New Haven
Northeast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -10.6 325
Results Rating -10.2 322
Consistency 0.18 306
Pace 60.8 353
Improvement +2.4 100

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 349 D+ F+ D+ D C-
Defense C- 236 D+ C C- C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 248 C+ 59% 128 -0.8 214
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 180 D 34% 314 -0.5 206
Three Pointers 42% 158 D- 29% 340 -2.3 261
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 227 D -3.3 295
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.95 291
Second Chance F 20.6% 359 D+ 0.96 292 F+ 0.20 358
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 202
Other Turnovers D- 8.6% 329
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 280
Freethrows D 0.26 316 C- 72% 222 D 0.19 326
Total Offense D- -8.5 349

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 38% 319 C 11.3% 194
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 226 B+ 2.1% 16
Three Pointers B+ 91% 30 B 0.3% 41
Total D+ 51% 278 B- 4.6% 72


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 133 C- 60% 234 +1.9 243
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 280 C- 40% 252 -0.9 118
Three Pointers 42% 130 C- 35% 220 +1.1 245
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 271 C- +1.5 242
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.06 250
Second Chance B- 27.3% 70 D 1.13 307 C 0.31 174
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.9% 218
Other Turnovers C- 6.8% 243
Turnovers C- 15.7% 240
Freethrows B- 0.27 80 F 77% 356 C+ 0.21 145
Total Defense C- -2.0 236

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 43% 72 D 7.4% 320
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 105 D- 1.3% 348
Three Pointers B 79% 59 D+ 0.5% 249
Total B- 51% 93 D- 3.4% 334

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 20.2 363 16.6 54
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 349 0.16 153
Consistency 0.13 247 0.12 176
Improvement +1.8 98 +0.6 166

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 327 324 322
Results Rating Rank 321 317 314
Conference Record 9 - 7 9 - 7 9 - 7
Conference Finish 5 5 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0% n/a n/a
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 411 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 8 @Connecticut L 55 - 79 0% -12  0% 0 - 1 C -0 D -6 B+ F B+ B +4 B C B
 Fri, Nov 7 190 Columbia L 53 - 71 29% -16  0% 0 - 2 F -23 F -21 F D- F C- -3 F A+ B+
 Sat, Nov 8 110 Penn St. L 43 - 87 15% -18  14% 0 - 3 F -43 F -29 F F F F -19 D+ F F
 Mon, Nov 10 311 @Umass Lowell W 73 - 67 33% -1  42% 1 - 3 C -0 D+ -4 C+ C- F B +4 A+ F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 361 Delaware St. W 65 - 52 84% +7  92% 2 - 3 D -8 F -12 D+ F+ F B +5 B+ C D-
 Tue, Nov 18 53 @Seton Hall L 45 - 68 2% -14  0% 2 - 4 D -9 F -13 D- D- C+ C+ +0 D- A C
 Sat, Dec 6 137 @Boston College L 63 - 67 9% +3  73% 2 - 5 C +0 C +1 C D+ C- C -1 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 10 331 @NJIT L 64 - 70 42% -4  4% 2 - 6 D- -15 F+ -10 F D A D -5 F A- D+
 Mon, Dec 22 159 @Fordham L 47 - 65 11% -5  37% 2 - 7 F+ -15 F -19 D F F C+ +2 D D- A+
 Mon, Dec 29 17 @Vanderbilt L 53 - 96 1% -24  0% 2 - 8 F -22 F -13 D F C+ F -10 F D+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 335 @Stonehill W 70 - 55 43% +5  53% 3 - 8 1 - 0 B- +6 C +0 B D C A- +7 B+ D D
 Sun, Jan 4 306 @Central Connecticut St. L 61 - 72 31% -10  0% 3 - 9 1 - 1 F+ -17 D- -6 D- A F F -13 F D- D+
 Thu, Jan 8 298 @Le Moyne L 47 - 73 30% -16  4% 3 - 10 1 - 2 F -31 F -23 F F F F -12 F+ F+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 336 Fairleigh Dickinson W 65 - 55 67% +10  96% 4 - 10 2 - 2 D+ -5 F -10 B- F+ D- B+ +7 A A F+
 Sat, Jan 17 317 Wagner W 80 - 74 58% +8  97% 5 - 10 3 - 2 D+ -7 A- +11 A+ F C- F -17 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 351 @Chicago St. W 62 - 56 50% -3  18% 6 - 10 4 - 2 C- -5 D- -6 D C F B- +3 F+ A+ C+
 Fri, Jan 23 291 Mercyhurst L 57 - 61 50% +0  43% 6 - 11 4 - 3 D- -14 F -12 C F+ F D+ -4 F+ B+ C
 Thu, Jan 29 291 @Mercyhurst L 51 - 70 28% -13  1% 6 - 12 4 - 4 F -23 F -18 F F B+ F+ -8 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 81 - 69 55% +5  77% 7 - 12 5 - 4 C +0 C+ +3 B F B C- -3 C D+ F+
 Thu, Feb 5 218 @LIU Brooklyn L 55 - 60 16% -7  3% 7 - 13 5 - 5 D+ -5 F -13 D+ F B A- +7 A+ C- C
 Sat, Feb 7 351 Chicago St. L 57 - 63 72% -6  7% 7 - 14 5 - 6 F -23 F -16 D F C+ F+ -8 F A+ F
 Thu, Feb 12 306 Central Connecticut St. L 76 - 81 54% -6  10% 7 - 15 5 - 7 F+ -17 D -5 F+ B+ F+ F -11 F A+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 218 LIU Brooklyn W 55 - 52 33% +10  99% 8 - 15 6 - 7 C- -3 F -15 F C+ A- A+ +12 A+ D- A-
 Thu, Feb 19 335 Stonehill W 64 - 51 66% +6  96% 9 - 15 7 - 7 C- -2 F+ -9 D+ F+ D- A- +8 A- B- F
 Sat, Feb 21 336 @Fairleigh Dickinson W 84 - 77 44% +13  98% 10 - 15 8 - 7 C- -2 A +13 A+ B- B F -15 F D+ D
 Tue, Feb 24 355 St. Francis (PA) L 67 - 73 76% -3  30% 10 - 16 8 - 8 F -24 F -11 C- F A+ F -14 F F+ B-
 Thu, Feb 26 317 @Wagner L 62 - 65 35% +2  67% 10 - 17 8 - 9 D -10 F+ -9 F F+ A C -1 C+ C+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 298 Le Moyne W 66 - 59 52% -1  38% 11 - 17 9 - 9 C- -4 F -12 D F D A- +8 A+ A+ F
Totals 11 - 17 9 - 9 -11 D- -9 A- D C- C- -2 D- C- D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C+ D D- D 36% 38% 42% C- D+ F D+ F+ D+ D C- D C- C- C- C- C- 40% 17% 42% D+ D+ B- D C C- B- F C+
0.96 59% 34% 29% -3 0 0.95 21% 1.0 .20 18% .26 72% .19 1.12 60% 40% 35% +1 +1 1.06 27% 1.1 .31 16% .27 77% .20
Nov
3		 Connecticut D B A+ F A 39% 33% 29% D B+ F F F B+ F+ F F B B+ F C- A- 47% 6% 47% F+ B B+ F+ C B D- F F
0.83 58% 50% 21% -2 -2 0.96 12% 0.5 .06 17% .25 43% .11 1.19 55% 67% 36% +2 +2 1.11 32% 1.3 .42 18% .37 85% .31
Nov
7		 Columbia F F F F F 41% 22% 37% C- F F+ D+ D- F C- A C+ C- F B- F F 52% 14% 34% D- F B+ A+ A+ B+ C- A C+
0.81 45% 18% 22% -16 0 0.69 21% 0.9 .19 18% .30 81% .24 1.08 70% 33% 47% +12 +2 1.30 31% 0.6 .19 24% .28 64% .18
Nov
8		 Penn St. F F+ B F F 36% 18% 46% C F F F F F D F F+ F A F F C- 49% 10% 41% F D+ F F F F B C B
0.69 50% 43% 22% -10 0 0.82 20% 1.0 .20 31% .19 63% .12 1.40 48% 80% 43% +5 +2 1.16 40% 1.6 .63 10% .28 75% .21
Nov
10		 Umass Lowell D+ C C+ A- B- 45% 24% 31% D+ C+ C- D+ C- F C D- C- B A+ D+ A+ A+ 35% 15% 50% C- A+ D+ F F D+ F F F
1.07 59% 42% 40% +4 0 1.10 30% 1.1 .33 20% .28 67% .18 0.98 29% 43% 25% -16 +1 0.71 33% 1.5 .51 18% .48 78% .37
Nov
15		 Delaware St. F A+ C+ F C- 35% 20% 45% D D+ D+ F F+ F A- B- A- B F+ A+ A+ B+ 30% 36% 34% B- B+ A+ F C D- A+ C- A
0.98 79% 38% 28% +3 0 1.08 29% 0.9 .25 26% .41 75% .31 0.79 63% 16% 22% -13 -3 0.72 15% 1.2 .18 17% .18 70% .13
Nov
18		 Seton Hall F D F D D 28% 28% 43% F D- F A+ D- C+ F F F C+ D- A+ F F+ 41% 18% 41% C- D- A+ D- A C A+ F A+
0.73 46% 23% 30% -10 -2 0.78 15% 1.2 .18 23% .17 63% .10 1.10 65% 22% 40% +4 0 1.10 23% 1.1 .27 16% .19 80% .15
Dec
6		 Boston College C D A+ F B- 23% 34% 43% F C C F D+ C- A+ A+ A+ C C D- F F 18% 28% 55% A F D+ A+ A+ A+ F F F
1.01 50% 53% 26% -2 -3 0.93 28% 0.7 .19 16% .46 83% .38 1.08 57% 45% 45% +11 -2 1.20 33% 0.5 .15 24% .49 74% .36
Dec
10		 NJIT F+ D F+ F F 47% 25% 27% C- F C F D A D+ F F+ D F F A- F 30% 19% 51% D F A A A- D+ F C F
0.96 54% 29% 20% -10 0 0.82 34% 0.9 .30 11% .32 58% .19 1.05 69% 63% 27% +3 0 1.07 19% 0.7 .13 17% .56 71% .40
Dec
22		 Fordham F A+ F F D 26% 30% 44% D D F F F F F F F C+ F D A D- 40% 27% 33% B D C+ F D- A+ A D- B+
0.74 85% 13% 27% -5 -2 0.88 17% 0.3 .06 24% .04 50% .02 1.03 68% 46% 25% +2 -1 1.04 33% 1.2 .41 24% .17 75% .12
Dec
29		 Vanderbilt F C+ D- F D- 48% 24% 28% B D F F+ F C+ F D F F F A+ F F 56% 7% 37% F F F+ B D+ C A+ F A
0.77 58% 31% 13% -11 0 0.81 14% 0.8 .11 19% .13 71% .09 1.40 75% 25% 43% +13 +3 1.35 39% 1.1 .43 13% .20 92% .18
Jan
2		 Stonehill C C+ F A+ B+ 36% 23% 42% D+ B F A+ D C F D+ F A- A- A+ A+ A 55% 10% 35% F B+ C+ F D D C+ F+ C-
1.06 58% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 13% 1.8 .23 12% .16 67% .10 0.83 44% 20% 24% -15 +3 0.78 26% 1.1 .29 18% .22 75% .17
Jan
4		 Central Connecticut St. D- C- D- F F+ 37% 12% 51% C- D- A- B+ A F F F F F C+ D- F F 29% 23% 48% D- F C+ F D- D+ A+ A- A+
1.04 56% 33% 28% -6 +1 0.92 40% 1.1 .46 19% .06 67% .04 1.23 57% 45% 48% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .32 15% .14 71% .10
Jan
8		 Le Moyne F D- F F F 33% 19% 49% C- F F F F F A F F+ F F B A- F 37% 14% 49% C- F+ D- F+ F+ F F A D-
0.77 50% 13% 29% -11 0 0.79 22% 0.8 .16 21% .39 47% .19 1.19 88% 33% 29% +6 +1 1.16 29% 1.1 .32 13% .45 63% .28
Jan
10		 Fairleigh Dickinson F A+ F C B- 46% 18% 36% B- B- F A+ F+ D- A+ F B B+ B- A+ A+ A+ 35% 6% 58% F A B+ A+ A F+ F+ D+ F+
1.04 78% 29% 36% +8 +1 1.21 13% 1.3 .17 18% .51 54% .27 0.88 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.75 26% 0.6 .17 14% .34 72% .24
Jan
17		 Wagner A- A F A+ A+ 28% 15% 57% D A+ F F F C- F A+ C- F F D- F F 36% 20% 44% C- F F B+ F A+ A+ C A+
1.32 69% 14% 58% +20 0 1.41 21% 0.4 .08 15% .27 93% .25 1.22 69% 44% 45% +12 0 1.27 50% 0.9 .46 28% .16 71% .11
Jan
19		 Chicago St. D- C F D F+ 41% 3% 56% B+ D A F C F C A+ A B- C- D C D 48% 26% 26% F F+ B- A+ A+ C+ A C A
1.06 63% 0% 32% -1 +3 1.05 46% 0.8 .39 29% .34 100% .34 0.95 55% 42% 33% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.5 .13 17% .16 75% .12
Jan
23		 Mercyhurst F A A- F C+ 44% 23% 33% D+ C F C- F+ F C C- C D+ C+ D F D- 48% 24% 28% F F+ A+ F B+ C A F C+
0.97 71% 44% 23% +1 0 1.05 24% 1.0 .24 24% .38 71% .27 1.04 55% 45% 38% +2 0 1.07 12% 1.7 .20 15% .14 100% .14
Jan
29		 Mercyhurst F D- A+ F F 38% 31% 31% F F F C- F B+ A- F C F+ A+ C+ C- A 35% 35% 29% C A C- F F F D F F
0.84 50% 54% 8% -10 -1 0.79 18% 1.0 .18 15% .44 61% .27 1.15 28% 39% 33% -11 -2 0.76 27% 1.9 .51 7% .26 87% .23
Jan
31		 St. Francis (PA) C+ A+ F A+ B+ 36% 20% 43% D B F C+ F B A+ A- A+ C- D A+ B- C+ 44% 18% 38% F+ C B+ F D+ F+ D- B- D
1.22 81% 0% 53% +13 0 1.27 19% 1.2 .22 15% .48 78% .37 1.04 64% 11% 32% -4 +1 0.96 23% 1.3 .29 15% .32 67% .21
Feb
5		 LIU Brooklyn F C- A+ F D+ 52% 22% 26% C D+ F F F B D F F+ A- B C- A+ A+ 37% 22% 41% C A+ C C- C- C B- F C-
0.87 54% 60% 17% -4 +1 0.96 13% 0.8 .10 16% .28 60% .17 0.95 53% 40% 21% -10 0 0.83 34% 1.0 .34 21% .26 77% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Chicago St. F F+ F B- D- 34% 5% 61% B- D F A+ F C+ F F F F+ B- F D F 26% 43% 30% A F A+ A+ A+ F D+ D- D
0.97 53% 0% 37% -1 +2 1.05 10% 1.7 .16 19% .25 67% .17 1.07 50% 55% 36% +6 -4 1.07 19% 0.3 .06 8% .28 80% .22
Feb
12		 Central Connecticut St. D D- B F F+ 50% 19% 31% C F+ D- A+ B+ F+ A+ A+ A+ F F D F F 30% 35% 35% C+ F A A+ A+ A F B+ F
1.10 50% 44% 27% -6 +1 0.92 26% 1.6 .42 16% .38 95% .36 1.17 79% 44% 56% +20 -2 1.37 19% 0.6 .12 22% .41 73% .30
Feb
14		 LIU Brooklyn F F F F F 48% 14% 39% B- F D- A+ C+ A- A+ C- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 26% 26% C- A+ B- F D- A- A+ F A-
0.89 38% 17% 18% -22 +2 0.61 28% 1.4 .38 15% .47 68% .32 0.84 57% 25% 8% -14 0 0.74 31% 1.3 .41 24% .17 75% .13
Feb
19		 Stonehill F+ C A- F D 55% 18% 27% B+ D+ C+ F F+ D- F+ B+ D A- A+ F+ B- A 42% 18% 40% C- A- A+ F B- F B- A+ A
0.98 57% 44% 21% -5 +2 0.96 31% 0.6 .19 15% .22 75% .16 0.78 29% 44% 30% -14 +1 0.76 18% 1.1 .21 15% .20 45% .09
Feb
21		 Fairleigh Dickinson A A+ D- A+ A+ 30% 20% 50% D+ A+ F A+ B- B B- F F+ F F B D- F 39% 18% 43% D+ F C- D D+ D C- D D+
1.34 85% 33% 59% +26 -1 1.52 14% 2.3 .32 13% .36 50% .18 1.23 75% 33% 36% +7 0 1.18 33% 1.0 .33 16% .28 73% .21
Feb
24		 St. Francis (PA) F A+ C C- C 26% 16% 58% D- C- F F F A+ F+ F F F F F A+ F 48% 19% 33% F F A F F+ B- F F F
1.07 85% 38% 34% +7 0 1.16 12% 0.5 .06 10% .28 56% .16 1.16 75% 63% 21% +6 +1 1.17 20% 1.8 .35 21% .34 100% .34
Feb
26		 Wagner F+ F F F F 44% 10% 46% B- F F B- F+ A C A+ A C A+ F B C+ 30% 21% 49% C+ C+ A F C+ F C+ F D+
0.99 43% 20% 23% -16 +2 0.73 19% 1.1 .22 10% .37 90% .34 1.04 36% 60% 30% -5 -1 0.91 25% 1.3 .31 13% .26 86% .22
Feb
28		 Le Moyne F A- F F D- 39% 15% 46% C+ D F F F D A+ B+ A+ A- B- D+ A+ A+ 35% 24% 41% B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F B F D+
0.97 67% 0% 29% -6 +1 0.91 9% 0.7 .06 16% .49 79% .38 0.87 56% 42% 19% -9 -1 0.82 11% 0.5 .06 15% .29 88% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%