Alabama A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#293
Expected Predictive Rating-3.9#228
Pace65.0#300
Improvement-1.2#258

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#306
First Shot-2.5#238
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#335
Layup/Dunks-5.3#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#30
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#228
Freethrows+0.7#131
Improvement+0.4#143

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#236
First Shot-2.7#268
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#131
Layups/Dunks-3.0#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#189
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#156
Freethrows-0.7#236
Improvement-1.5#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.0% 12.5% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 57.3% 67.7% 41.9%
.500 or above in Conference 77.0% 85.5% 64.5%
Conference Champion 14.8% 19.6% 7.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.8%
First Four7.0% 7.4% 6.4%
First Round7.2% 8.5% 5.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Away) - 59.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 415 - 815 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 29 @Indiana L 51-98 2%     0 - 1 -29.4 -12.9 -16.2
  Thu, Nov 13 239 Charleston Southern W 68-64 52%     1 - 1 -3.6 -7.4 +3.8
  Sun, Nov 16 229 Lindenwood W 74-65 50%     2 - 1 +1.9 +1.5 +0.6
  Fri, Nov 28 40 @Clemson L 56-92 3%     2 - 2 -20.8 -9.5 -10.9
  Sun, Nov 30 230 @Coastal Carolina L 60-67 29%     2 - 3 -8.2 -9.2 +0.9
  Wed, Dec 3 237 Tennessee St. W 80-53 52%     3 - 3 +19.5 +11.6 +9.9
  Sun, Dec 7 144 @Lipscomb L 58-92 15%     3 - 4 -29.8 -7.6 -24.6
  Mon, Dec 15 244 North Alabama W 68-60 53%     4 - 4 +0.2 -3.3 +4.1
  Wed, Dec 17 63 Mississippi L 66-80 8%     4 - 5 -5.5 +3.7 -10.5
  Sun, Dec 21 235 Chattanooga L 66-73 51%     4 - 6 -14.4 -5.6 -9.6
  Sat, Jan 3 351 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 75-72 60%    
  Mon, Jan 5 365 @Mississippi Valley W 74-61 89%    
  Sat, Jan 10 337 Alcorn St. W 75-68 74%    
  Mon, Jan 12 324 Jackson St. W 73-67 70%    
  Sat, Jan 17 281 @Alabama St. L 69-73 37%    
  Sat, Jan 24 327 @Texas Southern L 70-71 49%    
  Mon, Jan 26 320 @Prairie View L 72-73 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 341 Florida A&M W 73-66 75%    
  Mon, Feb 2 269 Bethune-Cookman W 72-70 56%    
  Sat, Feb 7 222 @Southern L 70-76 29%    
  Mon, Feb 9 245 @Grambling St. L 65-70 31%    
  Sat, Feb 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 77-58 96%    
  Mon, Feb 16 351 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-69 78%    
  Thu, Feb 19 341 @Florida A&M W 70-69 55%    
  Sat, Feb 21 269 @Bethune-Cookman L 69-73 35%    
  Sat, Feb 28 281 Alabama St. W 72-70 58%    
  Tue, Mar 3 245 Grambling St. W 68-67 53%    
  Thu, Mar 5 222 Southern L 72-73 49%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.4 4.0 4.3 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 14.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 2.1 6.1 5.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 15.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.6 6.1 4.7 1.0 0.1 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 5.3 5.0 1.0 0.0 11.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.4 5.6 1.4 0.1 10.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.2 1.9 0.1 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.9 2.9 0.2 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.9 0.5 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.4 0.7 0.0 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.6 0.7 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.9 6.5 9.5 12.7 14.7 14.8 13.3 10.1 6.3 3.4 1.4 0.4 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.2% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 97.8% 1.3    1.3 0.1
15-3 87.6% 3.0    2.5 0.5 0.0
14-4 69.3% 4.3    2.6 1.6 0.2 0.0
13-5 40.0% 4.0    1.3 1.9 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 10.8% 1.4    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 14.8% 14.8 8.2 4.6 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 36.6% 36.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-2 1.4% 35.4% 35.4% 15.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.9
15-3 3.4% 27.5% 27.5% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 2.5
14-4 6.3% 21.5% 21.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 4.9
13-5 10.1% 18.7% 18.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.7 8.2
12-6 13.3% 15.4% 15.4% 16.0 0.1 2.0 11.3
11-7 14.8% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 0.0 1.7 13.1
10-8 14.7% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 1.2 13.4
9-9 12.7% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.8 11.9
8-10 9.5% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.3 9.2
7-11 6.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.5
6-12 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
5-13 1.9% 1.9
4-14 0.8% 0.8
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 11.0% 11.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 9.6 89.0 0.0%