Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#265
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#330
Pace69.9#175
Improvement+0.6#131

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#287
First Shot-2.2#235
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#305
Layup/Dunks-1.6#238
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#276
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#132
Freethrows-0.3#196
Improvement+2.2#31

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#215
First Shot-3.7#302
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#61
Layups/Dunks+0.0#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#83
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#321
Freethrows-0.5#218
Improvement-1.5#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 2.0% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 5.1% 8.6% 2.5%
.500 or above in Conference 31.9% 44.2% 22.4%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 8.1% 19.7%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
First Round1.1% 1.8% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Incarnate Word (Home) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 82 - 14
Quad 47 - 710 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 23 @Kentucky L 51-77 2%     0 - 1 -8.0 -13.0 +5.0
  Fri, Nov 7 325 @Eastern Illinois L 57-65 51%     0 - 2 -14.2 -16.3 +2.0
  Wed, Nov 12 214 @Valparaiso L 63-68 30%     0 - 3 -5.3 -0.8 -5.0
  Sat, Nov 15 113 @Murray St. L 79-99 12%     0 - 4 -13.3 +1.9 -13.7
  Sat, Nov 22 47 @Oklahoma St. L 81-95 4%     0 - 5 +0.0 +2.9 -0.9
  Fri, Nov 28 172 @Tulane L 72-82 23%     0 - 6 -8.1 -2.0 -6.2
  Tue, Dec 2 45 @Creighton L 76-96 4%     0 - 7 -5.7 +10.7 -16.9
  Sat, Dec 6 171 Incarnate Word L 70-72 44%    
  Wed, Dec 17 282 Houston Christian W 72-68 63%    
  Sun, Dec 21 139 @Pacific L 66-76 17%    
  Mon, Dec 29 237 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-72 34%    
  Wed, Dec 31 213 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 72-78 30%    
  Sat, Jan 3 300 East Texas A&M W 72-67 67%    
  Mon, Jan 5 302 Northwestern St. W 73-68 68%    
  Sat, Jan 10 216 @New Orleans L 71-77 31%    
  Mon, Jan 12 78 @McNeese St. L 61-77 7%    
  Sat, Jan 17 195 Lamar L 66-67 48%    
  Mon, Jan 19 144 Stephen F. Austin L 68-72 36%    
  Sat, Jan 24 248 @SE Louisiana L 66-70 36%    
  Mon, Jan 26 216 New Orleans W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Jan 31 300 @East Texas A&M L 69-70 46%    
  Mon, Feb 2 302 @Northwestern St. L 70-71 46%    
  Sat, Feb 7 237 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-69 56%    
  Mon, Feb 9 213 UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-75 51%    
  Sat, Feb 14 171 @Incarnate Word L 67-75 25%    
  Mon, Feb 16 282 @Houston Christian L 69-71 42%    
  Sat, Feb 21 144 @Stephen F. Austin L 65-75 19%    
  Mon, Feb 23 195 @Lamar L 64-70 28%    
  Sat, Feb 28 248 SE Louisiana W 69-67 57%    
  Mon, Mar 2 78 McNeese St. L 64-74 19%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 9 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.8 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.5 4.9 1.7 0.3 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.1 5.3 2.4 0.3 11.9 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.1 4.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.0 4.5 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.4 3.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 10.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 2.7 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.4 12th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.1 6.7 8.1 10.4 11.6 12.3 11.4 9.6 7.8 5.5 4.0 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 82.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-4 54.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-5 41.5% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0
16-6 14.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-7 4.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0
20-2 0.0% 0.0
19-3 0.2% 15.7% 15.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.3% 21.7% 21.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
17-5 0.7% 17.4% 17.4% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.6
16-6 1.4% 15.7% 15.7% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.2
15-7 2.4% 7.2% 7.2% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.2
14-8 4.0% 4.9% 4.9% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.8
13-9 5.5% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.3
12-10 7.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.7
11-11 9.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.5
10-12 11.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.4
9-13 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
8-14 11.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.6
7-15 10.4% 10.4
6-16 8.1% 8.1
5-17 6.7% 6.7
4-18 4.1% 4.1
3-19 2.1% 2.1
2-20 0.9% 0.9
1-21 0.3% 0.3
0-22 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%