Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#154
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#138
Pace78.2#12
Improvement-5.5#347

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#217
First Shot-0.7#191
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#251
Layup/Dunks-0.9#214
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows+2.4#53
Improvement-0.8#229

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#112
First Shot+2.1#107
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#192
Layups/Dunks+5.5#27
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#219
Freethrows-3.3#353
Improvement-4.8#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 13.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round5.7% 13.4% 0.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 2
Quad 20 - 61 - 8
Quad 39 - 510 - 13
Quad 46 - 216 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 126   Wichita St. L 84-91 54%     0 - 1 -7.7 -1.4 -5.2
  Nov 09, 2024 94   @ Grand Canyon L 72-74 23%     0 - 2 +6.1 -0.2 +6.5
  Nov 17, 2024 97   Lipscomb W 66-61 42%     1 - 2 +7.3 -11.0 +17.9
  Nov 20, 2024 269   Jackson St. W 79-62 80%     2 - 2 +8.3 +0.0 +7.6
  Nov 26, 2024 14   @ Kentucky L 68-87 4%     2 - 3 +1.4 -5.3 +8.6
  Nov 30, 2024 167   Marshall W 90-82 63%     3 - 3 +4.8 +5.7 -1.9
  Dec 07, 2024 242   @ Evansville W 79-65 58%     4 - 3 +12.3 +7.3 +4.8
  Dec 10, 2024 260   Tennessee St. W 84-60 79%     5 - 3 +15.8 +1.7 +12.4
  Dec 14, 2024 145   Murray St. W 81-76 OT 58%     6 - 3 +3.2 -4.6 +7.0
  Dec 17, 2024 147   Seattle W 86-73 58%     7 - 3 +11.1 +15.2 -4.0
  Dec 29, 2024 30   @ Michigan L 64-112 7%     7 - 4 -31.0 -10.0 -13.1
  Jan 02, 2025 71   @ Liberty W 71-70 17%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +11.6 +3.1 +8.4
  Jan 04, 2025 257   @ Florida International L 66-85 60%     8 - 5 1 - 1 -21.4 -13.4 -5.4
  Jan 09, 2025 124   Jacksonville St. L 67-73 53%     8 - 6 1 - 2 -6.5 -6.1 -0.4
  Jan 11, 2025 137   Kennesaw St. W 85-69 56%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +14.7 +5.1 +8.0
  Jan 18, 2025 118   @ Middle Tennessee L 57-71 30%     9 - 7 2 - 3 -8.3 -12.7 +4.3
  Jan 23, 2025 119   @ Louisiana Tech L 67-77 31%     9 - 8 2 - 4 -4.5 -3.3 -1.2
  Jan 25, 2025 170   @ Sam Houston St. W 75-66 43%     10 - 8 3 - 4 +11.2 +3.0 +8.5
  Jan 30, 2025 159   UTEP W 78-74 61%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +1.4 -0.9 +2.0
  Feb 01, 2025 125   New Mexico St. W 101-69 54%     12 - 8 5 - 4 +31.3 +30.6 +0.5
  Feb 06, 2025 137   @ Kennesaw St. L 69-76 35%     12 - 9 5 - 5 -2.8 -1.1 -1.6
  Feb 08, 2025 124   @ Jacksonville St. L 83-85 32%     12 - 10 5 - 6 +3.0 +12.2 -9.2
  Feb 15, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee L 77-87 50%     12 - 11 5 - 7 -9.8 +0.8 -10.2
  Feb 20, 2025 170   Sam Houston St. L 62-78 64%     12 - 12 5 - 8 -19.3 -13.2 -6.5
  Feb 22, 2025 119   Louisiana Tech W 64-63 51%     13 - 12 6 - 8 +1.0 -3.7 +4.8
  Feb 27, 2025 159   @ UTEP W 80-73 40%     14 - 12 7 - 8 +9.9 +7.7 +2.0
  Mar 01, 2025 125   @ New Mexico St. L 47-65 33%     14 - 13 7 - 9 -13.1 -17.9 +3.9
  Mar 06, 2025 257   Florida International W 76-67 78%     15 - 13 8 - 9 +1.1 +6.3 -4.8
  Mar 08, 2025 71   Liberty L 61-90 32%     15 - 14 8 - 10 -24.0 -6.6 -17.7
  Mar 11, 2025 257   Florida International W 76-71 70%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 5.7% 5.7% 14.0 0.0 0.7 4.1 0.9 94.3
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.7 4.1 0.9 94.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.7% 100.0% 14.0 0.3 12.5 71.3 15.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 12.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 24.9%
Lose Out 57.1%