Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#329
Expected Predictive Rating-8.3#305
Pace62.0#332
Improvement-2.9#299

Offense
Total Offense-6.7#336
First Shot-5.7#323
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#247
Layup/Dunks-2.5#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#326
Freethrows+1.1#108
Improvement-3.2#318

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#289
First Shot-2.9#272
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#277
Layups/Dunks+0.1#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#103
Freethrows-1.4#280
Improvement+0.3#176
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 49 - 1112 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 23   @ Louisville L 45-93 1%     0 - 1 -29.3 -21.3 -5.1
  Nov 08, 2024 45   @ Cincinnati L 56-83 2%     0 - 2 -12.7 -0.6 -15.5
  Nov 14, 2024 117   @ Chattanooga L 62-76 7%     0 - 3 -8.3 -13.0 +4.9
  Nov 20, 2024 277   Austin Peay W 63-58 45%     1 - 3 -4.3 -6.2 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2024 352   NJIT L 69-78 61%     1 - 4 -22.4 +0.3 -23.8
  Nov 29, 2024 171   @ Cleveland St. W 71-69 12%     2 - 4 +4.1 +2.7 +1.5
  Dec 04, 2024 167   @ Marshall L 77-80 12%     2 - 5 -0.7 +6.1 -6.9
  Dec 07, 2024 186   @ Ohio L 76-88 13%     2 - 6 -10.6 +0.0 -10.2
  Dec 19, 2024 306   Tennessee Martin W 70-69 OT 52%     3 - 6 1 - 0 -10.2 -10.4 +0.2
  Dec 21, 2024 260   Tennessee St. W 74-68 41%     4 - 6 2 - 0 -2.2 +2.6 -4.4
  Dec 31, 2024 338   @ Southern Indiana W 70-68 43%     5 - 6 3 - 0 -6.9 -2.2 -4.5
  Jan 04, 2025 313   @ Tennessee Tech L 55-74 34%     5 - 7 3 - 1 -25.4 -20.0 -5.7
  Jan 09, 2025 253   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 59-53 21%     6 - 7 4 - 1 +3.8 -7.7 +11.9
  Jan 11, 2025 212   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 67-56 16%     7 - 7 5 - 1 +10.9 +3.6 +8.4
  Jan 16, 2025 341   Western Illinois W 51-47 66%     8 - 7 6 - 1 -10.9 -20.1 +10.0
  Jan 18, 2025 332   Lindenwood W 82-65 61%     9 - 7 7 - 1 +3.5 +12.8 -7.8
  Jan 23, 2025 320   @ Eastern Illinois W 73-66 36%     10 - 7 8 - 1 +0.2 +19.0 -17.1
  Jan 25, 2025 233   @ SIU Edwardsville L 54-65 19%     10 - 8 8 - 2 -12.2 -12.8 -0.3
  Jan 28, 2025 338   Southern Indiana W 66-65 64%     11 - 8 9 - 2 -13.4 -3.8 -9.4
  Jan 30, 2025 313   Tennessee Tech L 64-72 55%     11 - 9 9 - 3 -19.9 -10.5 -9.8
  Feb 06, 2025 212   Southeast Missouri St. L 51-80 32%     11 - 10 9 - 4 -34.7 -18.5 -18.3
  Feb 08, 2025 253   Arkansas Little Rock L 62-76 39%     11 - 11 9 - 5 -21.7 -5.3 -17.8
  Feb 13, 2025 332   @ Lindenwood L 60-73 40%     11 - 12 9 - 6 -21.0 -10.2 -11.5
  Feb 15, 2025 341   @ Western Illinois L 67-72 45%     11 - 13 9 - 7 -14.4 -8.3 -6.2
  Feb 20, 2025 233   SIU Edwardsville L 62-80 35%     11 - 14 9 - 8 -24.7 -5.2 -21.5
  Feb 22, 2025 320   Eastern Illinois L 62-67 57%     11 - 15 9 - 9 -17.3 -3.3 -14.7
  Feb 27, 2025 260   @ Tennessee St. L 55-64 23%     11 - 16 9 - 10 -11.7 -14.3 +1.9
  Mar 01, 2025 306   @ Tennessee Martin W 59-47 32%     12 - 16 10 - 10 +6.3 -0.9 +10.6
  Mar 05, 2025 332   Lindenwood L 65-73 51%     12 - 17 -18.8 -9.3 -9.5
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%