IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.3	#338
Expected Predictive Rating	-13.0	#340

Pace	78.6	#14
Improvement	+2.7	#36

Offense
Total Offense	-1.9	#228

First Shot	-1.8	#227
After Offensive Rebound	-0.1	#189

Layup/Dunks	-2.8	#289
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.9	#39
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.9	#301
Freethrows	+2.1	#72

Improvement	+2.9	#22

Defense
Total Defense	-9.3	#363

First Shot	-7.1	#356
After Offensive Rebounds	-2.2	#331

Layups/Dunks	-3.9	#316
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.4	#160
3 Pt Jumpshots	+0.1	#180
Freethrows	-3.7	#351

Improvement	-0.2	#197

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.2%	5.1%	3.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	1.7%	5.4%	1.2%
.500 or above in Conference	53.0%	64.8%	51.5%
Conference Champion	3.2%	5.0%	2.9%
Last Place in Conference	3.1%	1.5%	3.3%

First Four	3.2%	5.0%	3.0%
First Round	1.5%	2.3%	1.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Away) - 11.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 11
Quad 4	9 - 11	9 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2024	100	@ DePaul	L	59-92	5%	0 - 1			-24.8	-16.4	-5.0
Nov 12, 2024	304	@ Incarnate Word	L	81-84	27%	0 - 2			-7.8	+1.3	-9.0
Nov 18, 2024	48	@ SMU	L	69-110	2%	0 - 3			-27.7	-7.6	-14.5
Nov 20, 2024	257	@ Fresno St.	L	83-94	20%	0 - 4			-13.2	+2.7	-14.6
Nov 23, 2024	197	@ Northern Colorado	L	98-114	12%	0 - 5			-14.6	+10.3	-22.6
Nov 30, 2024	186	@ TX A&M Corpus Christi	L	74-109	12%	0 - 6			-33.3	-0.8	-31.0
Dec 06, 2024	130	@ UAB	L	66-95	7%	0 - 7			-24.2	-9.7	-13.5
Dec 08, 2024	28	@ Mississippi St.	L	84-91	1%	0 - 8			+9.3	+20.1	-11.1
Dec 14, 2024	181	@ Loyola Marymount	L	75-76	11%	0 - 9			+0.9	+4.9	-4.0
Dec 17, 2024	14	@ UCLA	L	75-111	1%	0 - 10			-17.7	+9.1	-24.2
Dec 22, 2024	196	@ Rice	L	71-84	11%
Dec 29, 2024	35	@ Oklahoma	L	69-96	1%
Jan 04, 2025	310	Grambling St.	W	78-77	50%
Jan 06, 2025	221	Southern	L	76-81	31%
Jan 11, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	78-71	74%
Jan 13, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	92-89	62%
Jan 18, 2025	307	Jackson St.	L	80-81	50%
Jan 20, 2025	339	Alcorn St.	W	81-78	61%
Jan 25, 2025	284	@ Alabama St.	L	79-87	25%
Jan 27, 2025	361	@ Alabama A&M	W	84-83	53%
Feb 01, 2025	305	@ Texas Southern	L	79-85	29%
Feb 08, 2025	264	Bethune-Cookman	L	79-82	40%
Feb 10, 2025	357	Florida A&M	W	81-76	68%
Feb 15, 2025	221	@ Southern	L	73-84	16%
Feb 17, 2025	310	@ Grambling St.	L	74-80	30%
Feb 22, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	95-86	79%
Feb 24, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	81-68	88%
Mar 01, 2025	339	@ Alcorn St.	L	78-81	40%
Mar 03, 2025	307	@ Jackson St.	L	77-83	30%
Mar 08, 2025	305	Texas Southern	L	82-83	49%
Projected Record						9 - 21	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.8	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.1	0.0		3.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.7	2.2	0.8	0.1	0.0				5.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.6	3.3	1.1	0.1	0.0					7.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.7	4.6	1.7	0.1							9.3	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.4	5.6	2.6	0.2	0.0							10.9	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	2.1	6.2	3.8	0.4	0.0								12.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.8	6.0	4.8	0.7	0.0									13.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.7	5.5	4.9	1.0	0.0										13.4	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	1.5	4.2	4.1	1.1	0.1											11.1	9th
10th				0.1	1.1	2.9	2.7	0.8	0.0												7.6	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.7	1.6	1.3	0.4	0.0													4.2	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0														1.4	12th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.4	3.2	5.9	9.2	12.4	14.4	14.8	13.1	10.5	7.1	4.2	2.1	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
16-2	93.1%	0.2		0.2	0.0
15-3	84.3%	0.8		0.6	0.2	0.0
14-4	53.6%	1.1		0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	18.3%	0.8		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.6%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.2%	3.2		1.5	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																				0.0	0.0
17-1	0.1%		25.0%	25.0%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.3%		20.6%	20.6%		16.0																0.0	0.1	0.2
15-3	0.9%		19.5%	19.5%		16.0																0.0	0.2	0.8
14-4	2.1%		14.6%	14.6%		16.0																	0.3	1.8
13-5	4.2%		10.9%	10.9%		16.0																	0.5	3.7
12-6	7.1%		7.2%	7.2%		16.0																	0.5	6.6
11-7	10.5%		5.1%	5.1%		16.0																	0.5	10.0
10-8	13.1%		4.4%	4.4%		16.0																	0.6	12.6
9-9	14.8%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.4	14.4
8-10	14.4%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.2	14.2
7-11	12.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	12.3
6-12	9.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.2
5-13	5.9%																							5.9
4-14	3.2%																							3.2
3-15	1.4%																							1.4
2-16	0.5%																							0.5
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		3.2%	3.2%	0.0%	16.0															0.0	0.0	3.2	96.8		0.0%