Ohio St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.6#25
Expected Predictive Rating+12.6#43
Pace67.7#198
Improvement+0.0#190

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#31
First Shot+6.8#31
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#141
Layup/Dunks+1.7#119
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#96
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement-0.8#225

Defense
Total Defense+7.3#28
First Shot+10.8#4
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#356
Layups/Dunks+7.1#16
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#45
Freethrows-0.6#234
Improvement+0.7#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.9% 1.6% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 8.5% 12.8% 3.4%
Top 6 Seed 31.2% 42.3% 17.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 86.7% 93.5% 78.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 86.1% 93.1% 77.8%
Average Seed 7.3 6.8 8.0
.500 or above 97.3% 99.6% 94.7%
.500 or above in Conference 75.1% 86.2% 61.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four7.2% 4.5% 10.4%
First Round83.8% 91.6% 74.5%
Second Round53.4% 61.2% 44.1%
Sweet Sixteen20.8% 25.3% 15.3%
Elite Eight8.4% 10.2% 6.1%
Final Four3.3% 4.1% 2.4%
Championship Game1.2% 1.5% 1.0%
National Champion0.3% 0.4% 0.2%

Next Game: Maryland (Home) - 54.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 74 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 27 - 10
Quad 24 - 312 - 13
Quad 32 - 014 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 30   Texas W 80-72 52%     1 - 0 +22.1 +13.3 +8.7
  Nov 11, 2024 219   Youngstown St. W 81-47 96%     2 - 0 +28.3 +7.9 +20.5
  Nov 15, 2024 19   @ Texas A&M L 64-78 36%     2 - 1 +4.4 +3.7 +0.2
  Nov 19, 2024 230   Evansville W 80-30 96%     3 - 1 +43.6 +9.8 +35.6
  Nov 22, 2024 178   Campbell W 104-60 94%     4 - 1 +40.7 +27.4 +11.5
  Nov 25, 2024 347   Green Bay W 102-69 99%     5 - 1 +18.5 +16.7 +0.6
  Nov 29, 2024 47   Pittsburgh L 90-91 OT 73%     5 - 2 +7.4 +12.5 -5.0
  Dec 04, 2024 16   @ Maryland L 59-83 33%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -4.8 -7.8 +4.4
  Dec 07, 2024 63   Rutgers W 80-66 78%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +20.4 +15.1 +6.2
  Dec 14, 2024 1   Auburn L 53-91 21%     6 - 4 -14.8 -7.7 -9.8
  Dec 17, 2024 226   Valparaiso W 95-73 96%     7 - 4 +16.0 +11.6 +3.0
  Dec 21, 2024 22   Kentucky W 85-65 46%     8 - 4 +35.7 +18.6 +17.9
  Dec 29, 2024 210   Indiana St. W 103-83 96%     9 - 4 +14.9 +14.7 -2.0
  Jan 03, 2025 15   Michigan St. L 62-69 51%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +7.4 -2.1 +9.4
  Jan 06, 2025 92   @ Minnesota W 89-88 2OT 72%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +9.5 +9.8 -0.4
  Jan 09, 2025 45   Oregon L 71-73 70%     10 - 6 2 - 3 +7.1 +1.1 +6.1
  Jan 14, 2025 17   @ Wisconsin L 68-70 33%     10 - 7 2 - 4 +17.0 +4.4 +12.6
  Jan 17, 2025 53   Indiana L 76-77 OT 75%     10 - 8 2 - 5 +6.6 +5.4 +1.2
  Jan 21, 2025 9   @ Purdue W 73-70 29%     11 - 8 3 - 5 +23.4 +14.5 +9.1
  Jan 27, 2025 60   Iowa W 82-65 77%     12 - 8 4 - 5 +23.9 +8.7 +15.2
  Jan 30, 2025 50   @ Penn St. W 83-64 58%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +31.7 +18.9 +13.5
  Feb 02, 2025 13   @ Illinois L 79-87 31%     13 - 9 5 - 6 +11.7 +13.2 -1.2
  Feb 06, 2025 16   Maryland W 74-73 55%    
  Feb 09, 2025 48   @ Nebraska W 73-71 54%    
  Feb 12, 2025 89   Washington W 78-67 86%    
  Feb 16, 2025 18   Michigan W 75-74 56%    
  Feb 20, 2025 56   Northwestern W 72-65 77%    
  Feb 23, 2025 29   @ UCLA L 68-70 41%    
  Feb 26, 2025 54   @ USC W 75-73 56%    
  Mar 04, 2025 48   Nebraska W 75-68 75%    
  Mar 08, 2025 53   @ Indiana W 75-73 56%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.3 0.8 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 0.9 2.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.8 3.6 0.3 5.7 4th
5th 1.0 5.5 2.2 8.6 5th
6th 0.2 4.8 6.5 0.4 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 3.1 10.5 3.3 0.0 16.9 7th
8th 1.1 9.7 7.0 0.4 18.2 8th
9th 0.1 4.4 7.9 0.9 0.0 13.4 9th
10th 0.7 6.0 1.8 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.0 2.1 3.0 0.1 5.2 11th
12th 0.4 2.4 0.6 0.0 3.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.1 2.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.9 0.3 1.2 14th
15th 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 16th
17th 0.1 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.3 6.9 15.2 22.8 24.4 17.6 8.2 2.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 4.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 2.1% 100.0% 11.7% 88.3% 3.3 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 100.0%
13-7 8.2% 100.0% 10.3% 89.7% 4.7 0.1 0.3 1.2 1.9 2.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 100.0%
12-8 17.6% 99.7% 6.5% 93.2% 6.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.7 5.3 4.2 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.6%
11-9 24.4% 98.5% 5.3% 93.2% 7.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.7 7.3 6.2 2.5 0.3 0.0 0.4 98.4%
10-10 22.8% 94.3% 2.8% 91.6% 8.4 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.5 5.2 6.1 4.3 1.0 1.3 94.2%
9-11 15.2% 74.1% 2.1% 72.0% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 3.8 4.4 0.1 4.0 73.5%
8-12 6.9% 29.4% 0.6% 28.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.2 4.9 28.9%
7-13 2.3% 1.7% 1.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 2.3 1.7%
6-14 0.5% 0.5
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 86.7% 4.5% 82.2% 7.3 0.2 0.8 2.6 5.0 9.0 13.7 14.8 14.2 10.6 8.8 6.6 0.4 13.3 86.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 1.8 29.2 62.5 8.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3% 100.0% 2.5 12.1 33.3 45.5 9.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6% 100.0% 3.5 1.6 7.8 37.5 46.9 3.1 3.1