Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
9 Vanderbilt 99.9%   2   12 - 0 0 - 0 26 - 5 13 - 5 +20.1      +11.6 6 +8.6 13 74.3 60 +24.1 8 0.0 1
12 Florida 94.6%   4   8 - 4 0 - 0 21 - 10 12 - 6 +18.0      +8.5 27 +9.5 9 73.3 75 +13.5 40 0.0 1
14 Tennessee 94.6%   5   9 - 3 0 - 0 21 - 10 11 - 7 +17.6      +8.1 33 +9.5 10 66.4 263 +15.0 31 0.0 1
15 Alabama 97.4%   4   9 - 3 0 - 0 21 - 10 12 - 6 +17.5      +12.7 2 +4.7 57 83.1 5 +19.7 14 0.0 1
20 Kentucky 84.4%   5   9 - 4 0 - 0 19 - 12 10 - 8 +16.2      +8.2 30 +8.0 17 72.1 107 +13.2 42 0.0 1
22 Georgia 89.4%   6   11 - 1 0 - 0 23 - 8 11 - 7 +15.9      +9.1 21 +6.8 27 86.6 2 +14.8 33 0.0 1
23 Arkansas 88.1%   6   9 - 3 0 - 0 20 - 11 10 - 8 +15.2      +9.7 18 +5.6 40 75.4 42 +16.7 24 0.0 1
34 Auburn 69.6%   7   8 - 4 0 - 0 18 - 13 9 - 9 +13.4      +9.5 19 +3.9 71 69.6 184 +17.2 22 0.0 1
39 LSU 65.1%   9   11 - 1 0 - 0 21 - 10 9 - 9 +12.4      +7.9 36 +4.5 61 69.7 176 +16.5 26 0.0 1
41 Texas 43.2%   8 - 4 0 - 0 16 - 14 8 - 10 +12.2      +8.2 31 +4.0 69 70.0 169 +8.0 75 0.0 1
43 Texas A&M 40.2%   9 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +11.8      +7.1 41 +4.7 56 78.1 22 +7.6 80 0.0 1
45 Oklahoma 48.4%   10   9 - 3 0 - 0 18 - 13 8 - 10 +11.3      +8.7 24 +2.6 98 69.2 194 +11.8 51 0.0 1
60 Missouri 17.3%   10 - 3 0 - 0 16 - 15 6 - 12 +8.8      +7.1 42 +1.7 117 70.0 166 +8.5 71 0.0 1
63 Mississippi 8.6%   7 - 5 0 - 0 14 - 17 6 - 12 +8.5      +3.7 89 +4.8 55 66.1 269 +4.5 103 0.0 1
80 Mississippi St. 5.5%   7 - 5 0 - 0 13 - 18 5 - 13 +6.9      +3.6 91 +3.3 79 70.0 172 +5.7 96 0.0 1
90 South Carolina 2.5%   8 - 4 0 - 0 14 - 17 5 - 13 +6.2      +2.7 109 +3.5 75 65.9 277 +1.4 152 0.0 1




Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Sat, Dec 20 20 Kentucky 78 19 St. John's 66   
Sat, Dec 20 23 Arkansas 85 8 Houston 94   
Sat, Dec 20 34 Auburn 60 5 Purdue 88   
Sat, Dec 20 72 Memphis 66 80 Mississippi St. 71   
Sun, Dec 21 28 North Carolina St. 76 63 Mississippi 62   
Sun, Dec 21 9 Vanderbilt 98 61 Wake Forest 67   
Sun, Dec 21 15 Alabama 92 152 Kennesaw St. 81   
Sun, Dec 21 181 Colgate 60 12 Florida 90   
Sun, Dec 21 302 East Texas A&M 77 43 Texas A&M 118   
Sun, Dec 21 362 Gardner-Webb 52 14 Tennessee 94   
Mon, Dec 22 10 Illinois 91 60 Missouri 48   
Mon, Dec 22 39 LSU 104 320 Prairie View 90   
Mon, Dec 22 22 Georgia 103 316 West Georgia 74   
Mon, Dec 22 41 Texas 94 345 Maryland Eastern Shore 71   
Mon, Dec 22 45 Oklahoma 107 349 Stetson 54   
Mon, Dec 22 90 South Carolina 95 358 South Carolina St. 70   
Tue, Dec 23 267 Bellarmine 85 20 Kentucky 99   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Vanderbilt 2.8 39.8 19.8 12.7 8.6 6.1 4.2 3.0 2.1 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Florida 4.1 21.3 17.6 13.9 10.7 9.0 7.4 5.9 4.4 3.3 2.3 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1
Tennessee 4.9 14.4 14.0 12.7 11.4 10.0 9.1 7.1 5.9 4.7 3.7 2.7 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1
Alabama 4.5 16.9 16.2 13.9 11.8 9.6 7.9 6.4 5.1 4.1 3.1 2.1 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
Kentucky 6.1 8.3 9.3 9.6 10.4 9.9 9.7 8.9 8.1 7.0 5.9 4.6 3.4 2.5 1.5 0.8 0.3
Georgia 5.5 11.3 11.9 11.7 11.0 10.2 9.4 7.9 6.5 5.5 4.5 3.4 2.7 1.7 1.2 0.7 0.2
Arkansas 6.0 8.8 10.1 10.7 10.6 9.9 9.3 8.5 7.4 6.5 5.4 4.3 3.1 2.6 1.6 0.8 0.3
Auburn 7.9 3.3 5.0 6.1 7.0 7.7 8.6 8.9 9.0 8.7 8.5 7.9 6.3 5.3 4.1 2.5 1.2
LSU 8.4 2.2 3.8 5.4 6.2 7.2 7.9 8.8 9.1 9.3 9.0 8.4 7.4 6.4 4.6 3.0 1.4
Texas 8.9 1.8 3.1 4.0 5.1 6.3 7.2 8.2 8.9 9.4 9.5 9.7 8.2 7.3 5.6 3.8 1.8
Texas A&M 9.0 1.5 2.9 3.9 5.1 6.2 7.3 8.3 8.4 9.4 9.4 9.4 8.8 7.5 5.9 4.0 2.0
Oklahoma 9.3 1.6 2.5 3.8 4.7 5.7 6.8 7.7 8.5 8.7 9.5 9.3 8.6 8.3 6.5 5.0 2.9
Missouri 11.5 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.7 2.6 3.6 4.3 5.4 6.5 8.1 9.6 10.7 12.0 12.5 11.6 9.5
Mississippi 11.9 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.8 3.3 4.7 5.9 7.5 9.2 11.0 12.5 14.0 13.8 10.5
Mississippi St. 12.8 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.4 4.1 5.6 7.4 9.7 12.0 14.9 17.8 18.7
South Carolina 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.9 5.7 7.8 10.9 15.2 21.5 26.7




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Vanderbilt 13 - 5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.6 6.1 9.9 13.8 16.5 16.9 14.2 10.0 4.7 1.3
Florida 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 4.5 7.5 11.0 13.9 15.9 15.3 12.6 8.8 4.4 1.7 0.3
Tennessee 11 - 7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.9 6.8 9.9 13.2 15.6 15.8 13.4 9.4 5.4 2.5 0.8 0.1
Alabama 12 - 6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.1 5.5 8.8 12.2 14.7 16.4 14.6 11.2 6.9 3.3 1.0 0.2
Kentucky 10 - 8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 4.1 6.7 10.4 13.5 14.9 15.4 12.7 9.1 5.8 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1
Georgia 11 - 7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.1 5.1 8.3 11.2 14.2 15.2 14.2 11.8 7.8 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
Arkansas 10 - 8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 3.9 6.1 9.7 12.8 14.3 14.7 13.3 10.0 6.6 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
Auburn 9 - 9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 5.1 8.1 11.5 14.0 14.4 14.1 11.3 8.2 4.9 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
LSU 9 - 9 0.1 0.4 1.2 3.1 6.0 9.5 12.5 14.8 15.0 13.2 10.4 7.1 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0
Texas 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.0 7.0 10.7 14.0 15.4 14.6 12.1 8.9 5.5 3.0 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
Texas A&M 8 - 10 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 4.3 7.2 10.8 14.2 15.6 14.3 12.0 8.8 5.3 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oklahoma 8 - 10 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.5 5.1 8.3 11.4 13.9 14.7 13.9 11.3 8.0 5.1 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Missouri 6 - 12 0.3 1.3 3.8 7.3 10.9 14.4 15.7 14.3 12.0 8.7 5.6 3.3 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 6 - 12 0.3 1.5 4.4 8.7 12.4 15.7 16.1 14.3 11.1 7.2 4.4 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 0.7 3.4 7.7 12.6 15.5 16.4 14.8 11.5 7.9 5.1 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 5 - 13 1.3 5.4 11.1 16.2 17.7 16.1 12.8 8.8 5.3 2.9 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vanderbilt 39.8% 26.9 9.4 2.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0
Florida 21.3% 12.3 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Tennessee 14.4% 7.8 4.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Alabama 16.9% 9.4 5.1 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Kentucky 8.3% 4.0 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Georgia 11.3% 5.9 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Arkansas 8.8% 4.4 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Auburn 3.3% 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
LSU 2.2% 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Texas 1.8% 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Texas A&M 1.5% 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Oklahoma 1.6% 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Missouri 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mississippi 0.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Mississippi St. 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
South Carolina 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vanderbilt 99.9% 25.5% 74.4% 2   22.9 29.5 22.9 12.4 6.3 3.2 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Florida 94.6% 14.7% 79.9% 4   3.2 7.7 14.8 16.6 16.0 12.6 9.6 6.0 3.5 2.6 1.9 0.1 5.4 93.6%
Tennessee 94.6% 12.9% 81.7% 5   2.7 7.3 14.0 16.8 15.8 13.2 10.2 5.9 3.4 2.7 2.4 0.1 5.4 93.8%
Alabama 97.4% 12.5% 84.8% 4   4.8 11.0 19.0 18.6 15.6 11.4 6.8 3.6 2.5 2.0 1.9 0.2 0.0 2.7 97.0%
Kentucky 84.4% 8.4% 76.0% 5   1.0 3.1 7.8 12.0 13.9 12.7 11.2 7.2 5.5 4.9 4.9 0.4 0.0 15.6 83.0%
Georgia 89.4% 8.4% 81.1% 6   0.9 2.9 7.3 11.0 13.3 13.4 13.0 10.3 7.9 5.8 3.5 0.1 10.6 88.5%
Arkansas 88.1% 6.6% 81.5% 6   0.8 2.7 7.6 11.1 14.2 14.8 12.4 9.4 6.1 4.7 4.0 0.2 0.0 11.9 87.3%
Auburn 69.6% 3.3% 66.3% 7   0.2 0.9 3.2 5.7 8.6 10.9 10.3 8.2 7.0 6.7 7.5 0.7 0.0 30.4 68.6%
LSU 65.1% 2.1% 63.0% 9   0.0 0.3 1.3 2.8 5.3 7.7 9.7 10.4 10.1 9.5 7.8 0.3 0.0 34.9 64.3%
Texas 43.2% 1.8% 41.5% 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.6 4.0 6.8 8.0 6.9 6.6 6.3 0.5 0.0 56.8 42.2%
Texas A&M 40.2% 1.7% 38.6% 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.0 5.3 7.6 7.8 8.1 5.7 0.3 59.8 39.2%
Oklahoma 48.4% 1.3% 47.1% 10   0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.0 7.1 9.8 9.2 7.9 6.6 0.3 51.6 47.7%
Missouri 17.3% 0.4% 17.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.4 2.9 3.7 4.3 3.9 0.2 82.7 17.0%
Mississippi 8.6% 0.3% 8.3% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 91.5 8.3%
Mississippi St. 5.5% 0.1% 5.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 94.5 5.4%
South Carolina 2.5% 0.1% 2.4% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.0 97.5 2.4%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vanderbilt 99.9% 0.1% 99.8% 94.4% 66.5% 37.1% 18.5% 8.9% 3.9%
Florida 94.6% 2.1% 93.8% 77.4% 43.1% 19.4% 8.7% 3.6% 1.4%
Tennessee 94.6% 2.7% 93.7% 75.8% 40.9% 17.5% 7.5% 3.1% 1.2%
Alabama 97.4% 2.2% 96.4% 80.8% 45.0% 19.5% 8.2% 3.2% 1.1%
Kentucky 84.4% 5.6% 82.3% 61.2% 28.6% 11.3% 4.4% 1.6% 0.6%
Georgia 89.4% 4.0% 87.8% 63.4% 27.9% 10.5% 4.2% 1.5% 0.5%
Arkansas 88.1% 4.6% 86.0% 60.7% 26.1% 9.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Auburn 69.6% 8.8% 65.7% 40.9% 14.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
LSU 65.1% 8.9% 60.7% 32.8% 9.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Texas 43.2% 7.3% 40.0% 21.8% 5.9% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Texas A&M 40.2% 6.6% 37.0% 19.4% 4.9% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Oklahoma 48.4% 7.6% 44.7% 22.4% 5.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Missouri 17.3% 4.4% 15.0% 6.3% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 8.6% 2.6% 7.3% 3.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 5.5% 2.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 2.5% 0.8% 2.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.5 0.1 2.2 13.7 34.7 33.5 13.6 2.1 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 9.2 0.0 0.3 4.4 20.6 38.0 27.5 8.2 0.9 0.0
2nd Round 100.0% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.6 13.1 28.3 30.8 18.0 5.2 0.6 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.5% 3.2 0.5 5.6 20.9 34.2 26.3 10.2 2.0 0.2 0.0
Elite Eight 83.7% 1.4 16.4 41.5 30.7 9.9 1.4 0.0 0.0
Final Four 49.4% 0.6 50.6 40.2 8.6 0.5 0.0
Final Game 23.2% 0.2 76.8 22.3 1.0
Champion 9.3% 0.1 90.7 9.3