Utah
Big 12
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.7#64
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#68
Pace71.0#99
Improvement-2.0#269

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#66
First Shot+2.0#113
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#37
Layup/Dunks+4.0#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#119
Freethrows-1.1#255
Improvement-0.7#227

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#71
First Shot+3.2#76
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#105
Layups/Dunks+3.1#70
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#206
Freethrows-0.5#224
Improvement-1.2#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.8% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.7% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.1 11.1 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.7% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 11
Quad 24 - 56 - 16
Quad 33 - 09 - 16
Quad 48 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 327   Alcorn St. W 100-59 97%     1 - 0 +28.4 +27.7 +3.1
  Nov 07, 2024 344   Central Arkansas W 98-63 98%     2 - 0 +20.0 +8.6 +8.1
  Nov 12, 2024 207   Queens W 96-65 90%     3 - 0 +25.7 +11.4 +11.7
  Nov 17, 2024 33   Mississippi St. L 73-78 32%     3 - 1 +8.6 +3.3 +5.5
  Nov 22, 2024 290   Utah Tech W 84-53 95%     4 - 1 +20.8 -2.2 +20.3
  Nov 26, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 94-48 99.8%    5 - 1 +15.0 +14.4 +3.8
  Nov 30, 2024 295   Eastern Washington W 88-80 95%     6 - 1 -2.4 +11.2 -13.5
  Dec 07, 2024 26   St. Mary's L 63-72 37%     6 - 2 +3.0 -1.3 +4.2
  Dec 14, 2024 169   Radford W 81-63 87%     7 - 2 +14.7 +5.7 +9.3
  Dec 17, 2024 322   Florida A&M W 89-59 96%     8 - 2 +17.6 +8.6 +8.9
  Dec 21, 2024 63   Iowa L 88-95 48%     8 - 3 +2.2 +6.0 -3.0
  Dec 31, 2024 27   @ Baylor L 56-81 20%     8 - 4 0 - 1 -7.5 -14.9 +9.6
  Jan 04, 2025 7   Texas Tech L 65-93 22%     8 - 5 0 - 2 -11.0 +8.7 -24.2
  Jan 07, 2025 10   @ Iowa St. L 59-82 12%     8 - 6 0 - 3 -1.6 -0.9 -0.8
  Jan 11, 2025 91   Oklahoma St. W 83-62 71%     9 - 6 1 - 3 +23.9 +13.5 +10.4
  Jan 15, 2025 77   @ TCU W 73-65 45%     10 - 6 2 - 3 +18.1 +11.9 +6.6
  Jan 18, 2025 20   BYU W 73-72 OT 31%     11 - 6 3 - 3 +14.7 -0.6 +15.3
  Jan 22, 2025 4   @ Houston L 36-70 7%     11 - 7 3 - 4 -8.4 -17.4 +2.9
  Jan 25, 2025 27   Baylor L 61-76 37%     11 - 8 3 - 5 -3.0 +0.3 -5.2
  Jan 28, 2025 45   Cincinnati W 69-66 50%     12 - 8 4 - 5 +11.8 +5.6 +6.3
  Feb 01, 2025 91   @ Oklahoma St. L 72-81 51%     12 - 9 4 - 6 -0.6 +8.7 -9.8
  Feb 05, 2025 85   Colorado W 72-59 68%     13 - 9 5 - 6 +16.9 +6.5 +11.0
  Feb 08, 2025 43   @ West Virginia L 61-72 29%     13 - 10 5 - 7 +3.5 +5.0 -2.5
  Feb 11, 2025 45   @ Cincinnati L 75-85 30%     13 - 11 5 - 8 +4.3 +14.7 -10.8
  Feb 15, 2025 18   Kansas W 74-67 30%     14 - 11 6 - 8 +21.1 +11.2 +9.9
  Feb 17, 2025 59   Kansas St. W 74-69 57%     15 - 11 7 - 8 +12.0 +8.1 +4.0
  Feb 23, 2025 78   @ Central Florida L 72-76 45%     15 - 12 7 - 9 +6.1 +3.4 +2.7
  Feb 26, 2025 12   @ Arizona L 66-83 13%     15 - 13 7 - 10 +3.7 +2.9 +0.6
  Mar 01, 2025 73   Arizona St. W 99-73 65%     16 - 13 8 - 10 +30.8 +27.8 +2.8
  Mar 04, 2025 43   West Virginia L 69-71 49%     16 - 14 8 - 11 +7.0 +6.4 +0.5
  Mar 08, 2025 20   @ BYU L 74-85 16%     16 - 15 8 - 12 +8.2 +3.9 +4.9
  Mar 11, 2025 78   Central Florida W 81-80 55%    
Projected Record 17 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 11.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 99.6 0.4%
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 11.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 99.6 0.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4% 30.0% 11.1 2.5 22.5 5.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.8% 9.6% 11.3 6.7 2.8
Lose Out 44.1%