14 69 Northwestern L 79 - 81 54% -1  27% 2 - 2 C+ +4 B+ +9 C- A+ C- D -5 F A- A-
 Tue, Nov 18 362 Gardner-Webb W 93 - 62 99% +21  98% 3 - 2 B +10 D+ -4 B- F D- A +10 A- C- B+
 Sun, Nov 23 237 Detroit Mercy W 95 - 75 90% +9  66% 4 - 2 B+ +13 A+ +19 A A+ A- D -5 D- C+ B-
 Fri, Nov 28 148 Georgia Tech W 75 - 61 71% +1  54% 5 - 2 A- +15 B- +5 B- B- B- A +11 A+ C- C-
 Sat, Nov 29 59 LSU L 63 - 96 39% -23  0% 5 - 3 F -23 F+ -9 C F D- F -15 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 6 332 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76 - 72 97% -1  44% 6 - 3 D -11 F -12 F C A+ C+ +1 F A- A
 Tue, Dec 9 348 Morgan St. W 92 - 49 97% +28  96% 7 - 3 A+ +27 A- +11 A C+ C+ A+ +18 A+ A A+
 Sat, Dec 13 91 @Wichita St. W 61 - 58 41% +1  69% 8 - 3 B+ +12 C- -2 A+ D- F A+ +15 B+ A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 16 19 @St. John's L 66 - 79 10% -10  1% 8 - 4 0 - 1 B- +7 C+ +3 D A- A B +5 D+ A+ C+
 Sun, Dec 21 8 Connecticut L 54 - 72 16% -5  26% 8 - 5 0 - 2 C -0 F -11 C- D C+ A +10 A C A+
 Wed, Dec 31 38 @Villanova L 66 - 71 18% +2  72% 8 - 6 0 - 3 B+ +12 C +2 C B C- A +10 A A+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 86 Xavier W 86 - 77 62% +3  87% 9 - 6 1 - 3 B+ +13 A +12 B+ A- B C+ +1 C C+ C-
 Tue, Jan 6 80 Georgetown W 56 - 50 59% +2  59% 10 - 6 2 - 3 B +10 F -15 D C- F A+ +25 A+ F A
 Sat, Jan 10 8 @Connecticut L 60 - 72 7% -11  0% 10 - 7 2 - 4 B+ +12 C +1 A C+ F+ A +9 C+ A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 16 87 Marquette W 80 - 75 62% -0  46% 11 - 7 3 - 4 B +8 A +14 B A+ A+ D -5 F A+ F+
 Tue, Jan 20 79 @Butler L 80 - 87 36% -2  51% 11 - 8 3 - 5 C+ +4 B +6 D A+ C+ C- -2 F D+ B
 Sat, Jan 24 53 Seton Hall W 67 - 60 46% +8  97% 12 - 8 4 - 5 A- +15 B- +4 B+ C- A- A+ +11 A B+ C-
 Wed, Jan 28 80 @Georgetown L 61 - 70 36% -6  0% 12 - 9 4 - 6 C +1 C+ +2 C B+ D+ C- -2 F A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 86 @Xavier L 66 - 68 39% +7  93% 12 - 10 4 - 7 B- +8 C -0 B- B C A- +8 C- A+ A-
 Tue, Feb 3 19 St. John's L 56 - 68 23% -4  15% 12 - 11 4 - 8 C+ +2 D- -6 D B- D+ A- +8 A+ D+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 61 @Providence L 72 - 90 29% -14  0% 12 - 12 4 - 9 D+ -6 D+ -3 D+ B+ C+ C- -2 F F A+
 Wed, Feb 11 72 Creighton W 72 - 71 56% +0  47% 13 - 12 5 - 9 B- +6 B +7 B A+ F+ C -1 D+ D B-
 Wed, Feb 18 53 @Seton Hall W 69 - 57 25% +1  50% 14 - 12 6 - 9 A+ +26 A- +11 B B+ A- A+ +16 D A+ A+
 Sat, Feb 21 61 Providence L 68 - 71 52% -3  19% 14 - 13 6 - 10 C+ +3 D -6 D C- A A +9 B+ F A+
 Wed, Feb 25 72 @Creighton W 72 - 71 34% -5  5% 15 - 13 7 - 10 B+ +12 B +6 A B F B+ +6 A F A-
 Sun, Mar 1 87 @Marquette W 62 - 51 39% +7  75% 16 - 13 8 - 10 A +20 C- -1 C+ F D+ A+ +23 A A+ A+
 Wed, Mar 4 38 Villanova L 66 - 70 36%
 Sat, Mar 7 79 Butler W 74 - 72 59%
Totals 17 - 14 9 - 11 +7 C +0 C- C+ C B+ +7 C- D+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ C+ C- C+ 37% 32% 43% C C+ C+ B B- C B- D+ C+ B+ B+ C D+ B- 38% 27% 35% B B- B- B B B+ C- B+ C
1.09 60% 41% 33% +1 0 1.04 31% 1.1 .35 17% .32 70% .23 0.99 51% 38% 36% -2 -1 0.97 28% 0.9 .27 20% .31 69% .23
Nov
3		 Chicago St. B- B- A+ F D+ 47% 10% 43% B C- B A A B- A+ F A+ A- A+ F+ A+ B 17% 50% 33% A+ A- C- F+ D A+ F B+ F
1.26 67% 60% 27% +2 +2 1.10 41% 1.3 .54 18% .59 69% .40 0.85 13% 46% 25% -8 -5 0.75 29% 1.1 .32 22% .41 70% .28
Nov
7		 Stonehill F B+ F F F 42% 17% 41% B- F F+ A- D+ B+ A+ F A+ B- A+ F C- C 35% 25% 40% B+ C+ A+ F C- C+ C- A+ C
0.95 64% 10% 21% -10 +1 0.83 20% 1.3 .25 9% .51 60% .30 0.84 33% 46% 33% -7 -1 0.87 16% 1.7 .27 21% .25 60% .15
Nov
11		 Buffalo F F F A+ F 32% 17% 51% D+ F C+ F F F A+ F C A- A+ D C- A+ 36% 32% 32% A+ A+ C F D B- F B F
0.78 38% 14% 43% -3 0 0.95 34% 0.3 .11 30% .42 50% .21 0.98 31% 43% 36% -7 -2 0.84 26% 1.3 .34 18% .49 70% .34
Nov
14		 Northwestern B+ F D+ B- D+ 43% 20% 37% B C- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ A+ A+ D F F F F 46% 22% 33% D F B+ B+ A- A- F A D
1.17 45% 33% 35% -6 0 0.91 46% 1.3 .57 19% .49 81% .40 1.20 71% 50% 47% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.2 .29 16% .42 67% .28
Nov
18		 Gardner-Webb D+ A A+ D- B 43% 18% 38% C B- F B- F D- D A C- A A+ A C B+ 35% 23% 42% A- A- F A C- B+ C+ A+ B+
1.17 73% 64% 30% +9 +1 1.22 20% 1.2 .23 18% .24 81% .20 0.78 40% 23% 33% -10 -1 0.81 30% 0.8 .23 23% .24 53% .13
Nov
23		 Detroit Mercy A+ C+ F A+ A+ 36% 18% 46% D+ A A A+ A+ A- A A A+ D C+ C- F D 42% 35% 23% D D- F+ A C+ B- F+ F+ F
1.41 61% 22% 52% +11 0 1.24 41% 1.4 .59 10% .43 81% .35 1.12 55% 41% 45% +4 -2 1.06 38% 0.7 .26 18% .34 84% .29
Nov
28		 Georgia Tech B- C A+ D- B- 41% 18% 41% B B- D+ A+ B- B- C+ A+ B A C+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 26% 31% C A+ C C- C- C- B F C+
1.12 55% 56% 30% -1 0 1.02 27% 1.4 .37 15% .30 82% .25 0.91 57% 21% 12% -15 0 0.70 33% 1.2 .38 16% .25 79% .20
Nov
29		 LSU F+ F A+ F C+ 29% 27% 45% D C D- F F D- A+ F C+ F F F D- F 60% 13% 28% F F F F F A+ F D F
0.91 43% 69% 27% -1 -1 0.98 22% 0.6 .14 19% .41 52% .21 1.39 79% 67% 38% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.8 .74 22% .48 81% .39
Dec
6		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F F+ F F F 49% 16% 36% B- F F A+ C A+ A+ D- A+ C+ B- F F F 31% 33% 35% A- F A B A- A A+ F A+
1.03 50% 29% 13% -17 +1 0.71 24% 1.7 .41 9% .61 71% .43 0.97 53% 56% 42% +8 -2 1.15 17% 0.8 .14 23% .12 86% .11
Dec
9		 Morgan St. A- A+ F A+ A+ 38% 17% 45% D A F+ A+ C+ C+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 26% 38% 36% A A+ F A+ A A+ F D+ F
1.36 88% 14% 42% +13 0 1.29 28% 1.6 .44 13% .63 78% .49 0.72 27% 25% 20% -21 -3 0.55 45% 0.3 .13 30% .65 77% .50
Dec
13		 Wichita St. C- C+ A+ A+ A+ 40% 21% 38% B+ A+ D+ F D- F F+ F F A+ A- A+ B- A 50% 19% 31% F+ B+ C A+ A+ B+ F A+ D
0.97 59% 56% 44% +10 0 1.21 25% 0.7 .17 29% .22 60% .13 0.92 48% 25% 31% -9 +1 0.86 39% 0.7 .26 17% .54 46% .25
Dec
16		 St. John's C+ F A F D 36% 22% 41% C- D C A+ A- A F A+ F B B+ B- F D+ 47% 12% 41% D+ D+ A A+ A+ C+ B F C
0.94 38% 46% 25% -11 0 0.79 28% 1.4 .38 17% .09 100% .09 1.13 50% 33% 43% +1 +2 1.08 29% 0.9 .26 14% .35 81% .28
Dec
21		 Connecticut F F A F C- 41% 35% 24% D- C- C F D C+ B+ F D A D A+ C A- 35% 28% 37% A+ A C- C+ C A+ C+ D C
0.79 35% 47% 25% -10 -2 0.80 26% 0.6 .15 19% .38 52% .20 1.05 69% 31% 35% +2 -1 1.04 38% 1.1 .41 22% .30 75% .23
Dec
31		 Villanova C D+ C+ C C 41% 29% 29% C C B B- B C- C- F D A A+ A+ F A 31% 27% 42% A A B- A+ A+ D F B F
0.99 52% 40% 33% -2 -1 0.96 33% 1.0 .33 21% .23 58% .13 1.06 33% 23% 50% -2 -1 0.96 33% 0.6 .20 12% .53 68% .36
Jan
3		 Xavier A C+ A+ C+ A- 32% 19% 49% C B+ B- A A- B A+ A+ A+ C+ A- F D C+ 31% 22% 47% C- C F A+ C+ C- B- B- B-
1.25 60% 67% 35% +7 0 1.15 30% 1.1 .33 15% .53 81% .43 1.12 53% 50% 38% +4 -1 1.09 36% 0.7 .26 12% .23 71% .16
Jan
6		 Georgetown F A+ F A- C- 16% 42% 42% F D C- C C- F A+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 41% 34% 25% A- A+ C+ F F A F F+ F
0.84 71% 17% 39% -4 -4 0.86 27% 1.0 .27 23% .41 62% .25 0.75 17% 20% 9% -32 -2 0.34 33% 1.5 .49 20% .58 81% .47
Jan
10		 Connecticut C B A+ F+ A+ 39% 34% 27% D- A D+ A+ C+ F+ C+ C- C+ A C C+ D- B- 55% 16% 30% D C+ A A+ A+ A+ F+ F F
0.93 56% 50% 27% +1 -2 1.00 21% 1.2 .25 23% .34 71% .24 1.12 63% 43% 38% +5 +2 1.16 30% 0.6 .19 22% .38 84% .32
Jan
16		 Marquette A B- D A+ A- 36% 26% 38% D B A- A+ A+ A+ D F F D D C+ F F 37% 15% 48% A F A A+ A+ F+ A A+ A+
1.24 61% 31% 42% +4 -1 1.08 41% 1.3 .51 12% .23 54% .12 1.16 65% 38% 46% +11 +1 1.26 23% 0.4 .09 11% .23 38% .09
Jan
20		 Butler B F A+ D D 25% 16% 59% C D B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C- D- D- F F 41% 25% 34% A F B+ F D+ B F B F
1.11 38% 63% 30% -5 0 0.92 32% 1.4 .44 17% .35 86% .30 1.21 67% 45% 47% +12 0 1.25 31% 1.4 .42 17% .52 68% .35
Jan
24		 Seton Hall B- A+ F C A- 28% 18% 54% D+ B+ D- B+ C- A- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ B- D A 48% 30% 22% B A A D+ B+ C- B- A+ A-
1.01 73% 14% 33% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.0 .24 20% .63 74% .47 0.90 42% 33% 36% -9 -1 0.84 28% 1.1 .31 15% .30 59% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Georgetown C+ A+ F B C+ 27% 27% 46% D+ C B+ B- B+ D+ F F F C- F B- F F 44% 33% 23% B F B A+ A+ B+ D+ F F
1.03 69% 15% 36% -2 -2 0.96 35% 1.1 .38 19% .10 40% .04 1.19 74% 36% 50% +12 -1 1.23 30% 0.5 .15 17% .37 94% .35
Jan
31		 Xavier C C- A+ C- B- 34% 26% 40% D+ B- D+ A+ B C F F F A- C- F D+ D 24% 40% 36% A+ C- A+ A A+ A- F F F
1.04 56% 57% 33% +4 -1 1.08 23% 1.3 .29 17% .02 0% .00 1.07 64% 50% 38% +8 -4 1.11 17% 0.8 .14 16% .35 84% .30
Feb
3		 St. John's D- B+ F F D 35% 26% 40% D+ D A- C- B- D+ A+ B A+ A- A+ A+ B A+ 53% 13% 34% D A+ C+ D- D+ D F B+ F+
0.85 60% 18% 24% -11 -1 0.79 34% 0.9 .31 23% .39 75% .30 1.04 32% 17% 31% -18 +2 0.70 37% 1.3 .46 11% .49 69% .34
Feb
7		 Providence D+ C+ A+ F D 48% 17% 34% A- D+ B- A- B+ C+ F F F C- C F F F 46% 20% 35% C+ F F C+ F A+ F A+ C
1.01 57% 50% 20% -6 +1 0.93 33% 1.1 .37 14% .18 64% .11 1.26 62% 78% 44% +15 +1 1.33 46% 1.2 .54 22% .45 60% .27
Feb
11		 Creighton B A+ C F B- 49% 19% 33% A B A A+ A+ F+ A+ C- A C A+ F F F+ 18% 32% 50% A+ D+ A F D B- D+ B- C-
1.16 71% 38% 21% 0 +1 1.05 37% 2.0 .74 19% .32 69% .22 1.15 25% 50% 50% +10 -3 1.16 20% 1.8 .36 16% .29 73% .21
Feb
18		 Seton Hall A- D A+ D+ B 40% 16% 44% C+ B A C- B+ A- A+ B- A+ A+ B- F+ F D 51% 26% 23% C D A+ A+ A+ A+ B- C- C+
1.07 47% 57% 32% -3 +1 0.98 41% 0.8 .34 20% .50 73% .37 0.88 55% 45% 40% +2 0 1.07 12% 0.0 .00 23% .30 73% .22
Feb
21		 Providence D C+ D F D 36% 23% 42% C D B F C- A A+ F C A F+ A+ C- B 43% 30% 28% A B+ F+ F F A+ F A+ C
1.01 58% 33% 27% -5 0 0.91 33% 0.8 .27 10% .40 50% .20 1.06 71% 25% 36% +2 -1 1.05 41% 1.6 .67 27% .43 62% .26
Feb
25		 Creighton B F A- A+ A 41% 22% 37% B A D+ A+ B F D- B+ D B+ C A+ B A 35% 24% 41% B A D+ F F A- B- F C
1.11 43% 45% 53% +6 0 1.14 24% 1.4 .34 20% .15 75% .12 1.09 63% 27% 32% -3 -1 0.96 30% 1.6 .48 18% .25 85% .21
Mar
1		 Marquette C- C+ F C C 40% 12% 49% B C+ B F F D+ A+ B A+ A+ D+ B A+ A 45% 7% 48% C A A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ C-
0.98 59% 20% 33% -2 +1 1.00 36% 0.3 .12 22% .39 79% .30 0.81 63% 33% 20% -8 +2 0.90 19% 0.3 .06 21% .44 50% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 13.7 13.7 4th
5th 10.9 51.0 8.0 69.9 5th
6th 12.8 12.8 6th
7th 3.6 3.6 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 27.3 51.0 21.7 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 21.7% 1.5% 1.3% 0.2% 11.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 21.4 0.2%
9-11 51.0% 1.1% 1.1% 11.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 50.4
8-12 27.3% 0.2% 0.2% 12.1 0.1 0.0 27.3
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 11.4 99.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 11.1 8.9 73.2 17.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2% 2.4% 11.5 1.2 1.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.5% 0.2% 11.7 0.1 0.2
Lose Out 14.2%