Mercyhurst
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.1#342
Expected Predictive Rating-9.4#315
Pace62.8#319
Improvement+2.4#92

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#319
First Shot-2.5#246
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#335
Layup/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#88
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#234
Freethrows-0.5#210
Improvement+3.0#46

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#340
First Shot-1.9#241
After Offensive Rebounds-4.5#363
Layups/Dunks-3.9#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#26
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#199
Freethrows-0.2#199
Improvement-0.7#223
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 20 - 7
Quad 412 - 912 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 114   @ George Washington L 59-76 6%     0 - 1 -10.9 -4.7 -7.5
  Nov 06, 2024 333   @ Morgan St. W 78-73 35%     1 - 1 -3.3 -1.0 -2.3
  Nov 13, 2024 356   Canisius W 62-52 69%     2 - 1 -7.4 -13.3 +7.3
  Nov 16, 2024 291   @ Columbia L 63-77 24%     2 - 2 -18.7 -8.4 -11.8
  Nov 24, 2024 300   @ Air Force L 48-82 25%     2 - 3 -39.2 -17.0 -29.0
  Nov 27, 2024 105   @ California L 55-81 5%     2 - 4 -19.3 -11.3 -10.0
  Nov 30, 2024 336   @ Sacramento St. W 66-60 37%     3 - 4 -2.8 -1.0 -1.0
  Dec 01, 2024 67   @ San Francisco L 59-87 3%     3 - 5 -17.0 -3.3 -15.6
  Dec 07, 2024 286   Lafayette L 73-77 42%     3 - 6 -14.0 +4.3 -18.6
  Dec 15, 2024 133   @ Kent St. L 57-82 7%     3 - 7 -20.5 -8.6 -13.8
  Dec 18, 2024 308   @ Binghamton L 60-62 28%     3 - 8 -8.0 -9.0 +0.8
  Dec 22, 2024 43   @ West Virginia L 46-67 2%     3 - 9 -6.5 -12.5 +4.4
  Jan 03, 2025 331   Stonehill W 76-69 55%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -6.4 -3.7 -2.7
  Jan 05, 2025 197   Central Connecticut St. L 50-62 24%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -16.7 -13.4 -5.4
  Jan 10, 2025 326   @ St. Francis (PA) L 59-73 31%     4 - 11 1 - 2 -21.1 -9.1 -14.1
  Jan 12, 2025 355   @ Le Moyne L 63-79 47%     4 - 12 1 - 3 -27.5 -12.3 -16.8
  Jan 18, 2025 345   @ Wagner W 69-65 40%     5 - 12 2 - 3 -5.6 +5.0 -10.0
  Jan 20, 2025 301   @ LIU Brooklyn L 63-72 OT 26%     5 - 13 2 - 4 -14.3 -8.6 -5.6
  Jan 24, 2025 345   Wagner W 71-66 61%     6 - 13 3 - 4 -10.1 +7.5 -16.7
  Jan 26, 2025 301   LIU Brooklyn W 85-80 2OT 45%     7 - 13 4 - 4 -5.8 -2.0 -4.6
  Jan 30, 2025 326   St. Francis (PA) W 62-58 52%     8 - 13 5 - 4 -8.6 -14.9 +6.5
  Feb 01, 2025 314   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 67-60 29%     9 - 13 6 - 4 +0.6 -1.4 +2.6
  Feb 06, 2025 361   @ Chicago St. L 78-85 58%     9 - 14 6 - 5 -21.2 -4.6 -16.2
  Feb 08, 2025 355   Le Moyne W 82-78 68%     10 - 14 7 - 5 -13.0 +1.6 -14.3
  Feb 13, 2025 197   @ Central Connecticut St. L 63-73 12%     10 - 15 7 - 6 -9.2 -3.3 -6.3
  Feb 15, 2025 331   @ Stonehill L 73-85 34%     10 - 16 7 - 7 -19.9 +3.8 -25.2
  Feb 20, 2025 314   Fairleigh Dickinson W 65-60 49%     11 - 16 8 - 7 -6.9 -7.6 +1.0
  Feb 27, 2025 361   Chicago St. W 90-68 76%     12 - 16 9 - 7 +2.3 +16.2 -12.1
Projected Record 12 - 16 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%