Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#203
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#191
Pace78.2#11
Improvement+2.8#77

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#280
First Shot-4.0#290
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#187
Layup/Dunks-0.9#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#89
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#307
Freethrows-0.4#200
Improvement+1.0#137

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#119
First Shot+1.6#119
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#181
Layups/Dunks+0.8#142
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#182
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#191
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement+1.8#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.1% 31.7% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.3% 3.6% 0.0%
First Round19.0% 30.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 418 - 619 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 76   @ Yale L 62-88 12%     0 - 1 -15.8 -9.3 -5.7
  Nov 09, 2024 13   @ St. John's L 73-96 3%     0 - 2 -2.5 +5.8 -5.6
  Nov 15, 2024 221   Maine W 58-55 64%     1 - 2 -3.1 -13.5 +10.5
  Nov 19, 2024 263   @ Navy W 74-63 52%     2 - 2 +8.1 +2.9 +5.6
  Nov 23, 2024 237   @ Umass Lowell L 70-80 46%     2 - 3 -11.3 -8.5 -2.5
  Nov 25, 2024 101   @ Saint Louis L 67-81 19%     2 - 4 -6.9 -10.7 +5.5
  Dec 01, 2024 330   @ Stonehill L 74-88 70%     2 - 5 -21.9 +0.3 -23.0
  Dec 06, 2024 302   @ Rider W 72-67 61%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -0.4 +2.7 -2.6
  Dec 08, 2024 266   Sacred Heart W 83-73 72%     4 - 5 2 - 0 +1.5 +1.0 +0.2
  Dec 17, 2024 319   Holy Cross L 69-70 82%     4 - 6 -13.3 -9.7 -3.6
  Dec 21, 2024 198   @ Central Connecticut St. L 80-84 38%     4 - 7 -3.2 +7.9 -10.9
  Dec 29, 2024 216   Hofstra W 75-69 OT 63%     5 - 7 +0.3 -4.4 +4.0
  Jan 03, 2025 287   @ St. Peter's W 59-46 58%     6 - 7 3 - 0 +8.5 -5.7 +15.6
  Jan 05, 2025 267   @ Marist L 62-69 53%     6 - 8 3 - 1 -10.1 -11.5 +1.7
  Jan 10, 2025 251   Siena W 72-53 69%     7 - 8 4 - 1 +11.4 -5.1 +16.2
  Jan 12, 2025 255   @ Iona W 63-62 50%     8 - 8 5 - 1 -1.3 -8.7 +7.4
  Jan 16, 2025 192   Merrimack W 81-76 58%     9 - 8 6 - 1 +0.6 +7.8 -7.3
  Jan 18, 2025 259   @ Mount St. Mary's W 91-57 51%     10 - 8 7 - 1 +31.4 +20.9 +11.4
  Jan 25, 2025 302   Rider W 75-64 79%     11 - 8 8 - 1 +0.1 -1.2 +1.7
  Jan 31, 2025 325   Fairfield W 81-69 83%     12 - 8 9 - 1 -0.5 -1.1 +0.1
  Feb 02, 2025 251   @ Siena L 75-84 49%     12 - 9 9 - 2 -11.1 -7.1 -2.9
  Feb 06, 2025 356   Canisius W 89-71 91%     13 - 9 10 - 2 +0.6 +1.4 -1.5
  Feb 08, 2025 310   Niagara L 75-76 81%     13 - 10 10 - 3 -12.8 -1.2 -11.6
  Feb 14, 2025 266   @ Sacred Heart W 99-90 52%     14 - 10 11 - 3 +6.0 +5.5 -1.0
  Feb 16, 2025 255   Iona W 79-74 70%     15 - 10 12 - 3 -2.8 -2.1 -1.2
  Feb 23, 2025 236   @ Manhattan W 74-71 46%     16 - 10 13 - 3 +1.7 -3.4 +5.1
  Feb 28, 2025 287   St. Peter's W 69-64 77%     17 - 10 14 - 3 -5.0 -8.7 +3.4
  Mar 02, 2025 192   @ Merrimack L 63-73 37%     17 - 11 14 - 4 -8.9 -5.1 -3.9
  Mar 06, 2025 259   Mount St. Mary's W 79-70 71%     18 - 11 15 - 4 +0.9 -0.9 +1.3
  Mar 08, 2025 325   @ Fairfield L 74-83 67%     18 - 12 15 - 5 -16.0 -9.4 -5.7
Projected Record 18 - 12 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 20.1% 20.1% 15.6 0.6 7.6 11.9 79.9
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 20.1% 20.1% 0.0% 15.6 0.6 7.6 11.9 79.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 20.1% 100.0% 15.6 3.0 37.7 59.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 16.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 26.7%
Lose Out 36.5%