Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -11.5 #342
Expected Predictive Rating -12.4 #338
Pace 69.9 #158
Improvement -7.2 #364

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #333 D- D+ F D+ D+
Defense #313 D F D+ C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #204 1.11 #239 -1.5 #239
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #103 0.68 #293 +0.6 #149
Three Pointers 38% #247 0.87 #337 -4.3 #315
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #323 -5.1 #323
Freethrows 15.5 #272 72% #220 11.1 #273
Second Chance 27.6% #266 1.02 #213 0.28 #261
Turnovers 19.5% #337
Total Offense -6.7 #333

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #240 1.19 #224 +0.6 #150
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #207 0.77 #199 +0.3 #172
Three Pointers 44% #91 1.16 #336 -4.6 #339
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #297 -3.8 #297
Freethrows 17.7 #200 73% #191 12.9 #210
Second Chance 31.4% #222 1.27 #356 0.40 #338
Turnovers 15.2% #257
Total Defense -4.8 #313

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #262 0.1% #166
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.1% #326 7.3% #311
Possession Length 17.4 #179 17.0 #137
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #180 0.21 #312
Improvement -3.1 #336 -4.1 #349

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 1.5% 5.1% 0.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 16.4% 6.3% 18.8%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Away) - 19.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 30 - 60 - 8
Quad 47 - 138 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 162 @Western Kentucky L 70 - 82 10% -9  0 - 1 -9 -6 D+ A- F -2 A+ F C
 Fri, Nov 7 173 @Charlotte L 65 - 70 11% -9  0 - 2 -3 -5 D+ A+ F +1 C- F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 338 West Georgia L 59 - 61 61% -6  0 - 3 -16 -19 F D+ F +3 A- A+ B+
 Wed, Nov 19 303 @South Carolina Upstate W 88 - 84 27% +3  1 - 3 -1 +7 B- A F -8 F A F
 Wed, Nov 26 25 @Kentucky L 54 - 104 1% -18  1 - 4 -31 -12 F D+ B -17 F F C
 Sat, Nov 29 24 @Georgia L 81 - 123 1% -23  1 - 5 -23 +1 C- C- A- -16 F B+ D
 Wed, Dec 3 174 @Lipscomb L 80 - 83 11% -1  1 - 6 -1 +5 B+ C B- -6 D+ C C-
 Sat, Dec 6 338 @West Georgia W 87 - 59 38% +11  2 - 6 +20 +9 A+ F D +11 A+ F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 245 Southeast Missouri St. W 85 - 74 35% +2  3 - 6 1 - 0 +3 +7 F C+ B+ -4 A+ F A-
 Sat, Dec 20 226 Tennessee Martin L 62 - 86 32% +7  3 - 7 1 - 1 -31 -5 B- F F -28 F A- F
 Tue, Dec 30 241 Tennessee St. L 76 - 88 34% -9  3 - 8 1 - 2 -19 -1 B+ F F -18 F F C-
 Thu, Jan 1 282 @Arkansas Little Rock L 58 - 77 23% -5  3 - 9 1 - 3 -23 -15 F C F -8 F C F
 Thu, Jan 8 310 @Eastern Illinois L 61 - 71 28% +2  3 - 10 1 - 4 -16 -2 D- F F -15 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 356 @Western Illinois W 59 - 54 48% -2  4 - 10 2 - 4 -6 -10 F F F +4 D B A+
 Thu, Jan 15 329 Southern Indiana L 54 - 71 58% +0  4 - 11 2 - 5 -31 -20 F F F -11 C D- F
 Sat, Jan 17 302 Morehead St. L 70 - 76 48% -7  4 - 12 2 - 6 -17 -3 F A- B+ -15 C F F
 Thu, Jan 22 237 @Lindenwood L 68 - 89 17% -19  4 - 13 2 - 7 -22 -9 F F F -12 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 24 257 @SIU Edwardsville L 63 - 72 19%
 Tue, Jan 27 241 @Tennessee St. L 72 - 82 17%
 Sat, Jan 31 282 Arkansas Little Rock L 72 - 74 44%
 Thu, Feb 5 356 Western Illinois W 72 - 66 70%
 Sat, Feb 7 310 Eastern Illinois W 68 - 67 50%
 Thu, Feb 12 302 @Morehead St. L 70 - 76 27%
 Sat, Feb 14 329 @Southern Indiana L 68 - 72 36%
 Thu, Feb 19 257 SIU Edwardsville L 66 - 69 37%
 Sat, Feb 21 237 Lindenwood L 74 - 78 35%
 Thu, Feb 26 226 @Tennessee Martin L 63 - 74 16%
 Sat, Feb 28 245 @Southeast Missouri St. L 69 - 79 18%
Totals 8 - 20 6 - 14 -12 -7 D- D+ F -5 D F D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.0 0.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.3 2.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.8 1.6 0.0 8.2 8th
9th 0.2 3.0 10.5 15.7 12.4 4.7 0.6 0.0 46.9 9th
10th 0.2 4.1 10.6 11.0 5.7 1.4 0.1 33.3 10th
11th 1.3 3.5 2.4 0.7 0.1 7.9 11th
Total 1.5 7.8 16.0 22.2 21.9 16.2 9.1 3.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.1% 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.3% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
10-10 1.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 1.1
9-11 3.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 3.8
8-12 9.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.0
7-13 16.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.2
6-14 21.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.9
5-15 22.2% 22.2
4-16 16.0% 16.0
3-17 7.8% 7.8
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.5%