Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#123
Expected Predictive Rating+7.3#81
Pace77.8#29
Improvement+2.5#32

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#140
First Shot+3.0#100
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#298
Layup/Dunks+2.8#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#326
Freethrows+4.3#16
Improvement+0.7#125

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#115
First Shot-4.4#314
After Offensive Rebounds+6.3#2
Layups/Dunks+5.4#33
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#351
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#265
Freethrows-3.8#343
Improvement+1.8#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.3% 15.9% 10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.6 13.0
.500 or above 88.4% 90.5% 72.6%
.500 or above in Conference 83.6% 85.1% 72.3%
Conference Champion 19.3% 20.4% 11.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.8% 2.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round15.3% 15.9% 10.6%
Second Round2.0% 2.1% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Evansville (Home) - 87.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 32 - 5
Quad 37 - 59 - 10
Quad 411 - 220 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 306 Tennessee Tech W 82-70 90%     1 - 0 +0.9 -2.3 +2.2
  Mon, Nov 10 258 @Eastern Kentucky W 87-79 70%     2 - 0 +5.6 +4.5 +0.5
  Sun, Nov 16 249 Tennessee St. W 95-82 84%     3 - 0 +5.2 +11.9 -7.8
  Wed, Nov 26 12 Vanderbilt L 78-83 8%     3 - 1 +13.7 +1.3 +13.0
  Thu, Nov 27 79 South Florida L 91-97 OT 34%     3 - 2 +1.3 +0.3 +2.4
  Fri, Nov 28 97 Wichita St. W 75-70 42%     4 - 2 +10.0 +11.9 -1.3
  Sat, Dec 6 279 Evansville W 79-67 88%    
  Wed, Dec 10 170 @Marshall W 81-80 53%    
  Fri, Dec 19 91 Tulsa W 77-76 51%    
  Mon, Dec 29 238 @Jacksonville St. W 72-68 66%    
  Fri, Jan 2 133 Sam Houston St. W 83-79 64%    
  Sun, Jan 4 188 Louisiana Tech W 74-66 76%    
  Thu, Jan 8 116 @New Mexico St. L 71-74 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 241 @UTEP W 73-69 65%    
  Wed, Jan 14 242 Missouri St. W 76-66 83%    
  Sat, Jan 17 162 Kennesaw St. W 88-82 72%    
  Wed, Jan 21 98 Liberty W 77-76 54%    
  Sat, Jan 24 133 @Sam Houston St. L 80-82 43%    
  Wed, Jan 28 162 @Kennesaw St. W 85-84 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 138 @Middle Tennessee L 77-79 44%    
  Thu, Feb 5 238 Jacksonville St. W 75-65 82%    
  Sat, Feb 7 207 Florida International W 84-75 78%    
  Sat, Feb 14 138 Middle Tennessee W 80-76 64%    
  Wed, Feb 18 287 @Delaware W 79-72 73%    
  Sat, Feb 21 98 @Liberty L 74-79 33%    
  Thu, Feb 26 116 New Mexico St. W 74-71 59%    
  Sat, Feb 28 241 UTEP W 76-66 81%    
  Thu, Mar 5 242 @Missouri St. W 73-69 65%    
  Sat, Mar 7 207 @Florida International W 81-78 60%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.9 5.5 4.2 2.6 1.0 0.2 19.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.4 5.1 2.4 0.6 0.1 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.8 4.1 1.3 0.2 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.4 3.3 0.9 0.1 12.9 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 4.6 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 8.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.9 4.4 6.5 8.9 10.8 12.1 12.6 12.0 10.4 8.1 4.8 2.7 1.0 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
18-2 97.5% 2.6    2.4 0.2
17-3 87.7% 4.2    3.4 0.8 0.0
16-4 68.2% 5.5    3.5 1.8 0.2 0.0
15-5 37.3% 3.9    1.8 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 13.5% 1.6    0.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 19.3% 19.3 12.7 5.1 1.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 68.6% 56.9% 11.8% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 27.3%
19-1 1.0% 52.7% 50.7% 2.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 4.1%
18-2 2.7% 40.4% 40.4% 11.6 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.6
17-3 4.8% 34.3% 34.3% 12.0 0.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.2
16-4 8.1% 30.0% 30.0% 12.3 0.2 1.5 0.7 0.1 5.7
15-5 10.4% 24.4% 24.4% 12.5 0.1 1.3 1.0 0.2 7.9
14-6 12.0% 18.6% 18.6% 12.8 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 9.7
13-7 12.6% 15.4% 15.4% 13.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.4 0.0 10.7
12-8 12.1% 9.2% 9.2% 13.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 11.0
11-9 10.8% 8.0% 8.0% 13.5 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 10.0
10-10 8.9% 4.6% 4.6% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.5
9-11 6.5% 3.6% 3.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.3
8-12 4.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 4.3
7-13 2.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.7 0.0 0.0 2.9
6-14 1.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-15 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 15.3% 15.2% 0.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 6.0 5.3 2.0 0.5 0.1 84.7 0.0%