Kentucky
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.6#14
Expected Predictive Rating+18.1#9
Pace75.6#24
Improvement-2.5#281

Offense
Total Offense+12.6#6
First Shot+13.3#1
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#230
Layup/Dunks+4.0#49
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#85
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#45
Freethrows+2.8#39
Improvement-1.8#273

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#56
First Shot+2.7#87
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#27
Layups/Dunks+5.0#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-7.3#362
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#45
Freethrows+1.5#81
Improvement-0.7#225
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 14.7% 20.2% 4.0%
Top 4 Seed 93.7% 97.4% 86.4%
Top 6 Seed 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Average Seed 3.3 3.1 3.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Second Round92.8% 93.6% 91.2%
Sweet Sixteen55.9% 56.4% 55.0%
Elite Eight23.6% 24.6% 21.8%
Final Four9.6% 9.7% 9.5%
Championship Game3.7% 3.7% 3.7%
National Champion1.2% 1.2% 1.2%

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a8 - 78 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 311 - 10
Quad 21 - 112 - 11
Quad 33 - 015 - 11
Quad 47 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 229   Wright St. W 103-62 98%     1 - 0 +34.6 +17.3 +14.9
  Nov 09, 2024 224   Bucknell W 100-72 98%     2 - 0 +21.8 +13.7 +5.1
  Nov 12, 2024 1   Duke W 77-72 20%     3 - 0 +31.7 +11.3 +20.1
  Nov 19, 2024 97   Lipscomb W 97-68 92%     4 - 0 +31.3 +22.5 +8.2
  Nov 22, 2024 269   Jackson St. W 108-59 98%     5 - 0 +40.3 +17.1 +16.2
  Nov 26, 2024 154   Western Kentucky W 87-68 96%     6 - 0 +16.5 +6.0 +8.6
  Nov 29, 2024 252   Georgia St. W 105-76 98%     7 - 0 +21.3 +13.7 +4.4
  Dec 03, 2024 21   @ Clemson L 66-70 44%     7 - 1 +15.2 +4.3 +10.8
  Dec 07, 2024 9   Gonzaga W 90-89 OT 45%     8 - 1 +19.8 +19.1 +0.7
  Dec 11, 2024 256   Colgate W 78-67 98%     9 - 1 +3.1 +3.6 +0.1
  Dec 14, 2024 23   Louisville W 93-85 67%     10 - 1 +21.2 +22.9 -2.1
  Dec 21, 2024 37   Ohio St. L 65-85 66%     10 - 2 -6.7 +0.1 -7.5
  Dec 31, 2024 205   Brown W 88-54 97%     11 - 2 +28.8 +17.5 +12.7
  Jan 04, 2025 3   Florida W 106-100 38%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +26.7 +39.4 -12.8
  Jan 07, 2025 31   @ Georgia L 69-82 53%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +3.7 +0.9 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2025 33   @ Mississippi St. W 95-90 55%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +21.4 +23.3 -2.2
  Jan 14, 2025 22   Texas A&M W 81-69 65%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +25.6 +14.6 +10.7
  Jan 18, 2025 5   Alabama L 97-102 47%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +13.3 +20.0 -6.2
  Jan 25, 2025 48   @ Vanderbilt L 69-74 64%     14 - 5 3 - 3 +8.9 +3.7 +4.9
  Jan 28, 2025 6   @ Tennessee W 78-73 30%     15 - 5 4 - 3 +28.0 +22.4 +5.8
  Feb 01, 2025 38   Arkansas L 79-89 76%     15 - 6 4 - 4 +0.3 +10.5 -9.8
  Feb 04, 2025 29   @ Mississippi L 84-98 52%     15 - 7 4 - 5 +3.0 +17.8 -14.5
  Feb 08, 2025 68   South Carolina W 80-57 87%     16 - 7 5 - 5 +28.2 +11.6 +16.7
  Feb 11, 2025 6   Tennessee W 75-64 51%     17 - 7 6 - 5 +28.5 +20.1 +9.4
  Feb 15, 2025 44   @ Texas L 78-82 63%     17 - 8 6 - 6 +10.3 +9.0 +1.5
  Feb 19, 2025 48   Vanderbilt W 82-61 81%     18 - 8 7 - 6 +29.4 +15.2 +15.2
  Feb 22, 2025 5   @ Alabama L 83-96 28%     18 - 9 7 - 7 +10.8 +8.5 +3.9
  Feb 26, 2025 40   @ Oklahoma W 83-82 59%     19 - 9 8 - 7 +16.4 +11.3 +5.1
  Mar 01, 2025 2   Auburn L 78-94 35%     19 - 10 8 - 8 +5.5 +8.7 -2.4
  Mar 04, 2025 80   LSU W 95-64 89%     20 - 10 9 - 8 +35.3 +17.7 +15.0
  Mar 08, 2025 19   @ Missouri W 91-83 43%     21 - 10 10 - 8 +27.5 +20.9 +6.4
Projected Record 21 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 2.8% 97.2% 3.3 1.1 13.6 49.4 29.5 5.9 0.4 0.0 100.0%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 2.8% 97.2% 3.3 1.1 13.6 49.4 29.5 5.9 0.4 0.0 100.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.8% 100.0% 2.2 10.0 60.4 28.9 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 5.9% 100.0% 2.6 4.5 38.7 50.7 6.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 16.0% 100.0% 2.9 1.9 24.5 59.0 14.2 0.4
Lose Out 34.0% 100.0% 3.7 0.2 3.8 40.3 42.1 12.5 1.1 0.0