Georgia
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.0#37
Expected Predictive Rating+14.6#34
Pace67.9#195
Improvement-0.3#206

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#76
First Shot+1.8#120
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#65
Layup/Dunks+5.6#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#240
Freethrows+1.4#92
Improvement-2.6#313

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#16
First Shot+6.2#28
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#44
Layups/Dunks+3.7#55
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#108
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement+2.3#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 6.4% 7.7% 2.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 56.2% 61.5% 40.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 56.0% 61.3% 40.1%
Average Seed 9.1 9.0 9.6
.500 or above 99.4% 100.0% 97.5%
.500 or above in Conference 16.5% 20.6% 4.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.3% 3.9%
First Four16.5% 16.8% 15.6%
First Round48.5% 53.7% 33.0%
Second Round23.3% 26.3% 14.4%
Sweet Sixteen6.7% 7.9% 3.2%
Elite Eight2.3% 2.7% 1.2%
Final Four0.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Home) - 75.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 92 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 24 - 12
Quad 25 - 19 - 13
Quad 33 - 012 - 13
Quad 48 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 298   Tennessee Tech W 83-78 97%     1 - 0 -5.1 +2.1 -7.4
  Nov 10, 2024 274   Texas Southern W 92-64 96%     2 - 0 +19.2 +14.7 +3.6
  Nov 12, 2024 245   North Florida W 90-77 96%     3 - 0 +5.4 +10.2 -4.5
  Nov 15, 2024 99   @ Georgia Tech W 77-69 68%     4 - 0 +15.3 +3.9 +10.8
  Nov 19, 2024 360   Alabama A&M W 93-45 99%     5 - 0 +31.1 +10.8 +19.3
  Nov 23, 2024 21   Marquette L 69-80 36%     5 - 1 +4.7 +4.2 +0.6
  Nov 24, 2024 14   St. John's W 66-63 31%     6 - 1 +20.1 +7.7 +12.6
  Nov 30, 2024 179   Jacksonville W 102-56 92%     7 - 1 +42.6 +29.8 +12.7
  Dec 03, 2024 83   Notre Dame W 69-48 76%     8 - 1 +25.8 +9.6 +20.2
  Dec 14, 2024 74   Grand Canyon W 73-68 67%     9 - 1 +12.5 +4.5 +8.0
  Dec 19, 2024 342   Buffalo W 100-49 98%     10 - 1 +36.7 +21.8 +15.4
  Dec 22, 2024 285   Charleston Southern W 81-65 97%     11 - 1 +6.7 +8.1 -0.7
  Dec 29, 2024 229   South Carolina St. W 79-72 95%     12 - 1 +0.8 +1.9 -1.4
  Jan 04, 2025 26   @ Mississippi L 51-63 31%     12 - 2 0 - 1 +5.1 -8.3 +12.4
  Jan 07, 2025 22   Kentucky W 82-69 45%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +26.2 +5.7 +19.7
  Jan 11, 2025 34   Oklahoma W 72-62 55%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +20.7 +4.5 +16.5
  Jan 15, 2025 6   @ Tennessee L 56-74 17%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +4.1 +2.4 +0.2
  Jan 18, 2025 1   Auburn L 68-70 21%     14 - 4 2 - 3 +18.7 +5.8 +12.7
  Jan 22, 2025 43   @ Arkansas L 65-68 42%     14 - 5 2 - 4 +11.1 +4.9 +6.0
  Jan 25, 2025 4   @ Florida L 59-89 17%     14 - 6 2 - 5 -7.6 -2.3 -6.2
  Jan 28, 2025 79   South Carolina W 71-60 75%     15 - 6 3 - 5 +15.9 +8.6 +8.2
  Feb 01, 2025 5   @ Alabama L 69-90 17%     15 - 7 3 - 6 +1.2 -3.0 +6.3
  Feb 05, 2025 71   LSU W 74-67 75%    
  Feb 08, 2025 35   Mississippi St. W 71-70 57%    
  Feb 11, 2025 19   @ Texas A&M L 65-71 26%    
  Feb 15, 2025 23   Missouri L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 22, 2025 1   @ Auburn L 67-81 10%    
  Feb 25, 2025 4   Florida L 71-76 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 30   @ Texas L 67-72 30%    
  Mar 04, 2025 79   @ South Carolina W 67-65 55%    
  Mar 08, 2025 57   Vanderbilt W 76-71 69%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 0.3 1.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 1.4 0.1 2.1 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 1.4 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 4.5 0.4 6.6 8th
9th 0.6 7.2 3.0 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.2 4.9 8.8 0.7 14.6 10th
11th 0.0 2.4 11.6 3.4 0.1 17.5 11th
12th 0.8 7.4 7.2 0.3 15.8 12th
13th 0.3 4.4 7.8 1.9 0.0 14.4 13th
14th 0.0 1.8 5.2 2.4 0.1 9.6 14th
15th 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.1 2.6 15th
16th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 16th
Total 0.6 3.3 11.3 20.4 26.3 21.6 11.6 4.2 0.7 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.7% 100.0% 2.8% 97.2% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
10-8 4.2% 99.5% 1.0% 98.6% 6.3 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.5%
9-9 11.6% 97.1% 0.8% 96.3% 7.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 2.6 2.8 2.3 0.9 0.1 0.3 97.0%
8-10 21.6% 86.8% 0.6% 86.1% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.0 4.8 5.9 3.1 0.0 2.9 86.7%
7-11 26.3% 59.7% 0.3% 59.4% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 4.8 7.9 0.3 10.6 59.6%
6-12 20.4% 24.7% 0.3% 24.4% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 3.7 0.4 15.4 24.4%
5-13 11.3% 5.5% 0.1% 5.4% 11.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 10.7 5.4%
4-14 3.3% 0.3% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 3.2 0.3%
3-15 0.6% 0.6
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 56.2% 0.4% 55.8% 9.1 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.5 5.1 7.2 9.3 12.2 15.3 0.9 43.8 56.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%