Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#296
Expected Predictive Rating-7.2#284
Pace69.1#143
Improvement+1.9#115

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#263
First Shot-5.8#326
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#62
Layup/Dunks+1.3#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#92
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#348
Freethrows-2.1#301
Improvement+1.2#128

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#297
First Shot-4.7#318
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#122
Layups/Dunks-3.6#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#300
Freethrows+0.9#117
Improvement+0.7#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 5.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% 5.4% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 2.7% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 32 - 53 - 11
Quad 48 - 911 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 317   @ Coastal Carolina L 56-60 45%     0 - 1 -10.6 -15.0 +4.0
  Nov 11, 2024 72   @ Butler L 65-85 5%     0 - 2 -9.5 -5.9 -3.5
  Nov 15, 2024 233   SIU Edwardsville L 60-79 46%     0 - 3 -25.7 -11.9 -14.6
  Nov 17, 2024 356   Canisius W 92-69 82%     1 - 3 +5.6 +10.0 -4.0
  Nov 20, 2024 239   South Dakota L 76-80 47%     1 - 4 -10.9 -6.2 -4.6
  Nov 27, 2024 200   @ Youngstown St. W 73-62 21%     2 - 4 +11.8 +5.7 +6.5
  Dec 03, 2024 74   @ Dayton L 69-77 6%     2 - 5 +2.2 +11.5 -10.7
  Dec 13, 2024 132   @ St. Thomas L 71-77 13%     2 - 6 -1.5 +2.4 -4.3
  Dec 15, 2024 143   @ North Dakota St. L 62-98 14%     2 - 7 -32.3 -11.1 -22.6
  Dec 20, 2024 208   Valparaiso L 73-76 41%     2 - 8 -8.4 -3.0 -5.4
  Dec 30, 2024 8   @ Michigan St. L 62-80 1%     2 - 9 +4.2 -0.2 +5.1
  Jan 04, 2025 248   Toledo L 70-76 49%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -13.5 -15.5 +2.3
  Jan 07, 2025 283   Bowling Green L 79-83 58%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -13.9 +4.4 -18.3
  Jan 11, 2025 160   @ Miami (OH) L 71-91 16%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -17.2 -3.4 -13.0
  Jan 14, 2025 133   @ Kent St. W 94-83 13%     3 - 12 1 - 3 +15.5 +19.3 -4.4
  Jan 18, 2025 346   Buffalo L 76-85 76%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -24.1 -13.1 -9.8
  Jan 21, 2025 347   Northern Illinois W 72-70 76%     4 - 13 2 - 4 -13.2 -3.9 -9.2
  Jan 25, 2025 219   @ Central Michigan L 52-73 24%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -21.4 -17.4 -5.5
  Jan 28, 2025 271   @ Ball St. W 74-71 34%     5 - 14 3 - 5 -0.4 +5.0 -5.1
  Feb 01, 2025 274   Eastern Michigan W 61-54 55%     6 - 14 4 - 5 -2.1 -11.9 +10.5
  Feb 04, 2025 186   @ Ohio L 69-94 19%     6 - 15 4 - 6 -23.6 -5.6 -17.5
  Feb 08, 2025 251   Georgia Southern L 57-83 49%     6 - 16 -33.6 -20.3 -12.9
  Feb 11, 2025 112   @ Akron L 92-105 10%     6 - 17 4 - 7 -6.7 +13.4 -19.0
  Feb 15, 2025 160   Miami (OH) W 78-70 31%     7 - 17 5 - 7 +5.3 -0.5 +5.4
  Feb 18, 2025 346   @ Buffalo W 97-64 57%     8 - 17 6 - 7 +23.4 +19.6 +3.4
  Feb 22, 2025 219   Central Michigan L 57-86 43%     8 - 18 6 - 8 -34.9 -17.2 -18.5
  Feb 25, 2025 186   Ohio W 82-73 36%     9 - 18 7 - 8 +4.9 +1.6 +2.7
  Mar 01, 2025 347   @ Northern Illinois W 74-70 58%     10 - 18 8 - 8 -5.7 +1.8 -7.4
  Mar 04, 2025 133   Kent St. L 76-77 26%     10 - 19 8 - 9 -2.0 +5.2 -7.3
  Mar 07, 2025 283   @ Bowling Green W 64-63 37%     11 - 19 9 - 9 -3.4 -1.3 -2.0
  Mar 13, 2025 133   Kent St. L 66-75 19%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.9 99.1
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.9 99.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.9% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.6%
Lose Out 82.4%