Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#266
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#193
Pace67.6#231
Improvement+1.8#56

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#311
First Shot-2.5#248
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#319
Layup/Dunks-4.6#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#31
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#153
Freethrows-2.3#307
Improvement+1.0#98

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#187
First Shot+0.3#159
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#253
Layups/Dunks-3.0#290
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#193
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#27
Freethrows-2.4#311
Improvement+0.8#119
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.9% 15.5% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 63.8% 81.0% 59.0%
.500 or above in Conference 80.6% 87.4% 78.7%
Conference Champion 17.1% 23.1% 15.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four5.1% 4.7% 5.3%
First Round9.1% 13.0% 8.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lipscomb (Away) - 22.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 31 - 31 - 6
Quad 415 - 716 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 24 @Indiana L 51-98 3%     0 - 1 -29.4 -13.2 -16.1
  Thu, Nov 13 288 Charleston Southern W 68-64 65%     1 - 1 -5.9 -8.2 +2.3
  Sun, Nov 16 246 Lindenwood W 74-65 57%     2 - 1 +1.3 +1.7 -0.1
  Fri, Nov 28 33 @Clemson L 56-92 3%     2 - 2 -19.7 -10.1 -9.2
  Sun, Nov 30 260 @Coastal Carolina L 60-67 37%     2 - 3 -9.6 -10.2 +0.5
  Wed, Dec 3 249 Tennessee St. W 80-53 57%     3 - 3 +19.2 +11.1 +10.2
  Sun, Dec 7 164 @Lipscomb L 67-75 22%    
  Mon, Dec 15 200 North Alabama L 68-69 47%    
  Wed, Dec 17 58 Mississippi L 62-77 8%    
  Sun, Dec 21 209 Chattanooga W 70-69 50%    
  Sat, Jan 3 358 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-70 68%    
  Mon, Jan 5 365 @Mississippi Valley W 75-62 89%    
  Sat, Jan 10 333 Alcorn St. W 75-67 76%    
  Mon, Jan 12 312 Jackson St. W 72-66 69%    
  Sat, Jan 17 268 @Alabama St. L 70-73 40%    
  Sat, Jan 24 296 @Texas Southern L 71-72 45%    
  Mon, Jan 26 322 @Prairie View W 72-71 51%    
  Sat, Jan 31 345 Florida A&M W 75-66 77%    
  Mon, Feb 2 218 Bethune-Cookman W 71-70 53%    
  Sat, Feb 7 201 @Southern L 70-76 29%    
  Mon, Feb 9 284 @Grambling St. L 66-68 43%    
  Sat, Feb 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 78-59 96%    
  Mon, Feb 16 358 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-67 84%    
  Thu, Feb 19 345 @Florida A&M W 72-69 59%    
  Sat, Feb 21 218 @Bethune-Cookman L 68-73 32%    
  Sat, Feb 28 268 Alabama St. W 73-70 60%    
  Tue, Mar 3 284 Grambling St. W 69-65 64%    
  Thu, Mar 5 201 Southern L 72-73 49%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.8 4.3 2.3 0.9 0.2 17.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 5.2 6.1 3.1 0.7 0.1 16.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 5.3 5.5 1.8 0.2 13.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.6 5.6 1.6 0.1 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.3 1.9 0.1 10.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 5.1 2.1 0.2 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.7 2.5 0.2 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.4 0.4 5.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.2 5.3 8.4 11.5 13.3 14.3 13.4 11.5 8.2 5.0 2.4 0.9 0.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
16-2 95.6% 2.3    2.1 0.2
15-3 85.8% 4.3    3.3 1.0 0.1
14-4 59.4% 4.8    2.7 1.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 30.3% 3.5    0.9 1.8 0.7 0.1
12-6 7.5% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.1% 17.1 10.1 5.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 49.0% 49.0% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.9% 47.0% 47.0% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.5
16-2 2.4% 33.7% 33.7% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 1.6
15-3 5.0% 28.3% 28.3% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 3.6
14-4 8.2% 22.5% 22.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 6.3
13-5 11.5% 18.3% 18.3% 15.8 0.0 0.4 1.6 9.4
12-6 13.4% 14.7% 14.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.8 11.4
11-7 14.3% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.1 1.5 12.7
10-8 13.3% 7.1% 7.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9 12.3
9-9 11.5% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.6 11.0
8-10 8.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 8.2
7-11 5.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 5.3
6-12 3.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 3.2
5-13 1.5% 1.5
4-14 0.6% 0.6
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 11.9% 11.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.4 8.5 88.1 0.0%