Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -3.6 220
Results Rating -2.3 200
Consistency 0.16 236
Pace 62.5 332
Improvement +2.4 99

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 315 D D+ D D- C
Defense C+ 120 B- D+ B- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 70 D 53% 302 +0.3 167
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 101 C 38% 185 +1.4 102
Three Pointers 33% 332 D- 29% 338 -6.2 346
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.1 207 D -4.5 324
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 324
Second Chance B 34.4% 69 F 0.80 364 D+ 0.27 265
Opponents' Steals C- 10.2% 262
Other Turnovers D- 8.9% 337
Turnovers D 19.1% 324
Freethrows D+ 0.28 255 F 64% 364 D- 0.18 335
Total Offense D -5.6 315

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 52% 117 C- 12.2% 253
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 309 C 5.4% 214
Three Pointers D+ 79% 284 B- 0.5% 82
Total D+ 51% 290 D+ 6.6% 300


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 259 A- 50% 17 -4.4 50
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 300 C 39% 199 -1.4 70
Three Pointers 47% 29 C 34% 167 +3.0 313
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 238 B -3.1 57
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 86
Second Chance D+ 33.0% 290 C 1.05 213 D+ 0.35 274
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.1% 138
Other Turnovers B- 7.9% 98
Turnovers B- 18.0% 102
Freethrows C- 0.32 231 C- 73% 221 C- 0.23 239
Total Defense C+ +2.0 120

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 98 A+ 20.3% 8
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 286 C- 4.2% 208
Three Pointers D 89% 325 B 1.5% 63
Total D+ 60% 283 A- 8.8% 18

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 274 18.1 295
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 190 0.14 76
Consistency 0.12 119 0.15 329
Improvement +2.3 75 +0.1 187

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 247 223 194
Results Rating Rank 237 201 169
Conference Record 9 - 11 10 - 10 11 - 9
Conference Finish 7 6 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 14.9 15.5
.500 or above 37% 77% 29%
.500 or above in Conference 57% 100% 48%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Liberty (Away) - 17.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 83 - 12
Quad 411 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 81 @Nevada L 50 - 77 10% -16  1% 0 - 1 F+ -17 F -15 F D D- D -5 B- F B
 Sat, Nov 15 345 Jackson St. W 68 - 51 87% +3  59% 1 - 1 C +1 F -14 F D+ D- A+ +16 A+ C B-
 Wed, Nov 19 200 @Indiana St. L 51 - 60 33% -5  1% 1 - 2 D -8 F -24 F D D+ A+ +16 A+ A- D
 Wed, Nov 26 200 Indiana St. W 75 - 73 56% +1  57% 2 - 2 C- -3 C +0 C A+ F D+ -4 D+ B+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 350 Alcorn St. W 83 - 58 88% +10  98% 3 - 2 B +8 B+ +9 C A A+ B- +2 B- B- B-
 Wed, Dec 3 260 @Georgia Southern L 69 - 77 46% -4  17% 3 - 3 D -11 D -6 B- F B D -5 F+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 297 Louisiana W 65 - 44 76% +11  92% 4 - 3 B +10 D+ -4 F+ B+ F A+ +17 B+ A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 184 @Tulane L 53 - 61 32% -6  4% 4 - 4 D+ -7 F -11 F F+ F B- +3 A+ F D-
 Mon, Dec 29 259 UTEP W 75 - 63 69% +11  97% 5 - 4 1 - 0 C+ +3 B- +4 B+ F A C+ +1 A F A+
 Fri, Jan 2 164 @Middle Tennessee L 51 - 88 27% -19  2% 5 - 5 1 - 1 F -34 F -13 F+ D- F F -28 F A- F+
 Sun, Jan 4 130 @Western Kentucky L 61 - 66 21% -7  0% 5 - 6 1 - 2 C -0 D -6 F C+ A B+ +5 A+ F+ C+
 Thu, Jan 8 114 Liberty L 56 - 72 35% -8  2% 5 - 7 1 - 3 F+ -16 F -14 F+ F A D+ -4 A F D
 Sat, Jan 10 274 Delaware W 70 - 68 OT 71% -5  3% 6 - 7 2 - 3 D+ -7 D- -7 F C D+ C -0 C+ F C
 Wed, Jan 14 164 Middle Tennessee W 59 - 58 49% -10  6% 7 - 7 3 - 3 C- -2 F -14 F F A A+ +11 A+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 17 192 @Jacksonville St. L 60 - 64 33% -10  0% 7 - 8 3 - 4 C- -3 D+ -2 F+ B+ C- C -1 C D B
 Fri, Jan 23 157 Kennesaw St. W 82 - 76 47% -2  31% 8 - 8 4 - 4 C+ +3 A- +10 A A C- D -6 B- D D-
 Wed, Jan 28 259 @UTEP W 69 - 59 46% +6  77% 9 - 8 5 - 4 B- +7 C- -0 C- C F A +9 A B- C
 Sat, Jan 31 108 @Sam Houston St. L 67 - 83 16% -6  1% 9 - 9 5 - 5 D -9 C- -1 F A+ D F+ -9 C+ F F
 Wed, Feb 4 176 New Mexico St. L 63 - 72 52% -2  14% 9 - 10 5 - 6 D- -13 F+ -9 D+ D+ F D+ -5 F C+ A
 Sat, Feb 7 108 Sam Houston St. W 87 - 78 33% -0  35% 10 - 10 6 - 6 B +10 C+ +3 C C C+ B+ +6 C- A- A-
 Thu, Feb 12 204 @Missouri St. W 79 - 78 2OT 34% -1  31% 11 - 10 7 - 6 C +2 F -11 C F F A+ +12 A+ F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 199 @Florida International L 64 - 77 33% -4  13% 11 - 11 7 - 7 D- -12 F+ -8 C- F D- D+ -4 C- F A+
 Wed, Feb 18 192 Jacksonville St. W 77 - 71 56% +11  94% 12 - 11 8 - 7 C +1 C- -1 A+ D F C+ +2 D+ B+ C
 Sat, Feb 21 157 @Kennesaw St. L 55 - 58 26% -1  34% 12 - 12 8 - 8 C +0 F -18 F D F A+ +18 A+ A B
 Thu, Feb 26 204 Missouri St. W 72 - 70 57% +1  45% 13 - 12 9 - 8 C- -3 D+ -2 C+ C+ F C -1 B+ D B
 Sat, Feb 28 199 Florida International L 76 - 84 56% -1  43% 13 - 13 9 - 9 D- -13 C- -1 B- C- F F -12 F A A-
 Thu, Mar 5 114 @Liberty L 63 - 73 18%
 Sat, Mar 7 274 @Delaware L 63 - 64 49%
Totals 14 - 14 10 - 10 -4 D -6 B D C C+ +2 D- F D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D C D- D 43% 45% 33% C D B F D+ D D+ F D- C+ A- C C B 36% 17% 47% C- B- D+ C D+ B- C- C- C-
1.01 53% 38% 29% -4 0 0.93 34% 0.8 .27 19% .28 64% .18 1.06 50% 39% 34% -3 0 0.97 33% 1.0 .35 18% .32 73% .20
Nov
4		 Nevada F C- F F F 43% 9% 48% A- F D C- D D- C+ D- C- D A- F B+ C+ 30% 33% 37% A- B- F F F B F C+ F
0.80 53% 25% 14% -18 +2 0.70 22% 1.1 .25 21% .34 65% .22 1.23 46% 50% 31% -1 -2 0.95 49% 1.2 .60 16% .53 75% .40
Nov
15		 Jackson St. F F F F F 63% 12% 26% A F A- F D+ D- A+ F A A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 7% 61% F A+ B F C B- D C D
0.99 48% 0% 27% -13 +3 0.81 46% 0.7 .34 19% .56 58% .32 0.75 27% 0% 21% -24 +1 0.57 23% 1.2 .27 20% .31 76% .24
Nov
19		 Indiana St. F F F F F 46% 30% 24% C- F D+ D- D D+ A F C A+ A+ A+ B A+ 34% 2% 64% C- A+ A+ C+ A- D B+ F B-
0.71 28% 31% 15% -23 -1 0.56 29% 0.8 .23 17% .34 55% .18 0.84 39% 0% 29% -12 +2 0.83 17% 1.0 .17 17% .20 75% .15
Nov
26		 Indiana St. C C A+ F C+ 43% 33% 24% D C B A+ A+ F F A+ F D+ F A+ A+ D+ 54% 8% 38% D D+ A+ F B+ F+ A F C+
1.11 57% 56% 23% +1 -1 1.02 37% 1.5 .53 19% .13 86% .11 1.08 79% 0% 25% +3 +3 1.13 15% 1.3 .19 15% .17 90% .16
Nov
29		 Alcorn St. B+ C+ D- A C+ 44% 23% 33% D C A C A A+ F F F B- A C- D+ B 51% 24% 24% D- B- F A+ B- B- F A+ D+
1.31 65% 33% 41% +6 0 1.13 48% 1.2 .58 13% .16 56% .09 0.92 43% 36% 36% -7 0 0.89 38% 0.5 .19 21% .42 48% .20
Dec
3		 Georgia Southern D B- A+ D- B- 45% 14% 41% C+ B- F F F B F+ F F D F F A- F 35% 6% 59% D+ F+ C F F C+ C D- C-
1.03 64% 71% 30% +5 +1 1.14 23% 0.6 .13 16% .30 53% .16 1.15 76% 67% 28% +2 +2 1.10 27% 1.5 .40 16% .32 78% .25
Dec
13		 Louisiana D+ C F F F 52% 12% 36% B F+ A C- B+ F B A+ A A+ A+ C+ C+ A 26% 26% 49% D- B+ F A+ A+ A+ D- A+ C
1.08 59% 20% 27% -6 +2 0.95 43% 1.0 .43 25% .42 84% .35 0.73 27% 36% 33% -9 -2 0.81 34% 0.3 .11 27% .29 54% .16
Dec
17		 Tulane F F B F F 51% 16% 33% B+ F A+ F F+ F A A A+ B- B- F A+ A+ 28% 13% 59% C A+ F F+ F D- F C- F
0.90 43% 43% 13% -17 +2 0.71 46% 0.5 .22 22% .39 78% .31 1.04 55% 80% 13% -14 0 0.74 29% 1.3 .38 12% .60 77% .46
Dec
29		 UTEP B- F A+ A+ B+ 36% 17% 48% B- B+ C- F F A A+ F A+ C+ A+ B A- A+ 17% 22% 61% C A F D- F A+ D- F F
1.17 27% 57% 55% +7 0 1.17 32% 0.4 .14 14% .61 59% .36 0.98 38% 30% 29% -10 -2 0.78 42% 1.1 .47 23% .32 81% .26
Jan
2		 Middle Tennessee F C A- F F+ 37% 24% 39% D+ F+ C F D- F A+ F B+ F F A+ F F 13% 8% 79% D+ F D+ A+ A- F+ A+ A+ A+
0.87 57% 44% 20% -7 -1 0.87 26% 0.8 .19 22% .42 68% .29 1.51 100% 25% 58% +33 0 1.67 32% 0.6 .19 12% .16 25% .04
Jan
4		 Western Kentucky D D- F+ F F 31% 37% 31% F F B D+ C+ A F+ F F B+ A+ A+ A A+ 23% 9% 68% C A+ B F F+ C+ F D- F
0.94 50% 32% 25% -9 -3 0.78 33% 0.9 .29 14% .34 47% .16 1.02 30% 25% 27% -15 0 0.73 28% 1.5 .40 15% .45 80% .36
Jan
8		 Liberty F F D+ A F+ 34% 22% 44% C- F+ D- F F A D+ F F D+ B+ A+ C- A 46% 8% 46% C+ A F D- F D D+ F F+
0.92 29% 36% 41% -6 0 0.90 26% 0.5 .14 13% .21 45% .09 1.18 55% 25% 36% -1 +2 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 11% .30 81% .24
Jan
10		 Delaware D- C F F F 36% 34% 30% D F B- D C D+ A+ F A+ C A D+ D- B- 36% 15% 49% D C+ C F F C D+ B C-
1.06 59% 25% 29% -7 -2 0.85 33% 0.9 .31 15% .53 63% .34 1.03 47% 43% 39% 0 +1 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 18% .28 73% .20
Jan
14		 Middle Tennessee F F C F F 65% 15% 19% A F D+ F F A B C B A+ A+ A+ C- A+ 47% 16% 38% F A+ D F F A- F A+ C
0.91 44% 38% 10% -16 +3 0.75 23% 0.7 .15 11% .36 76% .28 0.90 43% 14% 35% -10 +1 0.84 34% 1.2 .40 20% .35 50% .17
Jan
17		 Jacksonville St. D+ F+ A- F D- 40% 31% 29% F+ F+ A+ F+ B+ C- F+ A+ C- C B A+ F+ C+ 45% 9% 45% D+ C C- D- D B D F F+
1.03 47% 46% 25% -6 -1 0.88 44% 0.9 .38 17% .27 92% .25 1.10 50% 0% 40% -3 +2 1.00 30% 1.1 .33 19% .38 78% .30
Jan
23		 Kennesaw St. A- D A+ A+ A 48% 22% 30% C A A B A C- B- F C- D A+ F C- B 43% 15% 43% C B- C- D- D D- F C- F
1.25 50% 60% 50% +8 +1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 17% .44 67% .29 1.16 40% 57% 35% -4 +1 0.96 36% 1.1 .39 14% .58 70% .41
Jan
28		 UTEP C- F A+ A C 38% 30% 32% D+ C- B+ F C F C+ B+ B- A A+ A+ C A+ 29% 27% 44% C- A C+ B B- C F F F
1.07 39% 57% 40% +1 -1 1.02 41% 0.8 .34 25% .37 78% .29 0.91 43% 15% 33% -11 -1 0.77 24% 0.9 .22 17% .35 89% .32
Jan
31		 Sam Houston St. C- F D+ F F 36% 30% 34% D F A A+ A+ D B F C F+ C C A+ B 59% 17% 24% F C+ D F F F F B+ F
1.03 41% 36% 25% -11 -1 0.77 41% 1.3 .54 18% .36 63% .23 1.28 59% 38% 27% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .52 9% .61 67% .41
Feb
4		 New Mexico St. F+ B F B- D+ 31% 24% 44% C- D+ A+ F D+ F A+ F C D+ C F F F 42% 22% 36% F+ F D- A- C+ A C- A- C
0.99 64% 9% 35% -4 -1 0.91 48% 0.6 .30 20% .50 56% .28 1.13 58% 50% 44% +8 0 1.18 37% 0.8 .30 19% .29 67% .19
Feb
7		 Sam Houston St. C+ C A+ F C- 60% 17% 23% A C A+ F C C+ A+ B A+ B+ A+ D F D+ 30% 22% 48% B+ C- A+ F A- A- F+ C+ D-
1.14 59% 67% 8% -3 +2 1.00 43% 0.7 .31 16% .54 74% .40 1.02 38% 42% 46% +3 -1 1.07 18% 1.5 .26 21% .35 71% .25
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
12		 Missouri St. F A+ C C- B- 25% 49% 25% F C C+ F F F F F F A+ C A A+ A+ 22% 36% 42% A+ A+ F C- F A- D D+ D
0.92 87% 38% 33% +7 -5 1.07 33% 0.3 .10 23% .27 67% .18 0.91 62% 24% 20% -13 -3 0.69 41% 1.2 .47 21% .38 69% .26
Feb
14		 Florida International F+ B- F+ F+ D+ 53% 12% 35% B+ C- F F F D- D F F D+ C+ A- F D+ 43% 21% 36% C C- F C+ F A+ D+ A C+
0.95 62% 33% 29% -1 +2 1.04 26% 0.8 .19 24% .27 57% .16 1.14 55% 30% 41% +1 0 1.04 52% 1.0 .52 24% .35 61% .21
Feb
18		 Jacksonville St. C- A+ F B A+ 50% 15% 35% B A+ C- F+ D F C+ F F+ C+ A+ C+ F D- 36% 19% 45% A D+ B+ B B+ C D+ B+ C
1.10 83% 29% 38% +13 +2 1.30 26% 0.9 .22 21% .34 58% .20 1.01 41% 33% 48% +2 0 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 17% .38 64% .24
Feb
21		 Kennesaw St. F D- C F F+ 36% 31% 33% F F A+ F D F D+ B- C- A+ A+ F A+ A+ 45% 8% 47% D- A+ A- A+ A B C+ A B
0.81 47% 38% 29% -7 -2 0.86 43% 0.5 .22 27% .38 79% .30 0.86 41% 75% 22% -13 +2 0.80 28% 0.7 .21 19% .33 61% .20
Feb
26		 Missouri St. D+ C- A+ B- C+ 19% 29% 52% C- C+ D A+ C+ F A F B- C A+ D B- A+ 53% 11% 36% F B+ F+ C+ D B F F F
1.08 63% 50% 36% +6 -2 1.10 27% 1.4 .37 21% .46 63% .29 1.05 42% 40% 31% -10 +2 0.87 38% 1.1 .41 20% .45 83% .37
Feb
28		 Florida International C- B+ C- B B 40% 23% 37% D B- A+ F C- F A+ C A+ F A+ D F F 24% 27% 49% A+ F D- A+ A A- F F F
1.09 65% 40% 38% +5 0 1.12 47% 0.7 .34 27% .51 73% .38 1.21 36% 42% 59% +14 -2 1.27 37% 0.6 .23 22% .49 78% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 1.3 1.3 3rd
4th 7.2 5.7 13.0 4th
5th 3.9 27.3 1.9 33.2 5th
6th 17.9 12.3 30.2 6th
7th 20.8 1.6 22.4 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 42.5 48.5 9.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 9.0% 4.7% 4.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 8.6
10-10 48.5% 2.1% 2.1% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 47.5
9-11 42.5% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.1 0.4 42.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 15.4 98.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 14.8 1.2 29.8 57.1 11.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.3%
Lose Out 23.2%