Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#325
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#289
Pace66.1#272
Improvement-2.5#327

Offense
Total Offense-7.1#346
First Shot-4.0#290
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#335
Layup/Dunks-2.4#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.7#356
Freethrows+2.4#64
Improvement+0.7#123

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#238
First Shot+1.7#120
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#344
Layups/Dunks-2.1#255
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#52
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#140
Freethrows+0.7#138
Improvement-3.2#359
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.2% 5.1% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 12.2% 19.6% 6.2%
.500 or above in Conference 37.1% 51.5% 25.5%
Conference Champion 3.7% 6.5% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 12.9% 6.9% 17.9%
First Four1.9% 2.8% 1.2%
First Round2.2% 3.7% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lindenwood (Home) - 44.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 31 - 41 - 8
Quad 410 - 1110 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 214 @Valparaiso L 63-66 20%     0 - 1 -3.3 -7.9 +4.6
  Fri, Nov 7 265 Nicholls St. W 65-57 49%     1 - 1 -0.8 -10.6 +9.8
  Tue, Nov 11 56 @Notre Dame L 58-78 3%     1 - 2 -7.5 -0.1 -10.3
  Fri, Nov 14 23 @Kentucky L 53-99 1%     1 - 3 -28.0 -9.3 -20.1
  Tue, Nov 25 273 @Central Arkansas L 60-81 28%     1 - 4 -24.1 -6.6 -19.7
  Fri, Nov 28 2 @Purdue L 62-109 0.5%    1 - 5 -21.8 -3.4 -17.1
  Sat, Dec 6 246 Lindenwood L 70-72 45%    
  Wed, Dec 10 258 Eastern Kentucky L 72-73 47%    
  Sun, Dec 14 6 @Iowa St. L 55-88 0.1%   
  Thu, Dec 18 206 SIU Edwardsville L 63-66 38%    
  Thu, Jan 1 233 @Southeast Missouri St. L 67-75 23%    
  Sat, Jan 3 239 @Tennessee Martin L 62-70 24%    
  Thu, Jan 8 306 Tennessee Tech W 72-70 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 249 Tennessee St. L 70-71 45%    
  Tue, Jan 13 361 Western Illinois W 70-62 77%    
  Thu, Jan 15 305 @Arkansas Little Rock L 64-68 35%    
  Thu, Jan 22 317 @Southern Indiana L 70-74 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 327 @Morehead St. L 66-69 40%    
  Thu, Jan 29 239 Tennessee Martin L 65-67 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 233 Southeast Missouri St. L 70-72 43%    
  Thu, Feb 5 249 @Tennessee St. L 67-74 26%    
  Sat, Feb 7 306 @Tennessee Tech L 69-73 35%    
  Tue, Feb 10 361 @Western Illinois W 67-65 58%    
  Sat, Feb 14 305 Arkansas Little Rock W 67-65 56%    
  Thu, Feb 19 327 Morehead St. W 69-66 61%    
  Sat, Feb 21 317 Southern Indiana W 73-71 59%    
  Thu, Feb 26 246 @Lindenwood L 67-75 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 206 @SIU Edwardsville L 60-69 21%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.3 3.0 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 4.2 3.0 0.5 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.4 3.9 0.7 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.3 4.3 1.1 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 4.8 4.8 1.4 0.1 12.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.4 4.8 1.6 0.1 13.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.3 3.4 1.2 0.1 12.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.1 11th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.8 5.2 7.7 9.8 12.2 11.9 11.6 10.9 8.8 7.1 4.7 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 96.3% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-4 84.8% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 63.0% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1
14-6 36.6% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 9.9% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 20.6% 20.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 49.5% 49.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2
16-4 0.7% 29.5% 29.5% 15.7 0.1 0.1 0.5
15-5 1.5% 25.9% 25.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1
14-6 2.8% 18.2% 18.2% 15.8 0.1 0.4 2.3
13-7 4.7% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.0 0.5 4.2
12-8 7.1% 8.0% 8.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 6.6
11-9 8.8% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.3 8.5
10-10 10.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.7
9-11 11.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.5
8-12 11.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.9
7-13 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.2
6-14 9.8% 9.8
5-15 7.7% 7.7
4-16 5.2% 5.2
3-17 2.8% 2.8
2-18 1.3% 1.3
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.8 96.8 0.0%