IU Indianapolis
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#330
Expected Predictive Rating-11.4#332
Pace64.5#284
Improvement+1.7#103

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#214
First Shot-0.9#206
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#212
Layup/Dunks-7.4#356
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.6#21
Freethrows+0.5#151
Improvement+2.7#47

Defense
Total Defense-9.3#361
First Shot-9.9#364
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#129
Layups/Dunks-3.0#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#355
Freethrows-2.3#325
Improvement-0.9#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.2% 1.2%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 19.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 81 - 12
Quad 46 - 107 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 44   @ Xavier L 80-94 2%     0 - 1 +0.1 +17.3 -17.7
  Nov 14, 2024 300   Eastern Michigan L 71-74 48%     0 - 2 -13.2 -8.9 -4.3
  Nov 18, 2024 8   @ Iowa St. L 52-87 1%     0 - 3 -14.5 -9.8 -4.5
  Nov 22, 2024 309   Coastal Carolina L 57-71 42%     0 - 4 -22.5 -12.0 -12.7
  Nov 23, 2024 229   South Carolina St. L 62-72 25%     0 - 5 -13.7 -7.7 -6.5
  Nov 25, 2024 360   @ Alabama A&M W 88-83 55%     1 - 5 -6.9 +11.7 -18.5
  Dec 04, 2024 347   Green Bay W 84-75 65%     2 - 5 1 - 0 -5.5 +6.7 -11.8
  Dec 07, 2024 244   Northern Kentucky L 64-66 38%     2 - 6 1 - 1 -9.4 -1.9 -7.8
  Dec 11, 2024 149   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-78 10%     2 - 7 1 - 2 +1.4 +4.7 -3.4
  Dec 14, 2024 349   @ Lindenwood L 63-81 47%     2 - 8 -28.0 -9.8 -18.9
  Dec 21, 2024 243   @ Florida International L 69-75 22%     2 - 9 -8.4 +0.0 -8.6
  Dec 29, 2024 133   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 81-88 9%     2 - 10 1 - 3 -2.9 +12.0 -15.0
  Jan 01, 2025 219   Youngstown St. L 61-77 32%     2 - 11 1 - 4 -21.7 -8.3 -14.5
  Jan 04, 2025 157   @ Cleveland St. L 61-67 11%     2 - 12 1 - 5 -3.0 +2.1 -6.2
  Jan 09, 2025 323   Detroit Mercy W 95-61 57%     3 - 12 2 - 5 +21.6 +25.1 -1.3
  Jan 15, 2025 188   @ Oakland L 59-72 14%     3 - 13 2 - 6 -11.9 -8.1 -5.2
  Jan 19, 2025 157   Cleveland St. L 62-73 21%     3 - 14 2 - 7 -13.0 -4.5 -9.5
  Jan 22, 2025 347   @ Green Bay W 86-77 46%     4 - 14 3 - 7 -0.5 +13.3 -13.2
  Jan 25, 2025 149   Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-91 20%     4 - 15 3 - 8 -12.6 +2.3 -14.8
  Jan 30, 2025 194   @ Robert Morris L 53-106 14%     4 - 16 3 - 9 -52.1 -18.2 -34.3
  Feb 01, 2025 219   @ Youngstown St. W 84-79 18%     5 - 16 4 - 9 +4.2 +17.1 -12.6
  Feb 05, 2025 133   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-81 19%    
  Feb 08, 2025 196   @ Wright St. L 72-83 13%    
  Feb 12, 2025 188   Oakland L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 19, 2025 323   @ Detroit Mercy L 69-72 36%    
  Feb 23, 2025 244   @ Northern Kentucky L 65-73 21%    
  Feb 27, 2025 194   Robert Morris L 71-78 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 196   Wright St. L 74-80 29%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.0 0.0 2.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.2 0.6 10.2 8th
9th 8.7 18.9 10.8 2.0 0.0 40.4 9th
10th 15.3 22.1 8.4 1.1 0.0 47.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 11th
Total 15.5 30.8 28.5 16.2 7.1 1.7 0.1 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.1% 0.1
9-11 1.7% 1.7
8-12 7.1% 7.1
7-13 16.2% 16.2
6-14 28.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 28.4
5-15 30.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 30.8
4-16 15.5% 15.5
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.8%