Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.0#288
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#289
Pace73.0#66
Improvement+0.8#153

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#231
First Shot-3.9#290
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#79
Layup/Dunks-2.0#257
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#90
Freethrows-2.0#296
Improvement+0.8#143

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#315
First Shot-5.4#334
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#132
Layups/Dunks-0.9#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#339
Freethrows-1.6#289
Improvement+0.0#184
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 4.2% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 9.6% 13.1% 3.2%
.500 or above in Conference 50.8% 61.3% 31.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.7%
First Four2.5% 3.0% 1.6%
First Round2.3% 2.8% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 65.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 412 - 1113 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 125   @ Temple L 70-81 14%     0 - 1 -6.4 -6.4 +0.6
  Nov 06, 2024 24   @ Connecticut L 56-92 2%     0 - 2 -18.6 -14.3 -2.9
  Nov 09, 2024 257   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 35%     0 - 3 -8.0 -3.6 -4.0
  Nov 15, 2024 319   Holy Cross L 75-82 59%     0 - 4 -16.3 +5.1 -22.3
  Nov 16, 2024 357   New Hampshire W 80-63 74%     1 - 4 +3.2 +8.6 -4.1
  Nov 17, 2024 214   @ Brown L 70-89 26%     1 - 5 -19.4 +0.1 -20.5
  Nov 21, 2024 209   Central Connecticut St. W 67-54 42%     2 - 5 +8.0 -2.4 +10.9
  Dec 01, 2024 294   @ Boston University W 73-65 42%     3 - 5 +3.2 +1.0 +2.4
  Dec 06, 2024 256   Iona W 83-59 54%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +16.0 +5.6 +9.4
  Dec 08, 2024 187   @ Quinnipiac L 73-83 22%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -8.8 +0.9 -9.4
  Dec 18, 2024 280   Albany L 66-74 58%     4 - 7 -17.1 -12.1 -5.0
  Dec 22, 2024 173   @ Miami (OH) L 76-94 20%     4 - 8 -15.9 -2.5 -12.0
  Jan 05, 2025 352   Canisius W 99-82 79%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +1.5 +14.8 -13.5
  Jan 10, 2025 198   Merrimack L 65-66 39%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -5.2 -4.6 -0.6
  Jan 12, 2025 260   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-73 36%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -5.1 +0.2 -5.3
  Jan 16, 2025 246   @ Siena L 75-93 34%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -20.6 +2.1 -22.8
  Jan 18, 2025 272   St. Peter's L 61-66 57%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -13.7 -11.4 -2.3
  Jan 23, 2025 352   @ Canisius W 93-84 64%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -1.5 +10.6 -12.3
  Jan 25, 2025 316   @ Niagara W 86-77 49%     7 - 12 4 - 5 +2.4 +15.7 -12.7
  Feb 02, 2025 271   Manhattan W 74-72 57%     8 - 12 5 - 5 -6.7 -11.1 +4.2
  Feb 06, 2025 303   Rider W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 08, 2025 326   @ Fairfield W 77-76 50%    
  Feb 14, 2025 187   Quinnipiac L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 16, 2025 246   Siena W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 21, 2025 198   @ Merrimack L 65-73 22%    
  Feb 23, 2025 272   @ St. Peter's L 65-68 36%    
  Feb 28, 2025 211   Marist L 68-70 45%    
  Mar 02, 2025 326   Fairfield W 79-73 72%    
  Mar 06, 2025 271   @ Manhattan L 78-81 37%    
  Mar 08, 2025 256   @ Iona L 72-76 33%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.9 4.8 5.7 1.4 0.1 12.8 4th
5th 0.3 5.1 7.7 2.2 0.2 0.0 15.5 5th
6th 0.0 3.3 9.8 3.0 0.1 16.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 9.0 5.5 0.4 16.1 7th
8th 0.3 5.9 7.2 0.9 14.2 8th
9th 2.4 6.9 1.5 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.6 3.8 1.9 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.5 1.8 0.2 3.6 11th
12th 0.3 0.7 0.2 1.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 0.4 2.7 8.5 16.2 21.3 22.1 16.0 8.8 2.9 0.8 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 22.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.8% 14.8% 14.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7
13-7 2.9% 11.6% 11.6% 15.9 0.1 0.3 2.6
12-8 8.8% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 8.1
11-9 16.0% 4.9% 4.9% 15.9 0.1 0.7 15.2
10-10 22.1% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.7 21.5
9-11 21.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.5 20.8
8-12 16.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 16.0
7-13 8.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 8.4
6-14 2.7% 2.7
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.2 3.2 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%