Butler
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#74
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#91
Pace67.6#220
Improvement-0.4#209

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#53
First Shot+2.9#96
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#57
Layup/Dunks-4.7#328
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#77
Freethrows+4.3#9
Improvement+0.5#134

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#109
First Shot+0.8#146
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#63
Layups/Dunks-2.4#268
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#302
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#57
Freethrows+1.4#86
Improvement-0.9#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 1.6% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.1% 24.8% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 12.6% 22.7% 8.8%
Average Seed 9.5 9.2 9.8
.500 or above 44.2% 63.1% 37.1%
.500 or above in Conference 29.2% 46.3% 22.7%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.5% 5.3% 13.9%
First Four3.9% 5.6% 3.2%
First Round12.0% 21.7% 8.3%
Second Round4.9% 9.4% 3.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 2.2% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Home) - 27.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 10
Quad 25 - 49 - 14
Quad 33 - 212 - 16
Quad 44 - 116 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 194   Missouri St. W 72-65 87%     1 - 0 +2.6 +0.8 +2.1
  Nov 08, 2024 273   Austin Peay L 66-68 93%     1 - 1 -11.1 -4.2 -7.0
  Nov 11, 2024 296   Western Michigan W 85-65 94%     2 - 1 +9.8 +6.0 +3.8
  Nov 15, 2024 49   SMU W 81-70 51%     3 - 1 +18.3 +11.3 +7.1
  Nov 22, 2024 198   Merrimack W 78-39 87%     4 - 1 +34.4 +16.7 +23.4
  Nov 28, 2024 61   Northwestern W 71-69 44%     5 - 1 +11.1 +8.7 +2.6
  Nov 29, 2024 28   Mississippi St. W 87-77 29%     6 - 1 +23.3 +16.4 +6.5
  Dec 03, 2024 327   Eastern Illinois W 73-58 96%     7 - 1 +2.6 -2.0 +5.1
  Dec 07, 2024 6   @ Houston L 51-79 9%     7 - 2 -5.9 -1.9 -8.1
  Dec 10, 2024 130   North Dakota St. L 68-71 80%     7 - 3 -4.2 +1.2 -5.8
  Dec 14, 2024 36   Wisconsin L 74-83 32%     7 - 4 +3.3 +6.9 -3.9
  Dec 18, 2024 18   @ Marquette L 70-80 16%     7 - 5 0 - 1 +8.1 +12.6 -5.5
  Dec 21, 2024 11   Connecticut L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 01, 2025 44   Villanova L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 04, 2025 13   @ St. John's L 70-81 14%    
  Jan 08, 2025 73   @ Providence L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 48   Creighton W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 15, 2025 116   Seton Hall W 68-60 76%    
  Jan 21, 2025 11   @ Connecticut L 68-80 13%    
  Jan 25, 2025 103   DePaul W 76-70 69%    
  Jan 28, 2025 18   Marquette L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 31, 2025 71   @ Georgetown L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 05, 2025 116   @ Seton Hall W 65-63 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 73   Providence W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 15, 2025 71   Georgetown W 74-72 59%    
  Feb 18, 2025 47   @ Xavier L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 103   @ DePaul L 73-74 49%    
  Feb 26, 2025 13   St. John's L 73-78 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 44   @ Villanova L 69-75 29%    
  Mar 05, 2025 47   Xavier W 76-75 50%    
  Mar 08, 2025 48   @ Creighton L 71-77 30%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 1.5 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.5 0.7 0.1 7.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.2 3.5 0.9 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.2 1.7 5.1 4.5 1.1 0.0 12.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.9 5.9 5.1 1.2 0.1 14.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.0 5.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 15.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.7 6.0 4.8 1.2 0.1 15.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.2 3.2 0.8 0.0 11.9 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.8 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.6 11th
Total 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.6 5.0 8.4 12.0 13.7 14.3 13.5 10.9 8.1 5.1 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 81.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-4 64.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 32.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 12.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 21.9% 78.1% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.2% 100.0% 15.1% 84.9% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.6% 99.0% 15.4% 83.6% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
14-6 1.4% 92.3% 9.0% 83.3% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 91.5%
13-7 2.8% 83.1% 7.3% 75.7% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.5 81.7%
12-8 5.1% 65.8% 5.5% 60.3% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.0 1.7 63.8%
11-9 8.1% 41.2% 3.2% 38.0% 10.2 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.4 0.1 4.8 39.2%
10-10 10.9% 19.3% 2.4% 17.0% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 0.2 8.8 17.4%
9-11 13.5% 3.6% 1.2% 2.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 13.0 2.5%
8-12 14.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.2% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.1 0.2%
7-13 13.7% 0.6% 0.6% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.6
6-14 12.0% 0.3% 0.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9
5-15 8.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 8.3
4-16 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 5.0
3-17 2.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.6
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 14.1% 1.7% 12.4% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.9 2.7 3.6 3.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.9 12.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%