Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+15.9#22
Expected Predictive Rating+14.8#33
Pace86.6#2
Improvement+0.9#119

Offense
Total Offense+9.1#21
First Shot+5.1#55
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#13
Layup/Dunks+5.7#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#316
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#202
Freethrows+2.5#50
Improvement+0.7#121

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#27
First Shot+7.0#19
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#196
Layups/Dunks+1.5#126
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#153
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#93
Freethrows+2.7#36
Improvement+0.2#165
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
#1 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 3.9% 4.0% 0.7%
Top 4 Seed 22.2% 22.5% 7.7%
Top 6 Seed 48.8% 49.3% 26.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 89.4% 89.7% 76.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.5% 88.8% 76.1%
Average Seed 6.3 6.3 7.3
.500 or above 99.7% 99.8% 97.5%
.500 or above in Conference 81.4% 81.6% 69.7%
Conference Champion 11.3% 11.4% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.7% 1.5%
First Four4.0% 3.9% 5.3%
First Round87.8% 88.1% 74.2%
Second Round63.4% 63.8% 43.8%
Sweet Sixteen27.9% 28.1% 15.1%
Elite Eight10.5% 10.7% 5.2%
Final Four4.2% 4.2% 1.5%
Championship Game1.5% 1.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.5% 0.5% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 98.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 42 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 36 - 7
Quad 27 - 213 - 9
Quad 33 - 016 - 9
Quad 48 - 024 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 267 Bellarmine W 104-59 98%     1 - 0 +36.2 +14.5 +17.9
  Wed, Nov 5 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94-29 99%     2 - 0 +50.0 +10.0 +36.5
  Sun, Nov 9 307 Morehead St. W 120-81 99%     3 - 0 +27.6 +28.0 -5.2
  Fri, Nov 14 129 Georgia Tech W 92-87 93%     4 - 0 +4.0 +5.8 -2.5
  Mon, Nov 17 341 Florida A&M W 87-57 99%     5 - 0 +15.5 +1.7 +11.4
  Fri, Nov 21 97 Xavier W 78-77 84%     6 - 0 +6.5 +5.6 +0.9
  Sun, Nov 23 40 Clemson L 94-97 OT 64%     6 - 1 +9.2 +12.7 -3.0
  Sat, Nov 29 285 Tennessee Tech W 123-81 98%     7 - 1 +32.4 +21.6 +2.7
  Tue, Dec 2 113 @Florida St. W 107-73 81%     8 - 1 +40.5 +25.9 +11.0
  Sat, Dec 13 67 Cincinnati W 84-65 77%     9 - 1 +27.2 +13.4 +12.2
  Thu, Dec 18 299 Western Carolina W 112-82 98%     10 - 1 +19.5 +20.0 -4.5
  Mon, Dec 22 316 West Georgia W 103-74 99%     11 - 1 +17.0 +7.7 +4.6
  Mon, Dec 29 206 LIU Brooklyn W 97-75 98%    
  Sat, Jan 3 34 Auburn W 90-84 70%    
  Tue, Jan 6 12 @Florida L 83-88 32%    
  Sat, Jan 10 90 @South Carolina W 84-77 73%    
  Wed, Jan 14 63 Mississippi W 85-75 83%    
  Sat, Jan 17 23 Arkansas W 92-88 63%    
  Tue, Jan 20 60 @Missouri W 89-85 65%    
  Sat, Jan 24 41 @Texas W 86-85 53%    
  Tue, Jan 27 14 Tennessee W 81-80 55%    
  Sat, Jan 31 43 Texas A&M W 94-87 75%    
  Sat, Feb 7 39 @LSU W 86-85 52%    
  Wed, Feb 11 12 Florida W 86-85 54%    
  Sat, Feb 14 45 @Oklahoma W 87-85 56%    
  Tue, Feb 17 20 @Kentucky L 84-87 39%    
  Sat, Feb 21 41 Texas W 89-82 73%    
  Wed, Feb 25 9 @Vanderbilt L 85-92 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 90 South Carolina W 87-74 87%    
  Tue, Mar 3 15 Alabama W 97-96 56%    
  Sat, Mar 7 80 @Mississippi St. W 87-81 71%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.6 3.5 1.7 0.6 0.1 11.3 1st
2nd 0.1 2.0 5.2 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 5.4 4.0 0.8 0.0 11.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.6 4.9 0.9 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 2.9 5.7 1.5 0.1 10.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 5.3 2.8 0.1 9.4 6th
7th 0.3 3.1 4.1 0.5 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 4.0 1.2 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.8 2.2 0.1 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.6 0.6 0.0 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.0 0.0 3.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 16th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.1 5.1 8.3 11.2 14.2 15.2 14.2 11.8 7.8 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.5% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 96.1% 1.7    1.5 0.3 0.0
15-3 76.8% 3.5    2.2 1.1 0.2
14-4 45.4% 3.6    1.3 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.3% 1.6    0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 5.9 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 26.9% 73.1% 1.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.6% 100.0% 27.1% 72.9% 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.8% 100.0% 26.9% 73.1% 2.5 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-3 4.5% 100.0% 20.8% 79.2% 3.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 100.0%
14-4 7.8% 100.0% 17.6% 82.4% 3.8 0.1 0.7 2.2 2.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 100.0%
13-5 11.8% 99.9% 14.2% 85.7% 4.6 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.6 3.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 99.9%
12-6 14.2% 99.9% 11.2% 88.7% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.3 4.0 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 15.2% 99.6% 7.4% 92.2% 6.4 0.2 0.9 2.6 4.1 4.3 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.5%
10-8 14.2% 97.7% 4.0% 93.7% 7.5 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.2 3.9 3.9 2.3 0.6 0.1 0.3 97.6%
9-9 11.2% 92.1% 2.1% 90.0% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.8 3.0 1.8 0.4 0.9 91.9%
8-10 8.3% 75.9% 1.7% 74.2% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.3 1.3 0.0 2.0 75.5%
7-11 5.1% 49.4% 0.7% 48.8% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 0.0 2.6 49.1%
6-12 3.1% 19.0% 0.3% 18.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 2.5 18.8%
5-13 1.4% 2.4% 2.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4 2.4%
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 89.4% 8.4% 81.1% 6.3 0.9 2.9 7.3 11.0 13.3 13.4 13.0 10.3 7.9 5.8 3.5 0.1 10.6 88.5%