Butler
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#72
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#92
Pace68.5#168
Improvement-1.8#263

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#40
First Shot+5.0#58
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#69
Layup/Dunks-3.8#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#144
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#68
Freethrows+4.5#5
Improvement+2.3#75

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#151
First Shot+0.3#171
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#137
Layups/Dunks-0.8#203
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#55
Freethrows+1.6#76
Improvement-4.2#341
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.6 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.7% 1.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 11
Quad 23 - 64 - 17
Quad 35 - 19 - 18
Quad 45 - 114 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 230   Missouri St. W 72-65 90%     1 - 0 +0.5 +0.5 +0.3
  Nov 08, 2024 278   Austin Peay L 66-68 94%     1 - 1 -11.3 -7.3 -4.1
  Nov 11, 2024 296   Western Michigan W 85-65 95%     2 - 1 +9.5 +6.5 +3.0
  Nov 15, 2024 50   SMU W 81-70 48%     3 - 1 +19.2 +10.7 +8.6
  Nov 22, 2024 192   Merrimack W 78-39 87%     4 - 1 +34.6 +18.0 +22.3
  Nov 28, 2024 51   Northwestern W 71-69 38%     5 - 1 +12.9 +7.5 +5.4
  Nov 29, 2024 34   Mississippi St. W 87-77 29%     6 - 1 +23.6 +16.6 +6.7
  Dec 03, 2024 320   Eastern Illinois W 73-58 96%     7 - 1 +2.7 +1.2 +2.0
  Dec 07, 2024 4   @ Houston L 51-79 6%     7 - 2 -2.5 -1.4 -5.1
  Dec 10, 2024 144   North Dakota St. L 68-71 82%     7 - 3 -4.8 +0.1 -5.3
  Dec 14, 2024 15   Wisconsin L 74-83 18%     7 - 4 +8.3 +10.0 -1.9
  Dec 18, 2024 25   @ Marquette L 70-80 17%     7 - 5 0 - 1 +8.1 +13.7 -6.7
  Dec 21, 2024 28   Connecticut L 74-78 35%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +7.7 +5.3 +2.3
  Jan 01, 2025 45   Villanova L 65-73 46%     7 - 7 0 - 3 +0.7 +2.0 -2.2
  Jan 04, 2025 13   @ St. John's L 62-70 12%     7 - 8 0 - 4 +12.5 -3.6 +17.0
  Jan 08, 2025 88   @ Providence L 65-84 47%     7 - 9 0 - 5 -10.3 -2.1 -9.0
  Jan 11, 2025 32   Creighton L 76-80 37%     7 - 10 0 - 6 +7.1 +9.0 -1.9
  Jan 15, 2025 166   Seton Hall W 82-77 85%     8 - 10 1 - 6 +1.8 +18.7 -16.5
  Jan 21, 2025 28   @ Connecticut L 78-80 OT 19%     8 - 11 1 - 7 +15.2 +11.0 +4.2
  Jan 25, 2025 116   DePaul W 86-69 76%     9 - 11 2 - 7 +17.4 +20.4 -1.5
  Jan 28, 2025 25   Marquette L 69-78 32%     9 - 12 2 - 8 +3.6 +7.0 -4.0
  Jan 31, 2025 81   @ Georgetown L 70-73 43%     9 - 13 2 - 9 +6.7 +7.4 -0.9
  Feb 05, 2025 166   @ Seton Hall W 84-54 70%     10 - 13 3 - 9 +32.3 +19.2 +14.1
  Feb 08, 2025 88   Providence W 82-81 67%     11 - 13 4 - 9 +4.2 +11.9 -7.7
  Feb 15, 2025 81   Georgetown W 97-86 64%     12 - 13 5 - 9 +15.2 +19.8 -5.5
  Feb 18, 2025 39   @ Xavier L 63-76 23%     12 - 14 5 - 10 +2.6 -8.0 +11.9
  Feb 22, 2025 116   @ DePaul W 84-72 57%     13 - 14 6 - 10 +17.9 +16.3 +2.0
  Feb 26, 2025 13   St. John's L 70-76 24%     13 - 15 6 - 11 +9.0 +13.0 -4.4
  Mar 01, 2025 45   @ Villanova L 70-80 27%     13 - 16 6 - 12 +4.2 +7.3 -3.9
  Mar 05, 2025 39   Xavier L 78-91 41%     13 - 17 6 - 13 -2.9 +9.6 -12.3
  Mar 08, 2025 32   @ Creighton L 74-87 20%     13 - 18 6 - 14 +3.6 +16.0 -13.6
  Mar 12, 2025 88   Providence W 77-75 57%    
Projected Record 14 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 0.7% 0.7% 14.6 0.3 0.4 99.3
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 14.6 0.3 0.4 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 14.6 44.4 55.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.9%
Lose Out 42.0%