Longwood
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#289
Expected Predictive Rating-7.9#283
Pace71.7#130
Improvement-2.1#314

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#253
First Shot-1.6#217
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#282
Layup/Dunks-2.7#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#311
Freethrows+5.9#4
Improvement-0.9#250

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#293
First Shot-3.9#306
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#175
Layups/Dunks-1.2#218
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#20
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#357
Freethrows+1.6#92
Improvement-1.2#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.1% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 20.9% 26.4% 10.7%
.500 or above in Conference 36.8% 40.4% 30.0%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 6.7% 10.9%
First Four0.9% 1.0% 0.8%
First Round1.4% 1.7% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Away) - 64.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 51 - 10
Quad 411 - 812 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 92 @Pittsburgh L 60-78 8%     0 - 1 -9.6 -9.2 -0.4
  Wed, Nov 12 169 James Madison W 82-72 39%     1 - 1 +6.0 +4.4 +1.6
  Sat, Nov 15 349 Binghamton W 90-82 77%     2 - 1 -6.8 +4.7 -12.0
  Tue, Nov 18 341 Maryland Eastern Shore L 82-83 2OT 76%     2 - 2 -15.2 -5.7 -9.3
  Sun, Nov 23 140 @Columbia L 70-95 14%     2 - 3 -20.5 -3.9 -15.8
  Fri, Nov 28 161 Siena L 63-70 26%     2 - 4 -7.3 -6.7 -0.8
  Sat, Nov 29 326 Maine W 65-61 59%     3 - 4 -5.3 -2.2 -2.7
  Sun, Nov 30 250 @American L 66-92 31%     3 - 5 -27.9 -8.5 -18.6
  Sat, Dec 6 359 @Morgan St. W 80-76 65%    
  Sat, Dec 13 355 Delaware St. W 76-66 81%    
  Wed, Dec 17 53 @Wake Forest L 67-87 3%    
  Sat, Dec 20 336 @NC Central W 73-72 54%    
  Wed, Dec 31 107 Winthrop L 76-84 22%    
  Sat, Jan 3 93 @High Point L 73-88 8%    
  Wed, Jan 7 210 @UNC Asheville L 73-80 27%    
  Sat, Jan 10 257 Presbyterian W 67-66 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 290 @Radford L 78-81 40%    
  Wed, Jan 21 360 Gardner-Webb W 83-73 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 288 Charleston Southern W 77-74 60%    
  Thu, Jan 29 278 @South Carolina Upstate L 74-78 38%    
  Sat, Jan 31 93 High Point L 76-85 20%    
  Wed, Feb 4 360 @Gardner-Webb W 80-76 66%    
  Sat, Feb 7 107 @Winthrop L 73-87 10%    
  Thu, Feb 12 210 UNC Asheville L 76-77 47%    
  Sat, Feb 14 278 South Carolina Upstate W 77-75 59%    
  Thu, Feb 19 257 @Presbyterian L 64-69 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 288 @Charleston Southern L 74-77 40%    
  Sat, Feb 28 290 Radford W 81-78 61%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 4.6 4.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.3 2.9 6.9 4.8 1.4 0.1 16.5 4th
5th 0.4 3.5 8.0 4.6 0.9 0.0 17.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 4.1 8.4 4.4 0.5 0.0 17.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.2 6.8 3.1 0.4 15.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 3.6 4.3 1.9 0.2 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.2 9th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.7 5.7 9.4 13.2 15.4 15.9 13.7 10.5 6.8 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 95.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-3 58.6% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
12-4 20.7% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1
11-5 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 16.3% 16.3% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.6% 12.7% 12.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-4 1.5% 8.8% 8.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.4
11-5 3.5% 8.1% 8.1% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.2
10-6 6.8% 4.6% 4.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.4
9-7 10.5% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.1 0.2 10.2
8-8 13.7% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 13.5
7-9 15.9% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3 15.6
6-10 15.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 15.3
5-11 13.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.1
4-12 9.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-13 5.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.7
2-14 2.7% 2.7
1-15 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 98.1 0.0%