LIU Brooklyn
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#342
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#328
Pace70.2#146
Improvement-1.9#297

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#353
First Shot-6.3#342
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#260
Layup/Dunks-1.6#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#296
Freethrows-2.1#298
Improvement-2.7#344

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#296
First Shot-2.5#267
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#285
Layups/Dunks-1.9#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#20
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#133
Freethrows-4.3#357
Improvement+0.8#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% 6.6% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 5.1% 9.3% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 46.2% 52.6% 42.4%
Conference Champion 4.7% 6.1% 3.9%
Last Place in Conference 14.3% 11.0% 16.2%
First Four5.5% 6.5% 4.9%
First Round2.1% 2.6% 1.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lehigh (Home) - 36.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 49 - 1310 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 27   @ Mississippi L 60-90 1%     0 - 1 -13.7 -9.2 -3.0
  Nov 11, 2024 272   @ Air Force W 63-54 21%     1 - 1 +6.1 +0.5 +7.3
  Nov 15, 2024 175   @ California Baptist L 77-90 11%     1 - 2 -10.9 +6.5 -17.9
  Nov 20, 2024 176   Columbia L 72-80 24%     1 - 3 -11.9 -5.3 -6.6
  Nov 23, 2024 191   @ Charlotte W 79-76 12%     2 - 3 +4.6 +8.5 -3.8
  Nov 25, 2024 183   @ Winthrop L 65-87 11%     2 - 4 -20.2 -8.7 -10.9
  Nov 29, 2024 247   @ Lafayette L 56-75 18%     2 - 5 -20.8 -14.6 -6.7
  Nov 30, 2024 313   Binghamton L 70-75 OT 39%     2 - 6 -13.6 -10.4 -3.0
  Dec 01, 2024 316   Niagara L 52-60 40%     2 - 7 -16.8 -19.0 +1.0
  Dec 11, 2024 152   @ Umass Lowell L 62-69 9%     2 - 8 -3.7 -12.4 +8.9
  Dec 14, 2024 55   @ Missouri L 61-88 2%     2 - 9 -14.1 -4.1 -11.7
  Dec 18, 2024 254   Mount St. Mary's L 72-80 38%     2 - 10 -16.1 -5.9 -10.0
  Dec 21, 2024 243   Lehigh L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 03, 2025 332   Le Moyne W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 05, 2025 360   Chicago St. W 73-67 71%    
  Jan 10, 2025 322   @ Stonehill L 66-71 31%    
  Jan 12, 2025 223   @ Central Connecticut St. L 60-71 15%    
  Jan 18, 2025 336   St. Francis (PA) W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 20, 2025 358   Mercyhurst W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 24, 2025 336   @ St. Francis (PA) L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 26, 2025 358   @ Mercyhurst L 66-67 49%    
  Jan 30, 2025 223   Central Connecticut St. L 63-68 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 360   @ Chicago St. L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 06, 2025 308   @ Wagner L 57-63 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 322   Stonehill W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 333   Fairleigh Dickinson W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 22, 2025 332   @ Le Moyne L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 27, 2025 308   Wagner L 60-61 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 333   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 76-80 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 3.7 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 9.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 5.6 3.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 6.5 4.7 0.8 0.0 13.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 6.2 5.5 1.0 0.0 13.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.5 6.5 1.2 0.0 14.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.5 6.1 1.5 0.0 12.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.7 4.8 1.5 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.7 2.5 0.9 0.1 8.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.8 7.0 11.0 14.2 15.7 14.9 12.6 8.7 5.5 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 93.2% 0.4    0.4 0.1
13-3 82.8% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
12-4 55.8% 1.6    0.8 0.6 0.1
11-5 23.4% 1.3    0.4 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 4.3% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 41.9% 41.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 22.3% 22.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.3
13-3 1.1% 19.9% 19.9% 16.0 0.2 0.9
12-4 2.8% 16.6% 16.6% 16.0 0.5 2.3
11-5 5.5% 11.9% 11.9% 16.0 0.6 4.8
10-6 8.7% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.9 7.8
9-7 12.6% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.9 11.7
8-8 14.9% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.9 14.0
7-9 15.7% 4.5% 4.5% 16.0 0.7 15.0
6-10 14.2% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.5 13.7
5-11 11.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 10.8
4-12 7.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.0
3-13 3.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 3.8
2-14 1.6% 1.6
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.6% 5.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 5.6 94.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%