Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Florida 100.0%   1   21 - 6 12 - 2 +23.6      +11.0 14 +12.5 4 74.3 42 +19.9 13 +23.5 1
15 Tennessee 100.0%   3   20 - 7 10 - 4 +18.8      +8.6 31 +10.2 12 65.0 274 +19.3 15 +20.8 2
16 Vanderbilt 99.9%   5   21 - 6 8 - 6 +18.6      +10.4 16 +8.2 23 73.1 66 +17.9 21 +15.1 9
17 Arkansas 99.9%   5   20 - 7 10 - 4 +18.4      +13.1 4 +5.3 47 74.6 38 +18.5 18 +18.3 4
18 Alabama 100.0%   4   20 - 7 10 - 4 +18.4      +13.8 3 +4.6 59 82.0 2 +19.7 14 +19.3 3
25 Kentucky 94.0%   6   17 - 10 8 - 6 +15.8      +8.5 33 +7.3 29 69.4 154 +15.7 30 +16.9 6
29 Texas 79.7%   9   16 - 10 8 - 6 +14.9      +12.6 6 +2.3 108 67.2 222 +13.6 43 +15.1 8
32 Georgia 91.9%   8   19 - 8 7 - 7 +14.7      +10.2 17 +4.4 62 78.9 9 +15.1 32 +14.5 10
33 Auburn 74.0%   10   15 - 12 6 - 8 +14.5      +11.1 13 +3.4 84 68.9 170 +14.5 37 +13.0 11
34 Texas A&M 87.2%   9   19 - 8 9 - 5 +14.5      +8.7 28 +5.7 41 75.3 28 +14.6 35 +17.8 5
49 Missouri 51.0%   18 - 9 8 - 6 +11.0      +7.9 41 +3.1 88 67.0 228 +14.3 38 +15.8 7
52 Oklahoma 1.1%   13 - 14 3 - 11 +10.4      +9.0 24 +1.4 134 67.1 226 +8.7 65 +6.7 14
53 LSU 0.5%   14 - 13 2 - 12 +10.2      +7.2 48 +3.0 93 67.3 218 +8.1 75 +2.7 16
72 Mississippi 0.0%   11 - 16 3 - 11 +7.8      +3.7 90 +4.1 67 65.7 255 +6.1 91 +7.4 13
74 Mississippi St. 0.1%   13 - 14 5 - 9 +7.7      +3.9 85 +3.8 71 71.4 99 +8.0 77 +10.0 12
92 South Carolina 0.0%   12 - 15 3 - 11 +6.0      +3.2 96 +2.8 97 66.5 238 +4.4 101 +6.3 15


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Wed, Feb 18 18 Alabama 117 17 Arkansas 115   
Wed, Feb 18 72 Mississippi 77 34 Texas A&M 80   
Wed, Feb 18 49 Missouri 81 16 Vanderbilt 80   
Wed, Feb 18 33 Auburn 85 74 Mississippi St. 91   
Wed, Feb 18 52 Oklahoma 66 15 Tennessee 89   
Sat, Feb 21 15 Tennessee 69 16 Vanderbilt 65   
Sat, Feb 21 33 Auburn 75 25 Kentucky 74   
Sat, Feb 21 17 Arkansas 94 49 Missouri 86   
Sat, Feb 21 52 Oklahoma 71 34 Texas A&M 75   
Sat, Feb 21 18 Alabama 90 53 LSU 83   
Sat, Feb 21 32 Georgia 91 29 Texas 80   
Sat, Feb 21 74 Mississippi St. 89 92 South Carolina 97   
Sat, Feb 21 4 Florida 94 72 Mississippi 75   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Tue, Feb 24 33 Auburn 82 52 Oklahoma 80 54%   
Tue, Feb 24 49 Missouri 71 15 Tennessee 75 68%   
Tue, Feb 24 25 Kentucky 78 92 South Carolina 71 74%   
Wed, Feb 25 32 Georgia 83 16 Vanderbilt 90 75%   
Wed, Feb 25 17 Arkansas 90 34 Texas A&M 83 75%   
Wed, Feb 25 4 Florida 84 29 Texas 78 71%   
Wed, Feb 25 53 LSU 73 72 Mississippi 74 52%   
Wed, Feb 25 18 Alabama 95 74 Mississippi St. 81 89%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.0 98.0 1.5 0.5 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 2.6 5.8 54.1 21.2 13.3 3.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
Vanderbilt 6.0 1.4 5.6 11.3 23.4 24.0 15.5 8.3 6.0 3.6 1.0 0.0
Arkansas 3.0 5.8 31.2 35.5 16.8 7.4 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.0
Alabama 2.8 3.8 43.9 27.1 20.0 4.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
Kentucky 6.6 0.0 0.4 2.7 8.4 18.5 19.7 18.9 13.8 10.0 5.6 1.9 0.0
Texas 7.1 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 12.4 17.0 20.6 17.3 14.3 8.0 2.8
Georgia 8.1 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.8 12.8 17.2 18.2 18.6 16.5 8.5 0.1
Auburn 9.7 0.0 0.4 2.9 6.5 11.7 17.3 21.8 38.2 1.1 0.1 0.0
Texas A&M 5.0 0.1 5.4 13.1 18.6 28.9 15.9 9.4 4.7 2.8 1.1 0.1
Missouri 7.4 0.0 0.7 2.1 4.2 9.6 14.8 19.8 17.2 15.5 11.4 4.8 0.0
Oklahoma 13.4 0.0 1.4 22.6 31.6 26.6 12.9 4.9
LSU 14.4 0.2 7.6 18.9 21.3 25.6 26.5
Mississippi 13.5 0.0 1.4 19.7 32.3 25.0 12.8 8.8
Mississippi St. 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 6.0 78.6 12.3 1.5 0.0
South Carolina 14.4 0.0 0.2 6.7 16.7 24.3 32.2 20.1

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 15 - 3 24 - 7 0.1 3.2 18.1 41.9 36.7
Tennessee 13 - 5 23 - 8 1.1 9.0 27.4 39.1 23.4
Vanderbilt 10 - 8 23 - 8 2.5 15.1 36.4 34.5 11.4
Arkansas 12 - 6 22 - 9 2.3 14.5 36.8 37.3 8.9
Alabama 13 - 5 23 - 8 1.0 11.2 34.9 38.5 14.4
Kentucky 10 - 8 19 - 12 5.5 25.2 38.2 24.8 6.2
Texas 10 - 8 18 - 12 8.5 33.5 37.7 17.3 2.9
Georgia 9 - 9 21 - 10 2.2 18.1 40.1 31.8 7.7
Auburn 8 - 10 17 - 14 2.0 14.4 37.4 36.6 9.7
Texas A&M 11 - 7 21 - 10 7.0 25.5 37.2 24.7 5.5
Missouri 10 - 8 20 - 11 14.6 34.3 33.1 15.1 3.0
Oklahoma 5 - 13 15 - 16 11.3 32.7 35.3 17.4 3.2
LSU 4 - 14 16 - 15 9.6 30.2 36.3 20.0 3.9
Mississippi 5 - 13 13 - 18 10.8 35.3 37.6 14.5 1.8
Mississippi St. 6 - 12 14 - 17 29.4 45.9 21.8 2.7 0.1
South Carolina 4 - 14 13 - 18 36.7 40.7 18.4 3.9 0.3

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 98.0% 87.5 8.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 5.8% 0.5 3.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Vanderbilt
Arkansas 5.8% 0.7 3.0 1.9 0.2 0.0
Alabama 3.8% 0.4 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.0% 0.0
Texas 0.0% 0.0
Georgia
Auburn
Texas A&M 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 0.0
Oklahoma
LSU
Mississippi
Mississippi St.
South Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 41.4% 58.6% 1   32.4 43.8 17.9 4.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Tennessee 100.0% 13.9% 86.1% 3   2.5 10.8 23.0 27.4 22.2 11.0 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 7.8% 92.0% 5   0.5 3.3 11.7 20.2 29.7 24.1 8.0 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Arkansas 99.9% 12.4% 87.5% 5   0.9 4.1 13.4 24.2 29.4 20.2 6.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Alabama 100.0% 12.6% 87.4% 4   1.4 7.2 19.9 27.2 26.7 14.0 3.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kentucky 94.0% 3.2% 90.9% 6   0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 9.2 20.5 25.9 15.8 9.1 6.2 4.2 0.2 6.0 93.8%
Texas 79.7% 2.3% 77.4% 9   0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 6.8 14.1 16.1 13.4 12.5 13.4 0.7 20.3 79.2%
Georgia 91.9% 1.7% 90.2% 8   0.0 0.1 0.5 2.7 10.4 21.3 23.6 17.8 11.0 4.5 0.0 8.1 91.8%
Auburn 74.0% 1.3% 72.7% 10   0.1 0.2 1.1 4.6 8.4 11.0 11.8 13.2 21.7 2.0 0.0 26.0 73.7%
Texas A&M 87.2% 2.8% 84.4% 9   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 6.7 16.9 21.7 20.3 13.9 5.3 0.0 12.8 86.9%
Missouri 51.0% 0.4% 50.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 7.1 12.4 15.0 13.4 0.3 49.0 50.8%
Oklahoma 1.1% 0.1% 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 98.9 1.0%
LSU 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 99.5 0.5%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.8 0.0 0.4 5.9 27.8 46.0 19.7 0.2
1st Round 100.0% 9.5 0.0 1.0 10.7 35.6 40.7 11.9 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 7.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 8.4 23.0 33.5 24.5 7.9 1.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.7% 3.4 0.3 3.8 17.8 33.3 29.4 12.4 2.7 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 88.1% 1.5 11.9 39.1 34.5 12.5 1.8 0.2 0.0
Final Four 57.3% 0.7 42.7 45.0 11.4 0.8 0.0
Final Game 30.2% 0.3 69.8 28.5 1.7
Champion 14.1% 0.1 86.0 14.1

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.2% 79.6% 53.8% 31.9% 17.9% 9.4%
Tennessee 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 91.6% 53.3% 22.3% 9.2% 3.5% 1.2%
Vanderbilt 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 86.2% 45.6% 18.3% 7.7% 3.0% 1.1%
Arkansas 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 87.3% 46.6% 18.4% 7.5% 2.8% 1.0%
Alabama 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 90.1% 49.0% 19.2% 8.0% 3.0% 1.0%
Kentucky 94.0% 4.2% 92.5% 58.5% 18.4% 6.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Texas 79.7% 13.4% 74.3% 40.7% 10.7% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Georgia 91.9% 4.0% 90.2% 50.1% 12.3% 3.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Auburn 74.0% 22.8% 65.0% 33.3% 8.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Texas A&M 87.2% 4.7% 85.2% 45.4% 10.8% 3.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Missouri 51.0% 12.6% 44.2% 16.0% 2.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%