Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
11 Alabama 98.0%   3   6 - 2 0 - 0 22 - 9 12 - 6 +18.8      +13.3 2 +5.5 43 83.4 7 +20.7 12 0.0 1
12 Vanderbilt 99.0%   3   9 - 0 0 - 0 25 - 6 12 - 6 +18.7      +12.3 3 +6.4 33 73.2 94 +21.7 9 0.0 1
15 Florida 92.7%   4   5 - 3 0 - 0 21 - 10 12 - 6 +17.8      +8.3 27 +9.5 9 75.3 46 +12.9 46 0.0 1
16 Tennessee 90.8%   4   7 - 2 0 - 0 21 - 10 11 - 7 +17.2      +8.4 25 +8.8 12 68.8 202 +13.8 37 0.0 1
19 Georgia 85.6%   6   8 - 1 0 - 0 22 - 9 10 - 8 +15.5      +9.1 20 +6.4 31 85.5 3 +14.0 34 0.0 1
20 Auburn 85.6%   5   7 - 2 0 - 0 20 - 11 10 - 8 +15.4      +10.3 13 +5.1 47 69.6 183 +19.3 15 0.0 1
22 Arkansas 81.0%   5   6 - 2 0 - 0 20 - 11 10 - 8 +15.0      +8.0 31 +7.1 22 74.4 65 +16.4 24 0.0 1
23 Kentucky 60.8%   7   5 - 4 0 - 0 17 - 14 9 - 9 +15.0      +7.8 36 +7.2 20 73.6 87 +4.4 112 0.0 1
29 LSU 72.2%   8   8 - 0 0 - 0 21 - 10 9 - 9 +13.8      +7.4 39 +6.4 30 71.7 128 +13.6 39 0.0 1
37 Missouri 58.5%   9   8 - 1 0 - 0 19 - 12 9 - 9 +12.8      +8.3 26 +4.4 58 70.5 161 +9.5 67 0.0 1
38 Texas A&M 47.1%   7 - 2 0 - 0 19 - 12 8 - 10 +12.1      +7.5 38 +4.5 56 74.3 67 +8.9 71 0.0 1
41 Oklahoma 53.4%   10   6 - 2 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +11.8      +9.4 19 +2.4 100 68.8 204 +13.4 43 0.0 1
50 Texas 28.9%   5 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 15 7 - 11 +10.7      +7.9 32 +2.7 91 68.8 205 +6.9 85 0.0 1
58 Mississippi 18.2%   5 - 3 0 - 0 15 - 16 6 - 12 +9.4      +6.0 56 +3.4 76 65.7 282 +3.8 119 0.0 1
81 Mississippi St. 7.2%   4 - 4 0 - 0 13 - 18 5 - 13 +7.2      +4.3 78 +2.9 89 70.9 147 +3.1 134 0.0 1
89 South Carolina 2.7%   5 - 3 0 - 0 13 - 18 4 - 14 +5.8      +3.3 91 +2.5 95 65.9 279 +1.0 157 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Dec 2 23 Kentucky 64 21 North Carolina 67   
Tue, Dec 2 3 Duke 67 15 Florida 66   
Tue, Dec 2 61 Syracuse 62 16 Tennessee 60   
Tue, Dec 2 37 Missouri 71 56 Notre Dame 76   
Tue, Dec 2 41 Oklahoma 86 53 Wake Forest 68   
Tue, Dec 2 92 Pittsburgh 73 38 Texas A&M 81   
Tue, Dec 2 89 South Carolina 83 70 Virginia Tech 86   
Tue, Dec 2 34 Miami (FL) 75 58 Mississippi 66   
Tue, Dec 2 100 Florida St. 73 19 Georgia 107   
Wed, Dec 3 20 Auburn 83 35 North Carolina St. 73   
Wed, Dec 3 50 Texas 69 26 Virginia 88   
Wed, Dec 3 11 Alabama 90 33 Clemson 84   
Wed, Dec 3 40 SMU 69 12 Vanderbilt 88   
Wed, Dec 3 22 Arkansas 89 14 Louisville 80   
Wed, Dec 3 132 Boston College 69 29 LSU 78   
Wed, Dec 3 134 Georgia Tech 73 81 Mississippi St. 85   
Fri, Dec 5 4 Gonzaga 94 23 Kentucky 59   



Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Dec 6 17 Illinois 76 16 Tennessee 77 51%   
Sat, Dec 6 9 Arizona 84 20 Auburn 77 75%   
Sat, Dec 6 58 Mississippi 72 13 St. John's 83 86%   
Sat, Dec 6 82 Arizona St. 77 41 Oklahoma 82 68%   
Sat, Dec 6 22 Arkansas 89 179 Fresno St. 69 95%   
Sat, Dec 6 89 South Carolina 82 348 Stetson 61 96%   
Sun, Dec 7 29 LSU 76 30 Texas Tech 75 50%   
Sun, Dec 7 40 SMU 80 38 Texas A&M 81 50%   
Sun, Dec 7 18 Kansas 77 37 Missouri 71 73%   
Sun, Dec 7 81 Mississippi St. 75 99 San Francisco 73 58%   
Sun, Dec 7 11 Alabama 99 269 Texas San Antonio 71 99%   
Mon, Dec 8 201 Southern 70 50 Texas 87 93%   
Tue, Dec 9 15 Florida 71 5 Connecticut 74 60%   
Tue, Dec 9 23 Kentucky 88 336 NC Central 59 99%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Alabama 3.9 25.6 17.8 13.0 10.1 7.9 6.6 5.3 4.1 3.1 2.4 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
Vanderbilt 4.0 26.6 17.0 12.7 9.7 8.1 6.2 5.1 4.3 3.1 2.5 1.6 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1
Florida 4.4 21.6 16.3 12.2 10.3 8.4 7.2 5.7 5.0 3.8 3.0 2.3 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2
Tennessee 5.5 13.4 12.2 10.8 10.7 9.6 8.1 7.1 6.8 5.6 4.9 3.7 2.9 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.2
Georgia 6.0 10.3 10.5 10.1 10.0 9.2 8.4 8.1 7.5 6.4 5.4 4.3 3.8 2.7 1.8 1.1 0.5
Auburn 6.5 8.2 8.9 9.4 9.2 9.4 8.7 7.8 7.9 7.3 6.1 5.3 4.4 3.4 2.5 1.3 0.5
Arkansas 6.7 7.7 8.3 8.8 9.2 8.9 8.4 8.4 7.3 6.6 6.4 5.7 4.9 4.0 2.9 1.7 0.7
Kentucky 7.3 5.7 6.2 7.7 8.1 8.1 8.7 8.8 8.1 8.1 7.5 6.9 5.7 4.4 3.1 2.0 0.9
LSU 7.4 5.1 6.3 7.3 7.8 8.6 8.5 8.3 8.0 7.7 7.6 7.1 5.7 4.8 3.7 2.4 1.0
Missouri 8.4 3.4 4.6 5.4 6.4 6.9 7.4 8.2 8.2 7.7 8.6 8.0 7.8 6.3 5.5 3.6 1.9
Texas A&M 9.1 1.9 3.0 4.1 5.2 6.0 7.0 7.8 8.0 8.4 9.2 9.0 8.6 7.7 7.2 4.5 2.3
Oklahoma 9.2 2.1 3.2 4.1 4.8 5.8 6.5 7.5 7.5 8.2 8.7 8.3 8.9 8.3 7.1 5.5 3.4
Texas 10.4 1.0 1.7 2.5 3.1 3.8 5.2 5.8 6.5 7.3 8.8 9.8 10.2 10.7 10.4 8.2 4.8
Mississippi 11.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.7 3.4 4.5 4.8 6.2 7.4 8.9 10.3 12.3 13.1 12.8 8.9
Mississippi St. 12.9 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.9 2.1 2.8 3.6 5.0 6.7 8.6 11.6 15.5 19.1 20.0
South Carolina 13.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.1 4.7 6.6 9.7 14.3 22.0 32.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Alabama 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 4.3 7.1 9.9 12.9 14.9 15.6 13.2 10.0 5.4 2.2 0.4
Vanderbilt 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.3 4.3 7.0 10.2 12.6 14.0 15.1 13.2 9.8 6.2 2.6 0.5
Florida 12 - 6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 3.3 5.7 8.3 11.1 13.1 14.4 14.1 11.9 8.1 4.8 1.9 0.3
Tennessee 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.5 8.6 11.1 12.6 14.8 14.1 11.3 8.2 4.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
Georgia 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.0 4.5 6.3 9.7 12.4 13.7 14.1 13.0 9.6 7.1 3.9 1.7 0.4 0.0
Auburn 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 3.0 4.9 8.0 10.9 13.2 14.3 13.5 11.4 8.9 5.4 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
Arkansas 10 - 8 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.2 5.6 8.3 10.8 13.1 13.8 13.1 11.1 8.4 5.4 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
Kentucky 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.9 6.6 9.8 12.8 14.4 14.2 12.2 10.2 6.5 3.6 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0
LSU 9 - 9 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.3 7.3 9.7 13.2 13.7 13.8 12.1 9.4 6.8 3.7 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.1
Missouri 9 - 9 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.8 6.2 9.4 11.8 13.6 13.8 12.8 10.1 7.0 4.8 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1
Texas A&M 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.6 7.9 10.7 13.6 14.7 14.2 11.7 8.3 5.5 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Oklahoma 8 - 10 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.2 8.4 11.2 13.4 13.6 13.1 10.9 8.2 5.5 3.2 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Texas 7 - 11 0.1 0.6 2.3 4.6 7.7 11.0 14.0 14.9 13.6 11.1 8.5 5.5 3.2 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Mississippi 6 - 12 0.3 1.4 4.0 7.7 11.3 14.1 14.8 13.9 11.4 8.5 6.0 3.6 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 1.1 4.5 8.7 12.8 15.8 15.4 13.8 10.4 7.5 4.6 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
South Carolina 4 - 14 2.6 8.0 13.5 16.9 17.1 14.6 10.7 7.4 4.8 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Alabama 25.6% 15.1 7.2 2.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 26.6% 16.5 7.1 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Florida 21.6% 13.0 5.9 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 13.4% 7.5 3.8 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Georgia 10.3% 5.3 3.3 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Auburn 8.2% 4.2 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Arkansas 7.7% 3.7 2.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kentucky 5.7% 2.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
LSU 5.1% 2.5 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Missouri 3.4% 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 1.9% 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oklahoma 2.1% 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas 1.0% 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 0.6% 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Alabama 98.0% 18.3% 79.7% 3   15.7 22.2 20.4 14.8 10.3 6.3 3.2 1.8 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.0 97.6%
Vanderbilt 99.0% 17.3% 81.8% 3   16.3 22.5 20.6 14.8 10.1 6.5 3.5 1.9 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.0 1.0 98.8%
Florida 92.7% 13.8% 78.8% 4   6.4 11.4 15.6 15.2 13.7 10.3 7.5 4.5 2.9 2.7 2.2 0.2 7.3 91.5%
Tennessee 90.8% 11.4% 79.4% 4   4.4 8.7 13.9 14.5 13.9 11.6 8.4 5.7 3.5 3.3 2.8 0.2 9.2 89.7%
Georgia 85.6% 7.4% 78.2% 6   1.6 4.0 7.8 10.5 12.6 12.0 11.1 9.3 7.1 5.9 3.6 0.2 14.4 84.4%
Auburn 85.6% 7.0% 78.7% 5   2.9 6.1 11.7 13.7 13.7 11.1 7.3 4.9 4.3 4.3 5.1 0.5 0.0 14.4 84.6%
Arkansas 81.0% 6.1% 74.9% 5   1.9 4.4 9.1 11.3 12.7 12.0 8.9 6.6 4.9 4.5 4.4 0.3 19.0 79.8%
Kentucky 60.8% 6.0% 54.8% 7   0.6 1.5 3.6 6.0 7.9 8.5 8.5 7.4 5.3 5.7 5.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 39.2 58.3%
LSU 72.2% 4.3% 67.9% 8   0.6 1.4 3.7 6.4 8.8 9.7 10.2 10.1 8.8 7.2 5.2 0.1 27.8 70.9%
Missouri 58.5% 2.4% 56.1% 9   0.2 0.7 2.0 3.4 6.0 7.5 9.0 9.8 7.8 7.1 4.8 0.3 41.5 57.5%
Texas A&M 47.1% 2.0% 45.1% 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.4 4.8 6.5 8.7 8.0 7.3 5.3 0.3 52.9 46.0%
Oklahoma 53.4% 2.0% 51.5% 10   0.1 0.4 1.4 2.4 4.6 6.3 8.7 9.3 7.7 6.9 5.5 0.3 0.0 46.6 52.5%
Texas 28.9% 1.2% 27.7% 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.7 4.4 5.2 4.3 4.6 4.3 0.2 71.1 28.0%
Mississippi 18.2% 0.5% 17.7% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.6 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.2 0.2 0.0 81.8 17.8%
Mississippi St. 7.2% 0.2% 7.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.7 0.1 0.0 92.8 7.0%
South Carolina 2.7% 0.1% 2.7% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.0 97.3 2.7%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Alabama 98.0% 1.1% 97.5% 87.4% 56.9% 30.2% 14.5% 7.0% 3.1%
Vanderbilt 99.0% 0.7% 98.7% 88.4% 57.1% 29.6% 14.2% 6.4% 2.7%
Florida 92.7% 2.6% 91.7% 76.5% 44.7% 21.5% 10.1% 4.4% 1.8%
Tennessee 90.8% 3.3% 89.7% 73.0% 40.0% 18.3% 8.5% 3.6% 1.5%
Georgia 85.6% 4.1% 83.6% 60.1% 27.5% 11.1% 4.3% 1.6% 0.6%
Auburn 85.6% 6.1% 83.0% 62.6% 30.7% 12.5% 4.8% 1.7% 0.6%
Arkansas 81.0% 5.3% 78.7% 57.6% 27.2% 10.9% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Kentucky 60.8% 6.6% 58.3% 40.7% 18.1% 7.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.5%
LSU 72.2% 5.9% 69.5% 44.9% 17.7% 6.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.4%
Missouri 58.5% 5.7% 56.0% 33.7% 11.4% 4.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Texas A&M 47.1% 6.4% 44.0% 24.8% 7.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Oklahoma 53.4% 6.5% 50.2% 28.3% 8.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Texas 28.9% 5.0% 26.4% 14.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Mississippi 18.2% 3.6% 16.4% 8.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 7.2% 1.9% 6.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 2.7% 0.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.8 0.1 1.5 9.4 27.1 35.5 20.2 5.6 0.4 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 9.5 0.0 0.3 2.7 14.1 32.0 32.9 14.7 3.2 0.2
2nd Round 100.0% 7.0 0.1 0.3 2.3 8.5 22.1 30.8 23.3 10.1 2.3 0.3 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.7% 3.5 0.3 3.6 14.9 30.3 30.4 15.5 4.4 0.6 0.0
Elite Eight 88.0% 1.6 12.0 35.9 34.9 14.2 2.7 0.3 0.0
Final Four 56.1% 0.7 43.9 43.3 11.9 1.0 0.0
Final Game 27.8% 0.3 72.2 26.2 1.5
Champion 11.9% 0.1 88.1 11.9