Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -12.1 343
Expected Predictive Rating -9.5 316
Pace 73.2 62
Improvement +0.7 153

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D #305 D- D+ D D+ D-
Defense D- #343 D D- D+ C- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% 357 50% 348 -8.0 362
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 72 38% 170 +2.2 71
Three Pointers 45% 100 30% 326 -0.7 205
1st FG Attempt 0.89 349 -6.6 348
Second Chance 25.8% 308 1.01 197 0.26 292
Turnovers 19.0% 305
Freethrows 0.26 312 76% 46 0.20 256
Total Offense -5.1 305

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 188 65% 340 -2.9 280
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 327 34% 55 +2.5 15
Three Pointers 46% 45 36% 287 -4.3 341
1st FG Attempt 1.11 321 -4.7 321
Second Chance 36.4% 346 1.05 215 0.38 323
Turnovers 15.3% 277
Freethrows 0.33 260 72% 155 0.24 254
Total Defense -7.0 343

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -1.4 332 +0.6 288
Shot Type Accuracy -5.2 336 +3.9 321
Possession Length 17.6 218 15.6 6
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 184 0.24 349
Improvement +3.6 #30 -2.9 #316

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 75% 89% 57%
Conference Champion 1% 2% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four3% 3% 2%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 56.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 30 - 10
Quad 411 - 1211 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 6 @Illinois L 55 - 113 0% -33  0% 0 - 1 F -34 F -16 D- F D F -13 F F B
 Thu, Nov 6 11 @Louisville L 70 - 106 0% -22  1% 0 - 2 D- -13 D+ -3 A- F B D- -8 D+ D D
 Sat, Nov 15 223 @Louisiana Tech L 51 - 68 14% -3  38% 0 - 3 F+ -17 F -21 F D- D- B- +3 B D C+
 Wed, Nov 19 28 @Auburn L 66 - 112 1% -26  1% 0 - 4 F -28 F+ -9 D+ C- F F -16 F B D+
 Fri, Nov 21 19 @Arkansas L 61 - 115 1% -30  3% 0 - 5 F -33 F -12 F A- F F -17 F D F+
 Sun, Nov 23 130 Winthrop L 62 - 80 15% -8  15% 0 - 6 F -19 F+ -10 C F+ F+ F -11 F+ D- D
 Fri, Nov 28 290 @Louisiana W 51 - 45 23% +5  89% 1 - 6 C +2 F -19 F F D- A+ +21 A+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 154 @Kennesaw St. L 73 - 88 9% -9  24% 1 - 7 D- -12 D+ -4 F B F+ D- -8 A F F
 Wed, Dec 10 5 @Houston L 38 - 80 0% -22  2% 1 - 8 F+ -16 F -22 D+ F F C+ +2 B F A
 Sat, Dec 13 64 @Northwestern L 53 - 93 2% -18  0% 1 - 9 F -29 F -20 F F C- D -7 D- C- B-
 Thu, Dec 18 248 Hampton L 77 - 84 24% -5  12% 1 - 10 D- -12 C- -0 C+ D C F -11 D- F B
 Fri, Dec 19 307 Norfolk St. L 72 - 82 37% -11  12% 1 - 11 F -19 F+ -9 D- D+ F F+ -10 F B C
 Mon, Dec 29 50 @TCU L 64 - 115 2% -24  0% 1 - 12 F -37 D -6 D B D F -29 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 351 Alcorn St. W 89 - 86 65% +7  86% 2 - 12 1 - 0 D- -13 B- +5 B F A- F -18 F F F
 Sat, Jan 10 316 @Alabama St. W 75 - 64 30% +7  90% 3 - 12 2 - 0 C+ +4 D- -8 F F+ D+ A +11 A+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 305 @Alabama A&M L 91 - 100 26% -6  14% 3 - 13 2 - 1 F+ -14 C +1 D D- A- F -14 F F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 336 Prairie View W 82 - 78 59% +4  83% 4 - 13 3 - 1 D -10 D -4 C+ D F D -6 C F+ C-
 Mon, Jan 19 309 Texas Southern W 94 - 89 49% +5  96% 5 - 13 4 - 1 D+ -7 A- +9 A F+ B F -16 F D+ D
 Sat, Jan 24 227 @Bethune-Cookman L 48 - 85 14% -16  8% 5 - 14 4 - 2 F -38 F -28 F F D D- -8 C F D
 Mon, Jan 26 328 @Florida A&M W 66 - 65 33% -3  10% 6 - 14 5 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -3 F A- C+ D+ -4 C D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 285 Grambling St. L 66 - 69 42% -3  14% 6 - 15 5 - 3 D- -13 D- -6 F+ D- B- D -7 D C+ D
 Mon, Feb 2 264 Southern L 91 - 96 OT 38% -11  1% 6 - 16 5 - 4 D- -14 C +0 C- D A- F -13 F B- F
 Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 97 - 81 80% +6  72% 7 - 16 6 - 4 D+ -5 B +6 F A+ D- F -13 F C F
 Mon, Feb 9 313 @Arkansas Pine Bluff L 63 - 84 28% -10  5% 7 - 17 6 - 5 F -27 F -12 F B+ D- F -17 F C F
 Sat, Feb 14 328 Florida A&M W 77 - 75 56%
 Mon, Feb 16 227 Bethune-Cookman L 75 - 80 31%
 Sat, Feb 21 351 @Alcorn St. L 77 - 79 44%
 Thu, Feb 26 336 @Prairie View L 81 - 85 37%
 Sat, Feb 28 309 @Texas Southern L 76 - 82 28%
 Tue, Mar 3 313 Arkansas Pine Bluff L 81 - 82 50%
 Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 82 - 67 92%
Totals 10 - 21 9 - 9 -12 D -5 D- D+ D D- -7 D D- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C D- D- 29% 26% 45% D- D- D C D+ D D B D+ D- D- B D+ D 38% 15% 46% D+ D F+ C- D- D+ C- C C-
1.01 50% 38% 30% -5 -1 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 19% .26 76% .20 1.19 65% 34% 36% +4 +1 1.11 36% 1.0 .38 15% .33 72% .19
Nov
3		 Illinois F B+ F+ F D 13% 42% 45% F D- F F F D B+ C+ B+ F B+ C+ F F 32% 9% 59% C- F F C- F B D- A+ C
0.73 63% 28% 26% -9 -5 0.75 9% 0.3 .02 15% .22 71% .15 1.50 56% 40% 52% +15 +1 1.34 58% 1.2 .72 16% .38 67% .25
Nov
6		 Louisville D+ F C+ A+ A- 30% 25% 45% C+ A- F+ F F B D+ F F+ D- F+ F C+ C- 48% 5% 46% D- D+ D- C D D F B- F
0.91 41% 36% 44% +1 -1 1.02 17% 0.6 .10 16% .25 56% .14 1.37 74% 67% 35% +10 +3 1.27 41% 1.0 .41 13% .52 74% .39
Nov
15		 Louisiana Tech F F F F F 33% 7% 61% B- F F B D- D- C- B C B- B A+ B+ A 63% 12% 26% F B F B D C+ F A- F
0.75 27% 0% 21% -24 +1 0.57 23% 1.2 .27 20% .31 76% .24 0.99 48% 0% 27% -13 +3 0.81 46% 0.7 .34 19% .56 58% .32
Nov
19		 Auburn F+ D B+ D C 26% 39% 35% F D+ B F C- F A- C B+ F F F F F 44% 5% 51% F+ F A D+ B D+ A+ D A
0.87 50% 44% 31% -1 -3 0.93 33% 0.8 .27 29% .35 74% .26 1.48 88% 67% 43% +22 +2 1.51 32% 1.1 .36 12% .29 79% .23
Nov
21		 Arkansas F F C- F F 25% 33% 42% F F C+ A+ A- F D B+ D+ F F A+ F F 54% 15% 31% F F D+ D+ D F+ F D F
0.80 31% 35% 23% -15 -3 0.67 29% 1.6 .46 26% .20 73% .14 1.51 79% 25% 53% +19 +2 1.43 38% 1.3 .50 8% .51 78% .40
Nov
23		 Winthrop F+ C- A C B- 18% 33% 49% F C D F F+ F+ F F F F F+ A+ F+ F 37% 11% 52% C- F+ C F D- D A+ F A+
0.96 56% 50% 33% +3 -3 1.02 24% 0.9 .21 20% .16 63% .10 1.24 65% 17% 39% +4 +1 1.13 33% 1.3 .42 12% .18 90% .16
Nov
28		 Louisiana F F A F F 38% 22% 40% D- F F F+ F D- F A F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 14% 51% F A+ F D- F A+ F A+ C-
0.82 47% 45% 20% -11 0 0.80 23% 0.9 .20 21% .10 80% .08 0.73 53% 17% 14% -20 +1 0.63 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 50% .17
Dec
2		 Kennesaw St. D+ F B F F 31% 24% 45% F+ F C- A+ B F+ A A+ A+ D- C A+ A+ A+ 41% 2% 57% F+ A F D F F F A- F
1.00 33% 42% 27% -11 -1 0.78 29% 1.3 .37 19% .49 90% .44 1.21 57% 0% 21% -12 +3 0.82 50% 1.0 .52 12% .61 64% .39
Dec
10		 Houston F F F+ C- D+ 17% 20% 63% D+ D+ D F F F F F F C+ D F A B- 15% 33% 52% A- B F F F A C+ A+ A
0.59 29% 25% 31% -11 -1 0.78 23% 0.4 .10 39% .13 60% .08 1.24 71% 56% 28% +3 -3 1.02 46% 1.4 .64 17% .24 54% .13
Dec
13		 Northwestern F F D+ F F 27% 24% 49% D+ F F F F C- A D- B+ D F A+ A D 41% 11% 48% F D- D- B C- B- F C- F
0.73 36% 33% 24% -14 -1 0.71 19% 0.5 .10 18% .39 65% .25 1.28 89% 20% 27% +6 +1 1.17 34% 1.2 .41 14% .62 77% .48
Dec
18		 Hampton C- B- A+ D- B- 33% 22% 44% D+ C+ F A- D C F A+ D- F A+ B F F+ 30% 30% 41% C+ D- C- F F B F F F
1.07 67% 58% 29% +4 -1 1.09 19% 1.2 .22 17% .27 81% .22 1.17 38% 31% 50% +2 -2 1.02 34% 1.5 .52 21% .55 84% .46
Dec
19		 Norfolk St. F+ D+ F A+ D+ 24% 34% 42% F D- D C D+ F F+ B D- F+ F C- F F 20% 37% 43% A+ F D+ A+ B C F+ F F
0.99 58% 24% 43% +1 -3 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 22% .28 75% .21 1.12 70% 39% 48% +12 -3 1.18 32% 0.7 .24 19% .41 83% .34
Dec
29		 TCU D F B B D+ 30% 32% 38% F+ D C A+ B D C C- C F F F F F 43% 15% 43% D+ F C+ B B- F A+ F A-
0.87 27% 44% 37% -6 -2 0.86 26% 1.3 .34 23% .26 67% .18 1.56 88% 56% 50% +26 +1 1.56 33% 1.0 .33 11% .18 100% .18
Jan
3		 Alcorn St. B- A+ D+ B B+ 36% 16% 48% D B F F F A- A A+ A+ F B- A+ F F 28% 28% 44% B+ F F F F F F A+ F
1.27 83% 38% 38% +12 0 1.26 24% 0.9 .21 14% .42 84% .35 1.23 53% 20% 54% +7 -2 1.13 34% 1.1 .37 14% .40 58% .23
Jan
10		 Alabama St. D- D+ F F F 53% 16% 31% B F C- F F+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 60% 11% 29% F A+ F B- F A+ F B- D-
0.99 56% 0% 25% -11 +2 0.82 33% 0.8 .28 20% .53 88% .46 0.85 39% 17% 13% -23 +3 0.62 48% 0.8 .37 25% .37 67% .25
Jan
12		 Alabama A&M C C+ A+ F D 32% 13% 55% C D F A+ D- A- A A- A+ F F B- C+ F 37% 18% 45% D- F C F F C- F F+ F
1.12 63% 63% 27% -1 0 1.02 15% 1.5 .22 12% .43 77% .34 1.23 78% 33% 32% +5 0 1.12 25% 1.6 .41 16% .63 79% .50
Jan
17		 Prairie View D A D- C C+ 37% 17% 46% C- C+ B F D F D D+ D D C+ B- C+ C 31% 31% 39% C C F+ D F+ C- F C- F
1.11 70% 33% 36% +5 0 1.13 42% 0.8 .32 23% .35 70% .25 1.05 53% 33% 32% -4 -2 0.90 29% 1.1 .32 15% .56 77% .43
Jan
19		 Texas Southern A- A A+ B A+ 38% 24% 38% D- A D- D- F+ B A- A+ A+ F F C- B+ F 41% 9% 50% F F F A+ D+ D F C F+
1.29 74% 58% 37% +13 0 1.26 27% 1.0 .27 14% .45 86% .38 1.22 83% 40% 29% +6 +2 1.18 38% 0.8 .31 15% .39 71% .27
Jan
24		 Bethune-Cookman F F F F F 33% 21% 46% D- F F C- F D F A+ F D- C- A+ C C+ 48% 20% 32% D C F F F D D F F
0.65 32% 17% 15% -26 0 0.49 22% 1.1 .24 18% .17 90% .15 1.15 59% 18% 33% -4 +1 0.96 38% 1.4 .53 15% .35 82% .29
Jan
26		 Florida A&M D+ B+ F C F+ 21% 40% 40% F F B+ B+ A- C+ A- F+ B D+ F A+ A- D+ 25% 29% 46% A C D C- D+ F D+ A+ B-
1.06 67% 24% 35% -3 -4 0.88 38% 1.1 .41 18% .41 71% .29 1.05 92% 21% 27% -1 -2 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 15% .32 53% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Grambling St. D- C D+ F+ D- 27% 27% 47% F F+ F+ C D- B- A+ C+ A+ D B A+ F D- 29% 17% 54% C+ D F A+ C+ D A C+ A
1.00 58% 33% 29% -5 -2 0.89 26% 1.0 .26 18% .56 73% .41 1.05 50% 13% 42% 0 0 1.02 38% 0.7 .25 18% .26 71% .19
Feb
2		 Southern C F C+ A C 26% 26% 48% D- C- D C- D A- A C+ A F D+ C+ F+ F+ 46% 20% 34% F F F+ A+ B- F F B F
1.13 47% 40% 43% +4 -2 1.07 28% 1.1 .30 15% .45 77% .35 1.19 61% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 36% 0.8 .27 11% .48 65% .31
Feb
7		 Mississippi Valley B F A+ D- F 30% 6% 64% B- F A+ A+ A+ D- A+ A A+ F D+ F+ D F 30% 39% 30% C- F C- B- C F F B D-
1.28 40% 67% 31% -6 +1 0.92 53% 1.6 .84 20% .58 83% .48 1.07 59% 45% 35% +4 -3 1.04 26% 0.8 .21 13% .37 67% .24
Feb
9		 Arkansas Pine Bluff F F B F F 18% 37% 45% F F C+ B+ B+ D- F F F F C F F F 37% 27% 37% C+ F D- B C F D- D- F+
0.96 33% 42% 22% -11 -4 0.73 37% 1.3 .49 18% .28 67% .19 1.28 56% 54% 50% +12 -1 1.24 30% 0.9 .27 11% .36 81% .29



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 0.4 1.3 1st
2nd 0.5 4.4 2.8 0.3 8.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 5.2 6.9 0.7 12.8 3rd
4th 2.2 12.2 2.8 0.1 17.3 4th
5th 0.2 10.3 7.6 0.3 18.5 5th
6th 2.4 11.6 1.3 15.4 6th
7th 0.1 6.9 3.9 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 1.0 7.0 0.3 8.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.7 2.1 4.9 9th
10th 0.2 1.9 0.1 2.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.4 0.6 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.5 6.1 18.7 28.5 26.8 14.5 4.3 0.7 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 61.1% 0.4    0.1 0.3 0.1
12-6 16.6% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.7% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 4.3% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.2 4.1
11-7 14.5% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.6 13.9
10-8 26.8% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.9 25.9
9-9 28.5% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.7 27.8
8-10 18.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 18.5
7-11 6.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.0
6-12 0.5% 0.5
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 16.0 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.5%