Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#92
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#139
Pace62.8#336
Improvement-0.4#219

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#94
First Shot+1.2#145
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#73
Layup/Dunks+2.9#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#147
Freethrows-1.8#277
Improvement+1.6#58

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#105
First Shot+2.6#94
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#213
Layups/Dunks-1.0#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#106
Freethrows+0.5#151
Improvement-2.0#329
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.7% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.6% 4.5% 1.2%
Average Seed 9.6 9.6 9.6
.500 or above 23.3% 27.7% 11.0%
.500 or above in Conference 15.9% 17.7% 10.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 14.9% 21.3%
First Four1.3% 1.6% 0.5%
First Round3.1% 3.8% 1.0%
Second Round1.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hofstra (Home) - 74.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 52 - 10
Quad 24 - 66 - 16
Quad 33 - 29 - 18
Quad 45 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 178 Youngstown St. W 74-59 82%     1 - 0 +10.6 +5.3 +6.4
  Fri, Nov 7 289 Longwood W 78-60 92%     2 - 0 +8.1 -0.1 +8.1
  Mon, Nov 10 203 Eastern Michigan W 78-66 85%     3 - 0 +6.4 +4.1 +2.4
  Thu, Nov 13 65 @West Virginia L 49-71 27%     3 - 1 -10.4 -10.3 -2.6
  Mon, Nov 17 304 Bucknell W 84-50 93%     4 - 1 +23.1 +12.7 +13.1
  Thu, Nov 20 63 Central Florida L 67-77 37%     4 - 2 -1.2 +3.8 -6.1
  Sun, Nov 23 154 Quinnipiac L 75-83 78%     4 - 3 -10.9 +3.2 -14.3
  Fri, Nov 28 25 Ohio St. W 67-66 28%     5 - 3 +12.5 +4.1 +8.4
  Tue, Dec 2 38 Texas A&M L 73-81 36%     5 - 4 +1.1 +9.1 -8.6
  Sun, Dec 7 136 Hofstra W 71-64 74%    
  Sat, Dec 13 39 @Villanova L 62-72 19%    
  Wed, Dec 17 349 Binghamton W 78-58 97%    
  Sun, Dec 21 96 Penn St. W 73-72 51%    
  Tue, Dec 30 34 @Miami (FL) L 66-77 16%    
  Sat, Jan 3 33 Clemson L 66-71 33%    
  Sat, Jan 10 61 Syracuse L 69-70 47%    
  Wed, Jan 14 134 @Georgia Tech W 70-69 52%    
  Sat, Jan 17 14 Louisville L 70-79 19%    
  Wed, Jan 21 132 @Boston College W 66-65 52%    
  Sat, Jan 24 35 North Carolina St. L 74-79 33%    
  Tue, Jan 27 53 Wake Forest L 71-73 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 33 @Clemson L 63-74 17%    
  Tue, Feb 3 26 @Virginia L 64-76 14%    
  Sat, Feb 7 40 SMU L 72-76 37%    
  Tue, Feb 10 3 Duke L 63-77 11%    
  Sat, Feb 14 21 @North Carolina L 66-79 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 56 Notre Dame L 67-68 46%    
  Wed, Feb 25 84 @Stanford L 70-74 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 69 @California L 69-75 31%    
  Wed, Mar 4 100 Florida St. W 76-73 61%    
  Sat, Mar 7 61 @Syracuse L 66-73 28%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.3 0.0 2.8 7th
8th 0.3 2.1 1.1 0.0 3.6 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 2.3 0.3 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.2 1.3 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.3 3.1 3.5 0.4 7.3 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 4.6 1.3 0.0 7.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 4.6 3.4 0.2 0.0 9.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.4 1.0 0.0 10.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.9 2.4 0.1 11.5 15th
16th 0.2 2.4 5.3 3.5 0.5 11.8 16th
17th 0.2 2.2 4.6 3.4 0.8 0.0 11.1 17th
18th 0.4 2.1 3.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 9.0 18th
Total 0.4 2.2 6.0 9.5 12.4 15.1 14.9 13.2 10.3 7.1 4.5 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 62.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 17.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 5.9% 94.1% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.5% 83.8% 5.9% 77.9% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 82.8%
12-6 1.2% 61.8% 1.6% 60.2% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 61.2%
11-7 2.4% 40.2% 1.6% 38.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.4 39.3%
10-8 4.5% 18.1% 0.6% 17.5% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 3.7 17.6%
9-9 7.1% 6.2% 0.3% 5.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 6.7 5.9%
8-10 10.3% 1.2% 0.1% 1.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.2 1.1%
7-11 13.2% 0.2% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 13.2 0.2%
6-12 14.9% 14.9
5-13 15.1% 15.1
4-14 12.4% 12.4
3-15 9.5% 9.5
2-16 6.0% 6.0
1-17 2.2% 2.2
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.8% 0.2% 3.6% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.1 96.2 3.6%