Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
4 Florida 100.0%   2   18 - 6 9 - 2 +23.3      +11.1 14 +12.2 3 72.9 68 +19.1 16 +22.6 1
14 Vanderbilt 100.0%   4   20 - 4 7 - 4 +18.7      +11.1 13 +7.6 24 73.7 55 +19.7 15 +16.7 8
17 Alabama 99.9%   4   17 - 7 7 - 4 +18.2      +13.4 2 +4.8 57 82.5 2 +18.7 18 +17.8 5
18 Tennessee 99.8%   5   17 - 7 7 - 4 +18.0      +8.4 35 +9.7 12 65.7 260 +18.1 20 +19.0 3
19 Arkansas 99.8%   5   18 - 6 8 - 3 +18.0      +12.0 7 +6.0 39 75.7 28 +18.5 19 +18.3 4
24 Kentucky 98.4%   6   17 - 7 8 - 3 +16.2      +8.7 30 +7.5 28 69.2 167 +17.5 24 +20.4 2
28 Auburn 80.7%   9   14 - 10 5 - 6 +15.2      +11.3 12 +3.9 65 69.2 164 +15.0 33 +13.6 10
30 Texas 75.2%   8   14 - 9 6 - 5 +14.7      +11.5 10 +3.1 87 68.2 200 +12.7 46 +14.5 9
31 Texas A&M 83.7%   9   17 - 7 7 - 4 +14.6      +9.2 27 +5.5 47 76.0 26 +13.8 42 +17.5 6
36 Georgia 79.9%   9   17 - 7 5 - 6 +14.3      +8.4 33 +5.8 41 81.2 4 +14.1 39 +13.1 11
48 Missouri 62.9%   10   17 - 7 7 - 4 +11.2      +7.7 46 +3.6 76 67.3 220 +14.7 35 +16.8 7
54 Oklahoma 3.3%   12 - 12 2 - 9 +10.1      +8.1 39 +2.0 115 68.5 189 +8.3 67 +5.3 14
57 LSU 2.9%   14 - 10 2 - 9 +9.8      +6.6 50 +3.2 85 67.9 204 +8.6 65 +3.0 16
65 Mississippi 0.3%   11 - 13 3 - 8 +8.4      +3.8 83 +4.7 59 64.8 283 +7.4 78 +9.7 12
79 Mississippi St. 0.1%   11 - 13 3 - 8 +7.1      +2.2 114 +4.9 56 70.8 120 +6.8 82 +8.4 13
90 South Carolina 0.0%   11 - 13 2 - 9 +5.4      +2.8 101 +2.7 98 65.8 259 +3.4 106 +5.0 15


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Tue, Feb 10 28 Auburn 76 14 Vanderbilt 84   
Tue, Feb 10 19 Arkansas 91 57 LSU 62   
Wed, Feb 11 48 Missouri 86 31 Texas A&M 85   
Wed, Feb 11 17 Alabama 93 65 Mississippi 74   
Wed, Feb 11 79 Mississippi St. 64 18 Tennessee 73   
Wed, Feb 11 4 Florida 86 36 Georgia 66   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sat, Feb 14 19 Arkansas 88 28 Auburn 82 71%   
Sat, Feb 14 4 Florida 82 24 Kentucky 72 83%   
Sat, Feb 14 31 Texas A&M 81 14 Vanderbilt 88 75%   
Sat, Feb 14 48 Missouri 78 30 Texas 79 52%   
Sat, Feb 14 36 Georgia 85 54 Oklahoma 84 55%   
Sat, Feb 14 79 Mississippi St. 69 65 Mississippi 73 66%   
Sat, Feb 14 57 LSU 67 18 Tennessee 79 85%   
Sat, Feb 14 17 Alabama 91 90 South Carolina 76 92%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th 15th 16th
Florida 1.2 87.8 9.1 2.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 4.4 2.6 16.2 21.4 16.6 14.5 11.9 7.8 4.9 2.6 1.2 0.4 0.0
Alabama 3.3 10.4 33.0 19.4 14.8 10.4 5.8 3.4 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1
Tennessee 4.2 2.7 19.1 21.7 17.0 15.1 10.8 7.2 3.6 2.0 0.6 0.3 0.0
Arkansas 3.1 16.5 32.4 19.1 13.1 8.2 5.0 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1
Kentucky 4.8 4.7 10.8 16.3 16.8 16.7 13.2 10.2 5.9 3.1 1.8 0.6
Auburn 8.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 5.0 7.1 11.5 16.5 19.8 19.4 14.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
Texas 8.0 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.2 7.5 10.3 14.5 16.9 16.3 14.4 12.0 1.0 0.1
Texas A&M 5.9 0.6 5.7 10.2 12.4 15.2 15.0 14.9 11.9 7.9 4.1 2.0 0.1
Georgia 9.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.9 5.1 9.7 14.0 17.1 20.6 22.7 3.3 0.5 0.1
Missouri 7.5 0.1 1.8 4.0 5.5 8.9 11.1 14.6 17.0 16.3 12.8 7.6 0.3 0.0
Oklahoma 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 4.5 20.8 25.3 21.2 17.5 8.7
LSU 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.7 19.1 20.8 21.9 22.8 12.0
Mississippi 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.4 8.4 43.5 23.2 13.5 5.5 2.2
Mississippi St. 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 5.6 28.0 27.4 21.6 10.7 4.4
South Carolina 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 5.7 10.3 18.2 27.7 37.6

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Florida 15 - 3 24 - 7 0.0 0.2 1.6 9.0 24.6 38.8 25.8
Vanderbilt 12 - 6 25 - 6 0.1 0.8 4.4 14.1 26.3 28.9 19.8 5.6
Alabama 12 - 7 22 - 10 0.0 0.2 1.7 6.2 16.5 26.3 27.8 17.1 4.4
Tennessee 12 - 6 22 - 9 0.1 0.5 3.8 12.8 24.1 31.0 21.6 6.2
Arkansas 13 - 6 23 - 9 0.1 1.1 5.3 14.0 24.9 27.9 18.3 7.3 1.0
Kentucky 11 - 7 20 - 11 1.0 6.8 18.5 28.0 25.8 14.6 4.7 0.7
Auburn 9 - 9 18 - 13 0.3 2.2 9.6 21.9 30.3 23.7 10.1 2.0
Texas 9 - 9 17 - 13 1.0 6.3 17.4 28.1 26.9 14.9 4.9 0.6
Texas A&M 11 - 7 21 - 10 0.7 4.8 15.2 25.4 27.8 18.3 6.9 1.0
Georgia 9 - 9 21 - 10 0.5 4.1 13.5 25.9 28.9 18.7 7.2 1.3
Missouri 10 - 8 20 - 11 4.2 15.4 26.4 27.1 18.1 6.9 1.8 0.1
Oklahoma 5 - 13 15 - 16 4.1 15.0 27.2 27.2 17.4 7.1 1.8 0.2
LSU 4 - 14 16 - 15 5.7 20.5 29.4 25.4 13.7 4.5 0.7 0.1
Mississippi 6 - 12 14 - 17 2.9 15.0 31.1 31.1 14.9 4.3 0.6 0.1
Mississippi St. 5 - 13 13 - 18 9.6 25.5 31.5 22.1 8.9 2.2 0.2
South Carolina 3 - 15 12 - 19 17.4 37.8 29.4 11.8 3.1 0.4 0.0 0.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Florida 87.8% 69.2 14.7 2.8 0.9 0.2 0.0
Vanderbilt 2.6% 0.2 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0
Alabama 10.4% 2.6 5.5 1.5 0.6 0.1
Tennessee 2.7% 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Arkansas 16.5% 6.3 7.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
Kentucky 4.7% 1.2 1.8 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0
Auburn 0.0% 0.0
Texas 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.6% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Georgia 0.0% 0.0
Missouri 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Oklahoma
LSU
Mississippi
Mississippi St.
South Carolina


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Florida 100.0% 40.8% 59.3% 2   27.7 40.3 21.7 8.2 1.7 0.4 0.0 100.0%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 11.5% 88.5% 4   2.6 10.7 24.7 26.2 20.3 11.0 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Alabama 99.9% 11.3% 88.7% 4   1.5 6.1 17.9 22.7 23.3 17.2 7.7 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 99.9%
Tennessee 99.8% 10.2% 89.6% 5   1.2 4.7 13.6 20.1 23.8 19.6 11.0 4.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 99.8%
Arkansas 99.8% 10.9% 88.8% 5   0.8 4.0 13.7 20.4 25.3 19.5 10.7 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 99.7%
Kentucky 98.4% 5.1% 93.3% 6   0.1 0.8 4.2 10.4 20.5 22.8 21.4 10.5 4.6 2.2 0.9 1.6 98.3%
Auburn 80.7% 2.6% 78.2% 9   0.0 0.4 1.0 3.6 7.7 13.5 14.0 12.7 12.3 15.3 0.3 19.3 80.2%
Texas 75.2% 2.3% 72.9% 8   0.0 0.2 0.6 2.7 6.5 12.6 15.1 13.2 11.7 12.2 0.3 24.8 74.6%
Texas A&M 83.7% 2.9% 80.8% 9   0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 5.0 12.7 19.1 19.7 16.0 8.6 0.1 16.3 83.2%
Georgia 79.9% 1.8% 78.1% 9   0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 5.6 10.7 17.0 17.0 15.6 11.4 0.0 20.1 79.5%
Missouri 62.9% 0.6% 62.3% 10   0.0 0.1 0.7 3.0 9.1 15.6 17.9 16.2 0.2 37.1 62.7%
Oklahoma 3.3% 0.1% 3.2% 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 2.2 0.1 96.8 3.2%
LSU 2.9% 0.1% 2.8% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.1 0.1 97.2 2.8%
Mississippi 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.2%
Mississippi St. 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 9.9 0.3 5.5 25.3 45.7 22.4 0.8
1st Round 100.0% 9.6 0.0 0.9 10.0 34.1 41.3 13.5 0.2
2nd Round 100.0% 7.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 7.8 23.2 33.1 24.8 8.3 1.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 99.8% 3.4 0.2 3.7 17.9 33.4 29.1 12.3 3.1 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 87.8% 1.6 12.2 38.4 34.1 13.1 2.1 0.2 0.0
Final Four 57.1% 0.7 42.9 44.5 11.6 1.0 0.0
Final Game 30.4% 0.3 69.6 28.7 1.7
Champion 14.8% 0.1 85.2 14.8

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Florida 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 99.0% 77.4% 51.5% 30.3% 17.4% 9.8%
Vanderbilt 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 90.9% 52.5% 22.9% 9.5% 3.8% 1.4%
Alabama 99.9% 0.1% 99.9% 86.3% 46.6% 19.0% 7.7% 3.0% 1.0%
Tennessee 99.8% 0.1% 99.7% 84.2% 43.3% 17.6% 7.3% 2.7% 1.0%
Arkansas 99.8% 0.1% 99.7% 84.6% 43.7% 17.6% 7.5% 2.7% 1.1%
Kentucky 98.4% 0.8% 98.0% 71.0% 28.2% 10.3% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Auburn 80.7% 14.9% 75.1% 42.4% 12.9% 4.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Texas 75.2% 12.1% 70.2% 38.3% 10.4% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Texas A&M 83.7% 8.1% 80.2% 42.6% 10.3% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Georgia 79.9% 10.8% 75.2% 39.3% 9.8% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
Missouri 62.9% 15.0% 54.8% 20.7% 3.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Oklahoma 3.3% 2.3% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 2.9% 2.2% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%