Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#312
Expected Predictive Rating-6.6#272
Pace70.3#164
Improvement+1.7#58

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#341
First Shot-5.4#317
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#247
Layup/Dunks-9.0#361
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#27
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#121
Freethrows-2.0#288
Improvement-0.1#188

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#229
First Shot+0.3#160
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#304
Layups/Dunks-2.4#268
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#252
Freethrows+1.3#109
Improvement+1.8#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 0.0% 5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 n/a 15.9
.500 or above 11.6% 31.6% 11.6%
.500 or above in Conference 67.5% 92.1% 67.4%
Conference Champion 8.3% 23.7% 8.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.0% 0.9%
First Four4.3% 0.0% 4.3%
First Round3.4% 0.0% 3.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 7
Quad 20 - 10 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 12
Quad 412 - 912 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 17 @Illinois L 55-113 1%     0 - 1 -38.0 -12.9 -20.9
  Thu, Nov 6 14 @Louisville L 70-106 1%     0 - 2 -15.1 -1.2 -10.6
  Sat, Nov 15 188 @Louisiana Tech L 51-68 19%     0 - 3 -16.0 -17.5 +1.1
  Wed, Nov 19 20 @Auburn L 66-112 2%     0 - 4 -27.6 -5.0 -19.2
  Fri, Nov 21 22 @Arkansas L 61-115 2%     0 - 5 -36.0 -8.2 -23.4
  Sun, Nov 23 107 Winthrop L 62-80 18%     0 - 6 -16.7 -7.0 -11.4
  Fri, Nov 28 318 @Louisiana W 51-45 40%     1 - 6 +0.1 -15.5 +16.4
  Tue, Dec 2 162 @Kennesaw St. L 73-88 15%     1 - 7 -12.4 -3.0 -8.9
  Wed, Dec 10 7 @Houston L 50-81 0.1%   
  Sat, Dec 13 60 @Northwestern L 61-82 3%    
  Thu, Dec 18 212 Hampton L 67-72 31%    
  Fri, Dec 19 231 Norfolk St. L 65-69 35%    
  Mon, Dec 29 48 @TCU L 60-82 2%    
  Sat, Jan 3 333 Alcorn St. W 75-70 68%    
  Sat, Jan 10 268 @Alabama St. L 70-75 31%    
  Mon, Jan 12 266 @Alabama A&M L 66-72 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 322 Prairie View W 75-71 63%    
  Mon, Jan 19 296 Texas Southern W 74-72 58%    
  Sat, Jan 24 218 @Bethune-Cookman L 67-75 25%    
  Wed, Jan 28 345 @Florida A&M L 72-73 50%    
  Sat, Jan 31 284 Grambling St. W 68-67 55%    
  Mon, Feb 2 201 Southern L 73-76 40%    
  Sat, Feb 7 365 @Mississippi Valley W 75-64 83%    
  Mon, Feb 9 358 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-73 60%    
  Sat, Feb 14 345 Florida A&M W 75-69 70%    
  Mon, Feb 16 218 Bethune-Cookman L 70-72 44%    
  Sat, Feb 21 333 @Alcorn St. L 72-73 47%    
  Thu, Feb 26 322 @Prairie View L 72-74 42%    
  Sat, Feb 28 296 @Texas Southern L 71-75 37%    
  Tue, Mar 3 358 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 79-70 78%    
  Thu, Mar 5 365 Mississippi Valley W 78-61 93%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.0 8.3 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 3.7 4.3 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 11.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 4.5 4.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.4 5.4 1.4 0.1 11.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.3 6.1 1.8 0.1 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.8 2.3 0.2 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.6 3.4 0.3 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.7 3.6 0.4 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 2.7 2.9 0.7 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 1.7 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.1 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.4 6.3 8.8 11.5 13.6 14.1 13.0 10.5 7.9 4.7 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 94.9% 0.3    0.2 0.0
16-2 93.9% 0.9    0.9 0.1
15-3 77.6% 1.8    1.3 0.5 0.0
14-4 54.6% 2.6    1.3 1.1 0.2
13-5 25.4% 2.0    0.5 0.9 0.5 0.1
12-6 6.2% 0.7    0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 4.4 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 34.2% 34.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.0% 23.8% 23.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7
15-3 2.3% 17.6% 17.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.9
14-4 4.7% 15.3% 15.3% 15.9 0.1 0.6 4.0
13-5 7.9% 10.4% 10.4% 15.9 0.0 0.8 7.1
12-6 10.5% 9.1% 9.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9 9.6
11-7 13.0% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.8 12.2
10-8 14.1% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.8 13.3
9-9 13.6% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.5 13.1
8-10 11.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 11.4
7-11 8.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.8
6-12 6.3% 6.3
5-13 3.4% 3.4
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 5.2 94.4 0.0%