South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.2#338
Expected Predictive Rating-12.8#337
Pace78.5#15
Improvement-1.3#272

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#334
First Shot-3.4#280
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#311
Layup/Dunks+3.4#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.7#348
Freethrows-1.4#265
Improvement-4.1#362

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#332
First Shot-5.7#345
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#149
Layups/Dunks-2.0#253
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#240
Freethrows-1.9#304
Improvement+2.8#16
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.2% 6.0% 3.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 64.6% 58.6% 66.8%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Home) - 26.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 31 - 91 - 15
Quad 44 - 95 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 78   @ North Carolina St. L 66-97 3%     0 - 1 -20.9 -6.1 -12.8
  Nov 08, 2024 126   @ Virginia Tech L 74-93 7%     0 - 2 -13.7 +2.2 -15.4
  Nov 13, 2024 86   @ Wake Forest L 80-85 4%     0 - 3 +4.5 +11.6 -6.9
  Nov 15, 2024 134   UNC Wilmington L 85-89 18%     0 - 4 -5.5 +1.2 -6.4
  Nov 22, 2024 132   @ East Tennessee St. L 76-87 8%     0 - 5 -6.3 +0.2 -5.7
  Nov 23, 2024 270   Queens L 74-98 30%     0 - 6 -29.7 -7.3 -20.8
  Nov 26, 2024 42   @ Iowa L 77-110 2%     0 - 7 -19.2 -1.2 -13.9
  Nov 30, 2024 268   @ Coastal Carolina L 51-73 21%     0 - 8 -24.7 -20.5 -5.1
  Dec 07, 2024 311   @ Western Carolina W 74-68 29%     1 - 8 +0.6 -1.1 +1.6
  Dec 14, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 53-73 3%     1 - 9 -8.7 -12.9 +3.6
  Dec 18, 2024 247   South Carolina St. L 70-85 37%     1 - 10 -22.8 -13.7 -7.3
  Dec 21, 2024 195   Youngstown St. L 72-79 26%    
  Jan 02, 2025 187   @ Winthrop L 76-89 11%    
  Jan 08, 2025 250   Presbyterian L 74-77 38%    
  Jan 11, 2025 204   Radford L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 15, 2025 166   @ UNC Asheville L 71-85 10%    
  Jan 18, 2025 238   @ Gardner-Webb L 75-85 18%    
  Jan 22, 2025 135   High Point L 73-83 19%    
  Jan 25, 2025 172   @ Longwood L 70-83 11%    
  Jan 29, 2025 301   Charleston Southern L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 204   @ Radford L 68-80 13%    
  Feb 05, 2025 250   @ Presbyterian L 71-80 20%    
  Feb 08, 2025 187   Winthrop L 79-86 26%    
  Feb 12, 2025 166   UNC Asheville L 74-82 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 238   Gardner-Webb L 78-82 36%    
  Feb 22, 2025 301   @ Charleston Southern L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 26, 2025 135   @ High Point L 70-86 8%    
  Mar 01, 2025 172   Longwood L 73-80 25%    
Projected Record 5 - 23 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.0 0.1 3.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 2.9 2.2 0.3 6.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 5.1 4.1 0.6 12.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 5.8 9.5 6.2 1.2 0.0 24.4 8th
9th 3.8 10.6 15.6 13.3 6.3 1.3 0.0 50.9 9th
Total 3.8 10.7 17.3 19.3 17.8 13.5 8.7 4.9 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-4 68.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-5 33.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 6.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-5 0.2% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
10-6 0.5% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
9-7 1.1% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.1 1.1
8-8 2.4% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.1 2.4
7-9 4.9% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.8
6-10 8.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.6
5-11 13.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.4
4-12 17.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.8
3-13 19.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.2
2-14 17.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.2
1-15 10.7% 10.7
0-16 3.8% 3.8
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.5%