California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#175
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#220
Pace64.2#305
Improvement+0.4#152

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#131
First Shot+1.1#146
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#159
Layup/Dunks+6.6#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#308
Freethrows-0.1#186
Improvement-1.0#264

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#250
First Shot-0.7#191
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#309
Layups/Dunks-0.7#195
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#275
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#222
Freethrows+1.8#68
Improvement+1.4#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 9.8% 7.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.1 14.5
.500 or above 52.1% 63.0% 38.6%
.500 or above in Conference 62.5% 66.7% 57.3%
Conference Champion 9.4% 11.2% 7.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 4.9% 7.9%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round8.5% 9.7% 6.9%
Second Round0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fresno St. (Away) - 55.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 34 - 65 - 12
Quad 411 - 416 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 304   Incarnate Word W 83-78 82%     1 - 0 -5.8 +5.5 -11.1
  Nov 09, 2024 164   Kennesaw St. W 88-84 59%     2 - 0 +0.7 +8.0 -7.5
  Nov 12, 2024 170   UC Riverside L 69-70 61%     2 - 1 -4.7 -2.4 -2.3
  Nov 15, 2024 342   LIU Brooklyn W 90-77 89%     3 - 1 -1.4 +15.6 -16.5
  Nov 20, 2024 197   Northern Colorado L 68-79 64%     3 - 2 -15.6 -11.2 -4.0
  Nov 23, 2024 253   Eastern Washington W 79-68 75%     4 - 2 +2.9 +3.7 -0.2
  Nov 26, 2024 48   SMU L 77-79 15%     4 - 3 +8.3 +14.9 -6.7
  Nov 27, 2024 257   Fresno St. W 86-81 2OT 66%     5 - 3 -0.2 -1.6 +0.5
  Dec 01, 2024 83   @ Central Florida L 59-74 16%     5 - 4 -5.2 -7.8 +2.5
  Dec 11, 2024 43   @ San Diego St. L 75-81 9%     5 - 5 +7.9 +20.8 -13.8
  Dec 16, 2024 132   @ Middle Tennessee L 64-75 29%     5 - 6 -6.3 -6.6 +0.5
  Dec 21, 2024 257   @ Fresno St. W 74-73 55%    
  Dec 28, 2024 307   Jackson St. W 76-66 83%    
  Dec 30, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 04, 2025 143   Seattle W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 148   @ Utah Valley L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 16, 2025 279   @ Tarleton St. W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 205   @ Abilene Christian L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 23, 2025 148   Utah Valley W 71-69 56%    
  Jan 25, 2025 215   @ Southern Utah L 73-74 46%    
  Jan 30, 2025 205   Abilene Christian W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 215   Southern Utah W 76-71 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 102   Grand Canyon L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 13, 2025 147   @ Texas Arlington L 75-79 35%    
  Feb 15, 2025 289   Utah Tech W 77-68 79%    
  Feb 22, 2025 102   @ Grand Canyon L 70-79 21%    
  Feb 27, 2025 143   @ Seattle L 69-74 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 289   @ Utah Tech W 74-71 61%    
  Mar 06, 2025 279   Tarleton St. W 72-63 78%    
  Mar 08, 2025 147   Texas Arlington W 78-76 56%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.2 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 9.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.1 4.7 5.3 2.3 0.5 0.1 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 5.7 6.0 1.9 0.1 0.0 14.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.9 6.6 1.6 0.1 15.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.3 6.6 1.6 0.0 14.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.4 6.0 1.7 0.1 12.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.3 4.4 1.4 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.6 0.9 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 3.9 6.8 10.5 13.7 15.4 15.1 12.8 9.3 5.6 2.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 94.9% 1.0    0.9 0.1
13-3 82.3% 2.3    1.7 0.6 0.0
12-4 56.6% 3.2    1.6 1.3 0.3 0.0
11-5 22.1% 2.1    0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.6% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.4% 9.4 5.0 3.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 34.6% 34.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 35.8% 35.8% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.1% 34.2% 34.2% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-3 2.8% 30.1% 30.1% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0
12-4 5.6% 25.0% 25.0% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.2
11-5 9.3% 19.5% 19.5% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.0 7.5
10-6 12.8% 12.7% 12.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 11.2
9-7 15.1% 7.8% 7.8% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 13.9
8-8 15.4% 4.2% 4.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 14.8
7-9 13.7% 2.3% 2.3% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 13.4
6-10 10.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 10.3
5-11 6.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.8
4-12 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
3-13 1.8% 1.8
2-14 0.6% 0.6
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.0 2.9 0.8 91.4 0.0%