South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#346
Expected Predictive Rating-14.6#350
Pace77.2#16
Improvement+0.1#178

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#322
First Shot-3.3#273
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#313
Layup/Dunks+3.4#65
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#349
Freethrows-1.2#261
Improvement-0.7#221

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#344
First Shot-6.5#347
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#172
Layups/Dunks-2.6#281
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#264
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#234
Freethrows-2.1#318
Improvement+0.8#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 92.6% 71.5% 98.1%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Away) - 20.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 90 - 15
Quad 44 - 114 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 91   @ North Carolina St. L 66-97 4%     0 - 1 -22.4 -6.4 -13.9
  Nov 08, 2024 118   @ Virginia Tech L 74-93 7%     0 - 2 -13.9 +0.2 -13.5
  Nov 13, 2024 58   @ Wake Forest L 80-85 2%     0 - 3 +7.2 +13.7 -6.3
  Nov 15, 2024 117   UNC Wilmington L 85-89 13%     0 - 4 -3.7 +1.7 -5.0
  Nov 22, 2024 153   @ East Tennessee St. L 76-87 9%     0 - 5 -7.8 -1.1 -5.9
  Nov 23, 2024 213   Queens L 74-98 19%     0 - 6 -26.9 -6.1 -19.2
  Nov 26, 2024 60   @ Iowa L 77-110 2%     0 - 7 -21.1 -3.3 -13.7
  Nov 30, 2024 309   @ Coastal Carolina L 51-73 28%     0 - 8 -28.1 -23.5 -5.5
  Dec 07, 2024 350   @ Western Carolina W 74-68 43%     1 - 8 -4.3 -4.1 -0.4
  Dec 14, 2024 79   @ South Carolina L 53-73 3%     1 - 9 -10.2 -11.6 +0.9
  Dec 18, 2024 229   South Carolina St. L 70-85 29%     1 - 10 -21.2 -11.9 -7.6
  Dec 21, 2024 219   Youngstown St. L 64-72 27%     1 - 11 -13.7 -18.0 +5.4
  Jan 02, 2025 205   @ Winthrop L 76-95 13%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -18.7 -0.5 -17.6
  Jan 08, 2025 283   Presbyterian W 77-67 39%     2 - 12 1 - 1 +0.8 +1.0 +0.2
  Jan 11, 2025 204   Radford L 67-80 24%     2 - 13 1 - 2 -17.6 -4.5 -14.3
  Jan 15, 2025 172   @ UNC Asheville L 92-93 10%     2 - 14 1 - 3 +1.1 +7.6 -6.4
  Jan 18, 2025 236   @ Gardner-Webb L 68-97 17%     2 - 15 1 - 4 -30.9 -10.2 -18.9
  Jan 22, 2025 107   High Point L 77-86 11%     2 - 16 1 - 5 -7.5 +2.6 -10.4
  Jan 25, 2025 190   @ Longwood L 54-80 11%     2 - 17 1 - 6 -24.9 -19.9 -4.8
  Jan 29, 2025 285   Charleston Southern L 75-82 40%     2 - 18 1 - 7 -16.3 -3.5 -12.6
  Feb 01, 2025 204   @ Radford L 69-79 13%     2 - 19 1 - 8 -9.6 +1.2 -11.9
  Feb 05, 2025 283   @ Presbyterian L 71-79 21%    
  Feb 08, 2025 205   Winthrop L 81-88 26%    
  Feb 12, 2025 172   UNC Asheville L 76-85 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 236   Gardner-Webb L 77-82 34%    
  Feb 22, 2025 285   @ Charleston Southern L 73-81 22%    
  Feb 26, 2025 107   @ High Point L 72-90 3%    
  Mar 01, 2025 190   Longwood L 76-84 24%    
Projected Record 4 - 24 3 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.5 5.1 7.2 2.5 0.1 15.4 8th
9th 19.5 33.9 22.4 5.9 0.4 82.1 9th
Total 19.5 34.4 27.5 13.3 4.4 0.9 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 0.0% 0.0
6-10 0.9% 0.9
5-11 4.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.3
4-12 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.3
3-13 27.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 27.5
2-14 34.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 34.4
1-15 19.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.5
0-16
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 14.8%