IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.5	#327
Expected Predictive Rating	-12.8	#333

Pace	66.8	#259
Improvement	-2.2	#316

Offense
Total Offense	-5.6	#321

First Shot	-6.7	#343
After Offensive Rebound	+1.1	#125

Layup/Dunks	-4.0	#307
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.4	#68
3 Pt Jumpshots	-5.2	#323
Freethrows	+0.1	#178

Improvement	-2.2	#344

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#307

First Shot	+0.0	#171
After Offensive Rebounds	-3.9	#346

Layups/Dunks	-0.5	#193
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.0	#125
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.6	#197
Freethrows	+0.1	#179

Improvement	+0.1	#180

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.7%	3.6%	2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	9.0%	17.8%	6.0%
.500 or above in Conference	33.6%	42.6%	30.6%
Conference Champion	3.1%	4.8%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	13.9%	10.3%	15.2%

First Four	2.1%	2.3%	2.0%
First Round	1.6%	2.6%	1.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Away) - 25.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 8
Quad 4	9 - 11	10 - 19

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Fri, Nov 7	53 @Wake Forest	L	65-81	3%	0 - 1			-3.0	-8.6	+7.6
Sun, Nov 9	19 @Georgia	L	81-120	1%	0 - 2			-20.5	+6.1	-21.7
Tue, Nov 11	33 @Clemson	L	56-83	2%	0 - 3			-10.7	-0.2	-15.1
Fri, Nov 21	115 @East Tennessee St.	L	62-77	8%	0 - 4			-8.6	-2.7	-7.1
Sat, Nov 22	357 Louisiana Monroe	W	83-80	67%	1 - 4			-11.1	+2.9	-14.1
Sat, Nov 29	354 @IU Indianapolis	L	80-85	52%	1 - 5			-15.1	-11.3	-3.0
Tue, Dec 2	113 @Murray St.	L	52-84	7%	1 - 6			-25.3	-17.0	-9.6
Sat, Dec 6	257 @Presbyterian	L	60-67	25%
Tue, Dec 16	305 Arkansas Little Rock	W	69-67	55%
Sat, Dec 20	317 @Southern Indiana	L	72-76	36%
Thu, Jan 1	246 @Lindenwood	L	69-77	23%
Sat, Jan 3	206 @SIU Edwardsville	L	62-72	19%
Thu, Jan 8	239 Tennessee Martin	L	67-69	43%
Sat, Jan 10	233 Southeast Missouri St.	L	72-74	42%
Thu, Jan 15	249 @Tennessee St.	L	68-76	24%
Sat, Jan 17	306 @Tennessee Tech	L	71-75	34%
Thu, Jan 22	361 Western Illinois	W	72-64	77%
Sat, Jan 24	325 Eastern Illinois	W	69-66	60%
Thu, Jan 29	206 SIU Edwardsville	L	65-69	37%
Sat, Jan 31	246 Lindenwood	L	72-74	43%
Thu, Feb 5	233 @Southeast Missouri St.	L	69-77	23%
Sat, Feb 7	239 @Tennessee Martin	L	64-72	24%
Thu, Feb 12	306 Tennessee Tech	W	74-72	55%
Sat, Feb 14	249 Tennessee St.	L	71-73	43%
Thu, Feb 19	325 @Eastern Illinois	L	66-69	39%
Sat, Feb 21	361 @Western Illinois	W	69-67	57%
Tue, Feb 24	317 Southern Indiana	W	75-73	57%
Thu, Feb 26	305 @Arkansas Little Rock	L	66-70	35%
Projected Record					10 - 18	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0		3.1	1st
2nd												0.1	0.9	1.8	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0					4.7	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.3	2.4	1.4	0.3	0.1							5.7	3rd
4th										0.1	1.5	3.4	2.3	0.3	0.0								7.6	4th
5th									0.1	1.3	3.9	2.8	0.5	0.0									8.7	5th
6th								0.1	1.2	4.6	3.6	0.7	0.0										10.2	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	1.3	4.5	4.6	1.0	0.0											11.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.5	4.7	4.9	1.4	0.1												12.8	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.9	4.6	4.9	1.6	0.1	0.0												13.4	9th
10th		0.0	0.2	1.0	2.7	4.6	4.0	1.3	0.1	0.0													13.8	10th
11th	0.0	0.5	1.3	2.4	2.2	1.5	0.5	0.0															8.5	11th

Total	0.0	0.5	1.4	3.4	5.2	8.2	10.6	12.2	12.5	12.2	10.2	8.4	6.3	4.0	2.5	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	90.9%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-4	88.2%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
15-5	64.8%	0.8		0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0
14-6	32.6%	0.8		0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-7	11.1%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-8	1.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.1%	3.1		1.7	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																			0.0	0.0
19-1	0.0%																							0.0
18-2	0.0%																				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-3	0.3%		37.7%	37.7%		15.6																0.0	0.1	0.2
16-4	0.7%		24.6%	24.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	0.5
15-5	1.3%		25.3%	25.3%		16.0																	0.3	1.0
14-6	2.5%		16.9%	16.9%		16.0																0.0	0.4	2.0
13-7	4.0%		10.5%	10.5%		16.0																0.0	0.4	3.5
12-8	6.3%		6.9%	6.9%		16.0																	0.4	5.9
11-9	8.4%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.3	8.1
10-10	10.2%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.2	10.0
9-11	12.2%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.2	12.1
8-12	12.5%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	12.4
7-13	12.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	12.2
6-14	10.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.6
5-15	8.2%																							8.2
4-16	5.2%																							5.2
3-17	3.4%																							3.4
2-18	1.4%																							1.4
1-19	0.5%																							0.5
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		2.7%	2.7%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	2.5	97.3		0.0%