Preseason Rankings
Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#322
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.1#230
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#356
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#247
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 5.8% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 17.5 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 18.3% 33.9% 13.4%
.500 or above in Conference 37.4% 51.1% 33.1%
Conference Champion 4.0% 6.7% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 15.7% 8.9% 17.8%
First Four1.2% 1.5% 1.1%
First Round3.2% 5.8% 2.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Valparaiso (Away) - 24.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 410 - 1010 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2025 261   @ Valparaiso L 65-72 24%    
  Nov 07, 2025 233   Nicholls St. L 65-68 41%    
  Nov 11, 2025 63   @ Notre Dame L 54-76 2%    
  Nov 14, 2025 7   @ Kentucky L 56-88 0.2%   
  Nov 25, 2025 358   @ Central Arkansas W 68-66 57%    
  Nov 28, 2025 2   @ Purdue L 50-86 0.1%   
  Dec 06, 2025 327   Lindenwood W 69-66 61%    
  Dec 10, 2025 174   Eastern Kentucky L 67-72 32%    
  Dec 14, 2025 20   @ Iowa St. L 53-82 1%    
  Dec 18, 2025 240   SIU Edwardsville L 63-65 42%    
  Jan 01, 2026 231   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 63-72 23%    
  Jan 03, 2026 323   @ Tennessee Martin L 65-68 40%    
  Jan 08, 2026 328   Tennessee Tech W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 10, 2026 259   Tennessee St. L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 13, 2026 339   Western Illinois W 67-62 65%    
  Jan 15, 2026 177   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 60-71 18%    
  Jan 22, 2026 298   @ Southern Indiana L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 24, 2026 293   @ Morehead St. L 60-65 33%    
  Jan 29, 2026 323   Tennessee Martin W 68-65 60%    
  Jan 31, 2026 231   Southeast Missouri St. L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 05, 2026 259   @ Tennessee St. L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 07, 2026 328   @ Tennessee Tech L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 10, 2026 339   @ Western Illinois L 64-65 46%    
  Feb 14, 2026 177   Arkansas Little Rock L 63-68 34%    
  Feb 19, 2026 293   Morehead St. W 63-62 52%    
  Feb 21, 2026 298   Southern Indiana W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 26, 2026 327   @ Lindenwood L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 28, 2026 240   @ SIU Edwardsville L 60-68 26%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.4 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 7.1 3rd
4th 0.2 1.5 3.4 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.8 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.0 3.3 0.7 0.1 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 3.4 0.7 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 4.4 3.5 0.8 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.4 4.3 3.1 0.8 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.0 4.0 2.3 0.7 0.0 11.4 10th
11th 0.3 1.2 2.1 3.1 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.0 10.7 11th
Total 0.3 1.2 2.3 4.2 6.2 7.9 9.3 10.3 10.9 9.9 9.4 8.1 6.6 5.1 3.4 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 97.5% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 88.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1
16-4 71.8% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
15-5 45.2% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-6 18.7% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 5.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.4 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 44.7% 44.7% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 77.1% 77.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 36.4% 36.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-3 0.6% 39.6% 39.6% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.4% 28.8% 28.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.0
15-5 2.4% 21.5% 21.5% 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.9
14-6 3.4% 15.8% 15.8% 20.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.9
13-7 5.1% 10.6% 10.6% 18.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 4.5
12-8 6.6% 6.7% 6.7% 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 6.2
11-9 8.1% 3.1% 3.1% 17.7 0.0 0.2 7.8
10-10 9.4% 1.9% 1.9% 17.4 0.0 0.2 9.2
9-11 9.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.9 0.1 9.8
8-12 10.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.9
7-13 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.3
6-14 9.3% 9.3
5-15 7.9% 7.9
4-16 6.2% 6.2
3-17 4.2% 4.2
2-18 2.3% 2.3
1-19 1.2% 1.2
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 17.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.1 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%