South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -8.1 #303
Expected Predictive Rating -7.9 #296
Pace 70.4 #144
Improvement -4.2 #339

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #322 D+ D+ C- D+ C
Defense #245 C- C D- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #109 1.05 #303 -0.7 #205
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #113 0.74 #198 +0.7 #142
Three Pointers 35% #305 0.99 #226 -3.4 #302
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #267 -3.5 #278
Freethrows 16.5 #232 72% #219 11.8 #260
Second Chance 27.8% #257 0.99 #253 0.28 #267
Turnovers 17.2% #230
Total Offense -5.9 #322

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #52 1.16 #179 -2.9 #277
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #161 0.75 #159 +0.5 #161
Three Pointers 36% #313 1.09 #282 +1.3 #131
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #235 -1.1 #212
Freethrows 18.7 #255 71% #124 13.3 #233
Second Chance 30.7% #189 1.09 #248 0.33 #223
Turnovers 14.2% #311
Total Defense -2.2 #245

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #216 0.7% #228
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.9% #270 2.6% #226
Possession Length 16.9 #133 15.7 #13
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #170 0.17 #171
Improvement -2.4 #308 -1.8 #287

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.1% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.1% 1.4% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 6.9% 8.7% 1.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 0.6% 9.5%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.6%
First Round0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Away) - 76.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 10
Quad 49 - 911 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 142 @California Baptist L 75 - 87 13% -8  0 - 1 -8 +4 B- C F -12 F A+ F
 Wed, Nov 5 143 @Fresno St. W 67 - 66 13% -4  1 - 1 +5 -2 B B F +6 A+ F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 125 @UNC Wilmington L 60 - 73 11% -8  1 - 2 -8 -1 D B- F -8 C- F C
 Wed, Nov 19 342 Tennessee Tech L 84 - 88 73% -3  1 - 3 -19 -3 C F A -15 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 21 338 @West Georgia L 64 - 72 51% -4  1 - 4 -16 -15 F F C -1 C- F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 346 NC Central W 82 - 67 74% +10  2 - 4 +0 +3 A+ D F -3 A F F
 Sat, Nov 29 14 @Nebraska L 63 - 72 1% -2  2 - 5 +12 -1 C C- A+ +13 A+ B- A+
 Wed, Dec 3 252 Coastal Carolina W 85 - 78 OT 49% -7  3 - 5 -1 -1 C F D -1 C- A D+
 Sat, Dec 6 289 Western Carolina W 78 - 67 58% +4  4 - 5 +1 -3 F C- F +4 A+ C+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 31 @North Carolina L 62 - 80 2% -8  4 - 6 -1 +2 C B A- -4 C B F
 Tue, Dec 16 359 @South Carolina St. W 78 - 72 66% +6  5 - 6 -6 +3 B- D+ D+ -9 F C- F
 Sat, Dec 20 213 @Youngstown St. L 65 - 74 23% -8  5 - 7 -9 -9 F C- D+ -0 D A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 31 253 Radford L 69 - 76 50% -4  5 - 8 0 - 1 -15 -13 F D+ D -2 C D B
 Sat, Jan 3 266 @Presbyterian L 77 - 86 30% -4  5 - 9 0 - 2 -12 +3 B+ D F -15 F D- F
 Sat, Jan 10 130 Winthrop L 50 - 71 25% -15  5 - 10 0 - 3 -22 -22 F D- F -1 D+ C+ B+
 Wed, Jan 14 234 @Charleston Southern W 86 - 81 OT 25% -1  6 - 10 1 - 3 +4 +3 F A- B- +0 F A+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 98 @High Point L 69 - 89 7% -7  6 - 11 1 - 4 -12 -0 F B F -12 B- F F
 Wed, Jan 21 205 UNC Asheville L 69 - 83 41% -6  6 - 12 1 - 5 -20 -3 B- F A -18 F B- F
 Fri, Jan 23 363 @Gardner-Webb W 80 - 72 77%
 Thu, Jan 29 262 Longwood W 75 - 74 52%
 Wed, Feb 4 205 @UNC Asheville L 67 - 75 22%
 Sat, Feb 7 234 Charleston Southern L 76 - 77 46%
 Thu, Feb 12 98 High Point L 73 - 83 17%
 Sat, Feb 14 262 @Longwood L 72 - 78 31%
 Thu, Feb 19 130 @Winthrop L 69 - 82 11%
 Sat, Feb 21 266 Presbyterian W 69 - 68 52%
 Thu, Feb 26 253 @Radford L 76 - 82 29%
 Sat, Feb 28 363 Gardner-Webb W 83 - 69 90%
Totals 10 - 18 5 - 11 -8 -6 D+ D+ C- -2 C- C D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 1.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 4.0 4th
5th 0.6 5.4 1.8 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 6.3 6.0 0.3 13.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 10.5 12.0 1.5 26.8 7th
8th 1.9 9.4 16.8 14.6 2.9 0.0 45.5 8th
9th 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 9th
Total 0.2 2.4 9.8 19.4 25.6 21.8 13.9 5.3 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0% 0.0
10-6 0.3% 1.9% 1.9% 15.0 0.0 0.3
9-7 1.4% 4.4% 4.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 1.3
8-8 5.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 5.1
7-9 13.9% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.3 13.7
6-10 21.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 21.6
5-11 25.6% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 25.4
4-12 19.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 19.3
3-13 9.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.8
2-14 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 16.0 99.0 0.0%