Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.0#188
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#229
Pace62.5#345
Improvement+1.6#65

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#264
First Shot-2.4#243
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#251
Layup/Dunks+5.2#33
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#331
Freethrows-3.5#337
Improvement+2.9#11

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#122
First Shot+3.5#71
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#298
Layups/Dunks+1.0#143
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#85
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#151
Freethrows+0.1#177
Improvement-1.3#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.3% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 13.9 14.2
.500 or above 47.7% 52.1% 28.1%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 51.6% 38.2%
Conference Champion 3.7% 4.1% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 6.4% 11.9%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round3.9% 4.3% 2.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Home) - 81.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 84 - 11
Quad 410 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 105 @Nevada L 50-77 19%     0 - 1 -19.7 -13.5 -9.3
  Sat, Nov 15 312 Jackson St. W 68-51 81%     1 - 1 +5.6 -6.5 +12.5
  Wed, Nov 19 196 @Indiana St. L 51-60 40%     1 - 2 -8.4 -20.5 +12.3
  Wed, Nov 26 196 Indiana St. W 75-73 63%     2 - 2 -3.4 +4.4 -7.7
  Sat, Nov 29 333 Alcorn St. W 83-58 86%     3 - 2 +11.5 +13.2 +1.0
  Wed, Dec 3 226 @Georgia Southern L 69-77 46%     3 - 3 -9.0 -1.3 -8.1
  Sat, Dec 13 318 Louisiana W 67-57 82%    
  Wed, Dec 17 172 @Tulane L 67-71 36%    
  Mon, Dec 29 241 UTEP W 65-60 69%    
  Fri, Jan 2 138 @Middle Tennessee L 65-72 27%    
  Sun, Jan 4 123 @Western Kentucky L 66-74 24%    
  Thu, Jan 8 98 Liberty L 65-69 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 287 Delaware W 70-62 76%    
  Wed, Jan 14 138 Middle Tennessee L 68-69 48%    
  Sat, Jan 17 238 @Jacksonville St. L 61-62 48%    
  Sat, Jan 24 162 Kennesaw St. W 74-73 55%    
  Wed, Jan 28 241 @UTEP L 62-63 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 133 @Sam Houston St. L 67-74 26%    
  Wed, Feb 4 116 New Mexico St. L 63-65 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 133 Sam Houston St. L 70-71 47%    
  Thu, Feb 12 242 @Missouri St. L 62-63 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 207 @Florida International L 68-70 43%    
  Wed, Feb 18 238 Jacksonville St. W 64-59 68%    
  Sat, Feb 21 162 @Kennesaw St. L 71-76 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 242 Missouri St. W 65-59 69%    
  Sat, Feb 28 207 Florida International W 71-67 63%    
  Thu, Mar 5 98 @Liberty L 62-72 19%    
  Sat, Mar 7 287 @Delaware W 67-65 57%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.5 4th
5th 0.4 2.9 4.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 5.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.8 3.0 0.6 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.2 3.0 0.7 0.0 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.4 2.6 0.6 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.3 2.0 0.6 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.1 4.7 7.6 9.7 11.0 12.1 12.2 10.8 9.1 6.9 4.8 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 95.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 81.7% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-4 67.5% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
15-5 35.9% 1.1    0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 12.7% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 22.9% 22.9% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.7% 26.4% 26.4% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.5% 19.4% 19.4% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 1.2
15-5 3.0% 15.3% 15.3% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.5
14-6 4.8% 12.3% 12.3% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 4.2
13-7 6.9% 11.1% 11.1% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 6.1
12-8 9.1% 7.1% 7.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 8.4
11-9 10.8% 3.5% 3.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.4
10-10 12.2% 1.8% 1.8% 14.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.9
9-11 12.1% 1.3% 1.3% 15.5 0.1 0.1 11.9
8-12 11.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 10.9
7-13 9.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.6
6-14 7.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.6
5-15 4.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7
4-16 3.1% 3.1
3-17 1.7% 1.7
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.3 96.1 0.0%