West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.8#43
Expected Predictive Rating+13.8#37
Pace62.6#324
Improvement-2.5#284

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#106
First Shot+4.3#71
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#295
Layup/Dunks-3.1#296
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#146
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#14
Freethrows-0.4#198
Improvement-3.2#315

Defense
Total Defense+9.4#11
First Shot+9.6#5
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#207
Layups/Dunks+8.1#9
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#90
Freethrows-0.7#234
Improvement+0.6#157
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 4.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 89.8% 98.7% 88.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 89.7% 98.6% 88.4%
Average Seed 9.3 8.4 9.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four3.4% 0.2% 3.8%
First Round88.1% 98.6% 86.5%
Second Round34.2% 43.4% 32.8%
Sweet Sixteen5.7% 7.5% 5.4%
Elite Eight2.0% 2.1% 1.9%
Final Four0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 74 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 36 - 10
Quad 23 - 310 - 13
Quad 35 - 014 - 13
Quad 45 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 146   Robert Morris W 87-59 89%     1 - 0 +26.2 +12.6 +13.1
  Nov 08, 2024 190   Massachusetts W 75-69 92%     2 - 0 +1.7 -1.0 +2.5
  Nov 15, 2024 60   @ Pittsburgh L 62-86 48%     2 - 1 -11.8 -8.2 -2.7
  Nov 20, 2024 255   Iona W 86-43 96%     3 - 1 +35.2 +13.5 +22.2
  Nov 27, 2024 9   Gonzaga W 86-78 OT 25%     4 - 1 +26.8 +12.2 +13.9
  Nov 28, 2024 23   Louisville L 70-79 OT 34%     4 - 2 +6.9 +2.5 +4.8
  Nov 29, 2024 12   Arizona W 83-76 OT 28%     5 - 2 +25.0 +14.5 +10.2
  Dec 06, 2024 81   Georgetown W 73-60 77%     6 - 2 +17.2 +7.1 +10.6
  Dec 10, 2024 316   NC Central W 79-45 98%     7 - 2 +21.9 +8.3 +17.8
  Dec 14, 2024 289   Bethune-Cookman W 84-61 97%     8 - 2 +12.8 +7.3 +5.2
  Dec 22, 2024 342   Mercyhurst W 67-46 98%     9 - 2 +6.1 -8.6 +16.2
  Dec 31, 2024 18   @ Kansas W 62-61 23%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +20.6 +10.6 +10.1
  Jan 04, 2025 91   Oklahoma St. W 69-50 80%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +21.9 +1.4 +21.0
  Jan 07, 2025 12   Arizona L 56-75 37%     11 - 3 2 - 1 -3.8 -5.3 -0.4
  Jan 12, 2025 85   @ Colorado W 78-70 59%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +17.4 +14.5 +3.2
  Jan 15, 2025 4   @ Houston L 54-70 10%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +9.6 +9.6 -4.6
  Jan 18, 2025 10   Iowa St. W 64-57 34%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +22.9 +4.3 +19.0
  Jan 21, 2025 73   Arizona St. L 57-65 75%     13 - 5 4 - 3 -3.2 -7.0 +2.9
  Jan 25, 2025 59   @ Kansas St. L 60-73 47%     13 - 6 4 - 4 -0.5 -0.7 -0.6
  Jan 29, 2025 4   Houston L 49-63 21%     13 - 7 4 - 5 +6.1 -0.8 +3.2
  Feb 02, 2025 45   @ Cincinnati W 63-50 40%     14 - 7 5 - 5 +27.3 +7.9 +21.1
  Feb 05, 2025 77   @ TCU L 60-65 56%     14 - 8 5 - 6 +5.1 +1.0 +3.7
  Feb 08, 2025 64   Utah W 72-61 71%     15 - 8 6 - 6 +17.0 +9.0 +9.1
  Feb 11, 2025 20   BYU L 69-73 42%     15 - 9 6 - 7 +9.7 +6.3 +3.0
  Feb 15, 2025 27   @ Baylor L 71-74 OT 29%     15 - 10 6 - 8 +14.5 +2.1 +12.5
  Feb 19, 2025 45   Cincinnati W 62-59 61%     16 - 10 7 - 8 +11.8 +6.2 +6.1
  Feb 22, 2025 7   @ Texas Tech L 51-73 16%     16 - 11 7 - 9 +0.5 -7.7 +6.0
  Feb 25, 2025 77   TCU W 73-55 75%     17 - 11 8 - 9 +22.6 +10.9 +13.0
  Mar 01, 2025 20   @ BYU L 56-77 24%     17 - 12 8 - 10 -1.8 -4.8 +0.9
  Mar 04, 2025 64   @ Utah W 71-69 51%     18 - 12 9 - 10 +13.5 +5.9 +7.6
  Mar 08, 2025 78   Central Florida W 72-65 75%     19 - 12 10 - 10 +11.6 -1.2 +12.7
  Mar 12, 2025 85   Colorado W 67-62 69%    
Projected Record 20 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 89.8% 1.1% 88.7% 9.3 0.1 0.4 1.4 14.1 37.1 31.4 5.2 10.2 89.7%
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 89.8% 1.1% 88.7% 9.3 0.1 0.4 1.4 14.1 37.1 31.4 5.2 10.2 89.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.1% 100.0% 6.6 11.0 33.0 37.6 17.4 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 2.9% 100.0% 8.0 0.3 2.1 17.9 55.0 22.3 2.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 9.4% 98.2% 8.7 2.8 36.6 47.1 11.0 0.6
Lose Out 86.6% 88.4% 9.4 0.0 0.3 10.2 36.9 35.0 5.9