Georgia
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.0#31
Expected Predictive Rating+15.3#30
Pace66.8#215
Improvement+3.1#60

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#52
First Shot+3.6#86
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#43
Layup/Dunks+6.6#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#227
Freethrows+1.8#78
Improvement+2.1#89

Defense
Total Defense+8.0#18
First Shot+6.0#29
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#46
Layups/Dunks+3.6#54
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#109
Freethrows+0.3#164
Improvement+1.0#133
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 3.9% 6.9% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.5% 96.7% 85.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.5% 96.6% 85.1%
Average Seed 9.0 8.4 9.8
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.5% 1.1% 15.5%
First Round88.1% 96.0% 78.3%
Second Round43.1% 49.5% 35.1%
Sweet Sixteen10.4% 11.0% 9.7%
Elite Eight4.0% 4.2% 3.8%
Final Four0.9% 1.1% 0.7%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 93 - 9
Quad 1b1 - 25 - 11
Quad 25 - 19 - 12
Quad 33 - 013 - 12
Quad 48 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 313   Tennessee Tech W 83-78 98%     1 - 0 -6.8 +1.6 -8.7
  Nov 10, 2024 279   Texas Southern W 92-64 97%     2 - 0 +18.6 +16.1 +1.6
  Nov 12, 2024 276   North Florida W 90-77 97%     3 - 0 +3.8 +10.3 -6.2
  Nov 15, 2024 95   @ Georgia Tech W 77-69 72%     4 - 0 +15.9 +4.8 +10.6
  Nov 19, 2024 358   Alabama A&M W 93-45 99%     5 - 0 +29.7 +11.5 +17.1
  Nov 23, 2024 25   Marquette L 69-80 45%     5 - 1 +4.3 +4.0 +0.3
  Nov 24, 2024 13   St. John's W 66-63 36%     6 - 1 +20.8 +7.9 +13.0
  Nov 30, 2024 200   Jacksonville W 102-56 95%     7 - 1 +41.3 +29.6 +11.7
  Dec 03, 2024 93   Notre Dame W 69-48 85%     8 - 1 +23.6 +9.4 +18.2
  Dec 14, 2024 94   Grand Canyon W 73-68 79%     9 - 1 +10.4 +4.4 +5.9
  Dec 19, 2024 346   Buffalo W 100-49 99%     10 - 1 +35.9 +22.1 +14.3
  Dec 22, 2024 307   Charleston Southern W 81-65 98%     11 - 1 +4.8 +7.0 -1.5
  Dec 29, 2024 193   South Carolina St. W 79-72 95%     12 - 1 +2.6 +2.2 +0.0
  Jan 04, 2025 29   @ Mississippi L 51-63 39%     12 - 2 0 - 1 +5.0 -9.5 +13.5
  Jan 07, 2025 14   Kentucky W 82-69 47%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +27.8 +7.3 +19.6
  Jan 11, 2025 40   Oklahoma W 72-62 66%     14 - 2 2 - 1 +19.9 +3.9 +16.2
  Jan 15, 2025 6   @ Tennessee L 56-74 20%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +4.9 +1.1 +2.3
  Jan 18, 2025 2   Auburn L 68-70 24%     14 - 4 2 - 3 +19.4 +6.4 +13.0
  Jan 22, 2025 38   @ Arkansas L 65-68 43%     14 - 5 2 - 4 +12.8 +6.5 +6.0
  Jan 25, 2025 3   @ Florida L 59-89 13%     14 - 6 2 - 5 -3.8 -1.0 -3.6
  Jan 28, 2025 68   South Carolina W 71-60 80%     15 - 6 3 - 5 +16.2 +8.4 +8.8
  Feb 01, 2025 5   @ Alabama L 69-90 18%     15 - 7 3 - 6 +2.8 -2.5 +7.4
  Feb 05, 2025 80   LSU W 81-62 82%     16 - 7 4 - 6 +23.3 +14.5 +9.4
  Feb 08, 2025 34   Mississippi St. L 75-76 62%     16 - 8 4 - 7 +9.8 +10.6 -0.8
  Feb 11, 2025 22   @ Texas A&M L 53-69 31%     16 - 9 4 - 8 +3.0 -2.9 +4.1
  Feb 15, 2025 19   Missouri L 74-87 50%     16 - 10 4 - 9 +0.9 +12.0 -12.7
  Feb 22, 2025 2   @ Auburn L 70-82 12%     16 - 11 4 - 10 +14.9 +10.0 +4.5
  Feb 25, 2025 3   Florida W 88-83 26%     17 - 11 5 - 10 +25.7 +15.8 +9.4
  Mar 01, 2025 44   @ Texas W 83-67 49%     18 - 11 6 - 10 +30.3 +19.9 +11.0
  Mar 04, 2025 68   @ South Carolina W 73-64 62%     19 - 11 7 - 10 +19.7 +16.0 +4.9
  Mar 08, 2025 47   Vanderbilt W 79-68 71%     20 - 11 8 - 10 +19.4 +9.5 +10.0
  Mar 12, 2025 40   Oklahoma W 74-73 55%    
Projected Record 21 - 11 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 91.5% 0.2% 91.3% 9.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 6.3 17.8 28.6 25.1 9.7 0.1 8.5 91.5%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.5% 0.2% 91.3% 9.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 6.3 17.8 28.6 25.1 9.7 0.1 8.5 91.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 3.8 42.9 38.1 19.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0% 100.0% 5.4 4.1 14.3 36.7 32.7 9.2 3.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.6% 100.0% 6.5 0.3 5.0 15.0 24.9 33.2 18.6 3.0
Lose Out 44.6% 85.1% 9.8 0.0 0.4 5.8 22.9 36.4 19.2 0.2