Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#102
Expected Predictive Rating+6.4#82
Pace73.0#64
Improvement+0.6#161

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#148
First Shot+0.5#160
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#139
Layup/Dunks+0.7#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#296
Freethrows+4.2#7
Improvement-0.5#205

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#79
First Shot+4.3#57
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#261
Layups/Dunks+1.7#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#174
Freethrows+2.6#33
Improvement+1.1#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.5 n/a 10.5
.500 or above 8.1% 26.7% 7.6%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 2.9% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 0.4% 6.7%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 12
Quad 23 - 53 - 17
Quad 35 - 18 - 18
Quad 45 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 347   Green Bay W 89-76 95%     1 - 0 -1.5 +2.2 -4.5
  Nov 10, 2024 119   St. Thomas W 80-71 67%     2 - 0 +8.9 -1.9 +10.2
  Nov 14, 2024 183   Southern Illinois W 85-78 78%     3 - 0 +3.4 +6.8 -3.8
  Nov 21, 2024 106   Florida Atlantic L 78-86 52%     3 - 1 -3.8 -8.7 +6.2
  Nov 22, 2024 169   Miami (FL) W 80-74 68%     4 - 1 +5.9 +6.9 -0.7
  Nov 24, 2024 88   Nevada L 78-90 43%     4 - 2 -5.5 +9.3 -14.9
  Dec 04, 2024 238   @ Tulsa W 76-55 74%     5 - 2 +19.0 -0.5 +18.5
  Dec 08, 2024 147   @ Seton Hall W 85-76 54%     6 - 2 +12.5 +17.9 -5.2
  Dec 14, 2024 34   Oklahoma L 65-80 21%     6 - 3 -1.8 -3.8 +2.2
  Dec 18, 2024 247   Tarleton St. W 66-61 87%     7 - 3 -2.6 -4.6 +2.1
  Dec 22, 2024 315   Oral Roberts W 86-74 92%     8 - 3 +0.5 +1.9 -1.6
  Dec 30, 2024 3   Houston L 47-60 8%     8 - 4 0 - 1 +7.2 -12.3 +18.7
  Jan 04, 2025 39   @ West Virginia L 50-69 18%     8 - 5 0 - 2 -4.6 -11.7 +6.5
  Jan 07, 2025 55   Kansas St. W 79-66 39%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +20.4 +11.8 +8.9
  Jan 11, 2025 84   @ Utah L 62-83 31%     9 - 6 1 - 3 -11.4 -5.7 -5.7
  Jan 14, 2025 33   @ BYU L 69-85 14%     9 - 7 1 - 4 +0.2 +2.7 -2.7
  Jan 18, 2025 98   Colorado W 83-73 59%     10 - 7 2 - 4 +12.4 +9.6 +2.5
  Jan 21, 2025 10   Arizona L 78-92 16%     10 - 8 2 - 5 +1.3 +14.2 -13.3
  Jan 26, 2025 12   @ Texas Tech L 54-64 8%     10 - 9 2 - 6 +10.1 -7.4 +16.9
  Jan 29, 2025 55   @ Kansas St. L 57-85 23%     10 - 10 2 - 7 -15.6 -10.8 -4.0
  Feb 01, 2025 84   Utah W 81-72 50%     11 - 10 3 - 7 +13.6 +14.8 -0.7
  Feb 04, 2025 3   @ Houston L 56-77 2%    
  Feb 09, 2025 61   Arizona St. L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 12, 2025 68   @ TCU L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 12   Texas Tech L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 19, 2025 62   Central Florida L 78-80 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 7   @ Kansas L 65-82 5%    
  Feb 25, 2025 8   Iowa St. L 68-79 17%    
  Mar 01, 2025 20   @ Baylor L 67-81 9%    
  Mar 05, 2025 62   @ Central Florida L 75-82 25%    
  Mar 08, 2025 59   Cincinnati L 66-69 43%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 3.8 10th
11th 0.5 3.7 1.9 0.1 6.2 11th
12th 0.1 4.0 5.5 0.5 10.1 12th
13th 0.1 3.5 10.1 2.3 0.0 16.0 13th
14th 0.1 3.1 12.6 7.4 0.3 0.0 23.5 14th
15th 6.3 17.0 11.6 1.6 0.0 36.5 15th
16th 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.9 16th
Total 7.5 20.9 27.9 23.6 12.7 5.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0 0.0
10-10 0.2% 13.6% 13.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 13.6%
9-11 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 11.0 0.0 1.3 1.5%
8-12 5.8% 5.8
7-13 12.7% 12.7
6-14 23.6% 23.6
5-15 27.9% 27.9
4-16 20.9% 20.9
3-17 7.5% 7.5
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 7.4%