| Rank | Team | Tourney Chance | Exp Seed | Record | Conf Record | Projected Record | Projected Conf Record | Predictive Rating | Offense | Defense | Pace | EPR | Conference EPR | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Connecticut | 99.9% | 1 | 8 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 26 - 5 | 17 - 3 | +20.5 | +10.6 | 10 | +9.9 | 7 | 63.2 | 329 | +23.8 | 7 | 0.0 | 1 | |||||
| 13 | St. John's | 94.9% | 4 | 4 - 3 | 0 - 0 | 23 - 8 | 15 - 5 | +17.9 | +11.1 | 9 | +6.8 | 24 | 74.6 | 59 | +11.5 | 54 | 0.0 | 1 | |||||
| 39 | Villanova | 58.9% | 11 | 6 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 20 - 11 | 11 - 9 | +12.0 | +7.2 | 43 | +4.9 | 50 | 60.1 | 360 | +13.0 | 45 | 0.0 | 1 | |||||
| 44 | Butler | 62.1% | 10 | 7 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 20 - 11 | 11 - 9 | +11.3 | +6.9 | 46 | +4.4 | 62 | 74.3 | 69 | +16.4 | 25 | 0.0 | 1 | |||||
| 45 | Creighton | 45.9% | 5 - 3 | 0 - 0 | 18 - 13 | 11 - 9 | +11.3 | +7.0 | 45 | +4.3 | 63 | 67.4 | 239 | +9.5 | 66 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
| 72 | Providence | 10.9% | 5 - 4 | 0 - 0 | 15 - 16 | 8 - 12 | +7.7 | +6.2 | 52 | +1.5 | 125 | 78.0 | 26 | +4.2 | 114 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
| 76 | Seton Hall | 22.5% | 8 - 1 | 0 - 0 | 17 - 14 | 8 - 12 | +7.5 | +2.2 | 116 | +5.3 | 46 | 62.5 | 344 | +14.5 | 31 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
| 77 | Xavier | 14.9% | 7 - 3 | 0 - 0 | 16 - 15 | 8 - 12 | +7.4 | +3.5 | 87 | +3.9 | 68 | 71.6 | 133 | +9.0 | 69 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
| 83 | Marquette | 5.9% | 5 - 4 | 0 - 0 | 13 - 18 | 8 - 12 | +6.9 | +2.8 | 101 | +4.1 | 67 | 73.5 | 89 | +0.1 | 172 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
| 85 | Georgetown | 11.6% | 6 - 2 | 0 - 0 | 15 - 16 | 7 - 13 | +6.3 | +4.5 | 72 | +1.8 | 120 | 70.0 | 171 | +10.5 | 62 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
| 121 | DePaul | 0.7% | 5 - 3 | 0 - 0 | 13 - 18 | 5 - 15 | +3.0 | +1.0 | 141 | +2.0 | 109 | 69.3 | 189 | -1.4 | 192 | 0.0 | 1 | ||||||
| Date | Team | Points | Team | Points | Interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue, Dec 2 | 18 Kansas | 56 | 5 Connecticut | 61 |
|
| Tue, Dec 2 | 83 Marquette | 75 | 214 Valparaiso | 72 |
|
| Tue, Dec 2 | 44 Butler | 84 | 203 Eastern Michigan | 68 |
|
| Tue, Dec 2 | 45 Creighton | 96 | 265 Nicholls St. | 76 |
|
| Tue, Dec 2 | 362 Fairleigh Dickinson | 64 | 72 Providence | 94 |
|
| Wed, Dec 3 | 244 Central Connecticut St. | 61 | 76 Seton Hall | 77 |
|
| Wed, Dec 3 | 85 Georgetown | 90 | 272 Maryland Baltimore Co. | 81 |
|
| Fri, Dec 5 | 68 Cincinnati | 74 | 77 Xavier | 79 |
|
| Fri, Dec 5 | 300 East Texas A&M | 59 | 5 Connecticut | 83 |
|
| Date | Team | Points | Team | Points | Chance | Interest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat, Dec 6 | 59 Boise St. | 71 | 44 Butler | 76 | 69% |
|
| Sat, Dec 6 | 71 Kansas St. | 76 | 76 Seton Hall | 72 | 63% |
|
| Sat, Dec 6 | 58 Mississippi | 72 | 13 St. John's | 83 | 86% |
|
| Sat, Dec 6 | 83 Marquette | 74 | 36 Wisconsin | 83 | 81% |
|
| Sat, Dec 6 | 72 Providence | 84 | 110 Rhode Island | 77 | 74% |
|
| Sat, Dec 6 | 240 Penn | 64 | 39 Villanova | 80 | 93% |
|
| Sat, Dec 6 | 358 Arkansas Pine Bluff | 66 | 121 DePaul | 86 | 96% |
|
| Sun, Dec 7 | 45 Creighton | 75 | 49 Nebraska | 77 | 60% |
|
| Sun, Dec 7 | 85 Georgetown | 72 | 21 North Carolina | 84 | 86% |
|
| Tue, Dec 9 | 15 Florida | 71 | 5 Connecticut | 74 | 60% |
|
| Tue, Dec 9 | 1 Michigan | 80 | 39 Villanova | 63 | 93% |
|
| Tue, Dec 9 | 225 Brown | 66 | 72 Providence | 81 | 91% |
|
| Tue, Dec 9 | 121 DePaul | 86 | 359 Morgan St. | 66 | 96% |
|
| Team | Avg Place |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | 1.5 | 65.1 | 24.1 | 6.9 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||
| St. John's | 2.2 | 35.7 | 36.9 | 14.4 | 7.0 | 3.1 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |
| Villanova | 4.4 | 5.4 | 13.5 | 21.0 | 18.6 | 13.6 | 9.5 | 7.3 | 4.9 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 0.7 | |
| Butler | 4.8 | 4.0 | 10.2 | 18.8 | 18.2 | 14.8 | 10.9 | 8.8 | 6.3 | 4.0 | 2.8 | 1.2 | |
| Creighton | 4.8 | 3.7 | 10.4 | 18.5 | 17.4 | 15.5 | 11.6 | 9.1 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 1.2 | |
| Providence | 6.9 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 6.3 | 9.6 | 11.9 | 13.3 | 13.9 | 13.4 | 11.7 | 10.2 | 6.5 | |
| Seton Hall | 6.9 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 6.2 | 9.2 | 11.5 | 13.1 | 13.5 | 13.4 | 12.2 | 10.7 | 7.3 | |
| Xavier | 7.0 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 6.3 | 8.7 | 11.9 | 12.4 | 13.7 | 13.2 | 12.5 | 11.2 | 7.4 | |
| Marquette | 7.3 | 0.3 | 1.9 | 4.7 | 7.7 | 10.1 | 11.9 | 13.3 | 14.2 | 14.4 | 12.4 | 9.1 | |
| Georgetown | 7.6 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 3.7 | 6.7 | 8.8 | 11.1 | 12.5 | 14.0 | 15.3 | 14.5 | 11.5 | |
| DePaul | 9.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 5.2 | 7.0 | 10.6 | 14.6 | 21.2 | 34.8 |
| Team | Avg Record | 0-20 | 1-19 | 2-18 | 3-17 | 4-16 | 5-15 | 6-14 | 7-13 | 8-12 | 9-11 | 10-10 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 13-7 | 14-6 | 15-5 | 16-4 | 17-3 | 18-2 | 19-1 | 20-0 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | 17 - 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 4.4 | 7.5 | 12.2 | 16.7 | 19.6 | 18.4 | 12.4 | 4.8 | |||||||
| St. John's | 15 - 5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.0 | 4.1 | 6.6 | 9.5 | 13.1 | 15.4 | 16.3 | 14.3 | 10.0 | 5.3 | 1.4 | ||||
| Villanova | 11 - 9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.9 | 4.4 | 6.7 | 9.5 | 11.4 | 13.4 | 13.3 | 12.3 | 9.5 | 7.2 | 3.9 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | ||
| Butler | 11 - 9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.9 | 3.4 | 5.7 | 8.5 | 10.6 | 12.4 | 13.7 | 12.7 | 11.3 | 8.2 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||
| Creighton | 11 - 9 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 5.7 | 8.6 | 11.2 | 13.0 | 13.7 | 12.4 | 10.6 | 8.3 | 5.5 | 2.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||
| Providence | 8 - 12 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 4.5 | 7.7 | 10.6 | 12.5 | 14.4 | 13.3 | 11.4 | 8.5 | 5.8 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
| Seton Hall | 8 - 12 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 3.0 | 4.9 | 7.9 | 10.7 | 13.0 | 13.8 | 12.9 | 10.5 | 8.7 | 5.8 | 3.7 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||
| Xavier | 8 - 12 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.6 | 5.1 | 8.7 | 11.0 | 12.9 | 14.3 | 12.4 | 11.0 | 8.2 | 5.6 | 3.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | ||||
| Marquette | 8 - 12 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 3.4 | 6.2 | 9.5 | 12.3 | 13.9 | 13.7 | 12.5 | 9.6 | 7.0 | 4.7 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||
| Georgetown | 7 - 13 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 4.7 | 7.7 | 10.8 | 12.9 | 14.2 | 13.0 | 11.1 | 8.7 | 6.3 | 3.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||
| DePaul | 5 - 15 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 7.9 | 12.6 | 14.7 | 15.9 | 13.4 | 10.9 | 8.4 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Team | Total | Outright | 2-Way | 3-Way | 4-Way | 5-Way | 6-Way | 7-Way | 8-Way | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | 65.1% | 52.8 | 11.0 | 1.1 | 0.1 | |||||
| St. John's | 35.7% | 25.1 | 9.4 | 1.1 | 0.1 | |||||
| Villanova | 5.4% | 2.9 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | |||||
| Butler | 4.0% | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | |||||
| Creighton | 3.7% | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | |||||
| Providence | 0.7% | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||
| Seton Hall | 0.6% | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||
| Xavier | 0.4% | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||||
| Marquette | 0.3% | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||
| Georgetown | 0.3% | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||
| DePaul | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Team | Tourney Bid | Auto | At-Large | Exp Seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | No Bid | At-Large if not Auto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | 99.9% | 46.9% | 53.0% | 1 | 27.9 | 29.4 | 19.9 | 11.5 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 99.9% | |||||||
| St. John's | 94.9% | 29.3% | 65.6% | 4 | 6.3 | 9.3 | 12.5 | 14.9 | 13.8 | 12.2 | 9.9 | 6.9 | 4.6 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.1 | 92.9% | |||||
| Villanova | 58.9% | 6.8% | 52.1% | 11 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 4.6 | 6.5 | 7.8 | 8.9 | 9.7 | 9.6 | 6.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 41.1 | 55.9% | |||||
| Butler | 62.1% | 5.5% | 56.6% | 10 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.1 | 2.3 | 4.1 | 6.3 | 8.1 | 10.1 | 11.0 | 10.9 | 7.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 37.9 | 59.9% | |||||
| Creighton | 45.9% | 5.2% | 40.7% | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.4 | 4.1 | 5.8 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.8 | 6.5 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 54.1 | 42.9% | ||||
| Providence | 10.9% | 1.6% | 9.3% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 3.1 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 89.1 | 9.5% | ||||||
| Seton Hall | 22.5% | 1.3% | 21.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.7 | 4.5 | 5.4 | 6.1 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 77.5 | 21.5% | |||||
| Xavier | 14.9% | 1.4% | 13.6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 4.3 | 4.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 85.1 | 13.7% | |||||
| Marquette | 5.9% | 0.9% | 5.0% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 94.1 | 5.0% | |||||||
| Georgetown | 11.6% | 0.9% | 10.7% | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 88.4 | 10.8% | |||||||
| DePaul | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.3 | 0.5% |
| Team | Tourney Bid | First Four | First Round | Second Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Final Game | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut | 99.9% | 0.0% | 99.9% | 94.7% | 68.2% | 40.9% | 21.8% | 11.2% | 5.5% |
| St. John's | 94.9% | 1.6% | 94.2% | 76.9% | 44.0% | 21.5% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Villanova | 58.9% | 7.9% | 54.7% | 31.0% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Butler | 62.1% | 8.5% | 57.4% | 29.5% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Creighton | 45.9% | 7.4% | 42.2% | 22.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Providence | 10.9% | 3.3% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Seton Hall | 22.5% | 6.7% | 18.5% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xavier | 14.9% | 4.8% | 12.3% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marquette | 5.9% | 1.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Georgetown | 11.6% | 3.6% | 9.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| DePaul | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Number of Teams | |||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| One or More | Avg # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
| Tourney Bid | 100.0% | 4.3 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 16.8 | 42.2 | 30.4 | 8.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | |||||||
| 1st Round | 100.0% | 4.0 | 0.1 | 3.3 | 23.5 | 44.3 | 24.1 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | |||||||
| 2nd Round | 99.9% | 2.8 | 0.1 | 6.1 | 32.6 | 42.2 | 16.8 | 2.1 | 0.1 | ||||||||
| Sweet Sixteen | 88.9% | 1.4 | 11.1 | 45.2 | 36.5 | 6.7 | 0.4 | 0.0 | |||||||||
| Elite Eight | 59.7% | 0.7 | 40.3 | 48.2 | 11.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
| Final Four | 32.5% | 0.3 | 67.5 | 30.4 | 2.1 | ||||||||||||
| Final Game | 16.3% | 0.2 | 83.7 | 16.0 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||
| Champion | 7.5% | 0.1 | 92.5 | 7.5 | |||||||||||||