Valparaiso
Missouri Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#208
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#206
Pace69.2#140
Improvement+1.2#146

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#199
First Shot-3.3#271
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#36
Layup/Dunks-3.1#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#265
Freethrows+2.0#70
Improvement-1.9#275

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#230
First Shot-1.0#217
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#271
Layups/Dunks-4.1#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#36
Freethrows+0.0#183
Improvement+3.1#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 71 - 9
Quad 34 - 65 - 15
Quad 48 - 413 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 71   Liberty L 63-83 16%     0 - 1 -12.2 -1.8 -11.2
  Nov 12, 2024 171   Cleveland St. L 67-75 53%     0 - 2 -11.4 -3.9 -7.6
  Nov 21, 2024 332   Lindenwood W 77-64 85%     1 - 2 -0.5 -1.7 +0.8
  Nov 24, 2024 320   Eastern Illinois W 81-53 82%     2 - 2 +15.7 +17.5 +1.9
  Nov 27, 2024 347   Northern Illinois W 87-82 88%     3 - 2 -10.2 +3.3 -13.8
  Nov 29, 2024 116   @ DePaul L 70-89 21%     3 - 3 -13.1 +1.3 -14.9
  Dec 05, 2024 66   Drake L 60-66 22%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -0.5 -0.8 -0.6
  Dec 14, 2024 219   Central Michigan W 93-77 62%     4 - 4 +10.1 +6.6 +1.7
  Dec 17, 2024 37   @ Ohio St. L 73-95 5%     4 - 5 -5.9 +2.3 -6.8
  Dec 20, 2024 296   @ Western Michigan W 76-73 59%     5 - 5 -2.0 +0.7 -2.7
  Dec 29, 2024 96   @ Bradley L 75-81 2OT 16%     5 - 6 0 - 2 +1.9 -2.0 +4.4
  Jan 01, 2025 230   @ Missouri St. W 73-72 43%     6 - 6 1 - 2 +0.0 +13.2 -13.0
  Jan 04, 2025 103   Northern Iowa W 80-73 35%     7 - 6 2 - 2 +8.3 +10.0 -1.5
  Jan 08, 2025 196   Indiana St. W 98-95 OT 58%     8 - 6 3 - 2 -1.6 +3.9 -6.0
  Jan 11, 2025 145   @ Murray St. L 47-58 27%     8 - 7 3 - 3 -7.3 -17.8 +9.2
  Jan 14, 2025 127   @ Belmont L 64-71 24%     8 - 8 3 - 4 -2.3 -12.8 +11.0
  Jan 18, 2025 173   Illinois-Chicago L 74-81 53%     8 - 9 3 - 5 -10.4 -0.4 -10.0
  Jan 22, 2025 66   @ Drake L 71-81 11%     8 - 10 3 - 6 +1.0 +11.7 -11.8
  Jan 25, 2025 242   Evansville L 68-78 67%     8 - 11 3 - 7 -17.2 -8.4 -8.3
  Jan 28, 2025 195   Southern Illinois L 75-79 58%     8 - 12 3 - 8 -8.6 -0.1 -8.5
  Feb 01, 2025 136   @ Illinois St. L 78-86 26%     8 - 13 3 - 9 -3.8 +13.1 -17.8
  Feb 05, 2025 196   @ Indiana St. L 62-80 37%     8 - 14 3 - 10 -17.1 -10.8 -7.0
  Feb 08, 2025 145   Murray St. L 56-74 47%     8 - 15 3 - 11 -19.8 -12.0 -9.4
  Feb 12, 2025 127   Belmont W 101-86 43%     9 - 15 4 - 11 +14.2 +24.1 -10.1
  Feb 16, 2025 242   @ Evansville L 69-79 46%     9 - 16 4 - 12 -11.7 +1.3 -13.4
  Feb 19, 2025 230   Missouri St. W 66-64 65%     10 - 16 5 - 12 -4.5 -1.6 -2.6
  Feb 22, 2025 195   @ Southern Illinois W 83-79 37%     11 - 16 6 - 12 +4.9 +7.0 -2.3
  Feb 26, 2025 96   Bradley L 65-76 31%     11 - 17 6 - 13 -8.7 -3.8 -5.5
  Mar 02, 2025 173   @ Illinois-Chicago L 73-77 32%     11 - 18 6 - 14 -1.9 -5.0 +3.4
  Mar 06, 2025 173   Illinois-Chicago W 67-50 42%     12 - 18 +16.3 -1.3 +18.9
  Mar 07, 2025 103   Northern Iowa W 64-63 26%     13 - 18 +5.0 +2.4 +2.7
  Mar 08, 2025 96   Bradley L 65-70 23%     13 - 19 +0.1 +0.6 -1.0
Projected Record 13 - 19 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 100.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%