North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -12.4 342
Results Rating -10.8 330
Consistency 0.17 262
Pace 63.9 303
Improvement -2.4 269

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 326 D- C D+ C- B-
Defense D- 330 D D- D C D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 19 D- 50% 339 +0.6 157
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 95 D- 32% 335 -1.4 257
Three Pointers 34% 309 D- 29% 336 -5.6 341
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 99 F+ -6.8 358
1st FG Attempt D- 0.89 345
Second Chance C 30.5% 180 C 1.04 172 C 0.32 160
Opponents' Steals D- 11.3% 324
Other Turnovers C+ 7.1% 153
Turnovers D+ 18.4% 287
Freethrows C+ 0.32 147 D- 68% 325 C- 0.21 200
Total Offense D -6.2 326

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F 32% 353 D+ 13.0% 307
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 16% 306 D+ 6.9% 299
Three Pointers D+ 80% 268 C 0.9% 204
Total F 42% 359 F+ 7.6% 343


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 66 D+ 61% 257 +3.9 308
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 352 F 46% 357 -1.3 84
Three Pointers 43% 117 C- 35% 224 +1.4 262
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 350 D+ +2.7 289
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 315
Second Chance D- 34.5% 326 D 1.13 315 D- 0.39 341
Turnovers from Steals C 9.7% 173
Other Turnovers F 5.0% 361
Turnovers D 14.7% 302
Freethrows C+ 0.29 134 D- 75% 332 C 0.22 172
Total Defense D- -6.2 330

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 187 C 11.7% 147
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 290 C- 3.8% 241
Three Pointers D 89% 327 B+ 1.9% 38
Total D+ 59% 261 C+ 6.3% 118

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.9 329 16.9 103
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 351 0.21 306
Consistency 0.11 105 0.14 295
Improvement -1.8 279 -0.6 214

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 344 342 340
Results Rating Rank 333 330 328
Conference Record 4 - 14 4 - 14 4 - 14
Conference Finish 12 12 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 31 - 62 - 8
Quad 45 - 127 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 93 @Mississippi St. L 62 - 86 3% -5  10% 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -10 F+ B- F D+ -4 C B- F
 Tue, Nov 11 278 Northwestern St. W 87 - 83 OT 38% +5  85% 1 - 1 D+ -5 C+ +3 D- A+ C- F+ -8 F A+ D
 Sat, Nov 15 141 East Tennessee St. L 74 - 78 16% +8  88% 1 - 2 D+ -6 C- -1 D+ A+ D+ D -5 F+ A+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 40 @Clemson L 61 - 81 1% -14  5% 1 - 3 C- -4 C+ +3 D A A+ F+ -9 B F A
 Sat, Nov 22 286 @Chattanooga L 57 - 71 21% -6  28% 1 - 4 F -18 F -12 D D F D- -8 D+ F A
 Mon, Dec 1 192 @Jacksonville St. W 73 - 66 11% -2  17% 2 - 4 B- +8 C+ +3 F+ B+ B+ B+ +5 A+ F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 122 @San Francisco W 65 - 63 5% -4  37% 3 - 4 B- +8 D+ -3 F A+ F A+ +11 A+ D+ D+
 Mon, Dec 15 304 @Alabama A&M L 60 - 68 25% -0  36% 3 - 5 D- -14 F -15 D F D- C+ +1 A+ F F
 Fri, Dec 19 156 @Loyola Marymount L 57 - 91 8% -22  0% 3 - 6 F -31 F -14 F F+ A F -17 F F F
 Thu, Jan 1 320 Stetson L 67 - 70 51% -0  38% 3 - 7 0 - 1 F+ -16 F -12 F C F+ D+ -4 F A- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 269 Florida Gulf Coast L 55 - 72 37% -8  0% 3 - 8 0 - 2 F -26 F -24 F F B- C- -2 D- C+ B
 Thu, Jan 8 288 @Eastern Kentucky L 80 - 88 22% -3  15% 3 - 9 0 - 3 D- -12 B- +4 B- C B- F -17 D+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 285 @Bellarmine W 82 - 73 21% +1  39% 4 - 9 1 - 3 B- +5 A- +10 A+ D C+ D+ -4 D+ F+ D
 Thu, Jan 15 339 North Florida L 91 - 105 61% -10  12% 4 - 10 1 - 4 F -29 B- +4 B- A C- F -33 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 293 Jacksonville L 68 - 90 44% -13  10% 4 - 11 1 - 5 F -33 F+ -10 F C C F -24 F F D
 Wed, Jan 21 202 @Queens L 62 - 87 11% -10  4% 4 - 12 1 - 6 F -24 F -16 F D F F+ -9 D- F C+
 Thu, Jan 29 269 @Florida Gulf Coast L 64 - 72 19% -8  5% 4 - 13 1 - 7 D -11 F+ -10 F A C C- -2 C- C B
 Sat, Jan 31 320 @Stetson W 68 - 66 29% +3  81% 5 - 13 2 - 7 C- -5 D -5 D+ D D- C+ +0 A F D+
 Wed, Feb 4 171 @Central Arkansas L 60 - 81 9% -7  15% 5 - 14 2 - 8 F -19 F -11 F D C F+ -8 F D- C-
 Sat, Feb 7 177 @Austin Peay L 62 - 91 10% -17  4% 5 - 15 2 - 9 F -27 D+ -4 D- D+ D+ F -27 F F F
 Mon, Feb 9 171 Central Arkansas L 65 - 72 21% +5  82% 5 - 16 2 - 10 D -11 F -10 C- C+ F C -1 B F B+
 Wed, Feb 11 308 West Georgia L 73 - 82 47% -6  2% 5 - 17 2 - 11 F -21 C- -2 C+ F+ B F -19 F F F
 Sun, Feb 15 288 Eastern Kentucky W 84 - 78 OT 41% -1  39% 6 - 17 3 - 11 C- -4 D -5 D+ C F C+ +1 B A+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 202 Queens L 78 - 85 25% +1  55% 6 - 18 3 - 12 D- -12 D+ -2 C- A C F -10 F A D
 Sat, Feb 21 195 @Lipscomb L 51 - 73 11% -4  39% 6 - 19 3 - 13 F -21 F -17 F C- C D- -6 F A+ C+
 Wed, Feb 25 285 Bellarmine W 73 - 68 40% +3  78% 7 - 19 4 - 13 D+ -5 C- -1 D- A+ F C- -3 A F D
 Sat, Feb 28 308 @West Georgia L 63 - 75 26% -8  0% 7 - 20 4 - 14 F+ -18 F -14 F F F D+ -4 F B- A-
 Wed, Mar 4 269 Florida Gulf Coast L 69 - 75 27%
Totals 7 - 21 4 - 14 -12 D -6 C+ F+ B- D- -6 D- D- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- D- D- F+ 46% 45% 34% B- D- C C C D+ C+ D- C- D- D+ F C- D+ 43% 14% 43% D- D D- D D- D C+ D- C
1.00 50% 32% 29% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.0 .32 18% .32 68% .21 1.17 61% 46% 35% +3 +1 1.10 34% 1.1 .39 15% .29 75% .24
Nov
5		 Mississippi St. F F D+ B- D- 26% 43% 31% F F+ C- A+ B- F D- F F D+ D A- C- C 40% 24% 36% C C F A+ B- F F C+ F+
0.87 29% 35% 35% -8 -4 0.78 24% 1.3 .31 18% .20 58% .12 1.20 68% 31% 35% +3 0 1.07 43% 0.7 .30 10% .37 67% .25
Nov
11		 Northwestern St. C+ F+ F B F+ 51% 15% 34% B D- B+ A+ A+ C- A+ D- A+ F+ F D C F 40% 31% 29% C F B A+ A+ D F F F
1.17 50% 29% 38% -4 +2 0.98 40% 1.5 .60 17% .60 68% .41 1.11 67% 44% 33% +5 -1 1.10 20% 0.3 .07 15% .46 83% .38
Nov
15		 East Tennessee St. C- D- F B+ D 41% 13% 46% B- D+ B- A+ A+ D+ A A A+ D F F C- F 35% 18% 47% C+ F+ B+ A+ A+ F A A+ A+
1.08 53% 17% 38% -2 +1 1.00 33% 1.4 .45 20% .39 81% .31 1.14 74% 50% 35% +8 0 1.18 22% 0.6 .14 10% .23 57% .13
Nov
17		 Clemson C+ D- F F+ F+ 35% 13% 52% A- D A B- A A+ C F D+ F+ C D- B+ A- 39% 4% 57% D- B F D F A D- F F
0.97 47% 17% 28% -11 +1 0.81 33% 1.0 .33 13% .27 67% .18 1.29 61% 50% 31% -1 +2 1.04 54% 1.1 .60 19% .39 80% .31
Nov
22		 Chattanooga F C+ F D D 36% 19% 45% C- D C- F+ D F C F F D- D+ F C+ D+ 27% 15% 58% D+ D+ F C+ F A D+ B C-
0.94 60% 25% 32% -3 0 0.95 30% 1.0 .30 20% .35 53% .19 1.18 62% 57% 32% +2 0 1.06 42% 1.1 .45 20% .29 71% .21
Dec
1		 Jacksonville St. C+ F C+ D- F 52% 10% 38% A- F+ B- B+ B+ B+ C- C C- B+ A+ A+ B A+ 46% 8% 46% D+ A+ D+ F F D- C A+ A
1.11 44% 40% 30% -9 +2 0.88 32% 1.2 .37 14% .32 78% .25 1.00 41% 0% 32% -13 +2 0.81 31% 1.5 .45 14% .35 45% .16
Dec
3		 San Francisco D+ F B- F F 47% 29% 24% C- F A+ C A+ F B+ A+ A A+ A- D- A+ A+ 29% 14% 57% C+ A+ B+ F D+ D+ B+ A A-
1.00 38% 40% 25% -12 -1 0.76 48% 1.1 .50 19% .32 82% .26 0.97 50% 43% 25% -9 0 0.84 27% 1.4 .38 14% .29 63% .18
Dec
15		 Alabama A&M F C F A D+ 32% 28% 40% F D F F F D- C- F D- C+ A+ F A+ A+ 36% 23% 40% D+ A+ F F F F F A- F
0.92 60% 23% 42% +1 -1 1.02 12% 0.5 .06 18% .32 59% .19 1.04 35% 45% 21% -14 -1 0.72 32% 1.2 .39 11% .53 68% .36
Dec
19		 Loyola Marymount F F C F F 43% 31% 25% C- F C- F F+ A A+ F B+ F B F F D- 40% 9% 51% F F F F F F C- B C
0.83 32% 38% 23% -16 -1 0.69 30% 0.7 .21 12% .41 64% .26 1.32 55% 60% 43% +7 +2 1.20 38% 1.6 .59 13% .28 65% .18
Jan
1		 Stetson F D D- F F 45% 6% 49% A F B- D C F+ C+ D- C D+ F F A F 44% 16% 40% F F C+ A+ A- C+ F D- F
1.02 57% 33% 20% -11 +2 0.84 36% 1.1 .38 18% .30 69% .20 1.06 75% 57% 28% +7 +1 1.18 25% 0.7 .18 20% .36 74% .27
Jan
3		 Florida Gulf Coast F F F F F 48% 12% 40% B+ F F F F B- A+ F B+ C- C+ D- F D- 40% 21% 38% D- D- C+ C+ C+ B A+ D- A
0.80 42% 0% 25% -18 +2 0.70 15% 0.8 .13 15% .46 67% .31 1.05 57% 45% 40% +5 0 1.12 28% 1.0 .28 19% .16 78% .13
Jan
8		 Eastern Kentucky B- B A A- B 26% 32% 43% F B- F A+ C B- A+ F C F B F D+ D+ 28% 16% 56% D- D+ F F F F F F F
1.21 67% 53% 40% +11 -2 1.19 23% 1.4 .33 14% .44 56% .25 1.34 50% 50% 36% +1 0 1.04 43% 1.4 .60 9% .38 83% .32
Jan
10		 Bellarmine A- A- F A+ A+ 37% 20% 44% C A+ B+ F D C+ A+ B A+ D+ F A+ D+ D+ 35% 10% 55% C+ D+ B- F F+ D B+ A+ A+
1.36 73% 25% 61% +21 0 1.44 42% 0.8 .33 15% .43 77% .33 1.21 76% 20% 37% +7 +1 1.18 19% 1.8 .33 13% .25 62% .15
Jan
15		 North Florida B- C+ D+ B C 60% 10% 31% A B- C- A+ A C- B+ F+ C+ F F F F F 30% 13% 57% C+ F F F F F D- F F
1.30 61% 40% 38% +4 +3 1.15 36% 1.6 .58 13% .33 65% .21 1.49 69% 57% 45% +15 0 1.33 38% 1.3 .50 10% .30 95% .28
Jan
17		 Jacksonville F+ D- A+ F F 53% 11% 36% A- F F A+ C C A+ A A+ F B- D F F 61% 14% 25% F F D- F F D D+ F F
1.01 54% 60% 19% -8 +2 0.91 19% 1.5 .29 15% .52 77% .40 1.34 52% 43% 54% +4 +2 1.16 35% 1.9 .65 15% .31 89% .28
Jan
21		 Queens F D- F F F 54% 13% 33% A- F C F D F A C- A- F+ F+ F A+ D 58% 11% 31% F D- F C F C+ F F F
0.92 52% 17% 27% -10 +2 0.87 34% 0.8 .29 24% .43 73% .31 1.29 69% 80% 21% +5 +3 1.18 46% 1.1 .50 16% .44 96% .42
Jan
29		 Florida Gulf Coast F+ A- F F F 48% 24% 28% C- F D+ A+ A C A D B+ C- B- F C- C- 27% 20% 53% C- C- D+ C+ C B B+ F C
0.97 68% 18% 8% -11 0 0.80 27% 1.8 .48 17% .43 71% .31 1.09 54% 50% 35% +2 -1 1.04 31% 1.0 .31 20% .21 91% .19
Jan
31		 Stetson D A- F D- D+ 40% 16% 44% C+ D+ D+ C- D D- A- F+ B- C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 22% 33% D A F F F D+ D+ F F
1.08 72% 29% 30% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 17% .35 67% .23 1.05 67% 10% 20% -9 0 0.85 34% 1.3 .46 17% .31 88% .27
Feb
4		 Central Arkansas F F D D F 43% 12% 45% B- F D- C D C B- F F+ F+ D- A+ F F 39% 7% 54% F+ F D+ F+ D- C- A+ F A
0.90 43% 33% 32% -9 +1 0.88 22% 1.1 .24 20% .30 50% .15 1.22 67% 0% 41% +6 +2 1.19 29% 1.2 .35 15% .16 78% .12
Feb
7		 Austin Peay D+ F A+ F F 59% 18% 24% B+ D- A+ F D+ D+ F A F F D F F F 54% 6% 40% F F D+ F F F A+ A A+
1.00 50% 56% 25% -5 +2 0.96 45% 0.5 .21 19% .18 78% .14 1.47 63% 100% 55% +19 +3 1.46 30% 1.7 .52 11% .16 67% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 Central Arkansas F D A+ D- D 58% 8% 34% A C- C+ C C+ F A+ C+ A+ C B- F A+ B+ 39% 9% 52% F+ B C- F F B+ F D F
0.96 55% 67% 31% -1 +3 1.05 30% 1.1 .33 28% .47 74% .35 1.07 56% 75% 25% -5 +2 0.96 28% 1.4 .41 19% .42 74% .31
Feb
11		 West Georgia C- C D- A+ B- 53% 23% 25% C- C+ F D- F+ B D- D D- F C+ D F F 33% 31% 37% C- F D+ F F F C+ F D+
1.13 61% 33% 46% +5 +1 1.13 22% 0.9 .19 12% .28 69% .19 1.27 53% 44% 47% +7 -2 1.13 31% 1.3 .41 11% .24 86% .21
Feb
15		 Eastern Kentucky D D+ B+ C D 45% 14% 40% B+ D+ A F C F A+ F+ A+ C+ C+ F A+ A 43% 5% 52% F B B A+ A+ F F A+ D
1.13 58% 50% 35% +2 +1 1.10 42% 0.8 .33 20% .77 67% .52 1.05 54% 100% 22% -8 +2 0.90 29% 0.7 .20 11% .39 58% .23
Feb
18		 Queens D+ C F A+ D 60% 10% 29% A C- C- A+ A C C F F F D+ B F F 49% 7% 44% F F A+ F+ A D F F+ F
1.16 59% 0% 43% 0 +3 1.08 32% 1.5 .50 15% .35 50% .17 1.26 64% 33% 45% +10 +3 1.27 15% 1.3 .19 13% .48 82% .39
Feb
21		 Lipscomb F D- D+ F F 41% 33% 25% D F B- F+ C- C F F F D- F F F F 35% 13% 52% B- F A A+ A+ C+ B+ A+ A
0.82 52% 35% 0% -16 -1 0.67 34% 0.8 .27 18% .19 60% .12 1.17 88% 67% 42% +20 +1 1.43 17% 0.5 .09 18% .17 56% .10
Feb
25		 Bellarmine C- F A+ C+ F+ 48% 13% 40% A- D- A+ C- A+ F A+ C- A+ C- C A+ A+ A+ 67% 2% 31% F A F F+ F D F D F
1.24 53% 60% 38% +2 +2 1.10 57% 1.1 .63 22% .63 72% .46 1.16 61% 0% 15% -8 +4 0.95 33% 1.3 .44 14% .45 83% .37
Feb
28		 West Georgia F F F F F 63% 15% 23% B F D F F F A+ A+ A+ D+ C- F C- F 47% 16% 37% F F D- A+ B- A- B+ F D+
0.92 47% 14% 27% -13 +2 0.81 26% 0.7 .18 19% .49 81% .40 1.09 57% 75% 33% +5 +1 1.14 34% 0.8 .28 20% .20 100% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%