Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#245
Expected Predictive Rating-4.8#243
Pace75.4#39
Improvement+0.8#128

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#285
First Shot-2.8#260
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#247
Layup/Dunks-0.5#197
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#79
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#296
Freethrows-0.5#212
Improvement+1.5#67

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#197
First Shot-0.8#197
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#204
Layups/Dunks+0.8#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#236
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#265
Freethrows+0.7#144
Improvement-0.7#240
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 11.9% 7.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 44.3% 60.4% 36.3%
.500 or above in Conference 77.4% 82.9% 74.6%
Conference Champion 13.9% 17.9% 11.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.7% 1.4%
First Four3.4% 3.1% 3.5%
First Round7.6% 10.4% 6.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Connecticut St. (Away) - 33.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 413 - 815 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 100   @ Yale L 62-88 12%     0 - 1 -17.7 -9.9 -7.1
  Nov 09, 2024 13   @ St. John's L 73-96 2%     0 - 2 -4.1 +1.1 -2.5
  Nov 15, 2024 212   Maine W 58-55 53%     1 - 2 -2.5 -12.7 +10.4
  Nov 19, 2024 302   @ Navy W 74-63 50%     2 - 2 +6.3 +0.7 +6.1
  Nov 23, 2024 147   @ Umass Lowell L 70-80 22%     2 - 3 -6.6 -5.2 -1.0
  Nov 25, 2024 143   @ Saint Louis L 67-81 21%     2 - 4 -10.2 -15.9 +7.4
  Dec 01, 2024 322   @ Stonehill L 74-88 55%     2 - 5 -20.1 +2.6 -23.5
  Dec 06, 2024 300   @ Rider W 72-67 49%     3 - 5 1 - 0 +0.6 +3.5 -2.5
  Dec 08, 2024 284   Sacred Heart W 83-73 69%     4 - 5 2 - 0 +0.2 +2.5 -2.5
  Dec 17, 2024 310   Holy Cross L 69-70 73%     4 - 6 -12.3 -10.6 -1.6
  Dec 21, 2024 221   @ Central Connecticut St. L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 29, 2024 151   Hofstra L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 03, 2025 210   @ St. Peter's L 65-70 30%    
  Jan 05, 2025 233   @ Marist L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 10, 2025 305   Siena W 72-66 71%    
  Jan 12, 2025 258   @ Iona L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 16, 2025 198   Merrimack L 69-70 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 253   @ Mount St. Mary's L 73-76 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 300   Rider W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 31, 2025 280   Fairfield W 78-73 67%    
  Feb 02, 2025 305   @ Siena W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 06, 2025 350   Canisius W 80-69 83%    
  Feb 08, 2025 320   Niagara W 74-67 74%    
  Feb 14, 2025 284   @ Sacred Heart L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 16, 2025 258   Iona W 75-71 62%    
  Feb 23, 2025 293   @ Manhattan L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 28, 2025 210   St. Peter's W 68-67 52%    
  Mar 02, 2025 198   @ Merrimack L 66-72 29%    
  Mar 06, 2025 253   Mount St. Mary's W 76-73 62%    
  Mar 08, 2025 280   @ Fairfield L 75-76 46%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.7 3.6 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 13.9 1st
2nd 0.0 1.0 4.0 5.1 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 14.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 4.1 5.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 12.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 3.1 5.6 2.3 0.3 0.0 11.6 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 5.5 2.8 0.3 10.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.5 3.7 0.4 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.5 4.0 0.8 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.9 1.4 0.1 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 2.4 2.0 0.1 5.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 3.8 6.2 9.5 12.1 13.9 14.0 12.6 10.1 7.1 4.4 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
18-2 99.5% 0.9    0.8 0.0
17-3 94.7% 2.0    1.8 0.2 0.0
16-4 81.0% 3.6    2.6 0.9 0.1
15-5 53.0% 3.7    1.9 1.5 0.3 0.0
14-6 25.5% 2.6    0.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.2% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.9% 13.9 8.2 4.0 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.2% 31.9% 31.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 0.9% 32.2% 32.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
17-3 2.1% 28.1% 28.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.5
16-4 4.4% 21.7% 21.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 3.5
15-5 7.1% 18.8% 18.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 5.7
14-6 10.1% 16.7% 16.7% 15.7 0.0 0.6 1.1 8.4
13-7 12.6% 12.9% 12.9% 15.8 0.0 0.3 1.3 11.0
12-8 14.0% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.1 1.2 12.7
11-9 13.9% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7 13.2
10-10 12.1% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.4 11.7
9-11 9.5% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 9.3
8-12 6.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.1
7-13 3.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
6-14 2.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-15 0.8% 0.8
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.6 5.9 90.7 0.0%