IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-3.6	#222
Expected Predictive Rating	-0.5	#171

Pace	70.2	#150
Improvement	-0.7	#224

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#227	C	B-	F	D	C
Defense	#218	C-	D-	C+	C	D

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	45%	#30	1.13	#206	+3.3	#77
2 Pt. Jumpers	26%	#77	0.84	#68	+3.1	#47
Three Pointers	29%	#360	1.05	#140	-5.8	#337
1st FG Attempt			1.03	#160	+0.7	#160
Freethrows	16.8	#217	65%	#354	10.9	#281
Second Chance	36.7%	#32	1.00	#242	0.37	#83
Turnovers					20.1%	#349
Total Offense					-2.2	#227

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	47%	#10	1.12	#125	-3.7	#305
2 Pt. Jumpers	19%	#204	0.76	#176	+0.3	#166
Three Pointers	34%	#346	1.10	#286	+2.3	#103
1st FG Attempt			1.04	#208	-1.1	#209
Freethrows	19.3	#284	67%	#13	12.9	#206
Second Chance	33.7%	#302	1.12	#281	0.38	#313
Turnovers					17.5%	#111
Total Defense					-1.4	#218

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	-0.4%	#215	1.4%	#305
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	1.7%	#150	0.6%	#194
Possession Length	17.2	#158	17.1	#146
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.24	#34	0.19	#258
Improvement	-1.5	#267	+0.8	#132

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	48.3%	52.9%	46.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.2	15.4	15.7

.500 or above	99.4%	99.9%	98.3%
.500 or above in Conference	96.5%	94.8%	99.9%
Conference Champion	70.4%	77.8%	55.2%
Last Place in Conference	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

First Four	10.9%	9.2%	14.5%
First Round	45.5%	48.5%	39.5%
Second Round	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Stonehill (Away) - 67.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

16 seed

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	20 - 5	21 - 12

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 3	84 @Notre Dame	L	67 - 89	10%	-15	0 - 1		-12	-1	D	B-	F	-11	D	F	A+
Thu, Nov 6	337 @IU Indianapolis	W	94 - 90	67%	-1	1 - 1		-4	-3	B	C	F	-2	B	F	C
Tue, Nov 11	340 @Air Force	W	76 - 72	68%	+0	2 - 1		-4	+3	C+	B+	F	-8	C	F	D
Sat, Nov 15	231 James Madison	W	88 - 79	63%	+10	3 - 1		+2	+3	A+	F	F	-1	D	C	B+
Thu, Nov 20	193 @Fordham	L	53 - 69	34%	-11	3 - 2		-15	-15	F	F	F	-1	F	A+	D-
Sat, Nov 22	9 @Illinois	L	58 - 98	1%	-26	3 - 3		-17	-7	A-	F	F	-9	F	F	A
Mon, Nov 24	179 @Missouri St.	W	75 - 61	30%	-1	4 - 3		+16	+11	A+	C+	F	+6	A+	F	D+
Tue, Dec 2	130 Winthrop	L	92 - 94 OT	41%	-4	4 - 4		-3	+10	A-	A+	D+	-13	B+	F	D
Sat, Dec 6	307 @Lehigh	W	87 - 82	57%	+7	5 - 4		-0	+8	C	A+	F	-9	C-	F	A+
Sat, Dec 13	197 La Salle	W	70 - 60	57%	+5	6 - 4		+4	-1	D-	A+	F	+6	A	F	A+
Tue, Dec 16	76 @Mississippi St.	L	83 - 87	10%	-3	6 - 5		+7	+14	A+	B-	A+	-7	C	F	D
Sat, Dec 20	192 @Florida International	L	79 - 86	33%	-2	6 - 6		-6	+0	C	C+	F	-6	F	C	A-
Mon, Dec 29	24 @Georgia	L	74 - 89	3%	-1	6 - 7		+4	+5	B-	B-	D	+0	B	D	A
Fri, Jan 2	277 Central Connecticut St.	W	84 - 78	72%	+1	7 - 7	1 - 0	-4	+21	A-	A+	A+	-23	F	F	D
Sun, Jan 4	357 @Chicago St.	W	74 - 55	76%	+11	8 - 7	2 - 0	+8	+2	B+	C-	F	+7	A-	A+	F
Thu, Jan 8	306 Mercyhurst	W	60 - 58	77%	+4	9 - 7	3 - 0	-9	-6	D	F	C	-3	C+	F	C
Sat, Jan 10	358 St. Francis (PA)	W	67 - 63	90%	+1	10 - 7	4 - 0	-14	-15	F	A+	F	+1	D-	A+	B+
Sat, Jan 17	348 @Fairleigh Dickinson	W	66 - 59	71%	+2	11 - 7	5 - 0	-2	-5	C-	C	F	+3	B+	B	C
Mon, Jan 19	278 @Le Moyne	L	77 - 83	50%	-4	11 - 8	5 - 1	-10	+1	F	A+	D	-10	F	A+	C+
Fri, Jan 23	339 @Stonehill	W	71 - 66	67%
Sun, Jan 25	326 Wagner	W	78 - 68	82%
Thu, Jan 29	278 Le Moyne	W	79 - 73	71%
Sat, Jan 31	277 @Central Connecticut St.	L	73 - 74	49%
Thu, Feb 5	331 New Haven	W	72 - 62	83%
Sat, Feb 7	339 Stonehill	W	74 - 63	84%
Thu, Feb 12	326 @Wagner	W	75 - 71	64%
Sat, Feb 14	331 @New Haven	W	69 - 65	65%
Thu, Feb 19	358 @St. Francis (PA)	W	79 - 71	78%
Sat, Feb 21	306 @Mercyhurst	W	69 - 67	56%
Thu, Feb 26	357 Chicago St.	W	81 - 67	89%
Sat, Feb 28	348 Fairleigh Dickinson	W	79 - 67	86%
Totals						20 - 11	14 - 4	-4	-2	C	B-	F	-1	C-	D-	C+

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0	Total
1st											0.0	0.3	3.4	11.7	20.1	19.3	12.0	66.9	1st
2nd											0.1	2.1	6.4	6.9	2.9	0.3		18.7	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.7	3.1	2.4	0.6	0.0			6.8	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.2	1.1	0.2	0.0				2.7	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	0.4	0.1						0.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0							0.3	6th
7th								0.0	0.1	0.0								0.1	7th
8th								0.0										0.0	8th
9th																			9th
10th																			10th

Total								0.0	0.2	0.8	2.5	6.6	12.3	19.2	23.1	19.7	12.0		Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way
16-0	100.0%	12.0	11.9	0.1
15-1	98.3%	19.3	17.5	1.8	0.0
14-2	87.2%	20.1	14.9	4.9	0.3	0.0
13-3	60.7%	11.7	5.5	4.9	1.1	0.1
12-4	27.3%	3.4	0.8	1.4	0.9	0.2	0.0
11-5	4.8%	0.3	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.4%	0.0					0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	66.9%	66.9	50.6	13.3	2.5	0.4	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
16-0	12.0%	63.8%	63.8%		14.8													0.1	1.8	4.9	0.9	4.4
15-1	19.7%	58.0%	58.0%		15.4													0.0	0.6	6.0	4.8	8.3
14-2	23.1%	52.8%	52.8%		15.6														0.2	3.9	8.1	10.9
13-3	19.2%	45.9%	45.9%		15.8														0.0	1.6	7.1	10.4
12-4	12.3%	41.0%	41.0%		15.9														0.0	0.4	4.7	7.3
11-5	6.6%	33.5%	33.5%		15.9															0.1	2.1	4.4
10-6	2.5%	28.3%	28.3%		16.0															0.0	0.7	1.8
9-7	0.8%	17.6%	17.6%		16.0															0.0	0.1	0.7
8-8	0.2%	27.0%	27.0%		16.0																0.1	0.1
7-9	0.0%																				0.0	0.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16

Total	100%	48.3%	48.3%	0.0%	15.5																	51.7	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	12	13	14	15
Win Out	2.4%	100.0%	13.8	1.3	28.7	55.8	14.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.5%