Georgia
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.4#33
Expected Predictive Rating+18.3#14
Pace69.5#162
Improvement+4.6#14

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#53
First Shot+2.3#110
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#32
Layup/Dunks+5.8#28
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#343
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#254
Freethrows+2.3#61
Improvement+1.3#83

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#18
First Shot+5.8#29
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#69
Layups/Dunks+2.3#90
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#190
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#72
Freethrows+0.5#158
Improvement+3.3#6
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.8% 0.9% 0.3%
Top 2 Seed 3.2% 3.2% 0.5%
Top 4 Seed 16.7% 16.9% 4.4%
Top 6 Seed 35.6% 35.9% 14.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 72.1% 72.5% 48.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 71.8% 72.1% 48.6%
Average Seed 6.8 6.7 7.9
.500 or above 95.6% 95.8% 81.3%
.500 or above in Conference 39.8% 40.1% 21.8%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 8.0% 7.9% 15.1%
First Four8.1% 8.1% 9.5%
First Round68.2% 68.6% 43.7%
Second Round43.6% 43.9% 23.5%
Sweet Sixteen18.3% 18.5% 7.2%
Elite Eight7.0% 7.0% 3.1%
Final Four2.6% 2.6% 1.2%
Championship Game0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.3%

Next Game: Charleston Southern (Home) - 98.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 94 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 26 - 11
Quad 24 - 110 - 12
Quad 33 - 013 - 12
Quad 47 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 327   Tennessee Tech W 83-78 98%     1 - 0 -7.5 +0.4 -8.0
  Nov 10, 2024 305   Texas Southern W 92-64 97%     2 - 0 +17.0 +11.8 +4.4
  Nov 12, 2024 187   North Florida W 90-77 93%     3 - 0 +8.7 +12.5 -3.5
  Nov 15, 2024 111   @ Georgia Tech W 77-69 71%     4 - 0 +14.5 +3.1 +10.9
  Nov 19, 2024 361   Alabama A&M W 93-45 99%     5 - 0 +30.0 +9.7 +19.2
  Nov 23, 2024 17   Marquette L 69-80 40%     5 - 1 +4.1 +2.8 +1.4
  Nov 24, 2024 12   St. John's W 66-63 36%     6 - 1 +19.2 +2.8 +16.4
  Nov 30, 2024 204   Jacksonville W 102-56 94%     7 - 1 +41.0 +29.3 +11.7
  Dec 03, 2024 82   Notre Dame W 69-48 79%     8 - 1 +24.8 +10.8 +18.0
  Dec 14, 2024 102   Grand Canyon W 73-68 76%     9 - 1 +10.1 +2.5 +7.5
  Dec 19, 2024 328   Buffalo W 100-49 98%     10 - 1 +38.1 +21.6 +16.9
  Dec 22, 2024 302   Charleston Southern W 84-61 98%    
  Dec 29, 2024 245   South Carolina St. W 81-61 97%    
  Jan 04, 2025 27   @ Mississippi L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 07, 2025 9   Kentucky L 79-81 43%    
  Jan 11, 2025 35   Oklahoma W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 15, 2025 3   @ Tennessee L 63-74 16%    
  Jan 18, 2025 1   Auburn L 73-80 25%    
  Jan 22, 2025 29   @ Arkansas L 73-76 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 7   @ Florida L 73-82 22%    
  Jan 28, 2025 69   South Carolina W 73-66 74%    
  Feb 01, 2025 8   @ Alabama L 77-85 23%    
  Feb 05, 2025 56   LSU W 76-70 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 28   Mississippi St. W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 11, 2025 25   @ Texas A&M L 68-72 34%    
  Feb 15, 2025 55   Missouri W 77-71 69%    
  Feb 22, 2025 1   @ Auburn L 70-83 12%    
  Feb 25, 2025 7   Florida L 76-79 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 32   @ Texas L 69-72 39%    
  Mar 04, 2025 69   @ South Carolina W 70-69 54%    
  Mar 08, 2025 49   Vanderbilt W 79-74 67%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.8 0.1 3.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 6.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 4.1 1.0 0.0 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.6 2.5 0.2 7.9 7th
8th 0.2 3.1 4.6 0.7 0.0 8.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 5.2 2.1 0.1 8.5 9th
10th 0.3 4.0 4.3 0.4 0.0 9.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.8 5.5 1.5 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 4.4 3.0 0.2 8.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.2 0.8 0.0 7.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.5 1.6 0.1 6.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.5 1.7 0.2 5.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.0 16th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.5 8.7 12.5 14.6 15.0 13.7 10.9 7.3 4.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 89.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 70.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 43.8% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.3% 100.0% 11.1% 88.9% 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.9% 100.0% 9.5% 90.5% 2.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.2% 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 2.8 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 4.4% 100.0% 5.4% 94.6% 3.4 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 7.3% 100.0% 3.1% 96.9% 4.2 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.4 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-8 10.9% 99.9% 2.1% 97.8% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 3.5 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
9-9 13.7% 99.6% 1.0% 98.6% 6.2 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.8 3.8 3.3 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.6%
8-10 15.0% 95.5% 0.7% 94.8% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.8 3.2 3.3 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.7 95.4%
7-11 14.6% 80.1% 0.2% 79.9% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.7 3.4 3.0 0.2 2.9 80.1%
6-12 12.5% 43.3% 0.2% 43.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 3.1 0.5 7.1 43.2%
5-13 8.7% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 7.7 11.2%
4-14 5.5% 0.7% 0.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 5.4 0.7%
3-15 2.6% 2.6
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 72.1% 1.3% 70.8% 6.8 0.8 2.3 5.7 7.8 9.6 9.3 8.0 6.7 7.2 6.3 7.3 1.0 0.0 27.9 71.8%