Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#119
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#123
Pace62.7#320
Improvement-0.4#214

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#130
First Shot+3.5#87
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#288
Layup/Dunks+4.4#43
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#98
Freethrows-1.3#268
Improvement-1.2#248

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#138
First Shot+2.4#96
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#293
Layups/Dunks-1.7#247
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#109
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#141
Freethrows+2.1#54
Improvement+0.8#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 23.6% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.9 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round11.7% 23.6% 0.0%
Second Round0.9% 1.7% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 22 - 4
Quad 38 - 710 - 11
Quad 48 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 216   @ Texas Arlington W 92-77 62%     1 - 0 +14.7 +22.2 -6.7
  Nov 13, 2024 190   Massachusetts W 76-66 66%     2 - 0 +8.5 +3.8 +4.6
  Nov 25, 2024 195   Southern Illinois W 85-79 OT 67%     3 - 0 +4.2 -3.6 +6.7
  Nov 26, 2024 226   Richmond W 65-62 73%     4 - 0 -0.5 -2.6 +2.5
  Nov 27, 2024 198   Eastern Kentucky W 78-69 68%     5 - 0 +7.1 +9.6 -1.6
  Nov 30, 2024 231   Southern L 70-73 81%     5 - 1 -9.6 -3.3 -6.3
  Dec 04, 2024 50   @ Memphis L 71-81 15%     5 - 2 +3.8 +7.6 -4.0
  Dec 08, 2024 305   @ Louisiana W 69-58 79%     6 - 2 +5.4 +0.7 +5.5
  Dec 13, 2024 251   Georgia Southern W 77-63 83%     7 - 2 +6.4 +6.5 +1.0
  Dec 16, 2024 94   Grand Canyon W 74-66 51%     8 - 2 +10.6 +8.0 +2.9
  Jan 02, 2025 159   @ UTEP L 60-70 50%     8 - 3 0 - 1 -7.1 -7.0 -0.6
  Jan 04, 2025 125   @ New Mexico St. L 48-78 42%     8 - 4 0 - 2 -25.1 -11.6 -18.1
  Jan 09, 2025 257   Florida International W 81-64 84%     9 - 4 1 - 2 +9.1 +15.5 -4.9
  Jan 11, 2025 71   Liberty W 79-74 41%     10 - 4 2 - 2 +10.0 +10.1 -0.1
  Jan 16, 2025 124   @ Jacksonville St. L 61-63 41%     10 - 5 2 - 3 +3.0 +5.7 -3.1
  Jan 18, 2025 137   @ Kennesaw St. L 76-78 45%     10 - 6 2 - 4 +2.2 +11.4 -9.3
  Jan 23, 2025 154   Western Kentucky W 77-67 69%     11 - 6 3 - 4 +7.5 +4.9 +2.7
  Jan 25, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee W 75-69 60%     12 - 6 4 - 4 +6.2 +3.3 +3.0
  Feb 01, 2025 170   Sam Houston St. W 66-61 OT 72%     13 - 6 5 - 4 +1.7 -13.3 +14.8
  Feb 06, 2025 71   @ Liberty L 53-77 23%     13 - 7 5 - 5 -13.4 -8.1 -7.4
  Feb 08, 2025 257   @ Florida International W 82-71 69%     14 - 7 6 - 5 +8.6 +17.1 -7.8
  Feb 13, 2025 137   Kennesaw St. L 47-69 65%     14 - 8 6 - 6 -23.3 -17.8 -8.9
  Feb 15, 2025 124   Jacksonville St. L 68-70 62%     14 - 9 6 - 7 -2.5 +1.6 -4.3
  Feb 20, 2025 118   @ Middle Tennessee W 85-74 39%     15 - 9 7 - 7 +16.7 +15.9 +0.9
  Feb 22, 2025 154   @ Western Kentucky L 63-64 49%     15 - 10 7 - 8 +2.0 -1.1 +3.1
  Mar 01, 2025 170   @ Sam Houston St. W 90-66 52%     16 - 10 8 - 8 +26.2 +21.7 +6.0
  Mar 06, 2025 125   New Mexico St. L 55-67 63%     16 - 11 8 - 9 -12.7 -3.1 -12.0
  Mar 08, 2025 159   UTEP W 76-58 70%     17 - 11 9 - 9 +15.4 +3.0 +12.3
  Mar 13, 2025 118   Middle Tennessee L 70-71 49%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 11.7% 11.7% 12.9 2.9 7.3 1.6 0.0 88.3
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.7% 11.7% 0.0% 12.9 2.9 7.3 1.6 0.0 88.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 11.7% 100.0% 12.9 24.4 62.0 13.5 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 22.4%
Lose Out 50.4%