IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-13.1#354
Expected Predictive Rating-11.2#319
Pace96.4#1
Improvement-3.4#353

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#296
First Shot-3.6#278
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#237
Layup/Dunks+0.0#177
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#59
Freethrows-4.5#351
Improvement-1.9#326

Defense
Total Defense-8.5#362
First Shot-5.3#337
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#334
Layups/Dunks-7.7#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#5
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#116
Freethrows-2.6#317
Improvement-1.5#308
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.8
.500 or above 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 1.5% 3.8% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 68.6% 51.9% 72.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 20.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 82 - 11
Quad 45 - 136 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 25 @Ohio St. L 102-118 1%     0 - 1 +1.5 +18.6 -14.1
  Thu, Nov 6 230 LIU Brooklyn L 90-94 28%     0 - 2 -11.0 -3.0 -7.3
  Sat, Nov 8 44 @Butler L 80-112 1%     0 - 3 -17.7 -4.9 -5.6
  Fri, Nov 14 203 @Eastern Michigan W 90-83 11%     1 - 3 +7.4 +8.6 -2.0
  Tue, Nov 18 288 @Charleston Southern L 91-103 19%     1 - 4 -15.9 +3.5 -17.6
  Fri, Nov 21 268 Alabama St. L 80-101 25%     1 - 5 -27.0 -6.8 -17.5
  Sun, Nov 23 332 @Air Force L 85-98 28%     1 - 6 -20.1 +0.4 -19.1
  Sat, Nov 29 327 Morehead St. W 85-80 48%     2 - 6 -7.5 -5.4 -2.8
  Wed, Dec 3 313 @Detroit Mercy L 78-92 23%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -19.4 +0.9 -20.1
  Sat, Dec 6 178 Youngstown St. L 84-93 21%    
  Thu, Dec 11 264 Green Bay L 84-88 34%    
  Mon, Dec 22 94 @Grand Canyon L 76-97 2%    
  Mon, Dec 29 308 @Cleveland St. L 92-100 23%    
  Thu, Jan 1 181 @Northern Kentucky L 80-95 9%    
  Sun, Jan 4 160 Wright St. L 80-90 19%    
  Fri, Jan 9 264 @Green Bay L 81-91 17%    
  Sun, Jan 11 221 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86-98 13%    
  Thu, Jan 15 183 Robert Morris L 82-90 22%    
  Sat, Jan 17 313 Detroit Mercy L 88-90 45%    
  Wed, Jan 21 141 @Oakland L 88-106 6%    
  Sun, Jan 25 236 Purdue Fort Wayne L 91-97 30%    
  Wed, Jan 28 183 @Robert Morris L 79-93 10%    
  Fri, Jan 30 178 @Youngstown St. L 81-96 9%    
  Sat, Feb 7 308 Cleveland St. L 95-97 43%    
  Thu, Feb 12 181 Northern Kentucky L 83-92 22%    
  Sun, Feb 15 236 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 88-100 15%    
  Thu, Feb 19 160 @Wright St. L 77-93 8%    
  Wed, Feb 25 141 Oakland L 91-103 15%    
  Sat, Feb 28 221 Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 89-95 29%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 4 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 2.6 4.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.7 7.5 7.1 3.6 0.6 0.0 23.4 10th
11th 3.3 9.6 14.8 14.6 9.4 3.6 0.7 0.0 55.9 11th
Total 3.3 9.7 15.6 18.3 17.7 13.6 9.6 5.8 3.2 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 50.0% 0.0    0.0
14-6 33.3% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.1
11-9 0.4% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4
10-10 0.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.9
9-11 1.8% 1.8
8-12 3.2% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.1
7-13 5.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.8
6-14 9.6% 9.6
5-15 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.6
4-16 17.7% 17.7
3-17 18.3% 18.3
2-18 15.6% 15.6
1-19 9.7% 9.7
0-20 3.3% 3.3
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.1%