Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#267
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#235
Pace69.8#177
Improvement-1.0#260

Offense
Total Offense-2.6#239
First Shot-0.2#182
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#312
Layup/Dunks+3.0#81
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#262
Freethrows-2.3#308
Improvement+0.9#111

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#279
First Shot+1.1#133
After Offensive Rebounds-4.4#352
Layups/Dunks+3.3#67
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#336
Freethrows+0.4#160
Improvement-1.8#322
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.8% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 9.2% 17.3% 6.1%
.500 or above in Conference 19.0% 24.5% 16.9%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 17.2% 12.9% 18.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Away) - 28.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 48 - 511 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 260 Coastal Carolina W 76-71 60%     1 - 0 -3.6 -3.9 -0.1
  Sun, Nov 9 224 @Campbell L 82-91 31%     1 - 1 -9.8 -1.9 -6.7
  Wed, Nov 12 236 Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-71 56%     2 - 1 +4.5 -2.1 +5.8
  Sun, Nov 16 276 @South Dakota L 78-83 40%     2 - 2 -8.2 +3.9 -12.2
  Thu, Nov 20 25 @Ohio St. L 58-91 3%     2 - 3 -15.5 -8.6 -5.7
  Sun, Nov 23 307 Mount St. Mary's W 83-60 69%     3 - 3 +11.9 +7.5 +5.1
  Sat, Nov 29 214 @Valparaiso L 55-84 29%     3 - 4 -29.3 -11.5 -20.0
  Wed, Dec 3 317 Southern Indiana W 88-74 71%     4 - 4 +2.4 +8.0 -6.0
  Sat, Dec 6 206 @SIU Edwardsville L 66-72 28%    
  Sun, Dec 14 27 @Iowa L 59-82 2%    
  Sat, Dec 20 215 Buffalo W 75-74 51%    
  Tue, Dec 30 173 @Toledo L 74-82 23%    
  Tue, Jan 6 127 @Miami (OH) L 71-83 15%    
  Sat, Jan 10 203 Eastern Michigan L 71-72 49%    
  Tue, Jan 13 175 Massachusetts L 76-78 43%    
  Sat, Jan 17 54 @Akron L 73-92 5%    
  Tue, Jan 20 119 Bowling Green L 70-76 29%    
  Sat, Jan 24 309 Central Michigan W 76-71 68%    
  Tue, Jan 27 330 @Northern Illinois W 77-76 52%    
  Tue, Feb 3 194 @Ohio L 74-81 28%    
  Wed, Feb 11 173 Toledo L 77-79 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 203 @Eastern Michigan L 68-74 29%    
  Tue, Feb 17 54 Akron L 76-89 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 309 @Central Michigan L 73-74 47%    
  Tue, Feb 24 119 @Bowling Green L 67-79 14%    
  Sat, Feb 28 127 Miami (OH) L 74-80 32%    
  Tue, Mar 3 316 Ball St. W 74-68 69%    
  Fri, Mar 6 122 @Kent St. L 75-87 14%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.2 1.4 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 3.6 1.4 0.1 7.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.2 2.6 0.3 8.3 7th
8th 0.1 0.8 4.9 4.0 0.6 10.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.6 5.4 1.4 0.0 12.0 9th
10th 0.5 4.2 6.9 2.1 0.1 13.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.9 6.7 2.9 0.2 14.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 3.7 5.8 2.7 0.3 13.6 12th
13th 0.3 1.4 3.0 3.4 1.4 0.2 9.7 13th
Total 0.3 1.5 4.0 7.8 11.6 14.5 15.6 14.0 11.6 8.5 5.3 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 68.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 25.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 7.6% 7.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 2.5% 2.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.5
12-6 1.4% 5.7% 5.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
11-7 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.9
10-8 5.3% 2.1% 2.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.2
9-9 8.5% 1.4% 1.4% 15.5 0.1 0.1 8.4
8-10 11.6% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 11.6
7-11 14.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
6-12 15.6% 15.6
5-13 14.5% 14.5
4-14 11.6% 11.6
3-15 7.8% 7.8
2-16 4.0% 4.0
1-17 1.5% 1.5
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%