Western Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#280
Expected Predictive Rating-4.2#233
Pace69.7#177
Improvement-2.7#332

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#219
First Shot+0.1#171
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#305
Layup/Dunks+0.9#143
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
Freethrows-1.6#283
Improvement+0.7#118

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#319
First Shot-0.3#175
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#360
Layups/Dunks+1.9#113
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#353
Freethrows+1.2#99
Improvement-3.5#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 6.2% 14.5% 4.0%
.500 or above in Conference 10.1% 22.2% 7.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 21.4% 9.5% 24.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Away) - 20.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 48 - 511 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 230 Coastal Carolina W 76-71 53%     1 - 0 -2.2 -2.9 +0.3
  Sun, Nov 9 225 @Campbell L 82-91 30%     1 - 1 -10.0 -2.3 -6.5
  Wed, Nov 12 199 Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-71 46%     2 - 1 +6.6 -0.4 +6.0
  Sun, Nov 16 291 @South Dakota L 78-83 40%     2 - 2 -8.8 +2.4 -11.3
  Thu, Nov 20 31 @Ohio St. L 58-91 3%     2 - 3 -15.9 -10.0 -4.7
  Sun, Nov 23 300 Mount St. Mary's W 83-60 66%     3 - 3 +12.4 +8.7 +4.5
  Sat, Nov 29 219 @Valparaiso L 55-84 29%     3 - 4 -29.7 -12.6 -19.4
  Wed, Dec 3 339 Southern Indiana W 88-74 78%     4 - 4 -0.4 +7.6 -8.4
  Sat, Dec 6 249 @SIU Edwardsville W 83-73 34%     5 - 4 +8.0 +14.5 -6.2
  Sun, Dec 14 18 @Iowa L 51-91 2%     5 - 5 -20.5 -7.9 -16.2
  Sat, Dec 20 196 Buffalo L 71-88 46%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -22.3 -2.5 -21.0
  Tue, Dec 30 170 @Toledo L 75-84 21%    
  Tue, Jan 6 106 @Miami (OH) L 73-87 10%    
  Sat, Jan 10 216 Eastern Michigan W 73-72 51%    
  Tue, Jan 13 164 Massachusetts L 76-79 39%    
  Sat, Jan 17 59 @Akron L 76-94 4%    
  Tue, Jan 20 117 Bowling Green L 70-77 27%    
  Sat, Jan 24 323 Central Michigan W 78-72 72%    
  Tue, Jan 27 328 @Northern Illinois W 78-77 52%    
  Tue, Feb 3 189 @Ohio L 74-81 25%    
  Wed, Feb 11 170 Toledo L 78-81 41%    
  Sat, Feb 14 216 @Eastern Michigan L 70-76 30%    
  Tue, Feb 17 59 Akron L 79-91 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 323 @Central Michigan W 75-74 52%    
  Tue, Feb 24 117 @Bowling Green L 67-80 13%    
  Sat, Feb 28 106 Miami (OH) L 76-84 25%    
  Tue, Mar 3 306 Ball St. W 74-69 67%    
  Fri, Mar 6 124 @Kent St. L 75-87 15%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 2.1 0.9 0.1 4.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 3.4 1.9 0.2 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.5 3.7 0.5 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 5.6 5.4 1.2 0.0 13.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 6.0 7.2 2.0 0.1 0.0 16.4 10th
11th 0.0 1.2 5.9 7.6 2.5 0.2 0.0 17.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 5.4 6.3 2.3 0.2 0.0 15.6 12th
13th 0.3 1.8 4.3 4.1 1.5 0.2 12.2 13th
Total 0.3 1.9 5.6 10.7 15.0 17.0 16.5 13.3 9.6 5.4 2.9 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 46.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 1.9% 1.9% 13.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.5% 3.9% 3.9% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.2% 2.6% 2.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 2.9% 1.9% 1.9% 14.8 0.0 0.0 2.8
9-9 5.4% 1.4% 1.4% 15.0 0.1 0.0 5.3
8-10 9.6% 0.7% 0.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.5
7-11 13.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.2
6-12 16.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.5
5-13 17.0% 17.0
4-14 15.0% 15.0
3-15 10.7% 10.7
2-16 5.6% 5.6
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%