Queens
Atlantic Sun
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#213
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#174
Pace73.9#50
Improvement+5.4#12

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#189
First Shot-0.3#183
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#208
Layup/Dunks+1.7#120
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#361
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#79
Freethrows-0.9#240
Improvement+3.4#28

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#242
First Shot+0.0#182
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#334
Layups/Dunks-3.2#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#106
Freethrows+0.5#137
Improvement+2.0#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 7.7% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 96.4% 98.6% 90.7%
.500 or above in Conference 99.4% 100.0% 98.0%
Conference Champion 11.6% 14.7% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round6.9% 7.6% 5.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Central Arkansas (Away) - 70.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 33 - 45 - 9
Quad 413 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 350   Western Carolina W 67-54 87%     1 - 0 -2.3 -18.1 +14.4
  Nov 12, 2024 84   @ Utah L 65-96 12%     1 - 1 -21.4 -8.1 -10.7
  Nov 13, 2024 33   @ BYU L 55-99 5%     1 - 2 -27.8 -14.7 -10.9
  Nov 19, 2024 145   @ Appalachian St. L 53-65 27%     1 - 3 -8.4 -11.3 +2.0
  Nov 23, 2024 346   South Carolina Upstate W 98-74 81%     2 - 3 +12.0 +12.3 -1.9
  Nov 24, 2024 153   @ East Tennessee St. L 67-82 28%     2 - 4 -11.8 -3.5 -8.6
  Dec 03, 2024 205   Winthrop L 78-86 57%     2 - 5 -12.7 -5.1 -6.9
  Dec 07, 2024 304   @ VMI W 81-78 60%     3 - 5 -2.6 +8.2 -10.6
  Dec 14, 2024 236   @ Gardner-Webb W 85-83 46%     4 - 5 +0.1 +13.4 -13.2
  Dec 18, 2024 222   Mercer W 73-66 61%     5 - 5 +1.1 -8.7 +9.2
  Dec 21, 2024 26   @ Mississippi L 62-80 4%     5 - 6 -0.9 -2.4 +1.8
  Jan 02, 2025 334   Stetson W 96-87 84%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -4.7 +6.3 -11.8
  Jan 04, 2025 164   Florida Gulf Coast W 92-83 48%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +6.7 +18.4 -11.6
  Jan 09, 2025 110   @ Lipscomb W 75-73 20%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +8.0 +12.7 -4.5
  Jan 11, 2025 296   @ Austin Peay W 67-60 58%     9 - 6 4 - 0 +2.1 -3.1 +5.5
  Jan 16, 2025 334   @ Stetson W 95-60 71%     10 - 6 5 - 0 +26.3 +11.8 +13.0
  Jan 18, 2025 164   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 47-60 30%     10 - 7 5 - 1 -10.4 -16.8 +4.1
  Jan 23, 2025 245   North Florida L 81-90 68%     10 - 8 5 - 2 -16.6 -6.6 -9.3
  Jan 25, 2025 179   Jacksonville L 77-87 52%     10 - 9 5 - 3 -13.4 -0.3 -12.4
  Jan 29, 2025 155   North Alabama W 75-67 46%     11 - 9 6 - 3 +6.1 +1.2 +5.1
  Feb 01, 2025 345   West Georgia W 87-68 86%     12 - 9 7 - 3 +4.7 +7.6 -2.8
  Feb 05, 2025 341   @ Central Arkansas W 78-72 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 110   Lipscomb L 74-78 38%    
  Feb 13, 2025 356   @ Bellarmine W 82-74 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 231   @ Eastern Kentucky L 80-81 42%    
  Feb 18, 2025 341   Central Arkansas W 80-69 87%    
  Feb 20, 2025 296   Austin Peay W 76-69 77%    
  Feb 24, 2025 345   @ West Georgia W 79-73 71%    
  Feb 26, 2025 155   @ North Alabama L 74-80 28%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 3.2 6.6 1.7 11.6 1st
2nd 0.0 2.0 9.8 3.0 0.1 14.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 10.0 7.7 0.2 18.8 3rd
4th 0.5 7.2 12.6 1.5 21.8 4th
5th 0.4 4.9 12.5 3.9 0.0 21.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.0 2.1 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 1.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.1 0.6 3.6 10.9 22.7 28.6 22.2 9.8 1.7 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 95.4% 1.7    1.3 0.3
14-4 67.5% 6.6    1.8 3.2 1.5 0.2
13-5 14.4% 3.2    0.1 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.3
12-6 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.6% 11.6 3.2 4.1 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 1.7% 15.6% 15.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
14-4 9.8% 14.6% 14.6% 14.4 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.0 8.3
13-5 22.2% 9.2% 9.2% 14.9 0.5 1.2 0.3 20.2
12-6 28.6% 6.3% 6.3% 15.3 0.1 1.1 0.6 26.8
11-7 22.7% 4.8% 4.8% 15.4 0.1 0.5 0.5 21.6
10-8 10.9% 2.6% 2.6% 15.6 0.1 0.2 10.6
9-9 3.6% 1.7% 1.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 3.5
8-10 0.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.5
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.6 1.7 93.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 13.3 11.1 51.9 33.3 3.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.8%