Winthrop
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#161
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#145
Pace79.5#7
Improvement+3.3#53

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#140
First Shot-0.1#173
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#97
Layup/Dunks+3.1#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#352
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#280
Freethrows+3.6#22
Improvement+2.4#70

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#210
First Shot+0.4#165
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#312
Layups/Dunks+0.6#150
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#272
Freethrows+0.0#186
Improvement+0.9#134
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 44 - 9
Quad 416 - 220 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 253   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-67 77%     1 - 0 +7.3 -0.4 +6.0
  Nov 11, 2024 134   @ Virginia Tech L 52-58 34%     1 - 1 -1.8 -12.9 +10.5
  Nov 15, 2024 232   William & Mary W 86-85 74%     2 - 1 -5.7 -1.6 -4.1
  Nov 16, 2024 251   Georgia Southern L 87-89 77%     2 - 2 -9.6 -6.9 -2.3
  Nov 17, 2024 316   NC Central W 77-75 87%     3 - 2 -10.1 -2.5 -7.6
  Nov 22, 2024 23   @ Louisville L 61-76 5%     3 - 3 +3.7 -9.1 +14.4
  Nov 25, 2024 301   LIU Brooklyn W 87-65 84%     4 - 3 +11.2 +11.3 -0.7
  Dec 03, 2024 207   @ Queens W 86-78 49%     5 - 3 +8.2 +5.0 +2.5
  Dec 07, 2024 317   Coastal Carolina W 96-89 87%     6 - 3 -5.1 +15.7 -20.8
  Dec 17, 2024 82   @ Florida St. L 64-82 19%     6 - 4 -8.5 -8.2 +1.2
  Dec 21, 2024 263   Mercer W 102-97 79%     7 - 4 -3.4 +8.1 -12.4
  Dec 29, 2024 42   @ Indiana L 68-77 9%     7 - 5 +5.6 +1.3 +4.5
  Jan 02, 2025 349   South Carolina Upstate W 95-76 92%     8 - 5 1 - 0 +3.5 +11.3 -8.3
  Jan 04, 2025 169   @ Radford L 67-87 41%     8 - 6 1 - 1 -17.8 -3.5 -15.3
  Jan 08, 2025 272   @ Gardner-Webb L 83-89 63%     8 - 7 1 - 2 -9.4 +6.2 -15.4
  Jan 11, 2025 227   Longwood W 95-76 72%     9 - 7 2 - 2 +12.8 +13.1 -1.3
  Jan 15, 2025 307   Charleston Southern W 102-97 3OT 85%     10 - 7 3 - 2 -6.2 -4.2 -3.5
  Jan 18, 2025 203   @ UNC Asheville L 84-93 49%     10 - 8 3 - 3 -8.6 +3.6 -11.6
  Jan 25, 2025 88   @ High Point L 62-84 21%     10 - 9 3 - 4 -13.4 -10.1 -3.7
  Jan 29, 2025 240   Presbyterian W 76-67 75%     11 - 9 4 - 4 +1.9 +2.0 +0.2
  Feb 01, 2025 272   Gardner-Webb W 96-93 80%     12 - 9 5 - 4 -5.9 +10.0 -16.2
  Feb 05, 2025 307   @ Charleston Southern W 83-65 71%     13 - 9 6 - 4 +12.3 +7.0 +5.0
  Feb 08, 2025 349   @ South Carolina Upstate W 105-95 83%     14 - 9 7 - 4 +0.0 +10.1 -11.7
  Feb 12, 2025 169   Radford W 78-74 63%     15 - 9 8 - 4 +0.7 +0.2 +0.4
  Feb 15, 2025 88   High Point L 66-88 38%     15 - 10 8 - 5 -18.9 -12.8 -5.3
  Feb 19, 2025 240   @ Presbyterian W 81-77 56%     16 - 10 9 - 5 +2.4 +6.6 -4.2
  Feb 27, 2025 227   @ Longwood W 85-59 53%     17 - 10 10 - 5 +25.3 +7.9 +16.5
  Mar 01, 2025 203   UNC Asheville W 103-90 69%     18 - 10 11 - 5 +7.8 +17.3 -10.4
  Mar 07, 2025 227   Longwood W 88-79 63%     19 - 10 +5.5 +5.0 -0.2
  Mar 08, 2025 203   UNC Asheville W 86-67 59%     20 - 10 +16.6 +8.5 +7.9
  Mar 09, 2025 88   High Point L 69-81 29%     20 - 11 -6.1 -7.0 +1.1
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%