IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.5	#328
Expected Predictive Rating	-7.9	#301

Pace	67.6	#219
Improvement	-3.0	#332

Offense
Total Offense	-3.9	#290

First Shot	-1.3	#211
After Offensive Rebound	-2.6	#315

Layup/Dunks	-3.7	#307
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.2	#171
3 Pt Jumpshots	+5.3	#34
Freethrows	-2.7	#323

Improvement	-1.2	#276

Defense
Total Defense	-5.6	#339

First Shot	-3.9	#305
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.6	#306

Layups/Dunks	-5.5	#346
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.6	#139
3 Pt Jumpshots	-2.0	#266
Freethrows	+2.9	#23

Improvement	-1.9	#320

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.1%	5.7%	2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	21.7%	30.7%	12.5%
.500 or above in Conference	43.5%	55.9%	30.6%
Conference Champion	4.0%	6.4%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	10.4%	5.5%	15.3%

First Four	3.3%	4.6%	2.1%
First Round	2.2%	3.2%	1.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Home) - 50.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 4	12 - 12	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	32	@ Georgia	L	78-83	2%	0 - 1			+10.5	+11.4	-0.7
Nov 12, 2024	341	West Georgia	W	76-73	68%	1 - 1			-11.4	-6.9	-4.5
Nov 15, 2024	347	VMI	W	72-71	60%	2 - 1			-11.2	-8.7	-2.4
Nov 16, 2024	227	UT Rio Grande Valley	L	58-83	28%	2 - 2			-28.5	-15.4	-14.0
Nov 19, 2024	84	@ Central Florida	L	69-80	5%	2 - 3			-1.3	+4.3	-5.9
Nov 27, 2024	250	Presbyterian	W	90-75	44%	3 - 3			+7.1	+16.5	-8.8
Nov 29, 2024	50	@ Vanderbilt	L	56-87	3%	3 - 4			-17.7	-13.0	-4.2
Dec 04, 2024	182	@ North Alabama	L	59-82	14%	3 - 5			-21.1	-9.5	-13.1
Dec 07, 2024	341	@ West Georgia	L	73-78	46%	3 - 6			-13.4	-2.1	-11.3
Dec 17, 2024	331	@ Western Illinois	L	68-71	41%	3 - 7	0 - 1		-10.0	-1.0	-9.3
Dec 19, 2024	351	@ Lindenwood	W	79-73	50%	4 - 7	1 - 1		-3.4	+0.5	-4.1
Jan 02, 2025	282	Southern Indiana	W	73-72	51%
Jan 04, 2025	281	Morehead St.	W	70-69	51%
Jan 09, 2025	327	@ Eastern Illinois	L	69-72	39%
Jan 11, 2025	269	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	66-73	26%
Jan 16, 2025	289	Southeast Missouri St.	W	73-72	51%
Jan 18, 2025	243	Arkansas Little Rock	L	68-70	43%
Jan 23, 2025	316	@ Tennessee St.	L	73-77	36%
Jan 25, 2025	324	@ Tennessee Martin	L	71-74	38%
Jan 30, 2025	281	@ Morehead St.	L	67-73	30%
Feb 01, 2025	282	@ Southern Indiana	L	70-76	30%
Feb 06, 2025	269	SIU Edwardsville	L	69-70	48%
Feb 08, 2025	327	Eastern Illinois	W	72-69	60%
Feb 13, 2025	243	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	65-73	24%
Feb 15, 2025	289	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	69-75	31%
Feb 20, 2025	324	Tennessee Martin	W	74-71	60%
Feb 22, 2025	316	Tennessee St.	W	76-74	59%
Feb 27, 2025	331	Western Illinois	W	71-67	63%
Mar 01, 2025	351	Lindenwood	W	75-69	70%
Projected Record						12 - 17	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.7	1.2	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0			4.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	1.4	2.4	1.4	0.4	0.1	0.0					6.0	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.8	3.5	1.9	0.5	0.0							7.8	3rd
4th										0.1	1.6	4.4	2.5	0.4	0.0								8.9	4th
5th									0.0	1.1	5.0	3.7	0.5	0.0									10.3	5th
6th								0.0	0.8	4.7	4.9	0.9	0.0										11.3	6th
7th							0.0	0.7	4.0	5.7	1.6	0.0											12.1	7th
8th						0.0	0.6	3.3	5.9	2.4	0.1												12.3	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.7	3.1	5.1	2.6	0.3													11.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	0.9	2.6	3.7	2.1	0.3														9.7	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	0.9	1.8	1.7	0.9	0.2	0.0														5.8	11th

Total		0.0	0.3	1.0	2.8	5.0	8.3	11.3	13.6	14.2	13.3	11.0	8.2	5.4	3.2	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-3	98.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-4	88.8%	0.5		0.5	0.1
15-5	70.8%	1.1		0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
14-6	39.2%	1.2		0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0
13-7	13.4%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-8	1.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		2.0	1.3	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																							0.0
18-2	0.1%		38.5%	38.5%		14.6														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
17-3	0.2%		31.6%	31.6%		15.6																0.0	0.0	0.1
16-4	0.6%		28.1%	28.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4
15-5	1.5%		27.9%	27.9%		15.9																0.1	0.4	1.1
14-6	3.2%		20.1%	20.1%		16.0																0.0	0.6	2.5
13-7	5.4%		14.9%	14.9%		16.0																	0.8	4.6
12-8	8.2%		8.9%	8.9%		16.0																0.0	0.7	7.5
11-9	11.0%		5.0%	5.0%		16.0																0.0	0.5	10.4
10-10	13.3%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.4	13.0
9-11	14.2%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	14.0
8-12	13.6%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	13.5
7-13	11.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
6-14	8.3%																							8.3
5-15	5.0%																							5.0
4-16	2.8%																							2.8
3-17	1.0%																							1.0
2-18	0.3%																							0.3
1-19	0.0%																							0.0
0-20

Total	100%		4.1%	4.1%	0.0%	16.0														0.0	0.0	0.1	3.9	95.9		0.0%