Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#266
Expected Predictive Rating-6.9#281
Pace73.9#50
Improvement+2.2#102

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#194
First Shot-2.7#254
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#56
Layup/Dunks-1.5#233
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#325
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#78
Freethrows-1.8#285
Improvement+2.7#59

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#320
First Shot-5.8#338
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#128
Layups/Dunks-0.9#208
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#341
Freethrows-1.7#296
Improvement-0.5#214
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.9% 7.4% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 4.9% 7.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.6% 7.0% 0.0%
First Round2.4% 3.7% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 32 - 62 - 7
Quad 412 - 1114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 155   @ Temple L 70-81 20%     0 - 1 -8.0 -8.3 +1.0
  Nov 06, 2024 28   @ Connecticut L 56-92 3%     0 - 2 -18.8 -13.7 -3.7
  Nov 09, 2024 180   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 24%     0 - 3 -3.4 +1.0 -4.0
  Nov 15, 2024 319   Holy Cross L 75-82 64%     0 - 4 -16.5 +5.5 -22.9
  Nov 16, 2024 353   New Hampshire W 80-63 77%     1 - 4 +3.4 +8.2 -3.5
  Nov 17, 2024 205   @ Brown L 70-89 28%     1 - 5 -18.7 +2.6 -22.3
  Nov 21, 2024 197   Central Connecticut St. W 67-54 46%     2 - 5 +8.3 -2.5 +11.2
  Dec 01, 2024 297   @ Boston University W 73-65 47%     3 - 5 +3.0 +0.3 +2.9
  Dec 06, 2024 255   Iona W 83-59 58%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +16.2 +5.7 +9.4
  Dec 08, 2024 204   @ Quinnipiac L 73-83 28%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -9.7 +0.9 -10.3
  Dec 18, 2024 270   Albany L 66-74 62%     4 - 7 -16.8 -12.3 -4.5
  Dec 22, 2024 160   @ Miami (OH) L 76-94 21%     4 - 8 -15.2 -1.5 -12.3
  Jan 05, 2025 356   Canisius W 99-82 86%     5 - 8 2 - 1 -0.4 +13.9 -14.5
  Jan 10, 2025 192   Merrimack L 65-66 45%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -5.4 -4.9 -0.5
  Jan 12, 2025 259   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-73 38%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -4.6 +0.4 -5.1
  Jan 16, 2025 254   @ Siena L 75-93 37%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -20.3 +1.7 -22.1
  Jan 18, 2025 287   St. Peter's L 61-66 66%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -15.0 -12.0 -3.0
  Jan 23, 2025 356   @ Canisius W 93-84 72%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -2.9 +10.0 -13.0
  Jan 25, 2025 311   @ Niagara W 86-77 52%     7 - 12 4 - 5 +2.7 +15.7 -12.3
  Feb 02, 2025 235   Manhattan W 74-72 54%     8 - 12 5 - 5 -4.8 -11.0 +6.0
  Feb 06, 2025 299   Rider W 89-77 68%     9 - 12 6 - 5 +1.3 +8.3 -7.2
  Feb 08, 2025 325   @ Fairfield W 77-71 55%     10 - 12 7 - 5 -1.0 +2.2 -3.1
  Feb 14, 2025 204   Quinnipiac L 90-99 48%     10 - 13 7 - 6 -14.2 +2.2 -14.8
  Feb 16, 2025 254   Siena L 73-80 58%     10 - 14 7 - 7 -14.8 +1.2 -16.4
  Feb 21, 2025 192   @ Merrimack W 60-59 26%     11 - 14 8 - 7 +2.1 -7.0 +9.2
  Feb 23, 2025 287   @ St. Peter's L 79-85 45%     11 - 15 8 - 8 -10.5 +8.8 -19.4
  Feb 28, 2025 267   Marist W 67-54 61%     12 - 15 9 - 8 +4.4 -2.4 +7.6
  Mar 02, 2025 325   Fairfield W 83-62 74%     13 - 15 10 - 8 +8.5 +4.8 +3.8
  Mar 06, 2025 235   @ Manhattan L 74-90 33%     13 - 16 10 - 9 -17.3 +0.0 -17.9
  Mar 08, 2025 255   @ Iona L 88-90 37%     13 - 17 10 - 10 -4.3 +14.1 -18.4
  Mar 11, 2025 325   Fairfield W 78-74 65%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 4.9 95.1
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 4.9% 4.9% 0.0% 16.0 4.9 95.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.9% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 11.6%
Lose Out 34.0%